Don't have Telegram yet? Try it now!
http://omnologos.com/2020/10/17/all-were-50-the-combined-probability-would-be-vanishingly-small-for-the-individual-under-the-rough-assumption-that-each-step-be-independent-yes-its-an-oversimplification-and-most-steps-are-far-be/
all were 50%, the combined probability would be vanishingly small for the individual, under the rough assumption that each step be independent (yes it's an oversimplification and most steps are far below 50%). That's why you don't take care because you are afraid 4/5