@clement_molin
Yesterday, Ukrainian unit CODE 9.2 published a new video showing 40 strikes on multiple mid-range targets (claiming they hit 110 of those in the last week).

What is interesting here is the very high number of soldiers directly or indirectly hit by drones, most of those being seriously wounded or killed. On this video, we can count around 34 soldiers hit, which means Mid-strikes are not just targeting vehicles, but also soldiers.

Also, most of those vehicles are not truck but unarmoured vehicles used for frontline logistics. Ukraine is thus hiting both the trucks far behind and the vehicles used by units closer to the front. That's why, when you see some statistics saying Ukraine is losing more armoured vehicles than Russia (which is true), it doesn't take into account that Russia is losing a very large number of unarmoured vehicles, which are often more fatal than a MRAP.

On this video, none of the 40 vehicles can be geolocated and it shows only a small proportion of what is really happening. Also, they are using Dart drones, a ukrainian made Hornet style drone.

Video
https://twitter.com/pic/amplify_video_thumb%2F2064282841668583424%2Fimg%2FZII2-6-a499BA-Jt.jpg
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@clement_molin
I was told my methodology for airstrike mapping was wrong and that I'm seeing 152 mm artillery strikes instead of airstrikes.

This is totally false, so I will explain my methodology of how I'm mapping russian airstrikes.

🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY3AhKWAAA-3ha.jpg Delwin | Military Theorist (@DelwinStrategy)

This has nothing to do with jamming. All those impacts are from 152mm artillery located a few km behind the contact line in concealed positions. Therefore cannot be jammed and is simply the effect of recent russian artillery usage doctrines, as well as the absence of effective Ukrainian counter battery capability in the sector.
The 2:1 ratio of artillery loss is starting to decrease the ability of the AFU to field a relevant artillery presence across the entire front.
— https://twitter.com/DelwinStrategy/status/2064257580386439572#m
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@clement_molin
Here is a high res satellite image from last summer in Sumy oblast. You can clearly see the two large craters from airstrikes (which are much less numerous than the smaller artillery and mortar caliber).

Airstrikes craters are around 11 meter large, sometimes bigger, artillery around 2-3 meters.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKYpWBgXYAAHskw.jpg
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@clement_molin
To support this, here are 3 FAB impacts seen on video on june 4th, on @AndrewPerpetua 's map.

And next are those 3 strikes on June 8th satellite images.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKYxenRWwAA81c7.jpg https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKYxmqTWUAAjI-K.jpg
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@clement_molin
On sentinel-2 images, you can easily see airstrikes (in red), and barely artillery strikes impacts (depending on the fields in yellow)...
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKYyGRCWkAAA8SR.jpg
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@clement_molin
Same here with more precise images.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY0rwaWgAAvYWY.jpg
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@clement_molin
In winter, it was possible to see both artillery strikes and airstrike, you cannot compare the scale and the precision...
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY0zy2WIAAQF7N.png https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY032SXkAA4pzF.png
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@clement_molin
Another example here in a forest north of Sloviansk. Who would be silly enough to think this is 152 mm artillery when these strikes are about 25 km at least from the first artillery positions, and to think that 152 mm could destroy all the trees on a 10 meter radius...

Video
https://twitter.com/pic/amplify_video_thumb%2F2064395790034829312%2Fimg%2FXV2a4hv9l01MEgow.jpg
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@clement_molin
If you take a look at Sumy, you can easily see the difference between mortars, artillery and airstrikes.

Some impacts can be bigger, in white (which would suggest a larger munition).
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHKY4SJaX0AAXKPI.jpg
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