Russia 🇷🇺 is shutting the Rostov-Crimea road for civilian traffic after multiple ukrainian 🇺🇦 strikes hit this critical road

More strikes are also hitting the Mariupol-Donetsk highway. Right now, all the land corridor to Crimea is threatened.

@clement_molin
Situation préoccupante à l'ouest d'Houlialpole dans le sud de l'Ukraine, où la Russie a lancé plus de 1 000 frappes aériennes ces 20 derniers jours.

La précision des frappes, environ 80%, et leur localisation montrent que l'armée russe met d'importants moyens dans la région. ⬇️
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHI7pgnyWcAAgBrU.jpg
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@clement_molin
A titre de comparaison, voici les frappes aériennes durant le mois d'avril dans la zone :
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHI7z0tUXkAAD9zV.jpg
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@clement_molin
Et celles en février/mars :

On remarque bien le déplacement vers l'ouest.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHI7z7fNWMAAH-rC.jpg
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@clement_molin
La zone est stratégique pour Moscou qui espère s'emparer d'une petite ville plus à l'ouest, Orikhiv.

Il faut reprendre le contexte. Au printemps 2022, l'armée russe est arrêté dans le sud autour 5 villes : Kamianske, Orikhiv, Houlialpole, Velika Novosilka et Vouhledar.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHI70bfrWoAAn7B9.jpg
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@clement_molin
Aujourd'hui, une seule ville est encore sous contrôle ukrainien, Orikhiv, qui est devenu entre temps une forteresse majeure pour la défense de la ville de Zaporizhzhia, 800 000 habitants.

Ces frappes aériennes en amont font donc partie de l'offensive vers la ville.
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@clement_molin
With more and more drone strikes reaching the key Rostov-Crimea highway, Ukraine 🇺🇦 redefines the depth of the "kill zone".

🔹The first echelon extends to approximately 20 km (this is the case on both sides of the front). It primarily consists of FPV drone strikes, which generally operate at a depth of 5 to 15 km, although some drones with wings fly further. This is the basic kill zone; anything that moves is quickly targeted, movement is severely restricted, and losses are high.

🔹The second echelon is very recent, extending to 50 km or more, with enhanced conventional FPV strikes, notably via Starlink or sometimes with added wings, increasing their range. This is particularly the case around Donetsk. In this instance, the targets are logistics, deployment points, and key roads leading to the front. Losses are also significant, especially in terms of vehicles, which are often unarmored.

🔹The third echelon is twofold: on the one hand, there are tactical strikes against high-value targets carried out primarily by FP-2 drones (rear bases, training centers, ammunition depots, repair facilities, air defenses, radar installations, etc.), and now also by roving munitions that fly over key routes and target Russian logistics, particularly military equipment and fuel trucks.

🔹The fourth echelon extends even further, towards Crimea and Russia. This echelon mainly involves the FP-1 drone, but also frequently the FP-2 and other long-range drones. Targets include the foundations of the Russian economy (refineries, ports, industries), the Russian army in Crimea, fuel depots, and command centers.

🔹An additional echelon is made possible by the launch of conventional FPV drones from the decks of naval drones (USVs) and sometimes aerial drones, enabling FPV strikes far from the front lines.

My map with a basic understanding of the different echelons ⬇️
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHI9PABNXAAAPwFW.jpg Clément Molin (@clement_molin)

Russia 🇷🇺 is shutting the Rostov-Crimea road for civilian traffic after multiple ukrainian 🇺🇦 strikes hit this critical road

More strikes are also hitting the Mariupol-Donetsk highway. Right now, all the land corridor to Crimea is threatened.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHI7DqBTXAAExBYb.jpg

— https://twitter.com/clement_molin/status/2057804287682511006#m
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I found some exclusive informations about the situation around Lyman (russians trying to cross the Donets and ukrainian counter-attack), I will soon share.