Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
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Simple, plain, and fast crypto digests. Since 2017

Russian version: @Coin_Post

Editor: @Alex_CoinPost

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Chat: https://t.me/+RF8rIdYNr4dmNTQy

Creator: @K_Capitan
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Perp trading FAQ: why 10x leverage is not "10x more profit" ❓

James Wynn has been liquidated five more times in the past 24 hours – а perfect example of why perps can look simple… until the chart starts moving against you. A 10x position means you control $10,000 with only $1,000 of margin. Sounds great, but there’s a catch:

A 1% move against you is roughly a 10% hit to your margin 😵

Before opening any leveraged trade, check these five things:

1️⃣ Liquidation distance
Look at liquidation before entry and target. If liquidation is only 3-5% away, one wick or news candle may close the position before your setup has time to play out


2️⃣ Stop-loss before liquidation
Your stop should sit where the trade idea becomes invalid – not at the liquidation price. Liquidation is not risk management. It’s the exchange closing the trade for you


3️⃣ Cross margin vs isolated margin
🔺 With isolated margin, only the money assigned to that position is at risk.
🔺 With cross margin, the exchange can use more of your available balance to keep the trade open.
That may save you from a wick, but it can also turn one bad position into a much larger loss


4️⃣ Funding, open interest and liquidity
Check whether traders are overcrowded on one side, how expensive funding is, and whether the order book is deep enough. High leverage, rising open interest and thin liquidity are the perfect setup for violent squeezes and bad stop fills.
Useful tools:
🔺 Coinglass
🔺 Coinalyze
🔺 the exchange itself
🔺 Hyperliquid stats for on-chain perps


5️⃣ Size the trade from your maximum loss
Don’t start with: "I want a $10,000 position."
Start with: "How much am I willing to lose?"
Example:
Max loss: $100
Stop distance: 5%
Position size: around $2,000

Then use the exchange calculator to check liquidation, margin, fees, funding and estimated PnL before entering


📌 Save this and send it to beginner traders – and to anyone who keeps blowing their futures account

#FAQ
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Commodities are getting crushed today:

⏺ Gold is down 28% from its high
⚪️ Silver has been cut in half – down 50%

In total, around $12T has been wiped from the gold and silver markets since March...

🟠 Meanwhile, ВТС keeps moving toward my first short target around $60k. From there, I’d like to see a bounce, a retest of the trendline, and then another leg lower.

We’ll probably keep moving lower as long as Grayscale keeps selling BTC from its ETF – another 1,263 BTC is currently up for sale

Hope you listened and stayed out of longs – or at least managed to close them before the drop
✋
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And down we go 👇

BTC below $60k, playing out exactly as I called it
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Earn with Gno.land – paid ambassador program 💸

Gno.land is a blockchain ecosystem focused on decentralized apps and open knowledge, built around its own programming language, Gno.

The team is now recruiting "Gnomads" for four roles:

🟠 Writers – 2 technical posts a week
🟠 Designers – 3 memes, GIFs or visuals a week
🟠 Developer relations – find and onboard builders
🟠 Community managers – support users and run activities

The base pay is $200 per month in GNOT for one role, plus $100 for each additional role, with a maximum of $500 per month. The top two ambassadors each month can also earn an extra $100 in GNOT


✍️ To apply, fill out the form:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfDeSX305cfkkk1K0IktJZ3LeQdZNGY0YQfebI6rWrwRrheLQ/viewform

This isn’t passive income – you’ll need to create content, stay active and submit a monthly report. But it could be a decent entry point for anyone looking to earn while building experience in a new ecosystem and the broader crypto industry

#earn
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US Q1 GDP was revised up to 2.1% from 1.6%, while PCE inflation accelerated to a three-year high of 4.1%.

❗️ Translation: the Fed has almost no reason left to cut rates

Meanwhile, the crypto market saw $1.47B in liquidations over the past 24 hours, while $1B was wiped off the US stock market in just 30 minutes ❌

Absolutely insane 🤯
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HYPE keeps outperforming the market month after month 👀

🔥 Hyperliquid is a vertically integrated Layer 1 blockchain and DEX built specifically for high-speed trading


Whales have been scooping up HYPE at current prices and adding it to their long-term bags. The reason is simple: Hyperliquid is one of the few crypto projects actually generating serious revenue. The numbers:

🟢 Around $873M in revenue in 2025
🟢 Roughly $2.9T in trading volume
🟢 Users grew from ~301K to ~923K
🟢 Open interest reached around $6B by year-end
🟢 Hyperliquid now controls more than 59% of DeFi perpetuals open interest
🟢 Its current ~$9.6B OI is larger than all major on-chain competitors combined

😲 And the team isn’t slowing down:
HIP-3 is expanding Hyperliquid beyond crypto into stocks, commodities and other real-world assets, while HIP-4 is bringing options and prediction markets onto the platform. Add HyperEVM, portfolio margin, Builder Codes and the Coinbase USDC deal – and there are still plenty of growth drivers ahead.

MulticoinCapital recently published three HYPE valuation scenarios:

📉 Bear case: $109
➖ Base case: $319
📈 Bull case: $689

Personally, I wouldn’t rush to load the bags heavily at current prices. HYPE is still only around 18% below its all-time high.

If you really don’t want to wait, a small starter position could make sense. But I’d start looking more seriously around $47-$52 and place additional DCA orders lower 🍪🍪

DYOR & NFA
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Alibaba "downloaded" Claude with 28.8M requests 👀

Anthropic has accused Alibaba of trying to "copy Claude’s intelligence" through 28.8 million requests.

According to the company, Alibaba-linked operators created nearly 25,000 fake accounts, collected Claude’s answers to complex coding, reasoning and AI-agent tasks, and may have used them to train their own models.

So the claim isn’t that anyone stole Claude’s source code – competitors were allegedly mass-extracting its capabilities through its responses.

China being China... 😏
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I’ve been using Claude Artifacts for a while now, and it’s one of the easiest ways to build your own interactive trading mini-apps for free using a simple text prompt – without writing a single line of code. Here’s how I do it 🌞

*️⃣ Open Claude → Artifacts and start a new chat
*️⃣ Describe the tool you want to build
*️⃣ List the fields and calculations you need
*️⃣ Test the result and ask Claude to make changes

✨ A universal prompt template:
"Create an interactive [tool name]. Add fields for […], calculate […], and display the result as […]"

💡 Tools traders can build:
❤️ Liquidation simulator with different leverage and extra margin
❤️ Portfolio stress test for multiple market-drop scenarios
❤️ Funding arbitrage calculator with fees included
❤️ Entry, DCA and partial take-profit planner
❤️ Strategy analyzer for expectancy, drawdown and risk of ruin
❤️ Net cross-exchange spread calculator
❤️ Risk planner for multiple open positions


👆 I gave Claude a single text prompt, and it built me a fully functional risk-management calculator from scratch – you can see the result in the video

📌 Save this post and try building your own tools

#AI
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Crypto had a seriously rough week...

Around $5B got wiped out across the market in just a few days – mostly longs ❌

Would be nice to see BTC catch a small relief bounce here. Just hoping Trump keeps the weekend quiet and doesn’t drop another headline that sends it lower 😅

Meanwhile, SOL is holding up surprisingly well – and is somehow still green on the week

@Coin_Post
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OpenAI just unveiled GPT-5.6 and says its top model can go head-to-head with Claude Mythos.

The lineup:
☀️ Sol – the smartest and most expensive model for complex reasoning, coding and research
🌍 Terra – close to GPT-5.5 performance at roughly half the price
🌚 Luna – a fast and affordable option for simple, high-volume tasks

On the ExploitBench cybersecurity test, Sol performed competitively with Claude Mythos Preview while using around 3× fewer output tokens. It could find software vulnerabilities and build parts of an exploit, but couldn’t autonomously turn them into a complete working attack.


Access is limited to a small group of trusted partners for now, reportedly at the request of the US government. A broader rollout is planned in the coming weeks.

Sol, Terra, Luna… someone at OpenAI definitely survived the 2021 bull market
😄
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You often ask me where I track the metrics I mention in the channel. So here’s a cheat sheet with the ones I use most:

📊 Market structure
🔺 BTC Dominance: BTC’s share of the total crypto market. Rising BTC.D usually means capital is favoring Bitcoin over alts
🔺 TOTAL3: the total crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH. One of the cleanest ways to track the broader altcoin market
🔺 Altcoin Season Index: checks how many top alts have outperformed BTC over the past 90 days. It signals altseason when 75% of the top 50 beat Bitcoin

📈 Leverage and positioning
🔺 Open Interest: the total value of open futures positions. Fast OI growth usually means more leverage and a higher risk of liquidations
🔺 Funding Rate: shows which side of the market is crowded. Positive funding means longs pay shorts; negative funding means shorts pay longs
🔺 Liquidation Heatmap: estimates the price zones where leveraged positions may get wiped out. Useful for spotting potential liquidity magnets

📈 Sentiment and macro
🔺 Fear & Greed Index: a quick 0-100 market sentiment gauge, from extreme fear to extreme greed
🔺 Global Liquidity / M2: tracks money supply across major economies. Expanding liquidity is usually good for risk assets, although the effect can come with a lag
🔺 Fed Rate Expectations: shows the market-implied odds of future Fed rate moves. Easier policy expectations usually support risk appetite; tighter policy does the opposite

📌 Save this list and use it whenever you need a quick market check. Drop a 🐳 if it was useful

#FAQ
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SOL is down around 76% from its all-time high, Pump.fun revenue has collapsed, and Solana’s meme coin engine is running out of fuel 🚀

But while retail attention moved elsewhere, the network quietly crossed major adoption milestones, attracted institutional players, and started fixing the reliability problem that haunted it for years.

The chain looks stronger. The chart doesn’t
🙅‍♂️

In the new video, I break down whether Solana’s activity is actually as bullish as it looks, what could trigger another major drop, and the exact levels I’m watching for accumulation and profit-taking.

👇 Full breakdown is on YT
📹 WATCH HERE
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X is full of posts today about a possible BTC death cross on the weekly chart ☠️

🧠 Just remember: this is a lagging indicator. By the time the lines cross, part of the downside has usually already played out. And it hasn’t confirmed yet – a bounce or enough sideways action could still delay it or prevent it from forming altogether.


Even if it does happen, I’d expect another leg lower rather than an instant apocalypse. That would still fit my scenario of BTC visiting roughly $48k later in this cycle.

🟠 Locally, the market already looks ready for some relief. I’d like to see at least a small move higher from here. BTC could first sweep the $57k-$58k area and then bounce – or simply start moving up without making another low 💹

@Coin_Post
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Battle of the influencers: $45k or a green July? ❓

📉 DaVinci Jeremie
DaVinci believes the bottom is getting close, but BTC could still lose another 20% and move toward $45k while leveraged positions keep getting liquidated and weak hands exit the market
🔠 He is already buying spot in small amounts every day and avoids leverage for long-term positions. His plan is to keep averaging down and wait for the bounce that should follow once the leverage flush is over


📈 Crypto Rover
Rover expects July to be green, with BTC seeing a relief rally first. His view is based on 13 years of seasonality, while the record 11M BTC currently held at a loss suggests the final bottom is also getting close
🔠 He is already DCAing spot, but saves his main $20M leveraged long for the $47k-$58k range, with heavier buying below $50k. He may also enter earlier if funding turns deeply negative and too many traders start shorting BTC


Whose scenario plays out?
🔥 DaVinci – BTC can still reach $45k
🐳 Rover – green July comes first
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Markets are losing their minds today 🤯

US JOLTS job openings came in hotter than expected: 7.594M vs 7.30M expected. That suggests labor demand is holding up – and the US stock market added almost $500B in value

🟠 Meanwhile, BTC dropped to $58k and remains under pressure as expectations of higher US rates weigh on risk assets and the dollar keeps strengthening. The market is also digesting a potential $1.25B BTC sale by Strategy and the approaching EU MiCA licensing deadline

Honestly, I miss the days when Bitcoin cycles felt simple:

🐻 One bear year
🐂 One bull year

BTC went up, and we just enjoyed the altcoin gains.

Now crypto is fully tied to traditional finance – and everything is pure chaos
😈
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😲 Wow, native Hyperliquid charts are now available directly on TradingView, including HIP-3 markets!

For me, this is a really useful upgrade – I can analyze Hyperliquid price action with all my usual TradingView tools and compare it with the rest of the market without constantly switching between platforms.

Much cleaner and way more convenient 🔥

ps: the integration has only just started, so it may not be available to everyone yet and should roll out gradually
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Look at this fractal I found 👆

The white candles show the full dot-com cycle – the boom, the peak, and the collapse.

And honestly, the way it lines up with today’s AI-driven market is a little unsettling.

➡️ Back in 2000, Cisco and Intel were among the biggest beneficiaries of the internet infrastructure boom. Companies rushed to buy chips, networking equipment, and everything needed to build the new digital economy.
Then demand slowed, orders dried up, and the companies supplying the boom were hit the hardest.

➡️ This time, it’s Nvidia and the broader AI infrastructure trade. The buildout is still accelerating for now, but the real risk begins when spending eventually peaks while market expectations remain sky-high.

Different era. Same excitement. Same massive capex cycle.

History never repeats perfectly, but this chart definitely rhymes. Then again, who knows – maybe this time really is different…
🤔
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Well, BTC spent some time around $58K, even tagged $57,750, and then moved back above – playing out exactly as I wrote on Monday 🟠

And the market found its reason to bounce: the Fed chair struck a positive tone during his speech at the forum in Portugal, sending stocks and metals higher across the board.

Yeah… I guess all these years in the market have paid off. I still read BTC pretty well.

Must be a whale – no other explanation 😏
🐳🐳🐳
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