A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
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USD/JPY Daily Chart

Hoping we get an actual intervention out of this. I'm patiently waiting to start my USD/JPY long campaign!

There could be a world where the Fed outpaces BoJ in rate hikes. This would increase the carry trade trend and provide me larger positive swaps!

If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here! Today is the last day for 40% off.

— Alan
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Follow your trading system, not your gut.

Gold shorts set up on Friday with a beautiful confirmation from EdgeFinder.

Floating 5:1 already! Let's see where it goes

- Nick
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EdgeFinder strikes again 📉
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Gold Now Crashes 4% as the 0.618 Finally Breaks

What a horrendous start to the week for gold. It is down almost 4% on the first day, and we have a very volatile week ahead.

On the open, yields are screaming higher and the chance for more rate hikes is becoming more of a reality. I think gold is now playing catch-up to what it should have been doing the past couple of weeks. Yields and oil have been higher, yet gold stayed stubbornly bid at the 0.618. Today it decided to realize what is going on, and it is catching up to the downside.

Oil spiked to Brent $107, and October hike odds jumped past 70%. We are now getting very close to the $4,000 higher-timeframe support.

If the rate-hike story keeps solidifying, gold's path really could continue lower. This may just be the beginning of a bigger unwind. PCE Wednesday, payrolls Friday.

read the full article here.

— Alan
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Silver Daily Chart

Silver on the other hand is still at the 61.8% 👀

Like many others.. I myself am sat on the sideline of the Gold short trade. But, silver could be a nice catchup if you start to see a true meltdown.

EdgeFinder isn't bearish just yet..

If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here! Today is the last day for 40% off.

— Alan
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🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day

A weak Treasury auction, with low demand relative to supply, can push yields higher across the curve.
Anonymous Quiz
67%
True
33%
False
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The Euro Now Hits a 16-Month Low

The euro is at its lowest since May 2025 as stalled Hormuz talks keep oil bid.

Although West Texas Intermediate is seeing relief, Brent is still above $100. All of that lands on the euro.

Here is the part worth understanding. The ECB is not dovish... Eurozone inflation is above 3% and could near 4% by year-end, Spain just printed 5%, and markets price up to four more ECB hikes over the next year. Yet the euro is still falling. Why? The Fed is out-hawking the ECB, and pretty much every other central bank for that matter. Lagarde said inflation has not created real second-round effects yet, so a measured response is appropriate, and the market heard fewer ECB hikes against a Fed already at 4% and pricing more.

Price is sitting on the 1.1350 support shelf that held since July and Trump just exposed that several EU member countries did not release as much oil and refined products from reserves as they promised... Ouch.

read the full article here.

— Alan
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GBP/USD Daily Chart

Not very often when you see a major currency pair at one of its extremes. Usually you trade the bounce, as currencies are mean-reverting.

But today you have a real case for continued dollar strength, which could cause GBP to break out of it's long range. If it does - perhaps a big move lies ahead.

Pound is getting a neutral reading on EdgeFinder right now. If it turns bearish I just might take it!

If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here! Today is the last day for 40% off.

— Alan
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🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day

A weaker-than-expected jobs report can push stocks higher, even though it signals a softer economy.
Anonymous Quiz
67%
True
33%
False
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Gold popped today on cooler PCE numbers.

Real macro traders know why EdgeFinder did not budget one bit on scoring!

- ADP jobs were strong (bearish gold)
- GDP was strong (bearish gold)
- Oil higher on the day, yields ripping

Don't sleep on EdgeFinder. It's the eye in the sky!
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Stops trailed in VIP.

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Gold Popped on Cooler PCE, Then Faded

PCE this morning came in cooler than expected, and we saw a brief pop in gold and silver. But as the day progressed, both started to trade lower.

Here is why: You have to take the net outcome of today. Yes, core PCE cooled to 3.0%. But GDP was revised up to 2.2% from 1.5%, and ADP came in strong at 90k. Cooler inflation, but a hotter economy. Put it together and the net is bearish for metals, because strong growth keeps the Fed's tightening case alive even with softer inflation.

Price traded back up into previous support turned resistance near 4,240 and got rejected. I foresee prices continue to drift lower. The next hurdle is Friday's NFP. Strong jobs would mean Gold continues lower. Cooler jobs and I'd imagine you probably get a pop. But the story for metals is to the downside for now. EdgeFinder is bearish and so I tend to stay with that bias.

read the full article here.

— Alan
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Silver Trade Update

Trimming exposure behind previous structure.

If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here! Today is the last day for 40% off.

— Alan
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🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day

During sharp risk-off episodes, the Japanese yen and Swiss franc have historically tended to strengthen.
Anonymous Quiz
32%
False — they weaken in risk-off since both economies rely on export demand
68%
True — both are backed by current account surpluses and attract capital seeking safety
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Thought of the day!
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