Clément Molin
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French Analyst, following the war in Ukraine and other conflicts
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
You can find in few minutes which areas are targeted by airstrikes and which by artillery, such as here, (artillery can be both russian and ukrainian).
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY54tGXwAA-XLT.jpg
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@clement_molin
You can use theory as much as possible, it's not changing the practice of using satellite images.

I've already seen cases of smaller impacts (between artillery and FAB), which can be 203 mm, FAB 250 or MLRS, which I'm not mapping most of the time.
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Why do they need FAB strikes ? Because of these positions and bunkers in every treeline.

Now, you know more about my methodology. Thank you for following.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY6OTaX0AAtBBv.jpg
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Good thread from Playfra. With the battle for Kostiantynivka slowly reaching it's end, Russia 🇷🇺 will try to reach Drujkivka.

This city is the southern flank of Kramatorsk. An airstrike campaign is ongoing in two directions (white for may and june, red for february-april), with the aim to create gaps in the ukrainian defenses.

In general, the ukrainians have held very well these last few months outside of Kostiantynivka, especially on the western flank. I previously thought they would try to reach Drujkivka, which didn't happen, I was wrong on this one.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKZfqGfWoAEyixg.jpg Playfra (@Playfra0)

1/🧵

While the battle for #Kostyantynivka is in full swing, it's interesting to look more in-depth at the situation in 🇺🇦 Ukrainian-controlled Donbas and to understand what will come after this crucial battle, focusing on the next city in line for 🇷🇺 Russia: Druzhkivka.

🗺️Map: playframap.github.io
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKYJ4zbXYAEfZRo.jpg

— https://twitter.com/Playfra0/status/2064378204798808067#m
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Tomorrow, the war in Ukraine 🇺🇦 will have been longer than the 1st World War.

In the meantime, Ukrainian strikes on key Chonhar and Arabat bridges continue to further isolate Crimea from the land corridor with Russia.

Russian trucks and logistics often have to go all the way to the Perekop Isthme to cross into Crimea, on a long exposed road. As i explained during latest interviews, fuel trucks are not allowed on the Kerch bridge and multiple ferries cannot be used after ukrainian strikes. This let the road corridor the only suitable, but threatened road to supply Crimea with fuel, which explains the current penury.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKbhydQW0AAMiRq.jpg
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
The best way for Ukraine 🇺🇦 to slow down the Kostiantynivka offensive is to prevent the Russians 🇷🇺 from reaching Horlivka, their main logistical Hub supporting this offensive.

These drones strikes from K2 (t.me/k_2army/1269) show how a unit operating on the frontline can use the operational depth to hit crucial frontline logistics.

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https://twitter.com/pic/ext_tw_video_thumb%2F2064767375363231744%2Fpu%2Fimg%2Fcj-TnjEiPmAkhvxs.jpg

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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces have been conducting for weeks two unnoticed counter-attacks in two directions of the frontline.

With barely any geolocation, the Ukrainians kept a good level of OPSEC and the russians have been reluctant to publish videos from these areas.

In the Ivanivka region, the Ukrainians consolidated their earlier gains and pushed back the Russian army from few villages, with more disputed areas as we could see with some recent geolocations. The Ukrainians regained full control on Ivanivka and Novopavlivka, reinforcing the only new defensive line reached, which has been on the frontline for more than 8 months.

In the Lyman direction, after the May 22nd mechanized assault on Nove, the ukrainians managed to consolidate their gains as seen in recent geolocations as well as satellite images. Confirmation will probably come soon from official ukrainian outlets (probably deepstate), so I can't tell you more for now, but satellite images analysis is suggesting maps are far behind in this area.

This shows that despite apparent russian initiative, the ukrainians continue to launch multiple counter-attacks on key areas of the frontline.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKe8dhBWAAA3Nd9.jpg
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Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺

At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May. At least 5 bridges have been hit in total, which will further complicate the russian logistical situation in Crimea.
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺

At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKizQnzXsAAx8Me.jpg
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