#mains2025


🔴 High Alert for UPSC Mains 2025
#GS2 #InternationalRelations #mains2025

❓ Expected Mains Question (GS2 – IR):
“Discuss the key drivers of conflict in West Asia and analyze their implications for India’s strategic, economic, and energy security interests.” (15 marks)

🔍 Why this is HIGHLY probable (2025 relevance):

🛢️ Energy Shock: Israeli strikes on Iran → 9% oil price surge; India imports 80% of oil, risking energy security & inflation.

🌊 Hormuz Risk: 20% of global oil via Strait of Hormuz; any closure = major supply disruption.

🪖 Proxy Warfare: Iran vs. Israel fuels conflict across Gaza, Syria, Yemen; risks to Indian diaspora & remittances (3% of GDP).

📉 Trade Impact: India’s exports to Israel down 63.5% in H1 2024; Iran trade also hit. Freight costs up 20% due to Red Sea risks.

🕊️ Geopolitical Shift: China’s 2023 Saudi-Iran deal shows growing influence; India’s multi-alignment strategy tested.

@target30upsc

#mains2025