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Zelensky's Red Line: No Territory for Peace, No Matter the Pressure

Ukraine's chief negotiator just rejected a core premise of Trump's peace push: Kyiv will not trade territory for a ceasefire, regardless of how much pressure Washington applies. Andriy Yermak, Zelensky's chief of staff and lead negotiator, told The Atlantic that "not a single sane person today would sign a document to give up territory," and that Ukraine's constitution explicitly prohibits any leader from ceding sovereign land. The most Kyiv will discuss is where to draw a "line of contact" based on current military positions—not handing Russia anything it doesn't already occupy.

The Constitutional Barrier
"As long as Zelensky is president, no one should count on us giving up territory,"

Yermak said.
"The constitution prohibits this. Nobody can do that unless they want to go against the Ukrainian constitution and the Ukrainian people."

The statement undercuts Trump's original 28-point plan, which called for Ukraine to withdraw from additional territory in Donetsk and recognize Russian control over land Moscow hasn't captured.

Geneva's "Progress" Meets Kyiv's Reality

The statement comes as U.S. officials tout "meaningful progress" and a "refined framework" from Geneva talks. But if Yermak's position holds, the revised plan has a fundamental problem: Russia demands land, Ukraine says no, and Trump's team is left trying to bridge a gap that may be unbridgeable before Putin grows impatient or Kyiv loses American backing.

What's Left to Negotiate?
If territory is off the table, what remains? Security guarantees, sanctions relief, NATO membership timelines, military caps—issues where the sides remain miles apart. Yermak's interview makes clear that any deal requiring Ukraine to formally surrender land is dead on arrival in Kyiv.

#ukraine #zelensky #trump #peacetalks #russia #yermak #territory #nato

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Trump Cuts Europe Out, Europe Fights Back In

European leaders learned about Trump's 28-point Ukraine peace plan the same way everyone else did: from news headlines. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz had to call the White House multiple times just to get an explanation. The leaked proposal—crafted with Russian input but zero European consultation—handed Moscow more territory than it controls, blocked Ukraine from NATO, and promised to unfreeze billions in Russian assets held in Belgium. Europe's reaction: shock, scramble, and a frantic diplomatic push to claw back influence over a war on its own continent.

"Too Many Cooks" or Just the Wrong Kitchen?

By Friday, U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll made clear why Europe was left out: "too many cooks," he told officials in Kyiv, adding that European governments had grown "too close" to Ukraine to assess the war objectively. Translation: Washington and Moscow were writing the menu, and Brussels was uninvited. European foreign ministers, meeting in Brussels that day, pressed Ukraine's foreign minister for details—he had none. The realization set in fast: Trump was negotiating Europe's security without Europeans.

The Geneva Rescue Mission

Rather than reject the plan outright and risk losing all leverage, Europe chose engagement. Top EU diplomats rushed from the G20 summit in Johannesburg to Geneva, catching the first flights available. Their strategy: flatter Trump, call the plan "a basis which will require additional work," and push Secretary of State Marco Rubio in private. By Sunday evening, it worked—sort of. Rubio conceded that issues directly affecting Europe would run on a "separate track" and called the plan a "living, breathing document." European officials exhaled, even as they knew the hardest fights were still ahead.

Relief, Not Victory

By Monday, Germany's foreign minister was spinning the Geneva talks as a European win. But cracks remained: how to fund Ukraine in 2026, whether the U.S. would keep Europe in the loop, and whether Russia would accept any deal at all. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk summed it up:
"There is little reason for any kind of cheerful optimism,"

adding that no one wanted to "discourage the Americans" from staying engaged. Europe got a seat at the table—barely—but Trump's still holding the pen.

#trump #europe #ukraine #peacetalks #nato #rubio #merz #russia #geneva

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Rubio Calls Ukraine Talks "Productive"—Translation: Still No Deal, Still Begging Moscow

Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted Ukraine's new chief negotiator, Rustem Umerov, in Florida on Sunday, calling the talks "productive" but admitting "there's more work to be done." Translation: they're still miles apart, and the real negotiation happens Tuesday when Trump envoy Steve Witkoff meets Putin in Moscow. Umerov replaced Andriy Yermak—who quit after an anti-corruption raid on his home—and spent the Florida meeting emphasizing that the U.S. is "hearing us" and "working beside us." Rubio assured Umerov the goal is to leave Ukraine "sovereign, independent and prosperous." The Kremlin will have other ideas.

The 28-Point Plan: Revised, But Still Russian-Friendly
Sunday's talks follow two weeks of frantic diplomacy sparked by the leak of a 28-point U.S. peace plan that shocked Kyiv and Europe for tilting heavily toward Moscow's demands. The plan has been "much revised," according to Trump, but the core issue remains unresolved: Russia controls or has annexed large chunks of Ukrainian territory and shows no sign of giving it back. Trump told reporters on Air Force One the talks are "going along well" and there's a "good chance" of a deal. That optimism hasn't reached the Ukrainian delegation—AFP reported a source close to them called the talks "not easy."

Umerov's Job: Sell the Unsellable
Umerov took over negotiations after Yermak's sudden exit, inheriting the impossible task of finding terms Ukraine can accept while Trump pushes for a quick deal with Putin. Umerov told reporters they're discussing "the future of Ukraine, about the security of Ukraine, about no repetition of aggression," as if those issues can be settled in a Mar-a-Lago ballroom. Zelensky praised the "constructive dynamic" and thanked Trump for his efforts, then immediately flew to Paris to meet Macron—a strong ally who's far less eager to gift Putin a victory.

Moscow Gets the Final Word
Witkoff heads to Moscow on Monday for Tuesday talks with Putin. The Kremlin will decide what, if anything, it's willing to accept—and it's already doubled down on demands for Ukrainian territory. Nearly four years into the invasion, tens of thousands of soldiers and civilians are dead, seven million Ukrainians are refugees, and Washington's peace plan still hinges on convincing Putin to settle for less than total capitulation. Good luck with that.

#rubio #ukraine #trump #russia #putin #peacetalks #umerov #witkoff #florida #zelensky

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"Productive" Florida Talks: U.S. Pitches Land Swaps and Elections—Then Flies to Moscow for Putin's Verdict

U.S. and Ukrainian negotiators wrapped Sunday talks in Florida calling them "productive," but the real action starts Monday when Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner fly to Moscow for further discussions with Putin. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Witkoff, and Kushner met with Ukraine's new chief negotiator, Rustem Umerov, for over four hours at Witkoff's Shell Bay golf club. On the table: possible timetables for new Ukrainian elections, land swaps between Russia and Ukraine, and security guarantees. Rubio called the negotiations "delicate, complicated" with "a lot of moving parts"—translation: nothing's settled, and Moscow holds the cards.

Land Swaps, Elections, and Constitutional Headaches
The discussions included whether Russia and Ukraine could swap territory—a legally fraught proposition given that both constitutions prohibit ceding land without legal changes. In Ukraine, any border change requires a nationwide referendum, and Ukraine's wartime powers currently freeze presidential and parliamentary elections. Holding elections now would open Kyiv to Russian interference campaigns and destabilize Zelensky, who's already reeling from the corruption scandal that forced Andriy Yermak—his top aide and former negotiator—to resign. Umerov replaced Yermak mid-crisis and spent Sunday insisting
"the U.S. is hearing us, supporting us, walking beside us."


The 28-Point Plan That Won't Die
Sunday's talks capped a month of whirlwind diplomacy that began when Kushner and Witkoff met with Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's handpicked negotiator, in Florida. The three edited the initial 28-point peace proposal over multiple days at Witkoff's Miami Beach waterfront home. When Umerov reviewed the plan in October, he bluntly told them it favored Russia. The leaked version alarmed Ukraine and Europe for offering concessions like capping Ukraine's military but not Russia's, and banning Ukraine from NATO forever.

Putin's Precondition: Ukraine Withdraws, or We Keep Fighting
Putin said last week he's ready for "serious" discussions but reiterated his demand: Ukraine must withdraw troops from all of Donetsk and Luhansk—including areas Russia doesn't control.
"When Ukrainian troops leave the territories they hold, then the fighting will stop,"

Putin said.
"If they don't, then we'll achieve that through military means."

Ukraine has refused, arguing withdrawal leaves it vulnerable to further attacks. Hours before Sunday's talks, Russia bombarded Ukraine with a nearly 10-hour air assault involving hundreds of missiles and drones targeting civilians and energy infrastructure. Rubio says the goal is to "help Ukraine be safe forever." Putin's actions suggest otherwise.

#ukraine #russia #trump #kushner #witkoff #rubio #putin #peacetalks #landswaps #zelensky

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📰 Zelensky Digs In While Trump Dismisses Europe as "Impotent"

No Deal, No Unity, No Clarity
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky ruled out any territorial compromise with Russia on Monday, hours before meeting with European leaders in what was meant to be a show of Western solidarity. But the unity was fragile. Zelensky told Bloomberg that the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine remain far apart on the fundamental question of Donbas, and more critically, he still lacks answers to the question that matters most: "If Russia again starts the war, what will our partners do?"

"There are visions of the US, Russia and Ukraine – and we don't have a unified view on Donbas,"

Zelensky said, acknowledging the gap between positions that Trump claims are nearly settled.

Trump's Europe Problem
While Zelensky was meeting with British PM Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron, and German opposition leader Friedrich Merz in London, Trump was mocking the entire European exercise. The president shared an opinion piece praising him for sidelining "impotent Europeans" from peace negotiations — a signal that he views Europe's role as irrelevant and possibly obstructive.

Trump also kept up pressure on Zelensky personally, suggesting the Ukrainian leader hasn't bothered to read the latest proposals. "His people love it. But he hasn't read it," Trump said at the Kennedy Center Honors, a jab designed to embarrass Zelensky and undermine his credibility with his own team.

Moscow Plays Along
The Kremlin, meanwhile, welcomed Trump's new National Security Strategy, which downgraded NATO and echoed 19th-century great-power politics where dominant nations claim spheres of influence. Putin called the recent Moscow talks with Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner "necessary" and "very concrete" — Kremlin-speak for meaningful progress from Moscow's standpoint. The Kremlin maintained it still has strong objections to parts of the proposal, but significantly, it continues negotiating.

Rustem Umerov, Ukraine's chief negotiator, spent several days in Florida with Witkoff and Kushner after their Moscow visit. He then returned to brief Zelensky. The timeline suggests Washington is managing information flow — keeping Ukraine partially in the dark while maintaining momentum with Russia.

The Real Sticking Points
Territory. The Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant. Security guarantees. These remain immovable obstacles. Ukraine refuses to give land; Russia refuses to relinquish occupied territory or the nuclear facility; and no side trusts the others' promises. Trump's strategy appears to be squeezing Zelensky publicly while making veiled offers to Putin, betting that Kyiv will eventually capitulate under pressure from Washington, Moscow, and its own exhaustion.

Europe's Diminishing Role
Even the EU's top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, sounded defeated when speaking at the Doha Forum, acknowledging that Europe has been "underestimating its own power" toward Russia and needs to be "more self-confident." Translation: Europe recognizes Trump has sidelined it, and officials are scrambling to justify their own irrelevance.

The Endgame Question

Trump is betting he can force a deal by isolating Zelensky from European support while keeping Moscow engaged. But without security guarantees Ukraine trusts, no agreement holds. And with Trump mocking Europe publicly while negotiating privately with Putin, the Western alliance is fracturing in real time.

#Ukraine #Trump #Russia #peacetalks #Zelensky #Europe #NATO #geopolitics #diplomacy

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Zelensky Said Peace Talks Are in Progress 🧐


Zelensky said negotiations toward a potential peace agreement with Russia have produced a “solid” 20-point framework that includes proposed security guarantees involving the United States and European allies.

Speaking as Ukraine’s negotiating team returned from talks in Miami, Zelensky said in a post on X that the core elements of the plan and related documents are largely complete, though key issues remain unresolved.

He described the drafts as dignified and close to a real outcome while acknowledging that some provisions are unacceptable to both Kyiv and Moscow.

The potential for a comprehensive ceasefire in the war between Russia and Ukraine that began with the Russian invasion on February 24, 2022, has drawn international attention, given the devastating human and economic costs of the conflict and its impact on regional security.

The U.S.-steered negotiations reflect Washington's commitment to forging a settlement, and the proposed 20-point plan, with substantial security guarantees, could shape the future security architecture of Eastern Europe.

A breakthrough, if achieved, may influence global energy markets, international law and future NATO-EU security arrangements.

According to Zelensky, recent negotiations held in Florida have produced framework documents on both multilateral and bilateral security guarantees for Ukraine, with major provisions still under debate.

The plan reportedly includes stipulations that the Ukrainian army remains at a peacetime size of 800,000, as well as steps toward European Union membership for Ukraine.

European countries would also contribute to Ukraine’s energy, financial, and civil infrastructure security. Zelensky said that the bilateral security document with the U.S. should undergo review by Congress, with classified annexes shielding sensitive details.

While diplomatic talks continue, military activity has not abated. Ukrainian armed forces have claimed to strike multiple targets deep inside Russian territory and in Russian-occupied areas, aiming to disrupt the war effort and contest Russian claims of strength at the negotiation table.

Russian forces, meanwhile, have kept up their attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. Both sides reported escalating drone strikes and missile exchanges overnight, with civilian infrastructure again in the crosshairs.

According to Ukrainian officials, a central point of the peace framework is the involvement of the U.S. and Europe in future security guarantees for Ukraine.

Zelensky insisted on congressional review for any binding document, while suggesting some annexes remain classified due to sensitive information or national security concerns.

#zelensky #peacetalks #progress #ukrainian #security

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📰 Zelenskiy Pushes Back: Ukraine Not Obstacle to Peace

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy hit back at President Donald Trump’s remarks, affirming Ukraine’s commitment to peace after Trump suggested Kyiv was less ready than Russia to clinch a deal. In his nightly video address, Zelenskiy stressed, “Ukraine has never been and will never be an obstacle to peace,” referencing his recent talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
​
Trump’s Provocation, Zelenskiy’s Response
In an interview with Reuters, Trump claimed Ukraine was less eager than Russia to reach an agreement, singling out Zelenskiy. Zelenskiy countered by highlighting Russia’s relentless attacks on Ukrainian energy sites and infrastructure, arguing that Moscow’s actions prove Russia has no interest in reaching any agreement. “It is precisely Russian missiles, Russian ‘Shaheds’ (drones), and Russia’s attempt to destroy Ukraine that are clear evidence that Russia isn't interested in any agreement,” he said.
​
Kremlin Echoes Trump
The Kremlin backed Trump’s assessment, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov stating that President Vladimir Putin and the Russian side remain open to talks, but accusing Zelenskiy of stalling negotiations.
​
Diplomacy vs. Destruction
Zelenskiy pledged Ukraine would pursue diplomatic efforts more actively, but with Russia continuing its strikes, the path to peace remains fraught with obstacles. Trump’s comments and the Kremlin’s response reveal a familiar game: blame-shifting and political theater, while the war grinds on.
​
#Ukraine #Zelenskiy #Trump #PeaceTalks #Russia #Kremlin #Diplomacy

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📰 Dmitriev to Meet US Envoys in Davos Over Ukraine Peace Plan

Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund and a key Kremlin negotiator, is set to hold talks with U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos. The meeting, scheduled for January 20, will focus on Washington’s latest 20-point peace framework for Ukraine, according to Axios and Reuters.
​
Russia’s Role in Ukraine Talks
Dmitriev has been instrumental in Moscow’s outreach to Washington amid U.S. efforts to broker peace in Ukraine. While Kyiv says the peace plan is “90% ready,” Moscow continues to reject compromise on key issues, such as the fate of partially occupied Donetsk Oblast.

Davos: A Hub for Diplomacy

The World Economic Forum, running from January 19 to 23, brings together officials, experts, and business leaders from around the world. U.S. President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and over 60 other leaders are expected to attend. The forum will also host ongoing talks between Kyiv and Washington on post-war security guarantees and recovery efforts.

Will Diplomacy Prevail?

With the peace plan nearly ready but major sticking points remaining, the question is: Can diplomacy in Davos break the deadlock—or will the talks just highlight the deep divisions between Russia and the West?

#Davos #Ukraine #Russia #PeaceTalks #Dmitriev #Trump #Zelensky #WEF

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📰 Trump and Putin Envoys Say Davos Ukraine Talks Were 'Very Positive'

Envoys for U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin described their meeting in Davos as “very positive” and “constructive,” signaling cautious optimism after two hours of talks on a possible peace deal for Ukraine. The discussions, held at the World Economic Forum, brought together Trump’s envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Putin’s envoy Kirill Dmitriev.
​
What Was Said
Dmitriev said the dialogue was “constructive” and that “more and more people understand the fairness of the Russian position.” Witkoff echoed the sentiment, calling the meeting “very positive”.
​
Stakes and Concerns
At stake is how to end Europe’s deadliest war since World War II, the future of Ukraine, and the extent to which European powers will be sidelined. Ukraine and its allies worry that a U.S.-brokered deal could demand territorial concessions, while Russia insists on a peace based on battlefield realities.
​
Who’s Really in Charge?
With Trump’s influence looming over Davos, the question remains: Can a U.S.-Russia deal deliver lasting peace—or will it just reflect the interests of great powers, leaving Ukraine and Europe to pick up the pieces?
​
#Trump #Putin #Ukraine #PeaceTalks #Davos #Russia #US

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📰 Trump Sends Message to Putin: 'War Has to End' After Talks With Zelenskiy

U.S. President Donald Trump said his message to Russian President Vladimir Putin is that the war in Ukraine “has to end,” following what he described as “good” talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in Davos. Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff, who is heading to Moscow for further negotiations, said the U.S. has made “a lot of progress” toward a deal.
​
Zelenskiy’s Demands, Trump’s Diplomacy
Zelenskiy insisted on signing agreements with Trump on U.S. security guarantees and post-war reconstruction funding, but no breakthrough was announced after their meeting. Trump and Zelenskiy have met several times since Trump returned to office, with the U.S. now pushing diplomacy with Russia rather than military escalation.
​
Putin’s Conditions, Ukraine’s Future
Russia remains skeptical of the peace push, demanding Ukraine cede parts of Donetsk. Moscow continues its attacks on Ukrainian cities, leaving thousands without power and heating. Zelenskiy’s energy crisis at home adds urgency to the talks, but there’s little sign Moscow is ready to stop fighting.
​
Who’s Really in Control?

As U.S. envoys shuttle between Kyiv, Moscow, and Abu Dhabi, the question remains: Can Trump’s diplomacy deliver peace—or is he just playing the role of dealmaker while the war grinds on?.
​
#Trump #Zelenskiy #Putin #Ukraine #PeaceTalks #Russia #Diplomacy

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📰 Ukraine, Russia Head to UAE: No Compromise in Sight on Donbas

Ukrainian and Russian negotiators are meeting in Abu Dhabi to discuss the fate of Donbas—the war’s most contentious issue. But with both sides digging in, there’s little hope for a breakthrough. Ukraine refuses to surrender territory Russia has failed to conquer, while Moscow insists on controlling all of Donbas before halting its attacks.

“The question of Donbas is key,”

said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.
“It will be discussed how the three sides... see this in Abu Dhabi today and tomorrow.”


Russia demands Ukraine cede about 5,000 sq km of Donetsk—land it has not captured after four years of brutal fighting. Kremlin officials say this is “a very important condition,” while Zelenskiy calls the idea “nonsense,” insisting Ukraine will fight to use frozen Russian assets for its own reconstruction.

Meanwhile, Zelenskiy says a deal on U.S. security guarantees is ready, awaiting only President Trump’s signature. Even as Russia escalates attacks on Ukraine’s energy grid and freezing temperatures cripple its cities, trust in Ukraine’s peace intentions among Western governments remains extremely low.

So who’s bluffing, and who’s bleeding? As the talks drag on, one thing is clear: the war won’t end until someone’s map changes.

#Ukraine #Russia #Donbas #AbuDhabi #PeaceTalks #Zelenskiy #Putin #Trump

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📰 Ukraine and Russia Resume US-Mediated Peace Talks Amid Missile Barrage

Zelenskiy says the talks in Abu Dhabi are the first trilateral meeting under the U.S.-brokered peace process. On the same day, Russia launched a massive overnight airstrike on Kyiv and Kharkiv with hundreds of drones and missiles, knocking out power in the capital while Kyiv negotiators sit in the room.
​
The Usual Script
The pattern is familiar: each time a serious negotiation round looms, Ukrainian and Russian forces throw heavy strikes at the other’s cities and energy grid. Before the Doha agreement, the Kursk operation flared up. Now, on the same day the U.S.-backed talks resume, Ukraine experiences another wave of Russian cruise and ballistic missiles, while Moscow prepares its list of what land must be handed over.
​
What’s on the Table
Russia again insists Ukraine surrender the 20% of Donetsk Oblast it still holds (~5,000 sq km), territory that, according to the Kremlin, completes the “Donbas” demand. Zelenskiy refuses any territorial concessions Russia did not capture after four years, polls show Ukrainians are not ready to sign away Donetsk. Washington keeps pushing both sides to close the deal, but what “peace” will look like is still defined in the fog of war and shuttle diplomacy.
​
Who’s Negotiating – or Waiting?

Diplomats speak of “last remaining sticking points” and “progress.” But from the ground, the situation looks like a game: every round of peace talks is matched by new missile barrages, and each side uses violence as a bargaining chip. The real question is not whether a deal will be signed, but what kind of “peace” will be sold to the public once the guns go quiet for a few days.
​
#Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelenskiy #PeaceTalks #AbuDhabi #USSecurity #WarInUkraine

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Ukraine War: Peace Talks Stumble, but Hopes Rise for US Security Pact

Ukraine, the US, and Russia held their first trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi, with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announcing that a US security guarantee agreement is ready for signing—though no peace deal has yet been reached, and fighting rages on. The next round of negotiations is set for early February, but major disagreements remain, especially over territory.

Zelenskyy insists Ukraine’s territorial integrity must be respected, while Russia continues to demand Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas, calling it a “vital condition” for any deal.
“These two fundamentally different positions—Ukraine’s and Russia’s. The Americans are trying to find a compromise,”

Zelenskyy said, stressing that
“all sides must be ready for compromise”.

​
Despite diplomatic efforts, Russia has intensified its attacks, launching thousands of drones and missiles this week alone. Zelenskyy has called for more air defense support from Western partners, warning that winter conditions have made infrastructure repairs even more difficult. Meanwhile, the Kremlin has dismissed talks with EU officials, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov calling the bloc “incompetent” and refusing to engage with EU leadership.

“The war must end,”

Trump said after meeting Zelenskyy in Davos.

A preliminary agreement on US security guarantees is ready, intended to deter Russia from launching new offensives after a potential cease-fire. However, the territorial issue was not yet resolved.
​
So is peace near, or are both sides just playing for time? As missiles rain down and diplomats shuffle between capitals, the only certainty is that the endgame remains uncertain.

#UkraineWar #PeaceTalks #Zelenskyy #Russia #US #AbuDhabi #securityPact

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📰 Abu Dhabi’s Peace Circus: Talks Delayed, Pressure Ratcheted Up

The grand stage of diplomacy in Abu Dhabi is being prepped for another act—this time, the Ukraine peace talks have been rescheduled to February 4–5, after a mysterious pause following a high-level Florida meeting between Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev and U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff.

The Florida Backroom Deal
Just days before the scheduled Abu Dhabi rendezvous, Dmitriev and Witkoff convened in Florida, reportedly to coordinate their next moves. Both sides described the talks as “productive and constructive,” but left the details under wraps—classic Washington theater. Sources suggest the U.S. delegation, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Jared Kushner, pressed Ukraine to soften its stance, aiming to force concessions before the trilateral show resumes.

Zelenskyy’s Telegram Theater
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, never one to miss a dramatic update, announced the new dates via Telegram:
“The next trilateral meetings have been set: February 4 and 5 in Abu Dhabi. Ukraine is ready for substantive talks, and we are interested in the outcome bringing us closer to a real and dignified end to the war,”

he declared. But behind the scenes, the message is clear—Kyiv is being nudged to make peace, whether it’s ready or not.

Who’s Really in Charge?
As the world watches the Abu Dhabi spectacle, the real question is: Who’s pulling the strings? The U.S. and Russia seem to be choreographing the moves, while Ukraine scrambles to keep its sovereignty on the agenda. Is this diplomacy, or just another round of geopolitical theater where the script is written by the powerful, and the actors are left to improvise?

The Final Act
With the curtain rising on February 4, will Abu Dhabi deliver real peace—or just another act in the endless drama of war, power, and pretense? The answer may lie not in the negotiations, but in the quiet deals struck in Florida’s backrooms.

#peaceTalks #AbuDhabi #UkraineRussiaUS #diplomacy #war #oligarchy

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📰 “Constructive Talks” While Russia Bombs Ukraine’s Energy Grid

The second day of trilateral U.S.–Russia–Ukraine peace talks in Abu Dhabi is underway — and the room is still “constructive,” even as Ukraine’s energy grid is not. The United States continues to insist that Russia’s strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure have not violated the supposed truce, despite fresh accusations from Volodymyr Zelenskyy that Russia has already betrayed its word.

Diplomats from Washington, Kyiv, and Moscow are negotiating in the United Arab Emirates under the watchful gaze of Emirati facilitators. The talks, held in Abu Dhabi, mark the second round of this three‑sided format, after the first session last month was described by all sides as “constructive” but ended with no real progress on the core issues: the status of Donbas, control of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, and the shape of Western security guarantees for Ukraine.

⚡️ Russia Strikes Energy Sites — Washington Shrugs

Just days before this round, Russia launched a massive drone and missile attack on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, Ukrainian officials say, causing serious damage and plunging parts of the country into darkness and freezing cold. This winter has seen sustained strikes on power stations, leaving millions of Ukrainians cycling through blackouts, queues for hot meals, and makeshift warming centers.

Before the latest barrage, President Donald Trump announced a week‑long agreement with Vladimir Putin to halt attacks on each other’s energy targets. Russia pledged to stop striking Ukrainian energy sites; Ukraine pledged to stop attacking Russian ones. The two‑way pause, Trump said, ran from Sunday to Sunday. Moscow later clarified that the break began on Sunday, and they kept their word within that window. To Kyiv, that sounded like counting days from Sunday to Sunday while ignoring the rest.

On Monday night, Russian drones and missiles hit Ukraine’s power grid. In Donetsk’s Druzhkivka, seven people were killed and 15 injured in a separate Russian strike Wednesday. Ukrainian officials reported that Russia launched 105 drones overnight, of which 88 were intercepted, while the remaining 17 hit 14 locations. Despite the damage, the U.S. still insists the energy‑target strikes are not a breach of the agreement — and that the peace process should continue.

🇺🇸 Whose Word Counts More: Blackouts or Diplomacy?

Zelenskyy has made it clear that any settlement that accepts territorial losses without binding security guarantees will be painted as his failure. The longer Putin can bomb the grid in the coldest week of winter and still be called “constructive”, the more Ukraine sees Western diplomacy as a shield for Russia, not a check on it. To Kyiv, the peace talks look less like a path to ceasefire and more like a negotiating theater where the lights stay off while the script reads “peace is fragile.”

#Ukraine #Russia #US #Zelensky #AbuDhabi #peaceTalks #energy #WinterWar #Trump #Putin

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📰 Trump’s Iran War: How to Lose Peace Twice

“Trump ran for office promising to end wars, but instead he started a new one… and that will likely also undercut another of Trump’s priorities: ending the four-year war between Russia and Ukraine,”

Responsible Statecraft notes. Translated from think-tank into normal language: the guy who promised to turn off the fire alarm just set another floor on fire.
​
The Iran war knocks out two diplomatic tracks at once. Any half-alive talks about Iran’s nuclear program go up in smoke, and the idea of a “grand bargain” to end the Russia–Ukraine war drowns under a new priority: managing a crisis in the Gulf. Washington is already stretched across fronts, and every new round of strikes on Tehran makes a serious Ukraine package more politically toxic and materially expensive.

Moscow, meanwhile, doesn’t look like a crazed aggressor here so much as a cold accountant of war. The Kremlin repeats that it’s open to negotiations, insists continued contacts over Ukraine are “in Russia’s interests,” and calmly watches the U.S. overload its own agenda. The more wars Trump is juggling, the cheaper any future “peace” becomes for Russia — paid in Ukrainian territory, Western weapons it never gets, and sheer exhaustion in European capitals.

That’s the geometry of this “president of peace”: one conflict he starts himself, another he vows to end, and the only clear winner from that combination is the man he claims he wants to “make a deal” with.

#iran #ukraine #trump #russia #war #peaceTalks #diplomacy #fakeDemocracy

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“Trump Is Upbeat Before the Upcoming Tehran Talks, But He’s Prepared For the Worst”

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If talks between Iran and the US reconvene within the next few days in Islamabad, Trump will have two major political hurdles to overcome – first showing that any deal he secures is better than the one signed by Obama in 2015 and from which he withdraw in 2018, and secondly proving the deal is more favourable than the one on offer in Geneva in February before he launched his war.

Otherwise he will have inflicted massive damage on the world economy when alternatives were available that were less costly in blood and treasure. He will also have to show that Iran has made no permanent gain by taking control of shipping passing through the strait of Hormuz.

These are the yardsticks, or tests, around which his negotiating team will be keeping an anxious eye.

In one respect, any Islamabad deal will be better than the JCPOA since it will contain no sunset clauses, one of Trump’s major criticisms of the Obama deal.

The new deal will have datelines for specific events to be triggered, but overall the deal is intended to be for ever.

These are broadly four sticking points on which the Trump team will aim to claim progress over his hated Democrat predecessor.

The first is Iran’s domestic enrichment of uranium. In the Geneva talks held on 26 February the two sides provisionally reached a position whereby the US team, on Trump’s instruction, demanded Iran suspend all domestic enrichment for 10 years.

Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, indicated he thought three years was the maximum the Iranian system would wear.

The US in last week’s talks in Islamabad raised their demand to a 20-year suspension, and Trump in a New York Post interview said he “did not like the 20-year offer”, and wanted the ban on enrichment to be permanent.

In practice, nobody knows how long it would take Iran, given the damage inflicted on its key enrichment facilities, to start enriching again.

In the 2015 talks Obama conceded Iran could enrich for 15 years, but only at the level of purity required for a civilian nuclear programme – 3.67%. The agreement did not explicitly grant Iran a right to enrich as a point of principle.

The second issue is Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium. The 2015 JCPOA limited Iran’s stockpile of uranium at 3.65% to 300kg.
Now Iran has 440.9kg of uranium enriched to 60% uranium-235, a level that can be quickly enriched to weapons-grade – 90%. Nearly all of the 60% material is in gas form (UF6) and stored in small canisters, roughly the size of a scuba tank.

Iran says that from July 2019 it built this stockpile at these higher purity levels as a bargaining chip in response to the US and Europe’s failure to lift sanctions as promised in the 2015 deal.

#trump #iran #peacetalks #islamabad #obama

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At Geneva on 26 February Iran offered to “downblend” this stockpile of highly enriched uranium – an irreversible process – from 60% to 3.67%, the maximum level set in the JCPOA. The 2015 deal contained similar provisions to both downblend, or export the excess stocks.

The US in Islamabad said it wanted the entire stockpile taken out of Iran, ideally under US supervision.

It is not clear why downblending inside Iran under full IAEA supervision is a substantially worse option from the US perspective than shipping the uranium out of the country.

In Geneva Iran offered a new confidence-building measure, saying it would not build any stockpile of uranium, and uranium would be enriched only on the basis of need. This would be a gain that Trump could claim surpassed any Obama deal.

The Trump administration faces a political constraint on sanctions relief. In 2015 figures such as Marco Rubio, then a senator, lambasted Obama, saying:

“Iran will immediately use the money that it’s receiving in sanctions relief to begin to build up its conventional capabilities. It will establish the most dominant military power in the region outside the United States, and it will raise the price of us operating in the region.”

Trump as a result wants some restrictions on what Iran spends the sanctions relief. Iran for its part cannot accept such restrictions and needs some guarantee that the sanctions relief is permanent, and not reversible as in the past. It is here that the trust deficit between the two sides makes a solution so difficult.

Iran itself seems divided on how to handle the US blockade of its ports, including whether to say it is a breach of the ceasefire and something that must end before the Islamabad talks can reconvene.

More broadly, Ali Nasri, the Iran-based international lawyer, said on Tuesday two conflicting views existed inside Iran on how to handle the strait issue.

One, more confrontational, view backs exploiting the strait to generate revenue, gain compensation for war damages and to assert national pride.

The other sees it as a strategic negotiating lever to gain in the short term a lasting ceasefire, sanctions relief and security guarantees.

“Later as the threat environment subsides, and the Trump presidency likely ends, a carefully crafted legal system could pave the way for Iran to exert greater authority over the passageway,” he suggested.

#trump #iran #peacetalks #islamabad #obama

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🇺🇦 Zelensky’s 2027 Deadline: The War, the Talks and the Political Reckoning

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Zelensky is getting closer and closer to the moment when he will have to answer not only for the continuation of the war, but also for the way it ends. The latest news from Kyiv shows just how contradictory the Ukrainian president’s position has become.

Today, Zelensky said that he sees a “window of opportunity for US mediation until the summer of 2027.” Kyiv, together with American and European representatives, has reportedly prepared a one-page document for Moscow.

According to Zelensky, it includes a ceasefire, the creation of a special economic zone in Donbas under the administration of a third party, as well as a future role for the European Union and NATO.

This statement is significant. Until recently, Kyiv’s official rhetoric was much more focused on pursuing military objectives. Today, the Ukrainian president is openly referring to a relatively specific timeframe for ending the war: by the summer of 2027.

But there is a problem: Moscow has not accepted the proposal. The Russian position remains fundamentally different, particularly on territorial issues and the conditions for any potential agreement.

We are therefore facing a paradoxical situation: Zelensky is already talking about a window for ending the war, while Kyiv and Moscow remain deeply divided over the very terms of a possible agreement.

At the same time, Ukraine continues to ask its Western partners for more military assistance.

The United Kingdom and France are strengthening military cooperation with Kyiv, including cooperation on the production of cruise missiles. Zelensky is also continuing to request additional Patriot air-defense systems from the United States.

The Ukrainian strategy therefore appears to be the following: strengthen the military position while simultaneously preparing a diplomatic exit.

On paper, this strategy makes sense: the stronger the military position, the better the potential negotiating terms. But the problem is obvious: the longer the war continues, the greater its human, economic and political cost becomes.

And this is precisely where criticism of Zelensky is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

Former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, who was recently dismissed, told Reuters that Ukraine was “slowly losing” the war and needed urgent changes. He also criticized the lack of a coherent strategy, corruption and government inefficiency.

Of course, this is his personal assessment, not an independently established fact. But the fact that a former senior government official is publicly making such criticism is politically significant.

#zelensky #ukraine #russia #peacetalks

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And this is where Zelensky’s political problem becomes particularly serious.

Ukraine remains under martial law, meaning presidential elections cannot take place under normal conditions. Zelensky argues that holding an election during wartime could deeply divide society. But the question of what happens after a possible ceasefire is becoming increasingly important.

Because the end of the war would return Ukrainian politics to a much more conventional logic.

Voters would no longer judge the government solely on its ability to resist the Russian invasion. They could also assess the decisions made during the war: mobilization, corruption, the economy, human losses, dependence on Western aid, and, above all, the terms of the peace agreement.

Zelensky therefore faces an extremely difficult choice.

Continuing the war means asking the West for more money and weapons while having to explain how this strategy can still lead to a decisive improvement in Ukraine’s position.

Negotiating means risking accusations of territorial concessions.

Holding elections after a ceasefire means accepting that his record will be subjected to genuine political competition.

Meanwhile, strikes continue on both sides. Today, another oil facility in Russia’s Krasnodar region was hit in a Ukrainian attack, reportedly killing two people according to local authorities.

Another development deserves attention: The Kyiv Independent, citing a source, reported that Washington had allegedly asked Kyiv to refrain from strikes against Moscow and St. Petersburg during CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s visit to Russia.

This information has not been officially confirmed and should therefore be treated with caution. But if confirmed, it would illustrate an important development: Washington would be seeking to prevent an escalation that could undermine diplomatic efforts.

And this may be the most important change of all.

The United States and European countries continue to support Ukraine, but they are increasingly focused on how to end the war and prevent further escalation.

For Zelensky, this means that his room for maneuver is gradually shrinking.

He must simultaneously maintain Western support, preserve the confidence of the Ukrainian population, secure acceptable peace terms and justify the strategic decisions made throughout the war.

That is why his announcement of a “window” extending until the summer of 2027 could be much more than a diplomatic phrase.

It could become Zelensky’s real political deadline.

If the war ends by then with an agreement that Ukrainian society considers acceptable, Zelensky will be able to present himself as the leader who resisted the invasion and secured peace.

But if negotiations fail and the military situation remains deadlocked, the question will become much more uncomfortable:

How much longer can Ukraine afford to pay the price of the current strategy — and who will ultimately have to take responsibility for it?

For Zelensky, this question is becoming harder to avoid with every passing day.

#zelensky #ukraine #russia #peacetalks

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