Polygon is poised to announce an upcoming development. Further details are available here.

Yield on US 30-year bonds surpasses 5.70% for the first time in 24 years.

Yields continue to climb, sparking mounting concern in financial markets. Treasury prices tumbled, with long-term maturities reaching new peaks not seen in 24 years. The yields on the 10- and 30-year bonds each rose by at least 7 basis points, now standing at 5.34 percent and 5.7 percent respectively—levels not seen since 2002. Shorter-dated Treasuries also posted gains, rising by 2 to 4 basis points.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has highlighted that a major challenge confronting the nation is a deficiency in refinery capacity.

Western nations are preparing contingency plans to relocate their embassies from Kyiv should security conditions further deteriorate, according to The Guardian. Potential moves include transferring diplomatic offices to Lviv or eastern regions of Poland. A diplomat indicated, "The situation is clearly deteriorating rapidly." Concurrently, Poland is intensifying its military readiness, establishing a legal framework to streamline response procedures in the event of a significant escalation.

The director of the International Energy Agency forecasts an impending uptick in global inflation, driven by a significant rise in diesel fuel prices.

The Trump administration's national security team engaged in comprehensive discussions concerning Iran and Yemen, according to Axios reports. President Trump reaffirmed his stance that the ongoing conflicts will be resolved in the near term, anticipating a resolution shortly after the upcoming midterm elections. He also projected a subsequent decline in oil prices. In Iran, analysts foresee a potential escalation of hostilities beginning in November, contingent upon the outcome of the U.S. congressional midterms.

UAE Attorney General Indicates Flydubai Incident Under Investigation as Potential Terror Attempt

The incident involving a Flydubai aircraft is currently under investigation, with authorities suspecting potential terrorist involvement. The co-pilot, an Omani national, reportedly held extremist views. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has raised the possibility of an "Iranian connection" to the unfolding situation.

The TRUMP team has transacted approximately 81.87 million TRUMP tokens on centralized exchanges over the past eight months, with an average transaction price of $3.04, amounting to roughly $249 million in total value. Originally, the team was allocated 80% of the total supply, equating to 800 million TRUMP, and currently holds approximately 718 million tokens.

The TRUMP team has executed the transfer of approximately 81.87 million TRUMP tokens on centralized exchanges over the past eight months, at an average trading price of $3.04, representing an aggregate value of roughly $249 million. Of the total 800 million TRUMP tokens initially allocated to the team—constituting 80% of the total supply—they currently retain approximately 718 million.

This year, investors who acquired Bitcoin during the 2025 rally are demonstrating heightened liquidity, with daily sales volumes at their peak. Conversely, holders who accumulated during the downturn remain largely inactive, indicating a divergence in holding behavior amid market cycles.

glassnode reports that this year, retail investors who entered during the 2025 rally are exhibiting heightened selling activity, liquidating their holdings daily. Conversely, investors who acquired Bitcoin during the downturn remain entrenched, with negligible disposition of their assets.

📆 Key Events for the Upcoming Week

Monday, October 5:
Unlocks: Ethena (#ENA) - 1.15% ($40.29 million)
XEQM (#XEQM Labs) activates hard fork 22
Starknet network update by #strk
Nillion (#NIL) to launch Blacklight L1 mainnet
PNT (#PNT) Token Generation Event
TOKEN2049 conference begins in Singapore
S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) at 16:45 Moscow time
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (Sep) at 17:00 Moscow time
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) at 17:00 Moscow time

Tuesday, October 6:
Ethereum Sepolia network update via Glamsterdam
iShares Ethereum Trust (#ETHA) undergoes reverse split of 1 for 3
Monad (#MON) introduces new privacy features for institutional users
Derive (#DRV) launches version 3 of its platform
Safe (#SAFE) to introduce “Safe Pro”
Cloud (#CLOUD) plans to burn 25% of its total supply
OnTact (#ONTACT) initiates ongoing token redemption and burning cycle

Wednesday, October 7:
Aptos (#APT) resets testnet to a new initial block
Vader (#VADER) distributes rewards to eligible users
Crude Oil Inventories release at 17:30 Moscow time
10-Year Note Auction scheduled for 20:00 Moscow time
FOMC Meeting Minutes published at 21:00 Moscow time

Thursday, October 8:
Stable (#STABLE) unlocks: 0.89% ($23.59 million)
WHUF (#WHUF) token generation event
Initial Jobless Claims data at 15:30 Moscow time
30-Year Bond Auction at 20:00 Moscow time

Friday, October 9:
Adi (#ADI) unlocks: 0.70% ($56.89 million)
TOKEN2049 concludes in Singapore

Saturday, October 10:
Papertrade (#PAPER) launches on Hyperliquid
Tradoor (#TRADOOR) conducts final distribution from Victims Fund

Sunday, October 11:
NEAR Protocol (#NEAR) community votes on proposal to double issuance interval to 1.6% every 24 months

#Calendar #CAreport CAbot

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Barron's Style Version:

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Glassnode reports that the largest concentration of liquidations for Bitcoin occurs near the $90,000 level. Traders with leveraged short positions will be forced to close if the price reaches this threshold. Additionally, smaller clusters have emerged around $83,000 and $75,000 over the past two months, each representing potential catalysts for notable price movements.

Weekend Summary and Upcoming Events for Tomorrow. Details available at https://t.me/airdrop6/2147483647.

Bitcoin exhibits a declining amplitude in its oscillations relative to the Power Law line over the past decade. The oscillator’s peak values have diminished from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, while its daily change standard deviation has contracted by 49%, from 4.81 to 2.47 points. As of October 3, the oscillator registers at +34.5, with the BTC price at $84,700.

Model parameters as of October 3 indicate that a threshold of +100 aligns with a valuation of approximately $157,800, representing an 86% premium over current levels. This benchmark serves as a reference point; assuming stable regression parameters, it is anticipated to rise in tandem with the Power Law trajectory.

Bitcoin exhibits diminishing volatility relative to its Power Law metric over the past decade. The oscillator’s peak values have declined from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, while the standard deviation of daily changes has fallen by 49%, down from 4.81 to 2.47 points. As of October 3, the oscillator registered at +34.5, with Bitcoin trading at approximately $84,700.

Model projections from October 3 indicate that a +100 oscillator threshold correlates with a valuation of $157,800, representing an 86% premium over current levels. This threshold serves as a benchmark; provided model parameters remain stable, further increases are anticipated in tandem with advancements along the Power Law trajectory.

Saudi Aramco Reports Critical Oil Reserve Levels, Estimates Up to Two Years for Replenishment