The fightings are now occuring in the central part of the country, in the Kordofan region. On one side, the Rapid Support Forces, sponsored by the UAE are trying to consolidate their parralel government in Nyala with key victories.

The RSF occupy western Sudan, especially the Darfour region. They are supported by the UAE, Chad, South Sudan, Libya, CAR and Wagner/AC 🇦🇪🇹🇩🇸🇸🇱🇾🇨🇫🇷🇺. Their leader is Mohammed Hamdan Dagolo 'Hemetti'. They are Bagarra arabs, opposing black communities in the west and the Nile river tribes controlling the government.

They managed to occupy En Nahud, a key road hub in west Kordofan region, they are now trying to take Babanusa, they failed for now to destroy the encircled garrison. RSF forces resist SAF progress in the Kordofan regions, especially around El Obeid, key supply road and supply hub for the army. The main battle is happening in El Fasher, capital of Darfour region. There, SAF and Joint forces troops are encircled since 2 years. The SAF broke the 223rd RSF offensive on the 1.5 million inhabitant city (including at least 500 000 refugees). The city faces famine due to the encirclement.

The SAF coalition is composed of the officially recognized "government" led by general Abdel Fattah al Burhan. They represent Nile Arabs, but are also allied to avrious tribes, including African tribes of North Darfur. They are supported by Egypt, Iran, Turkiye, Russia and Qatar 🇪🇬🇮🇷🇹🇷🇷🇺🇶🇦. The SAF managed to liberate all the southern part of the country (Singa, Wad Madani), the capital city Khartoum and its neighbouring twins of Bahri and Omdourman. Now, they want to destroy the RSF by pushing them out of Kordofan before attacking their base in Darfur region. Massive fightings are ongoing around El Obeid and in the south Darfur region.

The battle for Kordofan is ongoing, it will decide wether the army is able to liberate and reunify the country or if the RSF militia will create a de facto arab state in the west of Sudan...

I have never had to zoom out so much to show an advancement. I have no words. I will prepare another small update thread about this.

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The new defensive lines are built around:
🔹 3 anti-vehicle ditches filled with barbed wire
🔹 Multiple barbed wire rows that are nearly impossible to destroy
🔹 Obstacles at the bottom of ditches to stop infantry

No vehicle can get through without a major breaching operation.
Another key innovation: fortifications now cover forests, urban areas and rivers — no unplanned gap is left. On a 100 km obstacle line, only 20 planned roads allow passage. Ukraine is also systematically cutting trees hundreds of meters from their lines, forcing Russian soldiers to attack completely in the open.
How can Russian forces break through? Artillery, FAB bombs and FPV drones will likely be used — but imagine the firepower needed to breach a line 100 meters wide...

📍 Where is Ukraine digging?
2025: focus on Donetsk oblast
2026: new lines underway in Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv oblasts, plus fortifications around Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Sumy, Chernihiv, Dnipro, Mykolaiv and Odesa

Remarkably, 99% of these new lines remain untouched — sitting 5 to 10 km from the front. An attacker would need to cross 4, 5 or even 6 of these lines to break through.
This fortification program launched in December 2024 is central to Ukraine's defensive strategy. More obstacles = fewer men needed on the frontline + maximum losses for any attacking force. ⚔️

This mapping work is unpaid and takes a lot of time. If you'd like to support it 👇 ☕️ buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin 📧 Journalists: clement.molin2005@gmail.com

While Ukraine 🇺🇦 is fortifying, the Polish 🇵🇱 and Baltic 🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 defensive lines have barely been started, even though they have been planned for a long time.

I have checked a good part of the borders with Russia and Belarus and no defensive preparations are underway, with the exception of the reinforcement of anti-migrant barriers.

However, the threat is real. In the aftermath of the war in Ukraine, if the status quo persists, Moscow will have an army of 1.5 million troops, thousands of tanks, ballistic missiles, millions of FPV drones, and hundreds of thousands of Geran-type attack drones.

The Baltic Sea will obviously be a Russian priority, both to consolidate control over Kaliningrad and Belarus and to expand access to the sea. Faced with the American withdrawal, only a military guarantee will prevent Moscow from intervening; this requires fortifying the borders, with priority given to key roads leading to major cities.