Clément Molin
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French Analyst, following the war in Ukraine and other conflicts
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
Yesterday, Ukraine 🇺🇦 attacked the Novorossisk 🇷🇺 port once again, with at least 14 impacts reported

This attack is the ~5th large scale attack of the year and the most important one. It targeted the oil terminal, the naval base and the civilian port. Previously this year, the oil storage area above the city was attacked, while multiple commercial ships have been hit close to Novorossisk. Map shows all reported strikes this year (sources bellow)

In total this year, Ukraine bombed 15 Russian ports in the Black, Azov, Caspian and Baltic Sea. On the other hand, all 6 active Ukrainian ports have been regularly hit (Mykolaiv is not active).

Sources : @oko_gora_tg @Exilenova_plus @byjepstein @cyber_boroshno @UAControlMap (for geolocations of downed drones hits) and @GarbuzYe (previous strikes).
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPoglOZW0AAjsdi.jpg https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPohlKTWMAAvBgP.jpg
Video
https://twitter.com/pic/amplify_video_thumb%2F2088018559435735041%2Fimg%2FXWmt-7666fasf_S2.jpg
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPoiTqAXAAAjitC.jpg
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
In 2026, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched thousands of mid and long range drones into Russia 🇷🇺 and occupied territories, hitting multiple targets across a large region

Today, we will go after Ukrainian mid-strikes against Russian logistics, electricity, trucks and ships.

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https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPsKqn-W8AAC93v.jpg
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@clement_molin
Current Ukrainian challenges are :

🔹The development of Russian anti-Starlink jammers
🔹Russian mid/long range strike campaign, especially with Geran-4
🔹Continue to harass logistics and increase the numbers of strikes
🔹Target Russian Iskander launchers and AD systems.
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@clement_molin
Thank you for following this new analysis on Ukrainian strikes (I have been talking about Russian strikes for a while).

Thank you for trusting me, despite the fact that I am a "Junior" 😁
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
As expected, local Russian 🇷🇺 Telegram chanel Voin DV posted a video to show the proofs that the Ukrainians are lying and that the situation is under control

Out of 20 videos they posted, 8 are false (wrong location, wrong date, AI (in white)) and 5 are in the current Deepstate grey zone. Let's dive again into Russia's war propaganda machine.

Here are all the villages claimed and what the video actually shows : 1/8 ⬇️
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPtjKc1XwAAm-Kf.jpg
richardzai (@richardzai38580)

RU soldier raised flag in Oleksandrohrad.
0:04 47.978201,36.602514
src:t.me/voin_dv/20675
@GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPstfHKbkAAkkq2.jpg https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPstfFraIAAIrLo.png

— https://twitter.com/richardzai38580/status/2088312923039092965#m
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
🔹Oleksandrohrad : the video is from last year :
twitter.com/richardzai38580/status…
🔹Berezove : the video is from ~15-30 july
🔹Voskressenka : the video is not filmed in Voskressenka but east of Velykomykhailivka and in june and not august twitter.com/Playfra0/status/208832…
🔹Zeleni Hay : video is from ~june 29th twitter.com/moklasen/status/208831…
🔹Kalynivske : video is from the 1st week of august, the video is legit, this area is known for Russian infiltrations (grey zone 100 meters from here) twitter.com/Playfra0/status/208833…
🔹Krasnohirske : video from a week ago, but seems like AI (flag is strange)
🔹Maliivka : video is legit, recent and it explains the red zone (this area is still under RU control)
🔹Myrne : video is from the wrong Myrne, 65km from here) twitter.com/moklasen/status/208832…
🔹Novohryorivka (sign with date, very recent) : the village is in the grey zone, so it's perfectly normal to see Russian soldiers here

Playfra (@Playfra0)

t.me/voin_dv/20675

As expected, after the Ukrainian General Staff's announcement of the Oleksandrivka-Komar counteroffensive results, the Russians started making dozens of posts trying to dispute Ukrainian claims.

In particular, just now VoinDV published a video showing Russian flags, reportedly in settlements that the Ukrainian claimed to control, with the aim of demonstrating that this is not true and they still control them.

But, while watching it, already the second clip of the video shows incorrect information, claiming flags in Voskresenka on August 13th but showing flags (not AI) east of Velykomykhailivka, at least before July 14th according to Sentinel-2 imagery.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHPs0-kUXEAARbY1.jpg

— https://twitter.com/Playfra0/status/2088322097885958561#m
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@clement_molin
🔹Novomykolaivla : recent video, this part of the village is in the grey zone so it’s also normal
🔹Ternove : video is legit, from a week ago, on a small street (probably not cleared). Funny that they give away this guy's position like that...
🔹Novokhats'ke : video is from june, burn marks recently appeared, this is an area where KABs fell recently
🔹Zlahoda : video is very recent, the guy just gave away his position (small bunker), there are still Russian positions inside the village, Ukrainians came from the west to Ribne, not surprising).
🔹Piddubne, video recent, not surprising, the guy is close to the grey zone in a very large village with many houses where he can hide (here too, he gave away a recent position)
🔹Pryvil'ne : the village is a grey zone, the guy standing is in the red zone, not surprising, recent video
🔹Ribne : video is legit and recent, in a known infiltration route for Russia
🔹Stepove, video recent, one guy (seems very afraid) in a very small village (importance are treelines around with bunkers, not the house, which was probably not cleared)
🔹Tolstoi, video is from ~June 21, old
🔹Yalta video is recent (we know the village is contested)
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@clement_molin
All this propaganda machine is meant to deceive their own command, as well as to give the illusion of a constant progress.

This strategy works very well in cities, where they can easily hide, but not in the countryside.
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@clement_molin
So, about Voin DV :

Again, this chanel (known for lying all the time) shows various proofs to counter Ukrainian narrative, most of which are false or irrelevant.

Rybar, Radov, Creamy Caprice and others will follow, that's how Russia works, nothing new.
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Clément Molin
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@clement_molin
4 ans après la trêve de 2022, la guerre du Yémen 🇾🇪 reprend, avec une nouvelle donne stratégique

En 2022, les rebelles houthistes (pro iraniens 🇮🇷) et la coalition (gouvernement pro saoudien 🇸🇦 et STC pro émirati 🇦🇪) signaient un accord de trêve, mettant temporairement fin à la guerre civile qui dévaste le pays depuis 2011.

Cette année 2026 a vu le bouleversement de la situation yéménite. En décembre 2025 déjà, le STC (Conseil de Transition du Sud) poussé par les Emirats-Arabes-Unis avait tenté une prise de pouvoir par la force, déclarant l'indépendance du Sud-Yémen. La tentative a été contrée en janvier 2026 par le gouvernement soutenu par l'Arabie Saoudite, qui a repris le contrôle de l'entièreté du Sud Yémen et dissous le STC.

Les rebelles houthistes, eux, ont menés entre 2023 et 2025 une guerre contre Israël et les Etats-Unis, frappant régulièrement les navires en mer Rouge. Depuis l'opération américaine en Iran, les houthistes sont restés plus prudents. Néanmoins, ces dernières semaines, le mouvement organise un blocus maritime contre l'Arabie Saoudite, frappant à de nombreuses reprises le Royaume.

En riposte, l'Arabie Saoudite a renforcé ses moyens au Yémen en vue d'une offensive du gouvernement contre les houthistes. D'importants bombardements d'artillerie, mais aussi des frappes de drones de plus en plus nombreuses ont lieu sur différents fronts, en particulier à Marib et Taiiz. Les forces gouvernementales utilisent massivement des drones bombardiers, tandis que les rebelles utilisent plus particulièrement des FPV, dont certains équipés de fibre optique.

La reprise de la guerre sur l'ensemble des fronts semble se rapprocher au Yémen, avec cette fois les drones, comme nouvelle donne stratégique.

Video
https://twitter.com/pic/amplify_video_thumb%2F2088585358850060288%2Fimg%2FNGJwzV5ceoF6cZe0.jpg

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