Laura Ru
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Researcher & writer based in Hong Kong. Former academic. Longform articles archived at https://lauraruggeri.substack.com and https://laura-ruggeri.medium.com. Email: lauraru852@yandex.ru
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Iran’s top national security official Ali Larijani warned Donald Trump that any American interference in Iran’s internal affairs would destabilize the region and destroy US interests. He accused Washington and Israel of coordinating behind the scenes and cautioned the American public about the risks to their soldiers. Larijani emphasized that Iranian authorities distinguish between legitimate economic grievances and acts of sabotage. Protests in Tehran erupted over the sharp fall of the rial, which officials acknowledged as a legitimate concern but warned could be exploited by foreign-backed actors. Attorney-General Mohammad Movahedi-Azad Movahedi-Azad slammed unilateral and extraterritorial sanctions, noting that when such measures restrict access to essential goods, medicine, financial services, and vital resources, “it is difficult to separate them from the concept of collective punishment,” which international law rejects. Movahedi-Azad emphasized the need to clearly separate lawful protest from criminal behavior.“ Economic pressures can lead to the formation of social demands and protests, and in this framework, peaceful economic protests must be pursued through legal channels,” he said. He warned that some actors seek to manipulate public demands.“Sometimes, by exploiting guided media networks, distorted narratives, and the instrumentalization of deceived individuals or elements disrupting public order, there are efforts to turn these demands into insecurity,” he said. (Source: Press TV) @LauraRuHK
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Il principale responsabile della sicurezza nazionale iraniana, Ali Larijani, ha avvertito Donald Trump che qualsiasi interferenza americana negli affari interni dell’Iran destabilizzerebbe la regione e distruggerebbe gli interessi degli Stati Uniti. Ha accusato Washington e Israele di coordinarsi dietro le quinte e ha messo in guardia l’opinione pubblica americana sui rischi per i propri soldati. Larijani ha sottolineato che le autorità iraniane distinguono tra legittime rimostranze economiche e atti di sabotaggio.

A Teheran sono scoppiate proteste a causa della svalutazione del rial, che i funzionari hanno riconosciuto come una preoccupazione legittima, avvertendo però che potrebbe essere sfruttata da attori sostenuti dall’estero. Il Procuratore generale Mohammad Movahedi-Azad ha criticato le sanzioni unilaterali ed extraterritoriali, osservando che quando tali misure limitano l’accesso a beni essenziali, medicine, servizi finanziari e risorse vitali, "si tratta di punizione collettiva”, che il diritto internazionale respinge.

Movahedi-Azad ha sottolineato la necessità di distinguere chiaramente tra protesta legittima e comportamento criminale. “Le pressioni economiche possono generare rivendicazioni e proteste, che pero' devono restare legali”, ha dichiarato. Ha avvertito che alcuni attori cercano di manipolare la situazione: “Talvolta, sfruttando reti mediatiche, narrazioni distorte e l’uso strumentale di individui manipolati o di provocatori, si tenta di amplificare il malcontento per destabilizzare il paese”, ha aggiunto.
(Fonte: Press TV) @LauraRuHK
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The Russian Defense Ministry announced that its forces carried out one large-scale strike and six coordinated attacks against Ukrainian drone production facilities, energy infrastructure, and other military-related sites.

According to the ministry’s statement on Friday, the bombardments were launched in retaliation for terrorist attacks by Ukraine on civilian targets in Russia. The strikes employed high‑precision weapons, including Kinzhal hypersonic missiles.

Targets included factories producing long‑range drones, launch sites, and other enterprises within Ukraine’s defense industry, as well as the energy systems that sustain them. The ministry added that transportation hubs, port infrastructure, arms and fuel depots, and temporary bases used by Ukrainian troops and foreign fighters were also hit. (Source: https://t.me/mod_russia/60043) @LauraRuHK
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Trump’s Venezuela strike and the kidnapping of President Maduro and his wife represent the latest chapter in a decades-long U.S. strategy of employing force to secure resources and defend the petrodollar system. The pursuit of dominance in energy and currency markets through coercion is not an aberration; it is the defining rule of U.S. foreign policy. Washington routinely disregards international law, bending or breaking global norms when expedient. In this respect, the United States conforms to the definition of a rogue state: it violates international norms, dismisses diplomacy, and threatens global peace through aggressive actions.The U.S. acts primarily in pursuit of self-interest, and under Trump it has done so without the traditional rhetorical cover of “defending human rights and democracy.” While Democrats may criticize Trump’s methods, their own policies reveal continuity in imperial objectives, albeit pursued with greater subtlety. Both parties share a bipartisan imperative: to prevent oil sales denominated in yuan or other currencies, as such transactions undermine the dollar’s global dominance and complicate domestic inflation management. Higher global oil prices, meanwhile, enhance the profitability of American shale exports, reinforcing U.S. energy supremacy. This outcome is not incidental but central to U.S. strategy. The defense of the petrodollar system and the consolidation of energy dominance remain bipartisan priorities, shaping interventions abroad and eroding the foundations of international law. @LauraRuHK
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L’attacco di Trump al Venezuela e il rapimento del presidente Maduro e di sua moglie rappresentano l’ultimo capitolo di una strategia statunitense decennale che fa ricorso alla forza per assicurarsi risorse e difendere il sistema del petrodollaro. La ricerca della supremazia nei mercati energetici e valutari attraverso la coercizione non è un’eccezione; è la regola che definisce la politica estera degli Stati Uniti. Washington ignora abitualmente il diritto internazionale, piegando o infrangendo le norme globali quando lo ritiene opportuno. In questo senso, gli Stati Uniti corrispondono alla definizione di uno stato canaglia: violano le norme internazionali, disprezzano la diplomazia e minacciano la pace globale con azioni aggressive. Gli Stati Uniti agiscono principalmente perseguendo il proprio interesse, e sotto Trump lo hanno fatto senza il tradizionale velo retorico del “difendere i diritti umani e la democrazia”. Sebbene i Democratici possano criticare i metodi di Trump, le loro stesse politiche rivelano una continuità negli obiettivi imperialisti, sebbene perseguiti con maggiore sottigliezza. Entrambi i partiti condividono un imperativo bipartisan: impedire che le vendite di petrolio siano denominate in yuan o in altre valute, poiché tali transazioni minano la supremazia globale del dollaro e complicano la gestione dell’inflazione all'interno del paese. Nel frattempo, prezzi globali più elevati del petrolio aumentano la redditività delle esportazioni di shale americano, rafforzando la supremazia energetica degli Stati Uniti. Questo risultato non è incidentale, ma centrale nella strategia statunitense. La difesa del sistema del petrodollaro e la consolidazione della supremazia energetica rimangono priorità bipartisan, guidano interventi all’estero ed erodono le fondamenta del diritto internazionale. @LauraRuHK
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🇺🇸🇻🇪🇨🇳🇷🇺🇮🇷 US War on Venezuela is Part of Wider War on Multipolarism

▪️Neocon Lindsey Graham praises US war of aggression against Venezuela but can't help but brag about THE BIGGER PICTURE many analysts are failing to see - this is aimed DIRECTLY at China and its allies - including Russia and Iran;

▪️Venezuela primarily exported oil to China;

▪️The US is currently backing violent terrorists in the streets of Iran and preparing for another wave of attacks - Iran which exports oil primarily to China;

▪️The US is now admittedly attacking Russian oil production INSIDE Russia & tankers around the globe - Russia being China's LARGEST energy partner;

▪️The US has been attacking Chinese Belt and Road Initiative infrastructure for years now!

▪️This is shaping toward a total blockade and containment of China;

▪️The US is erasing all red lines and putting the world on notice - it insists it will win against China and if you don't submit to the US you will end up like Venezuela;
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There is a peculiar recurring daydream that surfaces in certain Western corners of the internet, comment sections, and late-night geopolitical threads: the vision of Chinese and Russian warships steaming into the Caribbean to save Venezuela, or squadrons of Su-57s and J-20s flying to Iran.
This compensatory fantasy draws on the quintessential trope of salvation in Westerns: the trumpet blasts and the cavalry appears. These sofa strategists expect Moscow and Beijing to militarily engage a nuclear power on a matter of principle, that is to put the bully in his place. The rescue fantasy persists because it satisfies several deep psychological and ideological needs at once. That is, it offers the satisfying narrative arc of hubris followed by a dramatic comeuppance and provides a ready-made deus ex machina that allows one to magically outsource popular resistance against the Western regimes that make their lives miserable to an imaginary, almighty anti‑imperialist knight.
The reality is more prosaic. Neither Caracas nor Tehran labors under any illusion that Russian or Chinese troops will intervene to preserve their governments. They do receive help: weapons, intelligence, oil contracts, UN vetoes, and the continued existence of alternative payment systems. What they do not expect, and have never been promised, is the cavalry charge.
@LauraRuHK
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C’è un peculiare sogno che ricorre nelle pieghe occidentali di internet, nelle sezioni commenti e nei thread geopolitici notturni: la visione di navi da guerra cinesi e russe che solcano i mari per salvare il Venezuela, o di squadriglie di Su‑57 e J‑20 in volo verso l’Iran.

Questa fantasia compensatoria attinge al tropo classico del salvataggio in extremis popolarizzato dai film western: squillano le trombe e appare la cavalleria. Questi strateghi da divano si aspettano che Mosca e Pechino si impegnino militarmente contro una potenza nucleare per una questione di principio, cioè per dare una lezione agli Stati Uniti. La fantasia del salvataggio persiste perché soddisfa al tempo stesso diversi bisogni psicologici e ideologici. Offre infatti l’arco narrativo gratificante della hybris seguita da una meritata punizione e fornisce un deus ex machina che consente di delegare la resistenza popolare contro i regimi occidentali che rendono miserabile la loro vita ad un onnipotente cavaliere anti‑imperialista,

La realtà è molto più prosaica. Né Caracas né Teheran coltivano l’illusione che truppe russe o cinesi interverranno per preservare i loro governi. Ricevono sì aiuti: armi, intelligence, contratti petroliferi, veti all’ONU e la continuazione di sistemi di pagamento alternativi. Ciò che non si aspettano, e che non è mai stato promesso, è la carica della cavalleria. @LauraRuHK
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Don’t we all wish we had supernatural powers, the kind of powers that exist in the world of fiction? Military strategy is not based on wishful thinking, although some European leaders seem to operate under this dangerous illusion with regards to the conflict in Ukraine. China and Russia operate within the realm of what is realistically possible. That is why they have military cooperation and strategic partnership with several friendly countries, but cooperation hasn't been elevated to a military alliance or a defense pact. Neither China nor Russia has military bases in Venezuela, how on earth could they “intervene more forcefully” as some Netizens demand? Suggestions should fall within the scope of the possible rather than the desirable. Non-military, or asymmetric, responses offer an avenue and will likely be pursued with determination. In an influential 2016 article, Fyodor Lukyanov wrote: "the reconstruction of the world order that began at the beginning of this decade will continue to gather momentum, characterized by chaos until the new order emerges by 2030."

Putin himself has frequently emphasized that the world is entering "a new era of fundamental changes" with an "unpredictable global structure" emerging as old systems fade. All global powers are focusing on strengthening their military-industrial base and securing the resources to do so. Beijing and Moscow understand the sense of urgency but act according to their long-term plans, without fanfare. The only major power that acts outside the law and ignores the consequences of its actions is the United States.
By now it should be abundantly clear that American and Chinese approaches differ enormously. For instance, China's 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) emphasizes high-quality growth to boost its domestic market and strategic adaptation, likely accelerating the current re-orientation of its exports (still a key driver of its economy) to the Global South. At present, the West—broadly defined as developed economies like the US, EU countries, Japan -—remains China's single largest collective market. The welfare and prosperity of Chinese citizens depend to a large extent on foreign trade. That is why Beijing won’t embark on any adventure that could jeopardize the economic and social stability of China. Time will tell which approach is more sensible. @LauraRuHK
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Non desideriamo forse tutti di avere poteri soprannaturali, quei poteri che esistono solo nel mondo della finzione letteraria e cinematografica? La strategia militare non si basa solo sui desiderata, sebbene alcuni leader europei sembrino operare sotto questa pericolosa illusione riguardo al conflitto in Ucraina. Cina e Russia agiscono entro il perimetro di ciò che è realisticamente possibile. Ecco perché intrattengono cooperazione militare e partenariati strategici con diversi paesi amici, ma tale cooperazione non è stata elevata a un’alleanza militare o a un patto di difesa. Né la Cina né la Russia hanno basi militari in Venezuela: come potrebbero mai “intervenire più energicamente”, come alcuni internauti chiedono? Le proposte dovrebbero rientrare nell’ambito del possibile, non solo del desiderabile. Risposte non militari, o asimmetriche, offrono una via e con ogni probabilità saranno perseguite con determinazione. In un influente articolo del 2016, Fyodor Lukyanov scrisse: «la ricostruzione dell’ordine mondiale iniziata all’inizio di questo decennio continuerà ad accelerare, caratterizzata dal caos fino a quando emergerà un nuovo ordine entro il 2030».

Putin stesso ha sottolineato più volte che il mondo sta entrando in «una nuova era di cambiamenti fondamentali» con una «struttura globale imprevedibile» che emerge man mano che i vecchi sistemi svaniscono. Tutte le grandi potenze globali si stanno concentrando sul rafforzamento della propria base militare-industriale e sull’assicurarsi le risorse necessarie per farlo. Pechino e Mosca comprendono il senso di urgenza ma agiscono secondo piani a lungo termine, senza clamore, senza strombazzate. L’unica grande potenza che agisce al di fuori della legge e ignorando le conseguenze delle proprie azioni, sono gli Stati Uniti. A questo punto dovrebbe ormai essere chiaro a tutti che esiste una differenza abissale tra la politica estera americana e quella cinese. Il 15° Piano Quinquennale della Cina (2026-2030) pone l’accento sulla crescita di alta qualità per rafforzare il mercato interno e sull’adattamento strategico, per accelerare l’attuale riorientamento delle esportazioni (ancora un motore chiave della sua economia) verso il Sud Globale. Al momento, l’Occidente — definito in senso ampio come le economie sviluppate quali Stati Uniti, paesi dell’UE e Giappone — rimane il più grande mercato della Cina. Il benessere e la prosperità dei cittadini cinesi dipendono in larga misura dal commercio estero. Ecco perché Pechino non intraprenderà alcuna avventura che possa mettere a repentaglio la stabilità economica e sociale della Cina. Il tempo ci dirà quale approccio sia più sensato. @LauraRuHK
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At an emergency session of the UN Security Council, Russia’s UN envoy Vassily Nebenzia condemned the US actions as “international banditry”, and slammed Washington’s hegemonistic ambitions in Latin America and its desire to gain “unlimited control over natural resources” as neo-colonialism and imperialism. https://russiaun.ru/en/news/05012026 Like Russia and China, the Global Majority is appalled by Washington’s predatory actions, and the more reckless the hegemon becomes, the greater its isolation. Recent 2025 polls show declining favorability toward the US, with significant drops among allies and in parts of the Global South, low confidence in US leadership, and rising perceptions of the country as unreliable and destabilizing.
Resentment is growing, which doesn't bode well for the US. Washington under Trump may have embraced Machiavelli's Madman Theory, projecting an image of irrationality, unpredictability, or extreme volatility to intimidate adversaries and make threats more credible. But Machiavelli in The Prince warned about the dangers of any behaviour that provokes hatred. Although he advises that it is better for a ruler to be feared than loved if both cannot be achieved, crucially, the ruler must avoid being hated—since hatred provokes backlash and rebellion. Applied to Washington, the ideal balance of soft power (love/admiration) and hard power (fear/respect) has eroded. From a Machiavellian perspective, this slide toward widespread resentment invites a consolidation and expansion of counter-alliances. @LauraRuHK
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Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning today responded to US State Department claims that 'non-Hemispheric competitors' should get out of Venezuela: "This is OUR Hemisphere, and President Trump will not allow our security to be threatened." https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202601/1352548.shtml It's easy to see why China rejects Washington's resurrection of the Monroe Doctrine. From Beijing’s perspective, the "spheres of influence" model is outdated, undermines global peace and prosperity, ignores the interconnected nature of today’s world and runs counter to China’s vision of shared security and cooperative development, embodied in initiatives like the Belt and Road. While proponents argue that spheres of influence might bring stability by clarifying zones of control, China sees them as fundamentally flawed and disproportionately harmful to its interests. A system of rigid divisions would confine China largely to Asia, restricting access to other markets and natural resources. It would also heighten regional tensions with neighbors and coalitions like the Quad, increase the risk of encirclement and leave China exposed to sanctions and blockades. In short, the "Donroe Doctrine", which comes with a side dish of mafia-style warnings, is yet another ruse by the US to weaken China after the failure of previous attempts. @LauraRuHK
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La portavoce del Ministero degli Esteri cinese Mao Ning ha risposto oggi alle affermazioni del Dipartimento di Stato americano secondo cui i “competitori non emisferici” dovrebbero lasciare il Venezuela: «Questo è il NOSTRO Emisfero, e il Presidente Trump non permetterà che la nostra sicurezza venga minacciata.» https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202601/1352548.shtml

È facile capire perché la Cina respinga la resurrezione da parte di Washington della Dottrina Monroe. Dal punto di vista di Pechino, il modello delle “sfere di influenza” è obsoleto, mina la pace e la prosperità globali, ignora la natura interconnessa del mondo odierno e contrasta con la visione cinese di sicurezza condivisa e sviluppo cooperativo, incarnata da iniziative come la Belt and Road. Sebbene i sostenitori di questo modello affermino che le sfere di influenza possano portare maggiore stabilità chiarendo le zone di controllo, la Cina le considera fondamentalmente obsolete e sproporzionatamente dannose per i propri interessi. Un sistema di divisioni rigide confinerebbe la Cina principalmente in Asia, limitando l’accesso ad altri mercati e risorse naturali. Inoltre, accrescerebbe le tensioni regionali con i vicini e con coalizioni come il Quad, aumenterebbe il rischio di accerchiamento e lascerebbe la Cina esposta a sanzioni e blocchi delle rotte commerciali. La cosiddetta “Dottrina Donroe”, con contorno di avvertimenti mafiosi, non rappresenta altro che l’ennesimo tentativo degli Stati Uniti di indebolire la Cina dopo il fallimento di quelli precedenti. @LauraRuHK
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The Trump administration’s latest moves mark a dramatic escalation in US unilateralism and military posturing.
In rapid succession, Washington seized two Russian‑flagged oil tankers in international waters, a violation of international maritime law that fits the definition of piracy.

Unhinged warmonger Lindsey Graham announced after meeting with Trump that the president had given the "green light" to advance a long-stalled bill that would impose secondary sanctions on countries (such as China, India, and Brazil) that continue purchasing Russian energy exports.

The US withdrew from 66 international organizations, agencies, and commissions, including 31 UN-affiliated bodies, marking a retreat from global cooperation, isolating the US further.

Any potential savings will be poured into a colossal military budget. Yesterday Trump unveiled plans to boost the defense budget to an unprecedented $1.5 trillion for 2027, a 66% jump from the current $901 billion. The proposed increase, described by Trump as essential for building a “dream army” in “troubled and dangerous times,” would be the largest single‑year surge in US history. Funds are expected to flow into modernization, nuclear forces, missile defense, and overall readiness, with the stated goal of deterring rivals like China, Russia, and Iran.

These confrontational moves follow the military raid in Venezuela, where US forces kidnapped President Nicolás Maduro, and underpin a revised "America First” strategy that favors coercion, blackmail and raw power projection.

"Peace through strength"? More like delusions of strength through chaos.

@LauraRuHK
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The declaration signed by the so-called Coalition of the Willing, led by the UK and France, seems designed to ensure the continuation of war in Ukraine. ➡️ Read Russia's take on it https://t.me/MFARussia/27964
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Iran's Security Council: “It is clear that those who protested economic conditions would not do anything to cause economic damage, worsen the situation, or add insecurity alongside economic problems”.
“The deployment of security and law enforcement forces is aimed at safeguarding national stability. Together with the proud and steadfast people, they thwart the schemes of Israel and its patron, the United States, ensuring a secure environment for citizens. In this effort, the security apparatus and judiciary will show no leniency toward saboteurs.”
@LauraRuHK
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Historic Shift: BRICS Advances to Multilateral Naval Cooperation

From January 9 to 16, 2026, a China-led joint naval exercise named "Will for Peace 2026" is underway in South African waters.
This is the first time BRICS countries engage in multilateral military cooperation. In addition to Russia, China, and South Africa, Iran, Indonesia, and Ethiopia participate in the exercises.
The South African National Defence Force describes the drills as an intensive program of joint maritime safety operations, interoperability exercises, counter-terrorism and rescue scenarios, anti-sea strike drills, and efforts to safeguard key shipping lanes and maritime economic activities. The official theme — "Joint Actions to Ensure the Safety of Shipping and Maritime Economic Activities" — underscores a focus on protecting trade routes from non-traditional threats like piracy, without targeting any specific third party.
@LauraRuHK
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Svolta storica per i BRICS

Dal 9 al 16 gennaio 2026 è in corso, nelle acque sudafricane, un’esercitazione navale congiunta guidata dalla Cina e denominata “Will for Peace 2026”.
È la prima volta che i paesi BRICS si impegnano in una cooperazione militare multilaterale. Oltre a Russia, Cina e Sudafrica, partecipano alle manovre anche Iran, Indonesia ed Etiopia.

La Forza di Difesa Nazionale sudafricana descrive le esercitazioni come un programma intensivo di operazioni congiunte per la sicurezza marittima, esercizi di interoperabilità, scenari di contro‑terrorismo e soccorso, manovre anti‑attacco dal mare e iniziative per proteggere rotte di navigazione e attività economiche strategiche.

Il tema ufficiale — “Azioni congiunte per garantire la sicurezza della navigazione e delle attività economiche marittime” — sottolinea l’attenzione alla protezione delle rotte commerciali da minacce non tradizionali ma sempre piu' attuali come le azioni di pirateria. @LauraRuHK
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