Clément Molin
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French Analyst, following the war in Ukraine and other conflicts
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
In recent weeks, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched a large number of strikes against electricity infrastructure in Crimea

Since 2026 started, both Ukraine and Russia 🇷🇺 launched continuous strikes against each other energy infrastructure.

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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Recently, most of Crimea has been without power after a large number of Ukrainian strikes (source : @georgewbarros).

You can see here that most of the peninsula was lacking electricity, including large cities.

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Clément Molin
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In total, around 37 electric substations have been hit, together with oil and gas infrastructure.

This has drastic consequences on both civilian and military infrastructure of the peninsula.

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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
These strikes are also targeting Kherson, Zaporizhzhia and Donbas. The effect is still limited, but with the scaling of these strikes, it will soon be a problem for logistics, civilian life, military actions.
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Clément Molin
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If Ukraine recently started to launch these strikes, we shouldn't forget the longer Russian campaign that particularly happens before winter.

Here is a map of all Shahed/Geran strikes (both geoconfirmed and claimed) on electricity infrastructure since 2024.
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Clément Molin
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Russian drones, especially operator controled Geran/Gerbera drones are hitting a large amount of electric substations across the country every month, mainly in the east, but sometimes farther, with 3 strikes in May in Zakarpatya !

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Closer to the frontline, including in Sumy and Kharkiv, fiber optic FPV drones are used to hit electric transformers.

This may cut electricity for these cities next winter.

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@clement_molin
Thank you for following this thread on both Ukrainian and Russian strikes on electricity infrastructure.

I remain commited to talk about what both sides are doing, like i did here.

Sources for UKR strikes include : @MikiValbuena @stopthetwigs @UAControlMap and @AndrewPerpetua
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Clément Molin
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Again, 4 months before next winter, the electric situation of Ukraine is difficult.

Next winter will be much more difficult (last winter saw Kyiv without power with -18 degrees).

The only solution is probably to replicate these strikes to Russia. If Belgorod, Kursk, Briansk and other cities are left without power at the same time Ukraine is suffering from Russian strikes, maybe both countries can come to an agreement to stop strikes on electricity grid.

I do not believe this will ever happen, so the situation will remain difficult and worsen throughout next winter.
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