ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 20 20:00-Jun 21 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +25.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +21.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +18.3c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 21 20:00-Jun 22 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?
Lula da Silva, 5-10%
Peak net: +32.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +18.3c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
:: Director of the FBI
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 22 20:00-Jun 23 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
:: Director of the FBI
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +9.3c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
:: Director of the FBI
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro
Peak net: +12.5c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 23 20:00-Jun 24 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
:: Director of the FBI
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro
Peak net: +12.5c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Flávio Bolsonaro
Peak net: +12.5c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 24 20:00-Jun 25 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +9.0c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 25 20:00-Jun 26 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +29.0c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 26 20:00-Jun 27 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open