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https://phibetaiota.net/2002/12/2002-marshall-us-tomorrows-global-hotspots-global-systems-analysis-what-can-open-information-contributute-to-conflict-managements-and-the-avoidance-of-future-catastrophe/
2002 Marshall (US) Tomorrow's Global Hotspots: Global Systems Analysis--What Can Open Information Contributute to Conflict Managements and the Avoidance of Future Catastrophe?