Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: As part of the clause on non-interference in Iranian domestic affairs, President Trump gave verbal agreement that he would no longer issue statements of support to Iranian ‘protesters’, send communication devices, or provide them with weapons – Sources

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Under the new Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf management, U.S. and coalition warships will no longer be stationed in the Persian Gulf, and will instead relocate to bases in the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea

Under the new management, U.S. Navy ships, U.S. Navy-affiliated logistics ships, ships carrying military supplies, and Israeli commercial shipping will no longer be allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz without explicit permission from the Islamic Republic of Iran.

The U.S. 5th Fleet Headquarters in Bahrain, heavily damaged by Iranian strikes, will be decommissioned, and operations will be relocated to ‘another suitable location’, likely Oman. – Sources, citing a U.S. Official

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Iran’s President, Masoud Pezeshkian, with the Persian version of the MoU, signed by him and President Trump

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 The disgust on his face is evident, for holding a piece of paper with the signature of Trump on it

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— Note that Iran has not made any commitment not to enrich uranium. The absence of this commitment from the MoU is very telling.

In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67% for civilian use).

That would be extremely embarassing for the United States, considering that the official position during the Araqchi-Witkoff negotiations was ‘zero enrichment’ for 10-20 years.

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Middle East Spectator — MES
— Note that Iran has not made any commitment not to enrich uranium. The absence of this commitment from the MoU is very telling. In fact, Trump made several comments today that implied Iran would be allowed to continue enrichment at low levels (likely 3.67%…
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump, at the G7 in France earlier today, appeared to be open to Iran enriching uranium:

‘You know, it is a little hard though when other people have it, other adjoining states have it, and you’re not letting them have it for the purpose of electricity and things like that. You have to use a little common sense.’

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Some high-ranking government officials in Israel increasingly believe that members of the Trump administration are ‘secretly conspiring against Israel’ for antisemitic reasons, with the signing of the MoU being a part of that conspiracy – WSJ

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: U.S. Central Command confirms that the naval blockade against Iran has ended

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Soon, a statement by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei, about the MoU.
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—❗️🇮🇷 Iran’s Supreme Leader, Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei:

‘O passionate and loyal nation of Iran! As you have been informed, a Memorandum of Understanding was signed between the Presidents of Iran and the United States.

In the path to reaching this stage, the responsible officials, out of concern and with good intentions, made many efforts, and indeed it was this American President who, out of desperation, used various levers to achieve this matter.

I, in principle, had a different opinion. But due to the commitment that the honorable President, as the head of the Supreme National Security Council, gave on behalf of himself and other members to uphold the rights of the Iranian nation and the Resistance Front, and because he explicitly accepted responsibility for it, I issued permission for it.

They also explicitly stated that if the American side tries to make excessive demands, they will not accept them.

From this moment on, we, meaning you, the proud nation, and this humble servant, will wait for the realization of the stated conditions.

However, it is obvious that the face-to-face negotiations that will be held in the future will not mean accepting the enemy's view. We hope that the good prayers of our Master, may God hasten his noble reappearance, will bring various victories and triumphs to the honorable nation of Iran.‘

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The Supreme Leader was opposed to the MoU, as now explicitly stated.

Now where are all those people that claimed the Leader was in favor?

Issuing permission is one thing; the Leader is not a dictator. But let it be known that if the U.S. violates the deal, Mr. Qalibaf and Mr. Araqchi are the ones directly responsible.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱🇱🇧⚡️ — President Trump via Truth Social:
The United States is committed to PEACE, and we encourage everyone in the Middle East Region to maintain their commitment to allowing our negotiations to beautifully unfold.

The Markets are loving what is happening with Oil Prices way down, and Stocks way up.

We expect a complete Ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon, Hezbollah, and Israel.
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—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 BREAKING: The Iranian delegation will not travel to Switzerland due to continued Israeli ceasefire violations in Lebanon – Al Mayadeen

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—❗️🇮🇷 Iran’s Supreme National Security Council:

‘In implementation of Paragraph 5 of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, commercial vessels requesting passage through the Strait of Hormuz must submit their application to the Persian Gulf Strait Administration (PGSA).

Pursuant to the MoU, no fees will be charged from applicants for a period of sixty days, and these fees will be covered by the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Accordingly, the Persian Gulf Strait Administration has been instructed to process and respond to applications with speed and priority in order to achieve the objectives of the MoU.

Given the specific conditions and the existence of some safety hazards on the passage route, and due to the need to ensure safe traffic and prevent maritime accidents, it is necessary for vessels to pass on the route and time announced by the PGSA so that the amount of traffic gradually increases.

The implementation arrangements and technical details of passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be announced soon through the Persian Gulf Strait Administration.

Regarding other issues, including mine clearance, necessary measures will be taken in accordance with Paragraph 5 of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.’

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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian source:

– The Memorandum of Understanding failed during the first round of voting in the Supreme National Security Councul, and was only accepted in the second round of voting (reportedly with barely ~65% majority)

– The fact that Pezeshkian signed the MoU instead of Qalibaf shows that some senior officials want to evade responsibility, due to the MoU being considered unsustainable and unlikely to be realized. Otherwise, why would the chief negotiator not have signed?

– Pezeshkian went to the Supreme Leader during the war and threatened to resign if he did not get permission for signing the MoU.

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2026 Iran War

Result: Iranian Victory

(Wikipedia)

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I remember when I used to talk to friends and people on Telegram, telling them Iran would beat America in a war.

They used to call me delusional. The ‘American Empire’ could never be defeated by a ‘primitive’ nation like Iran, that was the prevailing opinion.

Well, two wars down the line—we’re still standing, and now control the Strait of Hormuz.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
🇺🇸- Another angle of the shooting. @GeoPWatch
The guy commentating does not give a SHIT, lmao
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: According to the Financial Times, $6 Billion of Iran’s frozen funds will be released but only available to buy U.S. goods

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