Estonia: the liberal E200 (*) reaches an all-time record low of 0.6% in the latest Norstat poll.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

France, Ifop-Fiducial poll:

Scenario: Attal (RE-RE), Philippe (HOR-RE), Retailleau (LR-EPP) and Lisnard (NE~EPP) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 35%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 18%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 10%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 9.5%
Lisnard (NE~EPP): 7%
Attal (RE-RE): 5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4.5%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 4%
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 1.5%
Arthaud (LO-*): 0.5%


Fieldwork: 27-29 October 2026
Sample size: 1,501

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Ifop-Fiducial poll:

Scenario: Attal (RE-RE), Retailleau (LR-EPP) and Lisnard (NE~EPP) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 36%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 17.5%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 13%
Attal (RE-RE): 9%
Lisnard (NE~EPP): 7.5%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4.5%
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 0.5%


Fieldwork: 27-29 October 2026
Sample size: 1,501

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Ifop-Fiducial poll:

Scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Retailleau (LR-EPP) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 37%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 17.5%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 15%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 11.5%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 7%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3.5%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 1.5%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%


Fieldwork: 27-29 October 2026
Sample size: 1,501

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Ifop-Fiducial poll:

Scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Lisnard (NE~EPP) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 36%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 17.5%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 15%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 11%
Lisnard (NE~EPP): 9%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 0.5%


Fieldwork: 27-29 October 2026
Sample size: 1,501

➤ europeelects.eu/france

UK (GB), YouGov poll:

LAB-PES: 26% (-1)
CON-ECPA: 24% (+2)
REFORM-*: 21% (+1)
LDEM-ALDE: 11%
GREENS-EGP: 10%
SNP-EFA: 3% (+1)
RESTORE-*: 3% (-1)
PC-EFA: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 25-26 October 2026

Fieldwork: 01-02 November 2026
Sample size: 2,355

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

UK (GB), More in Common:

LAB-PES: 29% (+1)
CON-ECPA: 23% (-1)
REFORM-*: 22% (-1)
LDEM-ALDE: 9% (-2)
GREENS-EGP: 8% (+1)
RESTORE-*: 5%
SNP-EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 26 October 2026

Fieldwork: 31 October - 01 November 2026
Sample size: 2,602

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Germany, INSA poll:

AfD-ESN: 28% (-1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 20%
GRÜNE-EGP: 15%
SPD-PES: 14%
LINKE-PEL: 10%
FDP-ALDE: 5%
BSW-NI: 3.5% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 23-26 October 2026

Fieldwork: 30 October - 02 November 2026
Sample size: 2,004

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, Forsa poll:

AfD-ESN: 26% (-1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 20% (-1)
GRÜNE-EGP: 17% (+1)
SPD-PES: 14% (+1)
LINKE-PEL: 11%
FDP-ALDE: 4%

+/- vs. 20-26 October 2026

Fieldwork: 27 October - 02 November 2026
Sample size: 2,500

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Finland, Taloustutkimus poll:

SDP-PES: 23%
PS-ECR: 17%
Kok.-EPP: 15% (-1)
Vas.-ELA: 13% (+1)
Kesk.-ALDE: 12% (-1)
Vihr.-EGP: 9% (+1)
SFP-ALDE: 4%
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
Liik.-*: 2%

+/- vs. 07 September - 05 October 2026

Fieldwork: 12 October - 03 November 2026
Sample size: 2170

➤ europeelects.eu/finland

Albania, NOTO poll:

PS-PES: 42%
PD-ASHM-EPP|ECR: 38%
MUNDËSIA-*: 6%
NISMA-SHB-Volt: 5%
BASHKË-*: 4%
DZh-*: 2%
PSD-*: 2%
KEA-*: 1%
LA-*: 1%
AKSH-*: 0%
ADR-*: 0%


Fieldwork: 18-27 October 2026
Sample size: 2000

➤ europeelects.eu/albania

Portugal, Pitagórica poll:

PS-PES: 30% (+1)
CH-PfE: 27% (-1)
AD-EPP: 22%
IL-ALDE: 6%
L-EGP: 4%
CDU-EGP: 2% (-1)
BE-ELA: 2%
PAN-Animal Politics EU; EGP: 1%

+/- vs. 28 September 2026 - 19 October 2026

Fieldwork: 05 October - 01 November 2026
Sample size: 804

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Belgium: King Philippe (*) rejects the government's resignation by Prime Minister Bart De Wever (N VA-EFA|ECR).

De Wever tendered the resignation of the government after failing to reach an agreement for next year's budget on Monday.
https://europeelects.eu/belgium/

Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-PES: 21%
M5S-LEFT: 13% (+1)
FI-EPP: 7%
AVS-ELA: 6%
FN-ESN: 6%
LEGA-PfE: 6% (+1)
Azione (with SP)-ALDE: 3%
IV-EDP: 2%
+E-ALDE: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
ScN-*: 1%
Other Centre-left parties: 2.1%

+/- vs. 21-26 October 2026

Fieldwork: 28 October - 02 November 2026
Sample size: 1,200

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Italy, Termometro Politico poll:

FdI-ECR: 28%
PD-PES: 21%
M5S-LEFT: 13%
FI-EPP: 8% (+1)
FN-ESN: 7% (-1)
AVS-ELA: 6%
LEGA-PfE: 6% (+1)
Azione-ALDE: 3%
IV-EDP: 2% (-1)
+E-ALDE: 2%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 20-22 October 2026

Fieldwork: 27-29 October 2026
Sample size: 2,700

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Netherlands, Peil poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PRO-G/EFA|S&D: 31 (+1)
JA21-*: 21 (+1)
PVV-PfE: 18 (-2)
D66-ALDE: 14 (-2)
VVD-ALDE: 13 (+1)
FvD-ESN: 12
CDA-EPP: 11
PvdD-Animal Politics EU: 5
SP-ELA: 5
50PLUS-EDP: 5
SGP-ECPP: 4 (+1)
Volt-Volt: 4
DENK-*: 3
CU-ECPP: 3
BBB-ECR: 1

+/- vs. 23 October 2026

Fieldwork: 06 November 2026

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Türkiye, HBS Poll:

AKP-NR: 27% (-5)
YENİ-PES: 26% (+3)
İYİ-ALDE: 9% (+1)
DEM-PES: 9%
MHP-NR: 9% (+2)
CHP-PES: 7% (+1)
ZP-*: 4% (+1)
YRP-*: 3%
A-*: 3%

+/- vs. 01-05 October 2026

Fieldwork: 01-05 November 2026
Sample size: 3000

➤ europeelects.eu/türkiye

Türkiye, HBS Poll:

AKP-NR: 27% (-5)
YENİ-PES: 26% (+3)
İYİ-ALDE: 9% (+1)
DEM-PES: 9%
MHP-NR: 9% (+2)
CHP-PES: 7% (+1)
ZP-*: 4% (+1)
YRP-*: 3%
A-*: 3%

+/- vs. 01-05 October 2026

Fieldwork: 01-05 November 2026
Sample size: 3000

➤ europeelects.eu/türkiye

Spain, SW Demoscopia poll:

PSOE-PES: 31% (+6)
PP-EPP: 29% (+5)
Vox-PfE: 17% (-3)
FA-EGP|PEL: 8% (n.a.)
ERC-EFA: 3% (-1)
SALF-NI: 2% (n.a.)
EH Bildu-ELA: 1%
AA-*: 1%
Podemos-ELA: 1% (n.a.)
Junts-EDP: 1% (-1)
BNG-EFA: 1% (n.a.)
EAJ PNV-EDP: 1%

+/- vs. 29 June 2022 - 01 July 2022

Fieldwork: 26 October - 04 November 2026
Sample size: 3,500

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Netherlands, Peil poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PRO-G/EFA|S&D: 31 (+1)
PVV-PfE: 21 (+1)
JA21-*: 18 (-2)
D66-ALDE: 14 (-2)
VVD-ALDE: 13 (+1)
FvD-ESN: 12
CDA-EPP: 11
PvdD-Animal Politics EU: 5
SP-ELA: 5
50PLUS-EDP: 5
SGP-ECPP: 4 (+1)
Volt-Volt: 4
DENK-*: 3
CU-ECPP: 3
BBB-ECR: 1

+/- vs. 23 October 2026

Fieldwork: 06 November 2026

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands