📰 “Hit Very Hard”: Trump Turns Iran Into a Content Category
Trump woke up and promised that Iran will be “hit very hard” today, with “areas and groups of people” now under consideration for “complete destruction and certain death” because of Tehran’s “bad behavior.” This is war as UX copy: whole regions and populations reduced to a new targeting filter in the president’s social‑media interface.
Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian answered on state TV and online, saying that Trump’s demand for unconditional surrender is “a dream” the enemy will “take to the grave,” while apologizing to Gulf neighbors for strikes spilling into their territory. Within hours, air‑raid sirens sounded again in Bahrain and Qatar, the UAE reported intercepting new waves of missiles and drones, and the Revolutionary Guards bragged about fresh ballistic attacks on Haifa and drone strikes on Dubai’s marina —
On the other side of the ledger, U.S. and Israeli forces say they’ve now hit at least 3,000 targets in under a week, including a blaze at Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport after strikes on Revolutionary Guard aircraft, plus hundreds of sites across western Iran and inside Lebanon. Iranian sources say more than 1,300 civilians are already dead — after earlier counts of about 800 — but even that number is wrapped in information fog while satellite firms release clean, high‑res images of leadership compounds smashed to pieces. The death toll is an estimate; the footage is 4K.
At home, Trump is planning to stand on the tarmac at Dover as the first American bodies from this war come back in flag‑draped coffins, even as his Pentagon stops giving detailed briefings and his feed keeps promising escalation. An intelligence assessment, finished before the first bomb fell, reportedly told the White House that even a massive assault was unlikely to topple Iran’s system — but the president has now publicly raised the stakes to “surrender or nothing,” cornering himself inside his own rhetoric.
So the script is set: Tehran vows it will never bow, Trump vows there will “be no deal,” Tel Aviv keeps expanding the target list, Gulf monarchies apologize, intercept and panic in the same sentence, and civilians from Haifa to Dubai to Tehran are turned into metrics in a live‑updated war dashboard. The only “new areas and groups of people” really under consideration here are the ones who will discover their lives were just added to somebody else’s political content strategy.
#iran #trump #war #israel #gulf #dubai #haifa #unconditionalSurrender #geopolitics
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Trump woke up and promised that Iran will be “hit very hard” today, with “areas and groups of people” now under consideration for “complete destruction and certain death” because of Tehran’s “bad behavior.” This is war as UX copy: whole regions and populations reduced to a new targeting filter in the president’s social‑media interface.
Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian answered on state TV and online, saying that Trump’s demand for unconditional surrender is “a dream” the enemy will “take to the grave,” while apologizing to Gulf neighbors for strikes spilling into their territory. Within hours, air‑raid sirens sounded again in Bahrain and Qatar, the UAE reported intercepting new waves of missiles and drones, and the Revolutionary Guards bragged about fresh ballistic attacks on Haifa and drone strikes on Dubai’s marina —
“sorry for the inconvenience, but we’re still coming.”
On the other side of the ledger, U.S. and Israeli forces say they’ve now hit at least 3,000 targets in under a week, including a blaze at Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport after strikes on Revolutionary Guard aircraft, plus hundreds of sites across western Iran and inside Lebanon. Iranian sources say more than 1,300 civilians are already dead — after earlier counts of about 800 — but even that number is wrapped in information fog while satellite firms release clean, high‑res images of leadership compounds smashed to pieces. The death toll is an estimate; the footage is 4K.
At home, Trump is planning to stand on the tarmac at Dover as the first American bodies from this war come back in flag‑draped coffins, even as his Pentagon stops giving detailed briefings and his feed keeps promising escalation. An intelligence assessment, finished before the first bomb fell, reportedly told the White House that even a massive assault was unlikely to topple Iran’s system — but the president has now publicly raised the stakes to “surrender or nothing,” cornering himself inside his own rhetoric.
So the script is set: Tehran vows it will never bow, Trump vows there will “be no deal,” Tel Aviv keeps expanding the target list, Gulf monarchies apologize, intercept and panic in the same sentence, and civilians from Haifa to Dubai to Tehran are turned into metrics in a live‑updated war dashboard. The only “new areas and groups of people” really under consideration here are the ones who will discover their lives were just added to somebody else’s political content strategy.
#iran #trump #war #israel #gulf #dubai #haifa #unconditionalSurrender #geopolitics
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📰 Two Wars, One Factory: Why Putin Loves the Iran Crisis
Iran’s war isn’t just burning cities; it’s burning through Patriot stocks that Ukraine thought were its lifeline. Gulf states and U.S. forces have reportedly fired hundreds of PAC‑3 interceptors in just days — more than Ukraine saw in months — to stop Iranian missiles and drones, while Russia keeps methodically hitting Ukraine’s power grid. Production can’t keep up: Lockheed made a bit over 600 PAC‑3s last year, and even with a planned ramp to 2,000 per year by 2030, that doesn’t help a country that needs dozens every month right now just to keep pace with Russian ballistic strikes.
Analysts and officials are blunt: every Patriot launched over the Gulf is one less in the queue for Kyiv. European and Ukrainian sources already warn that the U.S.–Iran conflict could delay or shrink Patriot deliveries as Washington prioritizes its own bases and Gulf clients, despite Europe paying much of the bill for Ukraine’s air defenses. Zelensky has been pressing EU backers, saying the interceptors are “vital” and that more Patriots were used in three days in the Middle East than Ukraine has had in the entire war, while Ukrainian air force planners estimate they need at least 60 PAC‑3s a month just to keep up with Russia’s current missile tempo.
The cost asymmetry is brutal by design. Iran’s Shahed‑type kamikaze drones and Russian missiles are relatively cheap; each Patriot interceptor costs a few million dollars and often two or three are fired at a single target, including drones that cost a fraction of the defending missile. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has openly admitted the imbalance: America is producing about six to seven high‑end interceptors per month, while Iran is pumping out over 100 missiles in the same time frame — plus thousands of drones. For Moscow, using mass‑produced Shaheds against Patriot batteries creates the perfect equation: they drain Western stockpiles and budgets on the cheap.
Experts like Michael Kofman and European defense analysts call this a self‑inflicted strategic failure: the U.S. and Europe had years after 2022 to massively expand ground‑based air defense production, but moved too slowly, leaving NATO heavily dependent on limited Patriot lines and a backlog that stretches close to a decade. Now two wars compete for the same missiles, Russia has rebuilt its own arms industry and is churning out dozens of ballistic missiles a month, and Iran’s drone and missile plants keep humming. In that world, Putin doesn’t need to “win” outright in Ukraine — he just needs the West to keep fighting on multiple fronts until its expensive air defenses start running on empty.
#iran #ukraine #russia #Patriot #missiles #rubio #trump #war #airDefense #militaryIndustrialComplex
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Iran’s war isn’t just burning cities; it’s burning through Patriot stocks that Ukraine thought were its lifeline. Gulf states and U.S. forces have reportedly fired hundreds of PAC‑3 interceptors in just days — more than Ukraine saw in months — to stop Iranian missiles and drones, while Russia keeps methodically hitting Ukraine’s power grid. Production can’t keep up: Lockheed made a bit over 600 PAC‑3s last year, and even with a planned ramp to 2,000 per year by 2030, that doesn’t help a country that needs dozens every month right now just to keep pace with Russian ballistic strikes.
Analysts and officials are blunt: every Patriot launched over the Gulf is one less in the queue for Kyiv. European and Ukrainian sources already warn that the U.S.–Iran conflict could delay or shrink Patriot deliveries as Washington prioritizes its own bases and Gulf clients, despite Europe paying much of the bill for Ukraine’s air defenses. Zelensky has been pressing EU backers, saying the interceptors are “vital” and that more Patriots were used in three days in the Middle East than Ukraine has had in the entire war, while Ukrainian air force planners estimate they need at least 60 PAC‑3s a month just to keep up with Russia’s current missile tempo.
The cost asymmetry is brutal by design. Iran’s Shahed‑type kamikaze drones and Russian missiles are relatively cheap; each Patriot interceptor costs a few million dollars and often two or three are fired at a single target, including drones that cost a fraction of the defending missile. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has openly admitted the imbalance: America is producing about six to seven high‑end interceptors per month, while Iran is pumping out over 100 missiles in the same time frame — plus thousands of drones. For Moscow, using mass‑produced Shaheds against Patriot batteries creates the perfect equation: they drain Western stockpiles and budgets on the cheap.
Experts like Michael Kofman and European defense analysts call this a self‑inflicted strategic failure: the U.S. and Europe had years after 2022 to massively expand ground‑based air defense production, but moved too slowly, leaving NATO heavily dependent on limited Patriot lines and a backlog that stretches close to a decade. Now two wars compete for the same missiles, Russia has rebuilt its own arms industry and is churning out dozens of ballistic missiles a month, and Iran’s drone and missile plants keep humming. In that world, Putin doesn’t need to “win” outright in Ukraine — he just needs the West to keep fighting on multiple fronts until its expensive air defenses start running on empty.
#iran #ukraine #russia #Patriot #missiles #rubio #trump #war #airDefense #militaryIndustrialComplex
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📰 Trump’s Iran War: Nostalgia With a Defense Budget
For Trump, the Iran war isn’t a mistake — it’s the purest expression of how he thinks power works: seize territory, grab oil, crush regimes, pose on an aircraft carrier. It’s a 19th‑century strongman worldview dropped into a century where power is decided by chip fabs, AI labs, clean‑tech supply chains, and who can build the tightest economic bloc to out‑innovate China. You can bomb Natanz, but you can’t bomb your way into semiconductor resilience.
Schiffer’s point is brutal: every dollar, decision cycle, and Cabinet meeting spent on “Operation Epic Fury” is one not spent implementing the CHIPS Act, scaling AI R&D, building green manufacturing, or rebuilding the development finance tools Trump has been dismantling. Beijing plays a slow, disciplined game — standards, infrastructure, supply chains — while Washington burns time on air campaigns with no theory of victory, and calls it “strength.”
Even on its own terms, the Iran adventure looks self‑owning. Trump claimed in 2025 that U.S. strikes had “completely obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program — then turned around this year and cited its rapid rebuilding as the reason to hit again, while his own intelligence agencies said the previous strikes set the program back only “a few months.” Oman brokered a deal where Tehran would cap enrichment and accept full IAEA access; the bombs fell anyway. Regime change offers no escape clause either: U.S. intel expects Khamenei’s successors to come from the same IRGC hardliner class that built the program in the first place. Break it, you own it — and this time “it” is a 90‑million‑person country with scattered nuclear material and a proxy network stretching from Iraq to Yemen.
Every day this war drags on, it drains exactly the resources Washington says it needs for China competition: munitions stocks, naval bandwidth, diplomatic capital with allies, fiscal space at home. Asian partners are already asking how a U.S. Navy that can’t be in two places at once is supposed to deter Beijing over Taiwan while babysitting a forever crisis in the Gulf. Meanwhile, coalitions matter more than ever for tech and trade — but threatening to grab Greenland, humiliating Canada, raiding Venezuela, and dragging NATO into a war of choice teach allies one lesson: America is a risky partner whose focus can swing with a Truth Social post.
The punchline: the same working‑class voters Trump claims to defend pay for this detour at the pump, in food prices, and in higher borrowing costs when oil spikes and markets wobble. China doesn’t need to cheer the Iran war; it just has to watch as Washington spends the decade where it should have been locking in tech and economic dominance acting out imperial nostalgia in the wrong theater. That isn’t strategy — it’s a very loud way of losing the century slowly.
#iran #china #trump #usa #geopolitics #CHIPS #AI #grandStrategy
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For Trump, the Iran war isn’t a mistake — it’s the purest expression of how he thinks power works: seize territory, grab oil, crush regimes, pose on an aircraft carrier. It’s a 19th‑century strongman worldview dropped into a century where power is decided by chip fabs, AI labs, clean‑tech supply chains, and who can build the tightest economic bloc to out‑innovate China. You can bomb Natanz, but you can’t bomb your way into semiconductor resilience.
Schiffer’s point is brutal: every dollar, decision cycle, and Cabinet meeting spent on “Operation Epic Fury” is one not spent implementing the CHIPS Act, scaling AI R&D, building green manufacturing, or rebuilding the development finance tools Trump has been dismantling. Beijing plays a slow, disciplined game — standards, infrastructure, supply chains — while Washington burns time on air campaigns with no theory of victory, and calls it “strength.”
Even on its own terms, the Iran adventure looks self‑owning. Trump claimed in 2025 that U.S. strikes had “completely obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program — then turned around this year and cited its rapid rebuilding as the reason to hit again, while his own intelligence agencies said the previous strikes set the program back only “a few months.” Oman brokered a deal where Tehran would cap enrichment and accept full IAEA access; the bombs fell anyway. Regime change offers no escape clause either: U.S. intel expects Khamenei’s successors to come from the same IRGC hardliner class that built the program in the first place. Break it, you own it — and this time “it” is a 90‑million‑person country with scattered nuclear material and a proxy network stretching from Iraq to Yemen.
Every day this war drags on, it drains exactly the resources Washington says it needs for China competition: munitions stocks, naval bandwidth, diplomatic capital with allies, fiscal space at home. Asian partners are already asking how a U.S. Navy that can’t be in two places at once is supposed to deter Beijing over Taiwan while babysitting a forever crisis in the Gulf. Meanwhile, coalitions matter more than ever for tech and trade — but threatening to grab Greenland, humiliating Canada, raiding Venezuela, and dragging NATO into a war of choice teach allies one lesson: America is a risky partner whose focus can swing with a Truth Social post.
The punchline: the same working‑class voters Trump claims to defend pay for this detour at the pump, in food prices, and in higher borrowing costs when oil spikes and markets wobble. China doesn’t need to cheer the Iran war; it just has to watch as Washington spends the decade where it should have been locking in tech and economic dominance acting out imperial nostalgia in the wrong theater. That isn’t strategy — it’s a very loud way of losing the century slowly.
#iran #china #trump #usa #geopolitics #CHIPS #AI #grandStrategy
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📰 Dover Optics, Death by Algorithm: Trump’s War Week Two
Trump is flying to Dover to stand over six coffins from Kuwait and call the dead “great heroes,” then flying back into his phone to promise that Iran will be “hit very hard” and that “areas and groups of people” are now up for “complete destruction and certain death.” The dignified transfer is for TV; the targeting update is for the base. The same Army reservists killed in a command center with “little overhead protection” are proof that the war is real — and props in a spectacle that has no defined endgame.
On the battlefield, the logic is pure escalation. Israel’s Air Force is conducting “broad waves” of strikes with dozens of jets hitting Tehran and Isfahan: IRGC air-force situation rooms, missile depots, air-defense systems, command centers, and 16 aircraft at Mehrabad Airport that Israel says belonged to the Quds Force. Iran responds with “large-scale” attacks on U.S. positions across the region, taking a first shot at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, while Gulf states — the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia — spend the day intercepting drones and missiles and briefly shutting down Dubai International “for safety.” CENTCOM says Iran has now hit 12 countries. The map of “theater of operations” is basically the map of global energy.
Pezeshkian tries to thread the needle on state TV: no more attacks on neighbors “unless” they’re used to strike Iran, only “defensive” hits on U.S. bases, an apology to the Gulf to calm Arab anger. State media, in the same breath, boasts of ongoing strikes across the Gulf and into Israel. Trump reads the apology as “surrender to neighbors,” declares victory, and then announces new targets anyway. Both leaders are selling different versions of the same story: we’re restrained, but the blows will keep coming.
Lebanon is paying in bulk. Israel claims to have hit 170 Hezbollah “terror targets” in a weekend, including IRGC-linked HQs, rocket launchers, and weapons depots, while also announcing the killing of Hezbollah commanders in Beirut and a Hamas commander near Tripoli. It has ordered everyone south of the Litani River to evacuate, and rights groups say far more than the 110,000 officially counted are displaced — many sleeping in cars or parking lots as the southern suburbs of Beirut are repeatedly bombed. A failed Israeli special-forces raid in eastern Lebanon, officially to look for the remains of a soldier missing since the 1980s, leaves at least 41 people dead, another “operation” stapled on to a war already stacked with side missions.
The pattern is set: Trump widens the target list on social media, Israel widens the kill list from Tehran to Beirut, Iran widens the map of “defensive” strikes from Haifa to Dubai, and Gulf monarchies declare “we are in a time of war” while quietly counting interceptors and oil revenue. The only things not expanding are clarity of objectives and room for an off-ramp. Everything else — targets, death tolls, evacuation zones, and future blowback — is scaling nicely.
#iran #trump #israel #lebanon #gulf #dubai #kuwait #war #geopolitics #usa
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Trump is flying to Dover to stand over six coffins from Kuwait and call the dead “great heroes,” then flying back into his phone to promise that Iran will be “hit very hard” and that “areas and groups of people” are now up for “complete destruction and certain death.” The dignified transfer is for TV; the targeting update is for the base. The same Army reservists killed in a command center with “little overhead protection” are proof that the war is real — and props in a spectacle that has no defined endgame.
On the battlefield, the logic is pure escalation. Israel’s Air Force is conducting “broad waves” of strikes with dozens of jets hitting Tehran and Isfahan: IRGC air-force situation rooms, missile depots, air-defense systems, command centers, and 16 aircraft at Mehrabad Airport that Israel says belonged to the Quds Force. Iran responds with “large-scale” attacks on U.S. positions across the region, taking a first shot at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, while Gulf states — the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia — spend the day intercepting drones and missiles and briefly shutting down Dubai International “for safety.” CENTCOM says Iran has now hit 12 countries. The map of “theater of operations” is basically the map of global energy.
Pezeshkian tries to thread the needle on state TV: no more attacks on neighbors “unless” they’re used to strike Iran, only “defensive” hits on U.S. bases, an apology to the Gulf to calm Arab anger. State media, in the same breath, boasts of ongoing strikes across the Gulf and into Israel. Trump reads the apology as “surrender to neighbors,” declares victory, and then announces new targets anyway. Both leaders are selling different versions of the same story: we’re restrained, but the blows will keep coming.
Lebanon is paying in bulk. Israel claims to have hit 170 Hezbollah “terror targets” in a weekend, including IRGC-linked HQs, rocket launchers, and weapons depots, while also announcing the killing of Hezbollah commanders in Beirut and a Hamas commander near Tripoli. It has ordered everyone south of the Litani River to evacuate, and rights groups say far more than the 110,000 officially counted are displaced — many sleeping in cars or parking lots as the southern suburbs of Beirut are repeatedly bombed. A failed Israeli special-forces raid in eastern Lebanon, officially to look for the remains of a soldier missing since the 1980s, leaves at least 41 people dead, another “operation” stapled on to a war already stacked with side missions.
The pattern is set: Trump widens the target list on social media, Israel widens the kill list from Tehran to Beirut, Iran widens the map of “defensive” strikes from Haifa to Dubai, and Gulf monarchies declare “we are in a time of war” while quietly counting interceptors and oil revenue. The only things not expanding are clarity of objectives and room for an off-ramp. Everything else — targets, death tolls, evacuation zones, and future blowback — is scaling nicely.
#iran #trump #israel #lebanon #gulf #dubai #kuwait #war #geopolitics #usa
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📰 Forty Years for a Ghost, Forty-One Dead for a Photo Op
Israel just sent disguised commandos into eastern Lebanon — wearing Lebanese army uniforms, using ambulances marked with Hezbollah’s Islamic Health Organization — to dig up a grave in Nabi Chit in search of a man who almost certainly died decades ago. They didn’t find Ron Arad’s remains. They did leave at least 41 people dead and about 40 wounded, including Lebanese soldiers and civilians, after clashes and some 40 Israeli airstrikes to cover the extraction.
Arad vanished in 1986 after ejecting from a jet bombing suspected Palestinian militants, was held by Shiite factions around Nabi Chit, and has long been presumed dead — Hezbollah even sent Israel a 2008 report suggesting he died while trying to escape. Yet in the middle of a regional war, with Beirut suburbs already being hammered and hundreds of thousands displaced, someone in Tel Aviv decided that digging up a Lebanese cemetery under fire was a good use of helicopters, special forces and international patience.
The most surreal detail is that Arad’s own wife is begging the state to stop. Tami Arad wrote that the family wants answers but “not at any price,” and that the sanctity of living soldiers’ lives matters more than “closing the circle” on a man missing for 40 years. Israel’s military, for its part, boasts that the raid suffered no IDF casualties, as if that balances out the crater in Nabi Chit and the bodies of Lebanese conscripts and villagers pulled from the rubble.
So in the middle of a war supposedly about stopping Iran and deterring Hezbollah, Israel staged a ghost hunt that killed dozens, deepened anger in Lebanon, and added one more episode to the region’s endless archive of “special operations” that achieve nothing except fresh graves. The state got a headline about its eternal commitment to missing soldiers. Everyone else got another reminder that in this conflict, the dead are props — unless they wore the right uniform, four decades and one lost war ago.
#israel #lebanon #hezbollah #RonArad #war #specialForces #middleeast
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Israel just sent disguised commandos into eastern Lebanon — wearing Lebanese army uniforms, using ambulances marked with Hezbollah’s Islamic Health Organization — to dig up a grave in Nabi Chit in search of a man who almost certainly died decades ago. They didn’t find Ron Arad’s remains. They did leave at least 41 people dead and about 40 wounded, including Lebanese soldiers and civilians, after clashes and some 40 Israeli airstrikes to cover the extraction.
Arad vanished in 1986 after ejecting from a jet bombing suspected Palestinian militants, was held by Shiite factions around Nabi Chit, and has long been presumed dead — Hezbollah even sent Israel a 2008 report suggesting he died while trying to escape. Yet in the middle of a regional war, with Beirut suburbs already being hammered and hundreds of thousands displaced, someone in Tel Aviv decided that digging up a Lebanese cemetery under fire was a good use of helicopters, special forces and international patience.
The most surreal detail is that Arad’s own wife is begging the state to stop. Tami Arad wrote that the family wants answers but “not at any price,” and that the sanctity of living soldiers’ lives matters more than “closing the circle” on a man missing for 40 years. Israel’s military, for its part, boasts that the raid suffered no IDF casualties, as if that balances out the crater in Nabi Chit and the bodies of Lebanese conscripts and villagers pulled from the rubble.
So in the middle of a war supposedly about stopping Iran and deterring Hezbollah, Israel staged a ghost hunt that killed dozens, deepened anger in Lebanon, and added one more episode to the region’s endless archive of “special operations” that achieve nothing except fresh graves. The state got a headline about its eternal commitment to missing soldiers. Everyone else got another reminder that in this conflict, the dead are props — unless they wore the right uniform, four decades and one lost war ago.
#israel #lebanon #hezbollah #RonArad #war #specialForces #middleeast
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Israel Says It Will Take Down Any New Selected Iranian Leader
The Israeli military warned it would continue pursuing every successor of Iran’s next supreme leader.
In a post on X in Farsi, the Israeli military said it would also pursue every person who seeks to appoint a successor for slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, referring to the clerical body charged with selecting Iran’s next supreme leader.
The comments came after Iranian news agency Mehr news reported that he clerical body that will choose Iran’s next supreme leader has more or less reached a majority consensus.
#israeli #military #successor #iran #khamenei
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The Israeli military warned it would continue pursuing every successor of Iran’s next supreme leader.
In a post on X in Farsi, the Israeli military said it would also pursue every person who seeks to appoint a successor for slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, referring to the clerical body charged with selecting Iran’s next supreme leader.
The comments came after Iranian news agency Mehr news reported that he clerical body that will choose Iran’s next supreme leader has more or less reached a majority consensus.
#israeli #military #successor #iran #khamenei
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📰 The Holy Succession Show: Tehran Edition
Iran’s clerics are prepping to crown a new Supreme Leader — while the capital burns like a refinery-themed apocalypse. Tehran’s skies turned orange overnight, fuel depots exploded, and the fire’s glow was bright enough for the mullahs to read their succession notes without electricity.
“With the fire it felt like night became day, and then with all the smoke, the day turned back into night,” said a Tehran resident.
The official line? Israel hit “military fuel sites.” The unofficial one? Iran’s oil empire just got a free light show courtesy of U.S. taxpayers. Washington pretends it’s all about stability, Jerusalem calls it self-defense, and everyone else just watches oil prices rise like a holy sacrament.
Ayatollah Khamenei is dead, his son Mojtaba is allegedly next in line — proving again that in God’s republic, power is hereditary. The clerics want to project calm, but their version of “stability” looks like orange skies, falling drones, and desalination plants exploding in Bahrain.
Trump, meanwhile, plays wartime CEO from Air Force One. On Monday, he was “all in” on Kurdish allies. By Saturday, he’d downsized that policy — too “complex,” he said. Management pivot. Same bombs, different press release.
Iran vows revenge. Israel promises “many more targets.” And the U.S. keeps striking Revolutionary Guard sites while denying the obvious: no war “for democracy” ever ends before the markets are satisfied.
The Middle East right now isn’t a battlefield — it’s a burning stage set for yet another script about God, oil, and power families. Everyone acts loyal, everyone dies on camera, and the credits always roll in dollars.
#iran #israel #us #war #oil #regimechange #oligarchy #revolution
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Iran’s clerics are prepping to crown a new Supreme Leader — while the capital burns like a refinery-themed apocalypse. Tehran’s skies turned orange overnight, fuel depots exploded, and the fire’s glow was bright enough for the mullahs to read their succession notes without electricity.
“With the fire it felt like night became day, and then with all the smoke, the day turned back into night,” said a Tehran resident.
The official line? Israel hit “military fuel sites.” The unofficial one? Iran’s oil empire just got a free light show courtesy of U.S. taxpayers. Washington pretends it’s all about stability, Jerusalem calls it self-defense, and everyone else just watches oil prices rise like a holy sacrament.
Ayatollah Khamenei is dead, his son Mojtaba is allegedly next in line — proving again that in God’s republic, power is hereditary. The clerics want to project calm, but their version of “stability” looks like orange skies, falling drones, and desalination plants exploding in Bahrain.
Trump, meanwhile, plays wartime CEO from Air Force One. On Monday, he was “all in” on Kurdish allies. By Saturday, he’d downsized that policy — too “complex,” he said. Management pivot. Same bombs, different press release.
Iran vows revenge. Israel promises “many more targets.” And the U.S. keeps striking Revolutionary Guard sites while denying the obvious: no war “for democracy” ever ends before the markets are satisfied.
The Middle East right now isn’t a battlefield — it’s a burning stage set for yet another script about God, oil, and power families. Everyone acts loyal, everyone dies on camera, and the credits always roll in dollars.
#iran #israel #us #war #oil #regimechange #oligarchy #revolution
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📰 Trump & Netanyahu: Who Owns This War?
For Netanyahu, Trump was the miracle hire who did what no other U.S. president would: moved the embassy, blessed the settlers, tore up the Iran deal — and finally joined a war that killed Iran’s supreme leader. But the real story now isn’t “prophetic fulfillment.” It’s whether Bibi can turn that war into one more escape from political death, and whether Trump can sell another Middle East adventure to voters who were promised “no more stupid wars.”
Trump has repeatedly done what Netanyahu could never get from anyone else — ordered strikes on Iran, backed massive deployments, shielded Israel diplomatically. At the same time, he has forced Netanyahu to accept what once defined Bibi’s brand: halting annexation, tolerating a role for the Palestinian Authority in Gaza, and signing onto a “pathway” to some version of Palestinian self-determination. The alliance works like this: Trump indulges Netanyahu’s biggest ambitions, then publicly redraws his red lines — and Bibi swallows it, because the trade is war power now for ideological humiliation later.
Both men are gambling on the same asset: other people’s fear. In Israel, polls show a bump for Netanyahu tied to the Iran offensive, and insiders openly describe the war as a way to shift attention away from Oct. 7 and his corruption trials. In the U.S., Trump is betting that images of “decisive” strikes will outweigh rising gas prices, fatigue with foreign wars, and the memory of Iraq — even as analysts warn that the Iran operation is already eroding his core promise of putting Americans first.
So the question isn’t who is “playing” whom. Netanyahu and Trump are perfectly aligned where it matters: they both treat military escalation as a domestic political instrument. The difference is only in where the bodies fall — Iranians, Israelis, Americans, “regional partners” — all absorbed into the same cost column, while the leaders argue over credit, not responsibility.
The war will end, as these wars always do, with no clear victory and a slightly different map of enemies; the only measurable success will be whether two vulnerable incumbents managed to turn a regional catastrophe into one more election cycle. Everyone else is there to prove how much their survival is worth.
#israel #iran #trump #netanyahu #war #oil #uspolitics #oligarchy #fakeDemocracy #middleeast
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For Netanyahu, Trump was the miracle hire who did what no other U.S. president would: moved the embassy, blessed the settlers, tore up the Iran deal — and finally joined a war that killed Iran’s supreme leader. But the real story now isn’t “prophetic fulfillment.” It’s whether Bibi can turn that war into one more escape from political death, and whether Trump can sell another Middle East adventure to voters who were promised “no more stupid wars.”
Trump has repeatedly done what Netanyahu could never get from anyone else — ordered strikes on Iran, backed massive deployments, shielded Israel diplomatically. At the same time, he has forced Netanyahu to accept what once defined Bibi’s brand: halting annexation, tolerating a role for the Palestinian Authority in Gaza, and signing onto a “pathway” to some version of Palestinian self-determination. The alliance works like this: Trump indulges Netanyahu’s biggest ambitions, then publicly redraws his red lines — and Bibi swallows it, because the trade is war power now for ideological humiliation later.
Both men are gambling on the same asset: other people’s fear. In Israel, polls show a bump for Netanyahu tied to the Iran offensive, and insiders openly describe the war as a way to shift attention away from Oct. 7 and his corruption trials. In the U.S., Trump is betting that images of “decisive” strikes will outweigh rising gas prices, fatigue with foreign wars, and the memory of Iraq — even as analysts warn that the Iran operation is already eroding his core promise of putting Americans first.
So the question isn’t who is “playing” whom. Netanyahu and Trump are perfectly aligned where it matters: they both treat military escalation as a domestic political instrument. The difference is only in where the bodies fall — Iranians, Israelis, Americans, “regional partners” — all absorbed into the same cost column, while the leaders argue over credit, not responsibility.
The war will end, as these wars always do, with no clear victory and a slightly different map of enemies; the only measurable success will be whether two vulnerable incumbents managed to turn a regional catastrophe into one more election cycle. Everyone else is there to prove how much their survival is worth.
#israel #iran #trump #netanyahu #war #oil #uspolitics #oligarchy #fakeDemocracy #middleeast
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📰 Trump to Starmer: No Freeloaders in a War He Hasn’t Finished
Trump is bombing Iran, promising “complete destruction and certain death,” and at the same time scolding Britain for showing up late to a war that is very obviously still happening on live TV. Keir Starmer finally lets the U.S. use Diego Garcia and a U.K. air base for “defensive” strikes, four B-1 bombers land, and Trump’s line is basically: thanks, but we’ll put your loyalty tab on the fridge and judge you later.
London’s position is pure lawyer-speak: first Iran strikes would be illegal, now “collective self-defense” makes them fine, as long as you call it limited and defensive. Washington calls it leadership, Starmer calls it caution, and everyone quietly accepts that British bases are in the game while Britain pretends it is not “joining the strikes.”
Then Tony Blair climbs out of the Iraq archive to lecture Starmer for not backing Trump from “the very beginning,” warning that America is an “indispensable cornerstone” and that allies must “show up” no matter who is president. The man who sold the last great disaster now demands loyalty to the next one, and the British political class treats it as strategic wisdom, not a confession.
In this script, Trump plays the offended general, Starmer plays the nervous lawyer, and Blair plays the ghost of forever wars — but they all agree on one thing: the real sin is not joining the killing too late, it’s hesitating at all. Civilians in Iran don’t get a vote on the timing; they just find out which ally decided to “show up” this week.
#iran #trump #starmer #blair #ukpolitics #uspolitics #war #nato #fakeDemocracy #middleeast
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Trump is bombing Iran, promising “complete destruction and certain death,” and at the same time scolding Britain for showing up late to a war that is very obviously still happening on live TV. Keir Starmer finally lets the U.S. use Diego Garcia and a U.K. air base for “defensive” strikes, four B-1 bombers land, and Trump’s line is basically: thanks, but we’ll put your loyalty tab on the fridge and judge you later.
London’s position is pure lawyer-speak: first Iran strikes would be illegal, now “collective self-defense” makes them fine, as long as you call it limited and defensive. Washington calls it leadership, Starmer calls it caution, and everyone quietly accepts that British bases are in the game while Britain pretends it is not “joining the strikes.”
Then Tony Blair climbs out of the Iraq archive to lecture Starmer for not backing Trump from “the very beginning,” warning that America is an “indispensable cornerstone” and that allies must “show up” no matter who is president. The man who sold the last great disaster now demands loyalty to the next one, and the British political class treats it as strategic wisdom, not a confession.
In this script, Trump plays the offended general, Starmer plays the nervous lawyer, and Blair plays the ghost of forever wars — but they all agree on one thing: the real sin is not joining the killing too late, it’s hesitating at all. Civilians in Iran don’t get a vote on the timing; they just find out which ally decided to “show up” this week.
#iran #trump #starmer #blair #ukpolitics #uspolitics #war #nato #fakeDemocracy #middleeast
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📰 War Budget, No Draft: How God’s Parties Just Saved Bibi
Israel’s ultra-Orthodox parties are quietly climbing down from their sacred ultimatum: no draft exemption law, no state budget. Now, under the cover of war, Degel HaTorah’s rabbis have told their MKs to back the 2026 budget even if the conscription dodge isn’t legally locked in. In a system built on extortion, the professional extortionists just blinked.
The stakes are simple: no budget by the end of the month, the government falls and elections follow. For years, Shas and Degel HaTorah swore they’d bring the house down before letting tens of thousands of yeshiva students face the draft; now, with a war burning and soldiers exhausted, they suddenly discover “national responsibility.” Translation: better a flawed budget today than risk a different coalition tomorrow.
This isn’t a morality play, it’s a swap. The Haredi leadership knows that any new draft law is likely to be toothless, legally shaky, and eventually gutted by the High Court. So they take the money and time now, bet on legal chaos later, and hope that by the time the justices rule, everyone is too tired, too broke, or too dead to enforce anything on thousands of “deserters.”
Netanyahu, for his part, gets exactly what he needs: a budget that keeps him in office through war, with his most loyal partners back on board and their rage theatrically redirected at the courts and “leftist elites.” The soldiers keep serving, the Haredi draft problem stays unsolved, and the crisis over “sharing the burden” is converted into one more overdraft on Israel’s future.
In this arrangement, the war is not the reason to fix the inequality — it’s the excuse not to.
#israel #budget #haredim #draft #netanyahu #war #oligarchy #fakeDemocracy
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Israel’s ultra-Orthodox parties are quietly climbing down from their sacred ultimatum: no draft exemption law, no state budget. Now, under the cover of war, Degel HaTorah’s rabbis have told their MKs to back the 2026 budget even if the conscription dodge isn’t legally locked in. In a system built on extortion, the professional extortionists just blinked.
The stakes are simple: no budget by the end of the month, the government falls and elections follow. For years, Shas and Degel HaTorah swore they’d bring the house down before letting tens of thousands of yeshiva students face the draft; now, with a war burning and soldiers exhausted, they suddenly discover “national responsibility.” Translation: better a flawed budget today than risk a different coalition tomorrow.
This isn’t a morality play, it’s a swap. The Haredi leadership knows that any new draft law is likely to be toothless, legally shaky, and eventually gutted by the High Court. So they take the money and time now, bet on legal chaos later, and hope that by the time the justices rule, everyone is too tired, too broke, or too dead to enforce anything on thousands of “deserters.”
Netanyahu, for his part, gets exactly what he needs: a budget that keeps him in office through war, with his most loyal partners back on board and their rage theatrically redirected at the courts and “leftist elites.” The soldiers keep serving, the Haredi draft problem stays unsolved, and the crisis over “sharing the burden” is converted into one more overdraft on Israel’s future.
In this arrangement, the war is not the reason to fix the inequality — it’s the excuse not to.
#israel #budget #haredim #draft #netanyahu #war #oligarchy #fakeDemocracy
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Why Did Trump Start the War Against Iran?
🔤 🔤 🔤 🔤 1️⃣
Oil prices continued to surge on Monday, triggering a stark sell-off across some of the world’s leading stock markets amid growing concern that the US-Israel war on Iran could set the stage for a global economic shock.
The Middle East conflict has sparked an energy supply crisis that could risk driving up inflation and interest rates, according to economists, who believe growth is set to weaken while prices rise.
Fears of stagflation – where economic activity stagnates, but inflation increases – loom large.
The price of key oil benchmarks had already posted their highest weekly gains in six years by the time markets opened on Monday – when they soared to more than US$115 a barrel , surpassing $100 for the first time since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark price for US crude is now nearly double its January level of about $60 a barrel.
Oil prices climbed significantly in the first week of the US-Israel war on Iran after Iran in effect closed the strait of Hormuz.
About a fifth of global oil and seaborne gas tankers typically pass through the strait, making it one of the world’s most important trade arteries.
Oil production cuts across the Middle East in recent days have exacerbated fears of a supply shortage.
The lengthening conflict has eroded the chance of prices resetting, according to Warren Hogan, economic adviser at Judo Bank.
“There’s a good chance that we’re seeing one of the most sudden increases in the cost of oil to the global economy ever,” Hogan said.
Gas and fertiliser supplies have also been hit, driving up costs and increasing the risk of a significant global energy price spike, adding to inflation and slowing economic activity.
The US war on Iran is widely expected to boost inflation across the world, with a sustained rise in oil prices rippling through the wider economy.
US inflation will surge to 3.7% if oil prices hold at $100 a barrel, according to Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists.
#war #oil #hogan #economy #world #israel
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Oil prices continued to surge on Monday, triggering a stark sell-off across some of the world’s leading stock markets amid growing concern that the US-Israel war on Iran could set the stage for a global economic shock.
The Middle East conflict has sparked an energy supply crisis that could risk driving up inflation and interest rates, according to economists, who believe growth is set to weaken while prices rise.
Fears of stagflation – where economic activity stagnates, but inflation increases – loom large.
The price of key oil benchmarks had already posted their highest weekly gains in six years by the time markets opened on Monday – when they soared to more than US$115 a barrel , surpassing $100 for the first time since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark price for US crude is now nearly double its January level of about $60 a barrel.
Oil prices climbed significantly in the first week of the US-Israel war on Iran after Iran in effect closed the strait of Hormuz.
About a fifth of global oil and seaborne gas tankers typically pass through the strait, making it one of the world’s most important trade arteries.
Oil production cuts across the Middle East in recent days have exacerbated fears of a supply shortage.
The lengthening conflict has eroded the chance of prices resetting, according to Warren Hogan, economic adviser at Judo Bank.
“There’s a good chance that we’re seeing one of the most sudden increases in the cost of oil to the global economy ever,” Hogan said.
Gas and fertiliser supplies have also been hit, driving up costs and increasing the risk of a significant global energy price spike, adding to inflation and slowing economic activity.
The US war on Iran is widely expected to boost inflation across the world, with a sustained rise in oil prices rippling through the wider economy.
US inflation will surge to 3.7% if oil prices hold at $100 a barrel, according to Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists.
#war #oil #hogan #economy #world #israel
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Americans filling up their cars can already feel the impact: US fuel prices rose 25 cents over the week, and picked up another 25 cents over the weekend, averaging $3.44 a gallon by Sunday night, according to Gas Buddy.
Higher fuel costs drain workers’ wallets and add to business costs in other ways, pushing up the price of goods from food to furniture.
Oil price spikes are “stagflationary”: they slow down, or stagnate, economic activity, raising the risk of recession, while adding to inflation.
World economic growth would weather a 10% lift in energy prices, according to the International Monetary Fund, but slow from about 3.2% to 3%. The UK and the euro area would each grow by just 1% or less, if the conflict persists, economists predict.
Asian economies have enjoyed strong growth in industrial production, powered by the global tech boom, but an energy shock could disrupt that momentum, risking stagflation, Oxford Economics has warned.
The oil shock resembles those seen in the 1970s, when conflict in the Middle East resulted in surging prices and dragged advanced economies into persistent slumps, according to David Bassanese, chief economist at BetaShares.
“If oil does stay above $100 a barrel and this disruption continues, then we may face a stagflationary moment in the first half of the year:
weak growth, but central banks unable to do much about it because of the high level of inflation,” he said.
Before the war, the US Federal Reserve – under significant pressure from Trump to bring down rates – and the Bank of England had been expected to cut rates twice in 2026.
Now the Fed is expected to cut only in September, and the Bank of England expected to hold them steady throughout the year.
Australia is now expected to face two rate hikes this year, when just one had been priced in before the conflict.
A quick de-escalation would help the world avoid an inflation spiral, as oil prices would stabilise, according to the National Australia Bank’s chief economist, Sally Auld.
While she said it seemed unlikely the conflict would endure for another month, if it did, there would be “material risk of global recession” and oil prices could hold near US$120 a barrel.
A month-long disruption could even see prices surpass the all-time record high of US$145 a barrel, Goldman Sachs has estimated.
Three months of disruption would see prices rise to US$185 per barrel, with severe consequences for the global economy, Westpac economists predict.
#war #oil #hogan #economy #world #israel
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Ali Khamenei’s Second Son Took His Place
Who is He?
⌨️ ⌨️ ⌨️ ⌨️ ⌨️
Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of the late Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been chosen as his successor, as the war enters its 10th day and fresh missile and drone strikes reverberate across the Middle East.
After members of the clerical body responsible for selecting Iran’s highest authority announced the decision on Sunday, Iranian institutions and politicians, from the foreign ministry to lawmakers, issued statements expressing their allegiance.
“We will obey the commander-in-chief until the last drop of our blood,” a statement from the defence council said.
The move could lead to a further escalation of the war, given Donald Trump had already acknowledged that Mojtaba Khamenei was the most likely successor and made clear he considered him an “unacceptable” choice.
The US president said earlier on Sunday that Iran’s next supreme leader was “not going to last long” if Tehran did not get his approval first.
When asked about the appointment during an interview with the Times of Israel published late on Sunday, Trump was reported as saying: “We’ll see what happens.”
In the same interview, Trump said a decision on when to end the war would be a “mutual” one, together with Netanyahu.
Trump also asserted that Iran would have destroyed Israel if he and Netanyahu had not been around. “Iran was going to destroy Israel and everything else around it (…) We’ve worked together. We’ve destroyed a country that wanted to destroy Israel,” he was quoted as saying.
The Israeli military said it had launched a wave of strikes on Monday targeting “regime infrastructure” in central Iran, the first such announcement since the appointment of the new supreme leader.
The military also announced strikes on the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Iran and its proxies appeared to have launched attacks, too, with rocket and drone strikes targeting a US diplomatic facility near Baghdad’s international airport that were intercepted by the C-RAM defence system, said police sources.
A drone strike targeted a US military base near Erbil airport in Iraqi Kurdistan, security sources said, while Saudi authorities reported intercepting a drone east of its northern al-Jawf region.
In Bahrain, the health ministry reported 32 people were wounded overnight by an Iranian drone attack on the island of Sitra.
They include a 17-year-old girl who suffered severe head and eye injuries, and a two-month-old baby, according to the ministry.
Iranian state media also showed a projectile said to have been launched at Israel bearing the slogan: “At your command, Sayyid Mojtaba,” using an Islamic honorific.
#khamenei #mojtaba #son #iran #leader #rule
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Who is He?
Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of the late Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been chosen as his successor, as the war enters its 10th day and fresh missile and drone strikes reverberate across the Middle East.
After members of the clerical body responsible for selecting Iran’s highest authority announced the decision on Sunday, Iranian institutions and politicians, from the foreign ministry to lawmakers, issued statements expressing their allegiance.
“We will obey the commander-in-chief until the last drop of our blood,” a statement from the defence council said.
The move could lead to a further escalation of the war, given Donald Trump had already acknowledged that Mojtaba Khamenei was the most likely successor and made clear he considered him an “unacceptable” choice.
The US president said earlier on Sunday that Iran’s next supreme leader was “not going to last long” if Tehran did not get his approval first.
When asked about the appointment during an interview with the Times of Israel published late on Sunday, Trump was reported as saying: “We’ll see what happens.”
In the same interview, Trump said a decision on when to end the war would be a “mutual” one, together with Netanyahu.
Trump also asserted that Iran would have destroyed Israel if he and Netanyahu had not been around. “Iran was going to destroy Israel and everything else around it (…) We’ve worked together. We’ve destroyed a country that wanted to destroy Israel,” he was quoted as saying.
The Israeli military said it had launched a wave of strikes on Monday targeting “regime infrastructure” in central Iran, the first such announcement since the appointment of the new supreme leader.
The military also announced strikes on the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Iran and its proxies appeared to have launched attacks, too, with rocket and drone strikes targeting a US diplomatic facility near Baghdad’s international airport that were intercepted by the C-RAM defence system, said police sources.
A drone strike targeted a US military base near Erbil airport in Iraqi Kurdistan, security sources said, while Saudi authorities reported intercepting a drone east of its northern al-Jawf region.
In Bahrain, the health ministry reported 32 people were wounded overnight by an Iranian drone attack on the island of Sitra.
They include a 17-year-old girl who suffered severe head and eye injuries, and a two-month-old baby, according to the ministry.
Iranian state media also showed a projectile said to have been launched at Israel bearing the slogan: “At your command, Sayyid Mojtaba,” using an Islamic honorific.
#khamenei #mojtaba #son #iran #leader #rule
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The appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei was welcomed by Yemen’s Houthi rebels, who are backed by the Iranian regime.
“We congratulate the Islamic Republic of Iran, its leadership and people, on the selection of Sayyid Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution at this important and pivotal juncture,” the group said in a statement on Telegram.
Mojtaba Khamenei’s elevation marks the first time since the 1979 Islamic revolution that Iran’s supreme leadership has passed from father to son.
It is a development likely to ignite debate inside Iran about the emergence of a dynastic system in a state founded explicitly to overthrow hereditary rule after the shah.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who ruled for 37 years, was killed in a US-Israeli strike on Tehran on 28 February, on the first day of the war with Iran.
Across Iran’s political and security establishment, officials moved swiftly to welcome the appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as the country’s new supreme leader.
The Revolutionary Guards declared they stood ready to follow him, signalling broad backing from the country’s core institutions.
Earlier in the day, in a post on X in Farsi, the Israeli military said it would continue pursuing every successor of Ali Khamenei and would pursue every person who sought to appoint a successor for him.
For many analysts, Khamenei’s appointment is a symbolic move designed to make the regime still appear strong and determined not to bow to western pressure.
The 56-year-old cleric has never held elected office nor formally occupied a senior position within Iran’s government. He has spent much of his life at the centre of power in Iran while remaining largely out of public view.
To his supporters, Khamenei represents continuity with the ideological line established by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and maintained by his father. To critics, his rise raises uncomfortable questions about the concentration of power – and the possibility of hereditary leadership in a state founded in revolt against monarchy.
Oil prices surged more than 25% on Monday to their highest levels since mid-2022, as major Middle Eastern oil producers cut supply because they cannot safely send shipments through the strait of Hormuz to refiners worldwide.
Traffic through the strait was largely closed after Iran attacked at least five ships, with a limited number of tankers transiting, choking off a key artery accounting for about 20% of global oil and LNG supply.
#khamenei #mojtaba #son #iran #leader #rule
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