Canada House Market
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change in average price of residential property across Canada.

#housingmarket #realestate #torontorealestate #realestatenews
#Inflation in #Canada falls to 7.6%.
Canada's inflation rate fell to 7.6 per cent in July, according to a report Tuesday from Statistics Canada, marking the first time in 12 months that the rate has decreased from the previous month.

In June, inflation hit a 39-year high of 8.1 per cent, with gasoline prices the single biggest contributor to the overall rate increase.

By contrast, gasoline prices declined on a monthly basis in July, according to the agency's Consumer Price Index. Consumers paid 9.2 per cent less for gasoline in July than they did in June, a monthly decline not seen since April 2020.

#mortgage #realestate #torontorealestate #realestatenews

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/inflation-rate-july-1.6552298
​For months, the market has been pricing in aggressive rate cuts. However, new geopolitical tensions (specifically the conflict involving Iran) have sent oil prices surging back toward the $100 mark.

​The Energy Spike: Higher gas and shipping prices bleed into everything—groceries, construction materials, and services.
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Unlike the U.S. Fed, the Bank of Canada is laser-focused on inflation. If headline CPI spikes toward 3% again, the "pivot" we’ve all been waiting for will be delayed.
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If they cut too early to save a stalling economy, they risk a 1970s-style "stagflation" scenario.

​1. The "Soggy" Spring Market: We are seeing a K-shaped recovery. While high-end buyers with equity are still moving, the middle class is feeling the squeeze of higher cost-of-living and debt loads. Expect inventory to sit longer as "wait-and-see" remains the dominant strategy.

​2. Mortgage Renewals are the Real Test: The "wall" of 2020-2022 renewals is hitting hard. Those who locked in at 2% are now facing 5-6% realities. This is cooling the secondary market and putting pressure on over-leveraged investors.

​3. Fixed vs. Variable Strategy: With bond yields rising due to global instability, fixed rates are already creeping up. If you’re looking to buy or renew, the window for "lower" fixed rates might be closing. The "variable" gamble—waiting for BoC cuts—is looking riskier by the day.
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​We are in a "Higher for Longer" environment 2.0. The volatility in the Middle East has effectively reset the clock on the Bank of Canada’s easing cycle.

​ Don’t wait for a 2% world that isn’t coming back this year. Focus on the product and long-term value, not just the rate.

Pricing strategy is more critical now than it was in 2024. You cannot price based on "future" rate cuts that are now being pushed to late 2026 or 2027.
​What’s your move? Are you locking in a fixed rate now, or betting that the BoC will be forced to cut to prevent a recession? Let’s discuss in the comments. 👇 read more

https://financialpost.com/news/bank-of-canada-risk-blowing-inflation

​#TorontoRealEstate #BankOfCanada #Inflation #MortgageRates #TorontoHousing #Economy2026 #RealEstateInvesting