FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!🚀

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🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve cut T-bill purchases to ~$25B/month (plus ~$15.5B reinvestments), a sharper liquidity pullback that could tighten short-term funding conditions.

😐 Donald Trump’s Iran port blockade lifted oil but kept Brent/WTI below ~$100, reflecting risk premiums on ~20% of global supply (~17–20M b/d) without full disruption.

🥇 Bitcoin rose to ~$74.9K (4-week high) on peace hopes, while Ether gained ~5% to ~$2.37K, reflecting stronger risk appetite.

📦 BP reported exceptional trading gains as Brent surged >60% YTD amid Hormuz disruptions, boosting profits from energy market volatility.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 14.04.2026

🇺🇸 Core PPI m/m – 15:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 PPI m/m – 15:30 GMT+3

Useful insight? Hit ❤️

@fbsanalytics
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🈁 The US30 has resumed its upward movement, and the trend is bullish once again, as confirmed by the MACD histogram. The Alligator’s lips have crossed above its jaws.

🔼 We are considering buying the US30 only if it rises above 48,400 and the nearest fractal;
🎯 Target: 49,600.

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🥈 Silver has broken through the upper boundary of the descending wedge, and the Momentum indicator has risen above 100.0.

📈 A rise above 78.00 and the nearest fractal will open the way upward for XAGUSD;
🎯 Target 1: 82.00;
🎯 Target 2: 84.00.

@fbsanalytics
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🥇 On the hourly chart, Gold broke above the upper trendline of the descending channel, retested it, and bounced back.

🔼 We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4790;
🎯 Target: 4830.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷The US and Iran seek new talks as Hormuz disruptions threaten ~20% of global oil (~17–20M b/d), sustaining elevated prices and global energy market volatility.

🇪🇺Christine Lagarde says eurozone growth has slipped below baseline due to higher energy costs, pushing the outlook toward adverse scenarios without yet triggering rate hikes.

⚡️ Pimco bought 100% of a $400M Blue Owl Capital BDC bond deal amid wider spreads, signaling opportunistic buying in stressed private credit markets.

🖥 ASML raised 2026 sales guidance to €36–40B (from €34–39B) on surging AI-driven chip demand.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.04.2026

🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks – 22:30 GMT+3;

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💰Bitcoin tested the 75,000 level, absorbed liquidity, and bounced off the upper trend line after crossing the upper Bollinger Band. The CCI indicates a potential correction, and there is an imbalance at the bottom.

📉 A drop below 73,800 will send BTCUSD down to the lower trend line;
🎯 Target: 72,500.

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💷 GBPUSD has reached a key resistance zone and bounced off the trend line after crossing the Bollinger Band. %R is poised to exit the overbought zone.

🔽 We are considering selling GBPUSD on a drop below 1.3550;
🎯 Target 1: 1.3500;
🎯 Target 2: 1.3480 (optional).

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💥 Crypto vs. Forex: which is more intense?

Have you ever wondered how the crypto market differs from the familiar Forex market?

Here are a few facts that put everything into perspective:

📆 24/7 market
Forget about weekends. Crypto is traded around the clock. A wave can come at 3 a.m. — and you'd better be ready to react.

🧠 Volatility is off the charts
The BTC rate can jump 5–10% in an hour. Altcoins? They're a roller coaster ride.

🧠 News = instant effect
Did Elon tweet something? The coin took off. Did the regulator say something bad? Dump. There is no delay — the market reacts instantly.

👤Who controls the market?
On Forex, large banks and central banks.
In crypto — whales, funds, memes, and the crowd. Sometimes there are opportunities in this chaos.

💬 Where do you feel more confident — in crypto or currency pairs? And why?
Let's discuss it in the comments
👇

@fbsanalytics
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🇪🇺 The European Central Bank is leaning toward an April rate hold, keeping policy steady as war-driven shocks test inflation and growth across the €15T+ eurozone economy.

🇨🇳China’s economy grew 5% y/y and 1.3% q/q in Q1, beating forecasts and showing resilience driven by exports and manufacturing despite global conflict.

🔥The US and Iran are weighing a 2-week truce extension while the Strait of Hormuz—handling ~20% of global oil (~17–20M b/d)—remains shut, sustaining supply risk and elevated prices.

🟧 Tesco guides £3.0–3.3B profit (vs £3.15B prior), widening outlook due to war-driven cost uncertainty and pressure on consumer spending.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.04.2026

🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims – 15:30 GMT+3

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🆕 The US100 has set a new record high and is nearing the global trend line after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. %R confirms overbought conditions.

🔽 We expect the US100 to pull back from the trend line;
🎯 Target 1: 25,600;
🎯 Target 2: 25,400.

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🥇 So, guys, Gold has formed a wedge on the H4 chart. There is an imbalance at the top, but a divergence has formed on the RSI, so it’s important to consider two scenarios:

🔽 A break below the trend line at 4790 will send XAUUSD down to 4700 and then to 4600;
🔼 A rise above 4850 will open the way to 4975.

👍 - you're bullish, ❤️ - you're bearish!

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💡 Martingale Trading Strategy

The Martingale strategy involves doubling the position in case of a loss. The goal of the strategy is to recoup losses and make a profit.

How It Works ⚙️:
Step 1️⃣: Open a position with 0.1 lot.
Step 2️⃣: If the trade loses, you double your position size to 0.2 lot.
Step 3️⃣: Double your position (0.4 lot, 0.8 lot, etc.) after each loss until the trade turns profitable.
Step 4️⃣: Close all positions once you recover your losses and make a small profit.

Pros ✅:
🟢 Can recover losses quickly if the market reverses in your favor.
🟢 Potential for profits if you're able to outlast the drawdown period.

Cons ❌:
🔴 Requires significant capital to withstand multiple losing trades.
🔴 Not suitable for volatile markets or large drawdowns.
🔴 It can blow your account if the market doesn’t reverse.

🚨 Risks:
If the market doesn’t reverse, you could experience severe losses.
Requires careful management to avoid margin calls, especially during prolonged losing streaks.

🔑 Key Takeaway:
The Martingale strategy can be tempting due to its potential to recover losses quickly, but it’s a high-risk method that should only be used with proper risk management.

⚠️ Remember: This trading technique involves significant risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose.

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😁 Donald Trump signals a potential permanent US-Iran ceasefire, which could ease risks to ~20% of global oil flows (~17–20M b/d) and lower energy-driven inflation pressures.

🇪🇺 The European Central Bank is expected to hike rates by +25bps in June as 2026 inflation rises, signaling limited but targeted tightening.

🪙 Bitcoin above $75K faces a squeeze risk as funding rates stay negative ~46 days, signaling heavy short positioning that could trigger sharp upside moves.

📱 Netflix shares fell after a Q2 forecast miss, while co-founder Reed Hastings exits after 29 years, adding leadership uncertainty to growth concerns.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.04.2026

🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller Speaks – 21:00 GMT+3

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⛽️ Natural gas has rebounded from the downtrend line and the key psychological level of 2.800, as confirmed by the Stochastic indicator.

🔽 We are considering selling XNGUSD if the price falls below 2.780;
🎯 Target 1: 2.750;
🎯 Target 2: 2.700.

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🇨🇭 USDCHF has broken below the lower boundary of the bearish flag, and the 50-day moving average (MA50) has crossed below the 200-day moving average (MA200), forming a death cross—a highly bearish setup.

🔽 We are considering selling USDCHF if it falls below 1.7810;
🎯 Target 1: 1.7770;
🎯 Target 2: 1.7750.

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🚨 SCAM ALERT – Stay Safe! 🚨

Hey everyone, please be extra careful!
We’ve spotted a fake account using our FBS logo and replying in comments, telling people to join for a “VIP signals”.

⚠️ THIS IS NOT US!

👉 We never send private messages!
👉 We never drop links in the comments!
👉 We only communicate through our official channel!

❌ Please report and block any suspicious accounts. Thank you!
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🥇 Gold fell ~1.9% to ~$4,790/oz as renewed Strait of Hormuz disruptions reignited inflation fears tied to potential shocks in ~20% of global oil supply.

😐 Donald Trump’s first ship seizure in the Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates risks to ~20% of global oil flows (~17–20M b/d), threatening higher prices and disrupted trade.

🪙 UniCredit is pushing to acquire Commerzbank, citing structural weaknesses and aiming to unlock synergies across tens of billions in combined assets.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.04.2026

🇨🇦 CPI m/m – 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Median CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Trimmed CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3

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🛢 Brent has once again bounced off the downtrend line and the 50-day moving average, and the %R has moved out of the overbought zone. There is a gap below.

🔽 We are considering selling XBRUSD if the price falls below 90.60;
🎯 Target 1: 89.00;
🎯 Target 2: 88.00.

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