🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
Nominal wages grow 3.8% while CPI runs at 4.5%. What's the most accurate read?
Nominal wages grow 3.8% while CPI runs at 4.5%. What's the most accurate read?
Anonymous Quiz
67%
Real wages are down roughly 0.7%, so purchasing power erodes even though paychecks are rising
12%
Real wages are up 3.8%, since nominal growth is what households actually receive
7%
Real wages are down 8.3%, since the two rates compound against each other
15%
Real wages are up roughly 0.7%, so purchasing power improves even though paychecks are rising
❤11
🔴 Free Webinar: Trading Strategies for 2027
With 2026 coming to a close, taking a step back to review market conditions and prepare for the year ahead is essential.
Join Nick Syiek, Chris Pulver, Marko Greguric, Alan Perez, and James Lane for a free live session breaking down our outlook and top trade ideas heading into 2027.
Key Topics Covered:
➡️ The USD rise and the interest rate cycle
➡️ Gold analysis and key price levels
➡️ Stock market positioning near highs
Event Details:
Date: November 9th at 9:30 AM EST (2:30 PM UK)
Location: Private livestream
Access: Free registration required
A full recording will be sent to all registrants, but joining live allows you to ask questions.
👉 Register here to secure your spot
With 2026 coming to a close, taking a step back to review market conditions and prepare for the year ahead is essential.
Join Nick Syiek, Chris Pulver, Marko Greguric, Alan Perez, and James Lane for a free live session breaking down our outlook and top trade ideas heading into 2027.
Key Topics Covered:
➡️ The USD rise and the interest rate cycle
➡️ Gold analysis and key price levels
➡️ Stock market positioning near highs
Event Details:
Date: November 9th at 9:30 AM EST (2:30 PM UK)
Location: Private livestream
Access: Free registration required
A full recording will be sent to all registrants, but joining live allows you to ask questions.
👉 Register here to secure your spot
🔥11👍7❤5
Are Bonds Now Approaching a Turning Point?
Yesterday bonds got bid up and yields tumbled. A few things are moving under the surface. The AI trade is getting fresh scrutiny, French bonds came under heavy selling, and money market funds just posted their largest weekly inflow since May. It seems like growth headwinds are growing, and money is hunting for safety.
Bond prices sit near serious lows, and the risk/reward is obviously super attractive. Sentiment hit peak pessimism, people calling bonds "bidless with no buyers left", and that kind of extreme often marks a contrarian signal. At these yields you lock in attractive rates on risk-free Treasuries if you need somewhere to park money.
I’m watching the 30-year to roll over. I drew a line at Monday’s open near 5.60%. If yields break below it, we erase the whole week’s gains, and I start looking for a topping pattern in yields and a bottoming pattern in bond prices.
read the full article here.
— Alan
Yesterday bonds got bid up and yields tumbled. A few things are moving under the surface. The AI trade is getting fresh scrutiny, French bonds came under heavy selling, and money market funds just posted their largest weekly inflow since May. It seems like growth headwinds are growing, and money is hunting for safety.
Bond prices sit near serious lows, and the risk/reward is obviously super attractive. Sentiment hit peak pessimism, people calling bonds "bidless with no buyers left", and that kind of extreme often marks a contrarian signal. At these yields you lock in attractive rates on risk-free Treasuries if you need somewhere to park money.
I’m watching the 30-year to roll over. I drew a line at Monday’s open near 5.60%. If yields break below it, we erase the whole week’s gains, and I start looking for a topping pattern in yields and a bottoming pattern in bond prices.
read the full article here.
— Alan
👍15❤3🔥2
TLT 4-Hour Chart
I’m becoming more open to selling some premium down around 75 on TLT.
Assuming there is a bottom nearby, the risk-reward profile looks exceptional.
(that's a big if)
If the current growth headwinds play out, I’m a happy buyer at that level, and I’d bet plenty of others feel the same.
Shout out to Nick and Chris for shining some light on this one.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here!
— Alan
I’m becoming more open to selling some premium down around 75 on TLT.
Assuming there is a bottom nearby, the risk-reward profile looks exceptional.
(that's a big if)
If the current growth headwinds play out, I’m a happy buyer at that level, and I’d bet plenty of others feel the same.
Shout out to Nick and Chris for shining some light on this one.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here!
— Alan
👍11❤5
I'm long USD/JPY.
- Primarily a bet on continued dollar strength. I think the fed will remain hawkish for the time being, due to persistent inflation and strong economic growth (due to AI leadership / buildout)
- Stops below, willing to potentially go long again at levels like 156.50 if it makes it there.
- EdgeFinder reading: very bullish, will attach an image
- Nick
- Primarily a bet on continued dollar strength. I think the fed will remain hawkish for the time being, due to persistent inflation and strong economic growth (due to AI leadership / buildout)
- Stops below, willing to potentially go long again at levels like 156.50 if it makes it there.
- EdgeFinder reading: very bullish, will attach an image
- Nick
👍23❤9🙏2
I am bullish on the dollar for the time being, momentum looking healthy for now.
All trades & updates being shared here
- Nick
All trades & updates being shared here
- Nick
❤30
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
An account falls 40%. What gain is needed to get back to breakeven?
An account falls 40%. What gain is needed to get back to breakeven?
Anonymous Quiz
46%
Roughly 67%,
28%
Roughly 40%
24%
Roughly 59%
3%
Roughly 25%
❤23🔥7👍4
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Hola Prime is one of the industry’s fastest one-hour payout firms, partnered with Karl-Anthony Towns.
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❤10👏1👀1
Gold Drifts Mid-Range as Traders Brace for CPI Print
Oil is up 2.4% today, firming the dollar and weighing on gold. Price ran up to the 4,200 resistance, got rejected again, and is back near the middle of its range. From here I’d expect a drift back toward 4,120, where gold waits for its next cue.
That cue being Wednesday’s CPI. Analysts expect inflation to tick higher. If it does, rate-hike expectations stay alive and gold stays pressured. If inflation cools, gold gets support and could push for the top of the range. Recent jobs data already came in cool, which helps gold, so this print matters even more.
Personally, I’m not fighting the Fed. Until Wednesday proves otherwise, I stay bearish. I’ll be honest though: if inflation turns and cools, I have to look for bullish setups.
read the full article here.
— Alan
Oil is up 2.4% today, firming the dollar and weighing on gold. Price ran up to the 4,200 resistance, got rejected again, and is back near the middle of its range. From here I’d expect a drift back toward 4,120, where gold waits for its next cue.
That cue being Wednesday’s CPI. Analysts expect inflation to tick higher. If it does, rate-hike expectations stay alive and gold stays pressured. If inflation cools, gold gets support and could push for the top of the range. Recent jobs data already came in cool, which helps gold, so this print matters even more.
Personally, I’m not fighting the Fed. Until Wednesday proves otherwise, I stay bearish. I’ll be honest though: if inflation turns and cools, I have to look for bullish setups.
read the full article here.
— Alan
❤24👍4
USD/CHF Weekly Chart
Looking for longer-term buy setups on the pair similar to USD/JPY. The Swiss Franc is under pressure from short positions as traders bet other major central banks keep tightening.
The SNB is the odd one out of all other central banks.. It held its key rate at 0% in September, and Vice Chairman Martin said no change is needed. Inflation is low and stable, spillover risk is limited, and the Swiss economy is running very well. They’ve also backed off their threats to intervene in the currency.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here!
— Alan
Looking for longer-term buy setups on the pair similar to USD/JPY. The Swiss Franc is under pressure from short positions as traders bet other major central banks keep tightening.
The SNB is the odd one out of all other central banks.. It held its key rate at 0% in September, and Vice Chairman Martin said no change is needed. Inflation is low and stable, spillover risk is limited, and the Swiss economy is running very well. They’ve also backed off their threats to intervene in the currency.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here!
— Alan
❤18👍5🔥3
USD/JPY had a clean breakout to the upside today, and I've just trailed stops 📈
See all trade alerts here
See all trade alerts here
❤34👍12🔥5
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
Higher US real yields relative to other economies cant support the dollar, since they raise the inflation-adjusted return on USD assets.
Higher US real yields relative to other economies cant support the dollar, since they raise the inflation-adjusted return on USD assets.
Anonymous Quiz
57%
True
43%
False
❤8😱6👍1
The Nasdaq Holds Its Ground as AI Jitters Spread Overseas
The AI trade is getting tested again. We saw the jitters Friday that seem to be carrying over. Nasdaq was leading lower pre market but is now recouping some of its losses.
But the real Ai pain was felt overseas overnight. Kospi dropped more than 5%. Samsung down 10%, SK Hynix down 7%.
The reason was due to China catching up on memory chips, and Broadcom’s CEO out here calling AI investors casino gamblers lol.
The Nasdaq is still holding up, and it’s the AI names and the mags doing the heavy lifting for the whole market. If it flushes below 30,000 and starts making legs lower, that tells me the unwind is getting real, and a deeper pullback could be in play.
For now though, Nasdaq’s hanging in there.
read the full article here.
— Alan
The AI trade is getting tested again. We saw the jitters Friday that seem to be carrying over. Nasdaq was leading lower pre market but is now recouping some of its losses.
But the real Ai pain was felt overseas overnight. Kospi dropped more than 5%. Samsung down 10%, SK Hynix down 7%.
The reason was due to China catching up on memory chips, and Broadcom’s CEO out here calling AI investors casino gamblers lol.
The Nasdaq is still holding up, and it’s the AI names and the mags doing the heavy lifting for the whole market. If it flushes below 30,000 and starts making legs lower, that tells me the unwind is getting real, and a deeper pullback could be in play.
For now though, Nasdaq’s hanging in there.
read the full article here.
— Alan
❤24🔥1
Russell Signal Update
Trailing stops behind structure. We're back below the 200 Day SMA and 2,800 support level.
This has been a nice trade to express my view on interest-rates and the path forward. Keep in mind, rate expectations will start to shift following tomorrow's first round of inflation data.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/)!
— Alan
Trailing stops behind structure. We're back below the 200 Day SMA and 2,800 support level.
This has been a nice trade to express my view on interest-rates and the path forward. Keep in mind, rate expectations will start to shift following tomorrow's first round of inflation data.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/)!
— Alan
❤18👀2😁1