🇺🇸 #macro Powell (this post may be updated):
- The prevailing political climate allows for a cautious, wait-and-see stance;
- The DKP maintains a favorable position;
- Economic conditions remain stable.

🇺🇸👀 #Macro USA (March):
- Unemployment rate: 4.3% (previously: 4.4%);
- Nonfarm Payrolls: 178,000 (previously: -92,000)

🇺🇸📊 #Macro As the #FOMC convenes today at 21:00 Moscow time, Kalshi's forecasts suggest that the market now assigns only a 50 percent probability to a Fed rate cut occurring before 2027. This marks a significant decline from the 80-90 percent likelihood that was prevalent earlier this year.

⚠️🇺🇸 #macro #FOMC Federal Reserve Rate unchanged at 3.75%, in line with forecasts and previous levels.

🇺🇸👀 #macro #FOMC Federal Reserve Update
— The economy continues to expand at a strong pace; however, prospective economic trajectories remain uncertain due to ongoing developments in the Middle East.
— The Federal Reserve is ready to adjust its monetary policy should emerging risks threaten its objectives.
— Inflation remains elevated.

🇺🇸🍿 #Macro Powell has begun his address— https://t.me/bitcoinv/2147483647 (the post will be updated)

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA (April): - Unemployment rate remains steady at 4.3%. - Nonfarm payrolls increase by 115,000, a decline from the previous 178,000.

🇺🇸 Trump: Stock markets reach new all-time high. #macro

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA:
– PCE Price Index (April):
- Month-over-month: 0.4% (expected: 0.5%; previous: 0.7%)
- Year-over-year: 3.8% (expected: 3.8%; previous: 3.5%)
– Core PCE (Year-over-Year): 3.3% (expected: 3.3%; previous: 3.2%)
– Initial Jobless Claims: 215,000 (previous: 209,000)
– GDP (Q1): 1.6% (previous: 0.5%)

🇺🇸⚡️ #macro USA:
- Producer Price Index (PPI; May):
- Month-over-month: 1.1% (previous: 1.4%)
- Year-over-year: 6.5% (previous: 6%)
- Core PPI: 4.9% year-over-year (previous: 5.2%)
- Initial Jobless Claims: 229,000 (previous: 225,000)

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA:
– Retail sales for June rose by 0.2%, a slowdown from the previous increase of 0.9%.
– Initial Jobless Claims remained steady at 215,000, unchanged from the previous week.

🇺🇸👀 #macro #FOMC Fed Update:
– Three members advocated for a 25 basis point interest rate hike.
– Economic activity remains steadily expanding.
– The Federal Reserve highlighted robust labor productivity, solid employment growth, and ample reserves within the banking sector.
– Inflation persists at elevated levels, driven by external factors.

🇺🇸⚡️ #macro USA:
- Producer Price Index (PPI) for July:
- Month-over-month: 0% (previously -0.3%)
- Year-over-year: 4.7% (previously 5.5%)
- Core PPI: 4.2% year-over-year (previously 4.7%)
- Initial Jobless Claims: 199,000 (previously 199,000)

🇺🇸👀 #macro #FOMC Highlights from the Federal Reserve's recent meeting:
– Inflation continues to remain high, exerting pressure on economic stability.
– The labor market shows signs of resilience, and gross domestic product figures indicate ongoing growth.
– Projections by analysts for the coming economic activity have been revised downward compared to those from June.
– The forecasts for inflation are marked by considerable uncertainty; risks are predominantly skewed toward upward movement.
– Despite these concerns, there is an expectation that inflation will begin to decline in the second half of the year, aided by falling retail gasoline prices and a moderation in core inflation.
– Official projections suggest a continued easing of inflation into next year, as the impact of tariffs and Middle Eastern conflicts diminishes, with a target rate approaching 2% by 2028.

🇺🇸👀 #Macro USA (August):
– Unemployment Rate: 4.1% (unchanged)
– Nonfarm Payrolls: 162,000 (revised from -23,000)

⚠️🇺🇸 #macro #FOMC Federal Reserve rate: 4% (expected: 4% / previous: 3.75%)

🇺🇸👀 #macro #FOMC Federal Reserve Summary:
- The voting on the interest rate decision was unanimous.
- Numerous analysts expect at least one further rate cut in the coming months.
- Inflation remains elevated.
- Economic activity continues to expand steadily.

🇺🇸 #macro The US stock market increased by $1.2 trillion yesterday.

🇺🇸 #macro Trump calls for a ban on the export of diesel fuel from the United States.

The USA remains the world's largest exporter of diesel fuel.

🇺🇸 #macro Trump calls for a ban on the export of diesel fuel from the United States.

The US remains the world's largest exporter of diesel fuel.