Bitcoin shows signs of stabilization, with recent data indicating decreased volatility around the Power Law line over the past decade. The oscillator’s peak values have diminished from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, reflecting a narrowing of fluctuations. The standard deviation of daily movements has nearly halved, falling from 4.81 to 2.47 points—a 49% reduction. As of October 3, the oscillator registers at +34.5, while Bitcoin’s price hovers around $84,700.

Model parameters as of October 3 suggest that a threshold of +100 correlates with a price of approximately $157,800, representing an 86% increase over the current valuation. This level functions as a reference point; should the regression parameters remain constant, the projected price will climb in tandem with the ascending Power Law line.

Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil producer, has announced that global oil reserves are currently at critically low levels. The company estimates that it could take up to two years to restore the supply to previous levels.

🇯🇵 #BTC In the third quarter, Metaplanet increased its holdings by 1,000 BTC, bringing its total to 44,000 BTC. coindesk.com

The Bitcoin strategy purchased 334 bitcoins last week.

Ethereum miner Bitmine has acquired 15,112 ETH over the past week.

The US Treasury has withdrawn two longstanding proposals by the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) related to cryptocurrency wallets and mixing services.

Profitability remains robust in the Bitcoin market, with nearly 75 percent of the circulating supply in profit, according to a recent Glassnode report. Both unrealized gains among short-term holders and realized gains are substantially higher than previous peaks. Despite a decline in derivatives positions and waning ETF demand, Bitcoin's price has maintained its gains. Meanwhile, blockchain activity, new capital inflows, and profit-taking continue to demonstrate significant momentum, underscoring resilience amid shifting market dynamics.

Glassnode report: Profitability remains robust, with nearly 75% of Bitcoin supply in profit. Both unrealized gains for short-term holders and realized gains have surged well above previous peaks. Despite a decline in derivatives positions and waning ETF demand, the price has maintained its gains. Meanwhile, blockchain activity, new capital inflows, and profit-taking continue to be strong.

The Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has taken a significant step toward regulating the cryptocurrency market, despite the absence of federal legislation. Chairman Michael S. Selig announced the introduction of the agency’s first set of rules, aiming to establish a comprehensive framework for cryptocurrency trading within the United States.

These regulations—which include the "Rules for Regulating Trading in Cryptocurrency Assets" (Regulation CTX) and the "Rules for Regulating the Cryptocurrency Market" (Regulation CAM)—seek to oversee CFTC-registered exchanges handling digital assets. Selig emphasized that, unlike the pending Clarity Bill, these rules do not require crypto assets to be traded exclusively on platforms registered with the CFTC, citing legislative limitations on the agency’s authority. Nevertheless, crypto exchanges wishing to operate under a unified federal regulatory system are encouraged to register voluntarily.

Furthermore, unlike state-licensed exchanges, those adhering to these new federal rules will be permitted to offer services such as margin trading, leverage, and financing to retail customers, marking a notable shift in the regulatory landscape.

Polygon has sparked interest.

Today's summary and upcoming events.

Today's Summary and Tomorrow's Events - https://t.me/airdrops3/2147483647

Developer Ingrad, which was acquired by Sminex in 2024, will delist from the Moscow Exchange following an extraordinary shareholders' meeting, according to RIA. The company, primarily engaged in project development, is shifting away from its public status. With less than 2 percent of its shares traded publicly, Ingrad announced, "The public capital market is no longer part of our business model."

Yemen's Houthi rebels have declared that Saudi Arabia's airspace will serve as a battleground. This announcement underscores escalating geopolitical tensions in the region, raising concerns over aviation security and regional stability in the Middle East.

Europe faces a harsh winter amid high energy prices, stated European Commission spokesperson Anna-Kaisa Itkonen.

Former President Trump intends to engage with the Treasury Department to explore ways to lower diesel prices, reports Politico.

Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey have convened an emergency meeting of the Makkah Alliance's defense committee, according to the Pakistani Foreign Ministry. The three nations have committed to deploying armed forces and resources swiftly to Saudi Arabia. Member states of the Makkah Agreement will activate a collective deterrence mechanism to safeguard the kingdom.

Iran did not load any tankers last month, according to Bessent.

Russian authorities have begun registering the first official participants in the cryptocurrency sector. Banks have led the way, submitting applications to operate within the new framework. Strict regulations now govern their activities, capping investments in cryptocurrencies at one percent of their capital. Read more.

In the third quarter of 2026, ETH outperformed the S&P 500 index and numerous other assets, displaying robust growth despite elevated yields, soaring oil prices, and a hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, according to Tom Lee. The analyst had previously forecasted that ETH could experience substantial gains over the next year, with potential to exceed $10,000.