ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +59.6c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 20 20:00-Aug 21 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +77.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
2. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +59.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +18.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +59.6c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +18.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 21 20:00-Aug 22 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +59.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +17.7c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +9.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +17.7c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +21.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 22 20:00-Aug 23 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +21.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +9.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +9.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.2c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +14.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 23 20:00-Aug 24 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +18.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +18.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +19.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.7c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 24 20:00-Aug 25 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
2:: 50 bps
Peak net: +86.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Opinion NO
Open
2. Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
2:: 50 bps
Peak net: +86.5c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +20.0c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 25 20:00-Aug 26 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +61.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +19.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?
3:: 75 bps
Peak net: +17.5c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Opinion
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +62.4c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open