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❤14
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A trader long AUD/USD and long NZD/USD is largely taking the same view twice, since both pairs tend to move on risk sentiment and USD direction.
A trader long AUD/USD and long NZD/USD is largely taking the same view twice, since both pairs tend to move on risk sentiment and USD direction.
Anonymous Quiz
82%
True
18%
False
👍6❤5
Gold Breaks Lower as Hot CPI Revives Rate-Hike Bets
Headline inflation hit 3.7% year over year, up from 3.4% and above the 3.6% expected. Core climbed to 2.6% from 2.4%. Core month over month ran 0.3% against 0.2% expected. Hot any way you slice it.
Gold’s reaction was immediate. We’re down about 1.5% on the day, and price flushed below the 4,120 shelf I’d been watching. That level likely turns into resistance now. I’m looking for a retest into the zone and continuation lower, as long as rate-hike bets stay alive.
I got trailed out for a profit on my FTMO account before this, and now I’m hunting re-entry if the setup makes sense. PPI lands tomorrow. If it confirms inflation is staying elevated, the path lower for gold is hard to ignore, and I plan to be continue riding the wave.
read the full article here.
— Alan
Headline inflation hit 3.7% year over year, up from 3.4% and above the 3.6% expected. Core climbed to 2.6% from 2.4%. Core month over month ran 0.3% against 0.2% expected. Hot any way you slice it.
Gold’s reaction was immediate. We’re down about 1.5% on the day, and price flushed below the 4,120 shelf I’d been watching. That level likely turns into resistance now. I’m looking for a retest into the zone and continuation lower, as long as rate-hike bets stay alive.
I got trailed out for a profit on my FTMO account before this, and now I’m hunting re-entry if the setup makes sense. PPI lands tomorrow. If it confirms inflation is staying elevated, the path lower for gold is hard to ignore, and I plan to be continue riding the wave.
read the full article here.
— Alan
❤18🔥7👍1
Silver Trade Signal Update
What a runner.
Silver is leading the path lower and is on pace to hit recent lows of $55. PPI tomorrow could either give some relief to the bulls or get us there rather quickly.
Congrats to the fellow metal bears. I'll be actively managing my trades in the discord as we navigate this volatility.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/)!
— Alan
What a runner.
Silver is leading the path lower and is on pace to hit recent lows of $55. PPI tomorrow could either give some relief to the bulls or get us there rather quickly.
Congrats to the fellow metal bears. I'll be actively managing my trades in the discord as we navigate this volatility.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/)!
— Alan
❤19🔥7
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A hotter-than-expected CPI print tends to push bond yields higher, since it raises expectations for tighter policy.
A hotter-than-expected CPI print tends to push bond yields higher, since it raises expectations for tighter policy.
Anonymous Quiz
82%
True
18%
False
❤15👍1
Nasdaq Is Now Under Pressure as AI Selloff Goes Global
Yesterday’s hot CPI lit the fuse. Higher rates raise the cost of financing the AI buildout and servicing the debt behind it, and that’s finally biting. The pain started overseas. Korea’s Kospi plunged almost 8%, its seventh straight drop btw. The Nikkei followed and fell 5%. $TSMC flagged caution even while posting record profits, and CoreWeave got hammered again after a 15% drop Wednesday.
The Nasdaq broke below 30,000, and I'm now looking to see if 28,000 acts as support, where the 200-day moving average is creeping up.
You’re also seeing a flee to bonds. TLT is catching a strong bid today and yields are dropping worldwide as money is moving to safety.
I won’t call this a crash, because it isn’t one yet. But this could be the start of an AI-trade unwind, or at least a repricing of what that trade is worth at these rates.
read the full article here.
— Alan
Yesterday’s hot CPI lit the fuse. Higher rates raise the cost of financing the AI buildout and servicing the debt behind it, and that’s finally biting. The pain started overseas. Korea’s Kospi plunged almost 8%, its seventh straight drop btw. The Nikkei followed and fell 5%. $TSMC flagged caution even while posting record profits, and CoreWeave got hammered again after a 15% drop Wednesday.
The Nasdaq broke below 30,000, and I'm now looking to see if 28,000 acts as support, where the 200-day moving average is creeping up.
You’re also seeing a flee to bonds. TLT is catching a strong bid today and yields are dropping worldwide as money is moving to safety.
I won’t call this a crash, because it isn’t one yet. But this could be the start of an AI-trade unwind, or at least a repricing of what that trade is worth at these rates.
read the full article here.
— Alan
❤20👍9👀1
Just wrapped up my campaign on the "rates trade" for 3/3 winners. I'm now on the search for the next idea.
I'd love to invite you into the VIP Discord to join along.
JOIN HERE
— Alan
I'd love to invite you into the VIP Discord to join along.
JOIN HERE
— Alan
❤16👍8😁1
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
Long-term yields can rise even if the expected path of the policy rate hasn’t changed.
Long-term yields can rise even if the expected path of the policy rate hasn’t changed.
Anonymous Quiz
82%
True: investors can demand extra compensation for duration, supply, or inflation uncertainty
18%
False: long yields are only the average of expected short rates
❤15👍1
The Setup That Could Flip Gold Bullish
The driver behind gold is starting to change.
Gold is really four trades: rates, currency, central-bank reserves, and fear. The one in control right now is rates, however it may start to change.
Wednesday’s CPI ran hot, which should pressure gold through higher-for-longer rates. But this week the cracks showed up in growth, hiring and small-business sales are softening even as retail sales and factory output hold. If growth breaks while inflation stays sticky, the macro environment starts leaning more to stagflation.
Why that matters for gold: if growth rolls over, the Fed can’t keep hiking into a slowdown. Hike bets come out, real yields fall, and the rates trade flips from working against gold to pushing it up.
This same mechanism drove gold in the 1970s.
To be clear the setup isn't here yet. But now my attention shifts to: soft growth data, PMIs, GDP, retail sales.
read the full article here.
— Alan
The driver behind gold is starting to change.
Gold is really four trades: rates, currency, central-bank reserves, and fear. The one in control right now is rates, however it may start to change.
Wednesday’s CPI ran hot, which should pressure gold through higher-for-longer rates. But this week the cracks showed up in growth, hiring and small-business sales are softening even as retail sales and factory output hold. If growth breaks while inflation stays sticky, the macro environment starts leaning more to stagflation.
Why that matters for gold: if growth rolls over, the Fed can’t keep hiking into a slowdown. Hike bets come out, real yields fall, and the rates trade flips from working against gold to pushing it up.
This same mechanism drove gold in the 1970s.
To be clear the setup isn't here yet. But now my attention shifts to: soft growth data, PMIs, GDP, retail sales.
read the full article here.
— Alan
👍24❤17😍3
Added 3 Positions Today, all backed by the EdgeFinder
The market is still presenting some tradeable ideas.
I invite you to join along!
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/)!
— Alan
The market is still presenting some tradeable ideas.
I invite you to join along!
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/)!
— Alan
👍12❤2
🔴 Free Webinar: Trading Strategies for 2027
With 2026 coming to a close, taking a step back to review market conditions and prepare for the year ahead is essential.
Join Nick Syiek, Chris Pulver, Marko Greguric, Alan Perez, and James Lane for a free live session breaking down our outlook and top trade ideas heading into 2027.
Key Topics Covered:
➡️ The USD rise and the interest rate cycle
➡️ Gold analysis and key price levels
➡️ Stock market positioning near highs
Event Details:
Date: November 9th at 9:30 AM EST (2:30 PM UK)
Location: Private livestream
Access: Free registration required
A full recording will be sent to all registrants, but joining live allows you to ask questions.
👉 Register here to secure your spot
With 2026 coming to a close, taking a step back to review market conditions and prepare for the year ahead is essential.
Join Nick Syiek, Chris Pulver, Marko Greguric, Alan Perez, and James Lane for a free live session breaking down our outlook and top trade ideas heading into 2027.
Key Topics Covered:
➡️ The USD rise and the interest rate cycle
➡️ Gold analysis and key price levels
➡️ Stock market positioning near highs
Event Details:
Date: November 9th at 9:30 AM EST (2:30 PM UK)
Location: Private livestream
Access: Free registration required
A full recording will be sent to all registrants, but joining live allows you to ask questions.
👉 Register here to secure your spot
❤22
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
Which condition best describes a fiscal dominance regime?
Which condition best describes a fiscal dominance regime?
Anonymous Quiz
33%
The treasury follows central bank guidance, since independence is binding
9%
Inflation is controlled by taxes alone, since rates become irrelevant
17%
Government debt is held only by foreign investors, since domestic demand disappears
41%
Policy is constrained by debt-service needs, so the central bank’s ability to tighten is limited
❤3