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https://punditfromanotherplanet.com/2012/11/12/forecasting-obamas-second-term-a-downward-spiral-of-scandal-upheaval-and-despair-interrupted-by-brief-moments-of-false-hope/
Forecasting Obama's Second Term: A Downward Spiral of Scandal, Upheaval, and Despair, Interrupted by Brief Moments of False Hope