1/2 War in Ethiopia 🇪🇹 - Sudan 🇸🇩 - Eritrea 🇪🇷
4 years after the Tigray war ended (600k dead), a new war is just starting in northern Ethiopia. Federal forces seized Mekele, Tigray's national capital and continue to make progress.
At the same time, the new alliance between Tigray, Amhara Fano forces, Oromo resistance (and Eritrea), is launching many attacks against Ethiopian forces. In 2020 already, TPLF retreated to the countryside and mountains, before launching a large counter-offensive and reaching Dessie a year later. Thus, leaving their capital city could be a strategy for later, since the ENDF have drones and heavy equipements.
At the same time, important pressure is being put by Tigray forces from the region and the ones living in Sudan (Army 70) on the Welkait front, a disputed region of North-West Ethiopia under ENDF control. The Sudanese Armed Forces are allied with Tigray and Eritrea in this region.
4 years after the Tigray war ended (600k dead), a new war is just starting in northern Ethiopia. Federal forces seized Mekele, Tigray's national capital and continue to make progress.
At the same time, the new alliance between Tigray, Amhara Fano forces, Oromo resistance (and Eritrea), is launching many attacks against Ethiopian forces. In 2020 already, TPLF retreated to the countryside and mountains, before launching a large counter-offensive and reaching Dessie a year later. Thus, leaving their capital city could be a strategy for later, since the ENDF have drones and heavy equipements.
At the same time, important pressure is being put by Tigray forces from the region and the ones living in Sudan (Army 70) on the Welkait front, a disputed region of North-West Ethiopia under ENDF control. The Sudanese Armed Forces are allied with Tigray and Eritrea in this region.
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2/2 - Video of ENDF entering Mekele
This also explains why Ethiopia is allowing the Rapid Support Forces (Sudanese paramilitary) to use its territory to advance in Blue Nile state in southern Sudan, using its territory. Tensions between Sudan and Ethiopia are very high and cross border fighting between rebel groups and governement forces are happening very often.
I will try to follow this war as much as possible, and I will update you on the situation in Sudan as soon as possible.
This also explains why Ethiopia is allowing the Rapid Support Forces (Sudanese paramilitary) to use its territory to advance in Blue Nile state in southern Sudan, using its territory. Tensions between Sudan and Ethiopia are very high and cross border fighting between rebel groups and governement forces are happening very often.
I will try to follow this war as much as possible, and I will update you on the situation in Sudan as soon as possible.
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Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues to prepare fortification across the country, with this example of massive anti-infantry obstacle with 35 rows of barbed wire.
I believe the image was taken in Kyiv oblast, around Chornobyl. The aim is to prepare multiple lines in case Russia 🇷🇺 is sending men in the next few years to infiltrate the forests north of the capital.
I believe the image was taken in Kyiv oblast, around Chornobyl. The aim is to prepare multiple lines in case Russia 🇷🇺 is sending men in the next few years to infiltrate the forests north of the capital.
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Forwarded from AMK Mapping
Russian Geran-5 jet-drones are currently attacking the Kyiv 750 kV electrical substation near the village of Nalyvaikivka, Kyiv Oblast.
This location will likely be attacked by Kh-101 cruise missiles later on in the night.
This location will likely be attacked by Kh-101 cruise missiles later on in the night.
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A massive Russian 🇷🇺 drone and missile strike is going to happen tonight in Ukraine 🇺🇦
I believe Russia will target again Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Earlier today, they hit the Kyivska electric substation (750kv) which connects Kyiv with western Ukraine nuclear power plants ☢️
Part of Kyiv is out of power tonight after this strike. Since the strike campaign against electric targets started (a week ago), this crucial electric substation has been hit 5 times !
We are only on October 6th, winter is in 75 days and Russia is already pressuring Ukraine's energy grid. This is going to be a very tough time for Ukraine and the civilian population will suffer a lot from drone and missile strikes on civilian energy targets, such as power plants and substations...
I believe Russia will target again Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Earlier today, they hit the Kyivska electric substation (750kv) which connects Kyiv with western Ukraine nuclear power plants ☢️
Part of Kyiv is out of power tonight after this strike. Since the strike campaign against electric targets started (a week ago), this crucial electric substation has been hit 5 times !
We are only on October 6th, winter is in 75 days and Russia is already pressuring Ukraine's energy grid. This is going to be a very tough time for Ukraine and the civilian population will suffer a lot from drone and missile strikes on civilian energy targets, such as power plants and substations...
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1/3 In southern Ukraine 🇺🇦 mid-range drone strikes continue to relentlessly target Russian 🇷🇺 road logistics
In total, more than 3 000 trucks and vehicles have been hit on key roads since May 2026, while the R-280 road remains at the heart of the attacks.
Days after days, the same videos are coming from southern occupied Ukraine. Large truck convoys, protected by many truck-mounted air-defense, ride at full speed on key roads. Full of goods, fuel or military hardware, they are constantly attacked by Ukrainian drones.
Russian drivers post videos on a daily basis, showing how dangerous a ride in southern Ukraine is getting. @Exilenova_plus has done a great job gathering all videos coming from the region.
Trucks are not the only means targeted, Ukraine is doing everything to make every ride more dangerous and difficult. Many bridges have been hit, some destroyed, such as the Chonhar one, as seen on this image from @GarbuzYe. Using pontoon bridges makes every truck an easy target.
In total, more than 3 000 trucks and vehicles have been hit on key roads since May 2026, while the R-280 road remains at the heart of the attacks.
Days after days, the same videos are coming from southern occupied Ukraine. Large truck convoys, protected by many truck-mounted air-defense, ride at full speed on key roads. Full of goods, fuel or military hardware, they are constantly attacked by Ukrainian drones.
Russian drivers post videos on a daily basis, showing how dangerous a ride in southern Ukraine is getting. @Exilenova_plus has done a great job gathering all videos coming from the region.
Trucks are not the only means targeted, Ukraine is doing everything to make every ride more dangerous and difficult. Many bridges have been hit, some destroyed, such as the Chonhar one, as seen on this image from @GarbuzYe. Using pontoon bridges makes every truck an easy target.
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2/3 Right now, most of the trucks driving on this Rostov-Crimea highway, the so called "land bridge" to Crimea, are protected, into convoys, as we can see on this recent low-res satellite image. Convoys usually gather 3 to 5 trucks and 2 to 3 air-defense trucks.
Everyday, the same kind of videos are published online by drivers. Supplying Crimea is turning into a nightmare and the arrival of winter and more difficult conditions will not help :
-> There will be less tree cover
-> It will be more difficult to go off road
I continue, on my side, to gather statistics on these mid-range strikes against logistics, not only in southern Ukraine, but also near Donetsk or Luhansk. In September, at least 770 trucks/vehicles were targeted, only on the videos published by Ukraine more than 20km from the front.
These videos, published on a daily basis show how Ukraine is targeting supply roads and convoys on key roads.
Ukrainian forces use both mid-range drones, such as Hornet, Darts, RAM 2X, B2, Chaklun...
Everyday, the same kind of videos are published online by drivers. Supplying Crimea is turning into a nightmare and the arrival of winter and more difficult conditions will not help :
-> There will be less tree cover
-> It will be more difficult to go off road
I continue, on my side, to gather statistics on these mid-range strikes against logistics, not only in southern Ukraine, but also near Donetsk or Luhansk. In September, at least 770 trucks/vehicles were targeted, only on the videos published by Ukraine more than 20km from the front.
These videos, published on a daily basis show how Ukraine is targeting supply roads and convoys on key roads.
Ukrainian forces use both mid-range drones, such as Hornet, Darts, RAM 2X, B2, Chaklun...
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3/3 Ukraine's Ronin group from the 65th mechanized brigade is constantly harassing Russian supply roads in Zaporizhzhia, around Tokmak and Vassylivka. They use long range FPV (including fiber optic) drones, with a very good video feed.
Ukraine has a few priority targets :
-> Air-defense teams
-> Fuel trucks
-> Large military/civilian trucks
Russia is increasingly using interceptor drones to target Ukrainian mid-range drones.
Rubikon Center claim they hit 7 000 UAVs this year including 1 800 in September, with numbers for each kind (they often make errors on those so we shouldn't trust them too much) :
• 1010 (+286) - FP-2
• 849 (+46) - Hornet
• 717 (+283) - Maya
• 475 (+3) - Leleka-100
• 309 (+10) - Shark (M)
• 303 (+7) - Leleka-100M2
• 257 (+5) - Furia
• 231 (+8) - Domakha
• 218 (+45) - Darts DM
• 172 - Darts
• 171 (+12) - Baton
• 163 (+26) - Blyskavka
• 163 - FlyEye
• 154 - Vector
• 139 - Hor
• 131 (+8) - Chaklun
• 128 - Mara-2
• 107 (+6) - Ram-2X
Ukraine has a few priority targets :
-> Air-defense teams
-> Fuel trucks
-> Large military/civilian trucks
Russia is increasingly using interceptor drones to target Ukrainian mid-range drones.
Rubikon Center claim they hit 7 000 UAVs this year including 1 800 in September, with numbers for each kind (they often make errors on those so we shouldn't trust them too much) :
• 1010 (+286) - FP-2
• 849 (+46) - Hornet
• 717 (+283) - Maya
• 475 (+3) - Leleka-100
• 309 (+10) - Shark (M)
• 303 (+7) - Leleka-100M2
• 257 (+5) - Furia
• 231 (+8) - Domakha
• 218 (+45) - Darts DM
• 172 - Darts
• 171 (+12) - Baton
• 163 (+26) - Blyskavka
• 163 - FlyEye
• 154 - Vector
• 139 - Hor
• 131 (+8) - Chaklun
• 128 - Mara-2
• 107 (+6) - Ram-2X
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Despite many claims months ago, Ukraine's mid-range campaign didn't stop and wasn't slowed down.
It stopped making the headlines, as Russian long-range strike campaign intensified on Ukraine, but the impact of those increased over time.
Thank you for following this new thread. I will continue to monitor Ukraine's mid-range strikes and Russia's reaction.
If you want to support my work, you can do it here : buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin
It stopped making the headlines, as Russian long-range strike campaign intensified on Ukraine, but the impact of those increased over time.
Thank you for following this new thread. I will continue to monitor Ukraine's mid-range strikes and Russia's reaction.
If you want to support my work, you can do it here : buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin
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Since Mykhailo Drapatyi took up the post of Chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 Army, a series of new reforms happened :
Here are 5 points interesting to debate :
1. Command style
2. Command structure
3. Purge and renewal of the officer corps
4. Systemic reforms
5. Tactical doctrine
🧵THREAD🧵
Here are 5 points interesting to debate :
1. Command style
2. Command structure
3. Purge and renewal of the officer corps
4. Systemic reforms
5. Tactical doctrine
🧵THREAD🧵
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