ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 30 20:00-Jul 31 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +51.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +38.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +23.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +23.5c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.5c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 31 20:00-Aug 1 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +42.7c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +27.2c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Opinion
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.5c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 1 20:00-Aug 2 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +38.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +20.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +38.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,250 to 1,499.99
Peak net: +18.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 2 20:00-Aug 3 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +49.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +42.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +19.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +49.0c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +48.0c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 3 20:00-Aug 4 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +48.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +40.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +21.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +40.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +24.0c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 4 20:00-Aug 5 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +47.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +40.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +24.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,250 to 1,499.99
Peak net: +12.6c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +47.3c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 5 20:00-Aug 6 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +47.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +39.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +22.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,250 to 1,499.99
Peak net: +11.2c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open