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🗳️ Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is now driven by politics and liquidity

📊 10x Research claims that the BTC cycle is still in effect, but it is now driven more by US elections and liquidity than by halvings.

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🏛️ Trump won't decide on rate cuts, says Fed nominee Kevin Hassett

📉 Hassett clarified that the Fed Board makes the decisions, rejecting Trump's claim that "he should be listened to" in monetary policy.

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💶 The digital euro will be launched in the second half of 2026

🏛️ The ECB has finalized the preparations and is awaiting political approval to launch the digital euro in the second half of 2026.

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💬 Markets rebound after the BOJ's rate hike

💹 #Bitcoin rose along with US stock futures, as the market bets that there will be no further adjustments from the BOJ.

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☃💎 Meet MyTonWallet 4.5

🎄 2025 has been a big year for MyTonWallet: the team launched new products, rolled out native mobile apps, and shipped over a hundred updates that made managing crypto simpler, faster, and more convenient.

❄ With the December 4.5 update, the year comes to a clean and thoughtful close — with a focus on stability, polish, and bringing the product to a solid, complete state before the next phase of development.

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✅ The SEC closes a 4-year investigation into Aave without sanctions

🎉 CEO Stani Kulechov claims that Aave is entering a new era of DeFi innovation, following the closure of the investigation without charges.

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⚡️ Cheap electricity fuels a hidden Bitcoin boom in Libya

🪙 Subsidized energy allowed to generate ~0.6% of the global hashrate, but now it causes tension in the network and official repression.

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🐋 A WHALE SOLD BTC TO OPEN A SHORT!

💰 A whale sold 255 $BTC ($21.77M) at $85,378 and then became bearish, opening a 10x short at 910 $BTC ($82M) and 716 $ETH ($2.1M).

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💥 $23 billion in options for $BTC expire next Friday, volatility rises

📉 Implied volatility approaches 45%, with prices tilted toward downside risk ahead of the massive expiration.

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📈 Polymarket traders are betting that $BTC will close 2025 near $80K

📊 Current probabilities favor a year end close around $80,000, with less expectations of surpassing $120K or falling below $60K.

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📊 $BTC falls below $90K following low inflation in the US, but stalls

📉 Although it rebounded due to softer inflation, $BTC did not maintain the momentum due to still limited macro and on-chain signals.

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🎓 OpenAI sells more than 700,000 ChatGPT licenses to US universities.

📊 Students use ChatGPT an average of 170 times a month, showing a great integration into academic life, according to Bloomberg.

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🐋 Ballena increases its long position in ETH to 578 million dollars

💥 The OG of Bitcoin 1011short added 12,406 ETH, accumulating 203,341 ETH (578.5M), in addition to 1,000 BTC (87M) and 250,000 SOL (30.7M) in long positions.

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💡 Ray Dalio and the limited adoption of Bitcoin by central banks

⚠️ In a podcast with Nikhil Kamath, Ray Dalio stated that it is unlikely that central banks will significantly own Bitcoin, citing as key concerns the transparency of transactions and the risk that it could be compromised.

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🏦 Hong Kong proposes new rules for insurers' crypto investments

⚠️ The Hong Kong Insurance Authority has proposed new rules to channel insurers' capital into crypto and infrastructure, while imposing a 100% risk charge on cryptocurrency investments.

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💙 NEW FEATURES IN MYTONWALLET AIR 💎

✨ The MyTonWallet Air native app continues to evolve as a full alternative to the classic version, matching its speed and functionality. The latest update introduces an integrated Wallet Explorer, visible addresses and domains on wallet cards, and support for 8 new languages, bringing Air closer to feature parity with the classic app.

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🛡️ The post-quantum update of Bitcoin could take years

⚠️ According to Jameson Lopp, co-founder of Casa, updating the Bitcoin protocol to post-quantum security standards could take 5–10 years due to its decentralized consensus model.

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📉 On-chain Bitcoin flows are weakening

⚠️ According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, the on-chain capital flows of Bitcoin are slowing down after 2.5 years of growth, and the recovery of sentiment could take months.

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💸 Stablecoins could process $50T in transactions in 2026

⚠️ According to Sid Powell, CEO of Maple Finance, stablecoins could handle $50 trillion in transactions next year, predicting that all capital market activity will eventually be conducted on-chain.

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📊 Vitalik Buterin: Prediction markets are healthier than regular ones

⚠️ On Farcaster, Vitalik Buterin says it's safer to participate in prediction markets, as they are limited between 0–1, which reduces the risks of pump-and-dump.

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