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• 2015: bear market 400 days → recovery 700 days
• 2018: bear market 360 days → recovery 700 days
• 2022: bear market 380 days → recovery 469 days
The pattern: recovery to the last all-time high has always taken roughly 2x longer than the fall into the bear market.
Right now we’re only ~40% of the way through that ratio.
🎥 Watch the full episode.
Also available on, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and wherever else you listen.
@cryptoquant_official
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Trader Realized Price Is Rising Again — Key Support if BTC Corrects
“Historically, during bullish phases, this realized price has often acted as support when BTC corrected toward it.” – Read More
By Trdaer_Gemini | @cryptoquant_official
“Historically, during bullish phases, this realized price has often acted as support when BTC corrected toward it.” – Read More
By Trdaer_Gemini | @cryptoquant_official
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The Crypto Market Is Quietly Preparing for Its Next Rally
“When the proportion of Bitcoin held for more than 18 months across the entire network rises and then starts to decline, a strong rally usually follows.” – Read More
By Crypto Dan | @cryptoquant_official
“When the proportion of Bitcoin held for more than 18 months across the entire network rises and then starts to decline, a strong rally usually follows.” – Read More
By Crypto Dan | @cryptoquant_official
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Uptober hasn’t shown up.
Bitcoin is down 4.2% this month, against an average October gain of +18.1% since 2020.
US buyers have stepped back.
The Coinbase Premium has been negative every day this October and is at its lowest since June.
The cushion is gone. Short-term traders’ paper profits have dropped from 33% in September to 8%.
Support is stacked just below. The 365-day MA sits at $77.6K, and the average trader’s cost basis at $74K.
→ Read the full report.
@cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin is down 4.2% this month, against an average October gain of +18.1% since 2020.
US buyers have stepped back.
The Coinbase Premium has been negative every day this October and is at its lowest since June.
The cushion is gone. Short-term traders’ paper profits have dropped from 33% in September to 8%.
Support is stacked just below. The 365-day MA sits at $77.6K, and the average trader’s cost basis at $74K.
→ Read the full report.
@cryptoquant_official
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A Renewed Rise in Bitcoin’s Realized Cap Is a Good Sign, but It Needs Follow-Through
“If both hold, this renewed rise could mark the early stage of a healthier market structure, as it did in 2023.” – Read More
By Crypto Mommy | @cryptoquant_official
“If both hold, this renewed rise could mark the early stage of a healthier market structure, as it did in 2023.” – Read More
By Crypto Mommy | @cryptoquant_official
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Bitcoin exchange netflow turned positive for the first time since September 21.
“Holders stopped withdrawing, but sellers aren’t here in size yet.” – Read More
By IT Tech | @cryptoquant_official
“Holders stopped withdrawing, but sellers aren’t here in size yet.” – Read More
By IT Tech | @cryptoquant_official
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Polymarket isn’t public, but people are already trading it.
pPOLY is a tokenized note on BNB Chain that tracks Polymarket’s Series B Preferred shares. In its first seven days it did $67M in on-chain volume, about 12x its market value, across 174,892 swaps.
→ Full dashboard.
@cryptoquant_official
pPOLY is a tokenized note on BNB Chain that tracks Polymarket’s Series B Preferred shares. In its first seven days it did $67M in on-chain volume, about 12x its market value, across 174,892 swaps.
→ Full dashboard.
@cryptoquant_official
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Binance reserves hold up after the $6.3B Lazarus-linked exploit
“Even though the scale of this exploit is unprecedented, Binance’s reserves do not suggest that the impact on the platform was that severe.” – Read More
By Darkfost | @cryptoquant_official
“Even though the scale of this exploit is unprecedented, Binance’s reserves do not suggest that the impact on the platform was that severe.” – Read More
By Darkfost | @cryptoquant_official
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Fear and Greed index fell to 30 after the Binance hack
“The average currently stands at 56 points. The gap between that average and the current reading shows how much weaker sentiment is relative to its average level over the past month.” – Read More
By AxelAdlerJr | @cryptoquant_official
“The average currently stands at 56 points. The gap between that average and the current reading shows how much weaker sentiment is relative to its average level over the past month.” – Read More
By AxelAdlerJr | @cryptoquant_official
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Bitcoin’s Rebound Fades: Weak Demand and Long Liquidations Push BTC to $76,800
“Some spot buying persists, but it has not absorbed futures selling and liquidations.” – Read More
By XWIN Japan | @cryptoquant_official
“Some spot buying persists, but it has not absorbed futures selling and liquidations.” – Read More
By XWIN Japan | @cryptoquant_official
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Bitcoin Is Testing the Trader Realized Price
“If BTC successfully holds around the Trader Realized Price and begins to move away from it again, it would suggest that the average cost basis of recent participants is still functioning as support.” – Read More
By Trdaer_Gemini | @cryptoquant_official
“If BTC successfully holds around the Trader Realized Price and begins to move away from it again, it would suggest that the average cost basis of recent participants is still functioning as support.” – Read More
By Trdaer_Gemini | @cryptoquant_official
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Binance hack: five days after
The withdrawal run after reopening was bigger than the hack itself. Nov 1–2 net outflows hit 25,793 BTC, 273K ETH, $3.75B USDT and $1.33B USDC, the largest of the past year for every asset.
It didn’t last. By Nov 3, ETH (+75K), USDT (+$215M) and USDC (+$440M) were back to net inflows, with BTC still bleeding a modest 3,640.
Price impact stayed contained. BTC is −3.8% since the hack, a drawdown in the middle of the range for 38 past exchange hacks. It now sits on the 365-day MA ($76.9K), with the 200-day MA at $73.2K as the next level.
→ Full report.
@cryptoquant_official
The withdrawal run after reopening was bigger than the hack itself. Nov 1–2 net outflows hit 25,793 BTC, 273K ETH, $3.75B USDT and $1.33B USDC, the largest of the past year for every asset.
It didn’t last. By Nov 3, ETH (+75K), USDT (+$215M) and USDC (+$440M) were back to net inflows, with BTC still bleeding a modest 3,640.
Price impact stayed contained. BTC is −3.8% since the hack, a drawdown in the middle of the range for 38 past exchange hacks. It now sits on the 365-day MA ($76.9K), with the 200-day MA at $73.2K as the next level.
→ Full report.
@cryptoquant_official
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Stablecoin Supply Increases Once Again
“The very short bearish trend is coming to an end, and BTC is on the verge of shifting back into a bullish trend.” – Read More
By CW8900 | @cryptoquant_official
“The very short bearish trend is coming to an end, and BTC is on the verge of shifting back into a bullish trend.” – Read More
By CW8900 | @cryptoquant_official
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Bitcoin Falls Back After $80K Recovery as Spot Demand Remains Weak
“The key issue is still spot demand. Futures positioning improved temporarily, but spot buying has not recovered enough to support a sustainable uptrend.” – Read More
By XWIN Japan | @cryptoquant_official
“The key issue is still spot demand. Futures positioning improved temporarily, but spot buying has not recovered enough to support a sustainable uptrend.” – Read More
By XWIN Japan | @cryptoquant_official
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Build CryptoQuant data into your AI workflows
Your AI agent can read the Bitcoin blockchain now.
Plug our on-chain data into any model, bot or workflow and let it track what’s really moving in the market: exchange reserves, flows, miner activity and more.
We’ve put together a quick-start guide showing how to pull 90 days of BTC exchange reserves and turn it into a chart. From there, switch exchanges, change the time range, or chart any indicator you like.
Full guide.
@cryptoquant_official
Your AI agent can read the Bitcoin blockchain now.
Plug our on-chain data into any model, bot or workflow and let it track what’s really moving in the market: exchange reserves, flows, miner activity and more.
We’ve put together a quick-start guide showing how to pull 90 days of BTC exchange reserves and turn it into a chart. From there, switch exchanges, change the time range, or chart any indicator you like.
Full guide.
@cryptoquant_official
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