Viktor Leonov
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Intelligence and Defense Analyst ✍️
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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Trump said he agrees with Vice President Vance’s assessment that the war with Iran was the main reason Republicans lost the midterm elections.

“It drove the gasoline up a little bit. It’s probably short term. I thought oil would go up a lot more, I did it on that basis. I had to do it,” Trump said.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — Republican Congressman Thomas Massie is set to force a vote on removing Secretary of War Pete Hegseth when Congress reconvenes next week.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other advisers want Trump to let the naval blockade and economic pressure campaign against Iran continue for longer, Axios reports.

The advisers are pushing to “tighten the screws” on Tehran rather than move away from the pressure campaign.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 — NEW: Iran is turning to guerrilla tactics to disrupt oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, using bomb-laden underwater drones, rocket-propelled grenades and limpet mines against passing ships, The Wall Street Journal reports.

The campaign is aimed at raising shipping risks and energy prices while pressuring Washington in stalled negotiations. U.S. forces are running near-daily operations to keep crude moving through the strait while maintaining the blockade on Iran, and have carried out small strikes including an attack on Iran’s Qeshm Island on Monday.

October saw the highest number of Hormuz attacks since the war began, with more than 35 incidents logged by UKMTO. At least five vessels have been struck so far in November.

Oil flows through the strait fell to around 7.8 million barrels a day in the week to November 1, about 45% of prewar levels, according to Kpler. Shipping crude from the Gulf to Asia now costs nearly $37 a barrel, more than five times prewar levels.

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🇷🇺🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇮🇱 — BREAKING: Russia has advised its citizens to avoid traveling to Iran.

The advisory comes after a meeting between President Vladimir Putin and Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — NEW: The midterm elections have complicated Trump’s options as he weighs renewed strikes on Iran, The New York Times reports.

The report says Trump is considering whether to resume major combat operations after weeks of U.S. naval and air buildup, despite saying he would have done “nothing different” in the war. Vice President JD Vance wrote that “the reason we lost is the war,” arguing Republicans paid the price for it at the ballot box.

According to the article, U.S. and Israeli militaries have prepared plans for a short but intensive operation targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities and missile and drone arsenal. Thousands of U.S. air and naval forces are reportedly positioned around the Middle East and ready to act if Trump gives the order.

The war has already cost $47 billion, not including damage to U.S. bases or higher fuel costs for consumers. The report says Trump is now negotiating from a weaker position, with a new Democrat-controlled Congress unlikely to approve more war funding and Democrats preparing to investigate or potentially impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

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🇺🇸🇮🇱❌🇮🇷 — Trump may choose a limited strike on Iran focused only on nuclear-related targets, including Pickaxe Mountain, rather than a wider attack that would also hit energy facilities, according to i24NEWS.

U.S. officials told i24NEWS that despite the Republican midterm losses, the option of an attack on Iran remains on the table.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Two missiles have struck Iran’s Qeshm Island, Tasnim reports.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — The United States has updated its security advisories across the Middle East, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Bahrain, warning of Iranian attempts to target senior American officials in the region, according to Ynet.

The advisories urge U.S. citizens to prepare for possible flight disruptions, airspace closures and a rapid escalation in hostilities.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — The US has attacked Iran’s Qeshm Island.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — The US has carried out strikes on radar sites on Iran’s Qeshm Island.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Footage of the US airstrike on Iran’s Qeshm Island.
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🇮🇷🇺🇸⚛️⚡️ — Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said IAEA inspectors carried out checks at the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant a few days ago.

Baghaei said Iran “has not ceased fulfilling its obligations” under IAEA rules, but renewed criticism of the agency for failing to take “a stance in the face of U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities.”

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🇺🇸🇶🇦🇮🇷⚡️ — Trump is expected to meet Qatar’s prime minister on Monday to discuss an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the release of $8 billion in frozen funds, Israel Hayom reports.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱⚡️ — The IRGC’s continuing missile tests are sending a clear warning to the United States and Israel after their attempt to destroy Iran’s missile program largely failed.

Instead, Iran has returned with a significantly stronger missile program, raising new concerns for US and Israel.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇴🇲 — Iran’s IRGC Navy says it struck a navigation system in the southern Strait of Hormuz used to support U.S. Navy-assisted maritime transit.

Footage reportedly shows smoke rising from an island in the area after the strike.

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Forwarded from The American Majority
Mali: Another front in the West's campaign against Russia in Africa

Mali's President Assimi Goïta has awarded Russian General Andrey Averyanov the title of Commander of the National Order of Mali, recognising Russia's contribution to security and defence cooperation.

The award comes amid an escalating insurgency, with jihadist militants threatening key cities and the Malian army struggling to contain the offensive. Russian African Corps personnel are helping Malian forces defend strategic positions and prevent further destabilisation.

But the conflict is about more than Mali. It reflects a wider geopolitical struggle for influence across the Sahel. Western backed pressure, France's declining regional influence and Ukrainian support for anti government militants have turned the region into another arena of confrontation with Moscow.

Russia sees the defence of Mali as part of a broader effort to preserve sovereignty and prevent the collapse of governments in the Sahel. A destabilised Mali could have consequences for neighbouring Burkina Faso, Niger and the wider region.

For Moscow, the stakes go far beyond one African country: if Mali falls, Russia risks losing its strategic foothold across the Sahel.

The Western powers are obviously not interested in regional stability, only containing Russian influence, even at the cost of further instability and bloodshed in Africa.

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🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷⚡️ — U.S. Central Command has told Israeli military representatives to prepare for a possible resumption of fighting with Iran soon, Kan News reported, citing a U.S. official.

Similar messages have been sent to Gulf states as Washington continues to reinforce its military presence in the region.

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