ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 24 20:00-Jul 25 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +39.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +20.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jul 24 20:00-Jul 25 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +39.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +20.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 25 20:00-Jul 26 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jul 25 20:00-Jul 26 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 26 20:00-Jul 27 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +55.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.5c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jul 26 20:00-Jul 27 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +55.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.5c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 27 20:00-Jul 28 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +52.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +47.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jul 27 20:00-Jul 28 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +52.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +47.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 28 20:00-Jul 29 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +51.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jul 28 20:00-Jul 29 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +51.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +33.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 29 20:00-Jul 30 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +52.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jul 29 20:00-Jul 30 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +52.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.