FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trump is demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz, where ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M barrels/day) flows, risking major price spikes and trade disruption.

๐Ÿ’ต Berkshire Hathaway holds $373B cashโ€”enough to buy ~480 S&P 500 firmsโ€”signaling capital surplus and scarce big deals.

๐Ÿช™ Goldman Sachs is leveraging its $15.7B private credit fund and stable institutional capital to capitalize on retail investor outflows, aiming to expand market share as competitors face liquidity pressure.

๐Ÿค– OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are coordinating to curb model copying in China, aiming to protect billions in AI R&D and maintain competitive advantage in a rapidly growing trillion-dollar market.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 07.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Durable Goods Orders m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ›ขBrent has once again bounced off the global trend line and gathered liquidity. The Chaikin Oscillator has fallen below 0, and there is an unclosed imbalance below.

๐Ÿ“‰ A break below the minor uptrend line at 106.00 will send XBRUSD tumbling;
๐ŸŽฏTarget: 102.00.

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โ›ฝ๏ธ Natural gas has formed a descending triangle pattern, and the price is actively testing the lower boundary. A drop below the nearest fractal will send the price lower.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XNGUSD if the price falls below 2.830;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 2.680.

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๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ On the H4 chart, AUDUSD is testing the upper boundary of the downtrend channel but has broken above the upper Bollinger Band.

๐Ÿ”ผ A break above 0.6950 will open the way to 0.7030;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A pullback will push AUDUSD down to 0.6880 and then to 0.6840.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A US-Iran ceasefire under Donald Trump sent oil down and lifted stocks (US500 futures up ~1โ€“2%), cutting risk premiums across ~$100T global markets.

๐Ÿ’ฐBitcoin jumped ~4.9% to $72.7K (3-week high) on the US-Iran ceasefire, while Ether surged ~7.4% to $2.27K, signaling renewed risk appetite.

๐Ÿช™ Pimco is considering a ~$14B debt deal with Oracle to finance a Michigan data center tied to OpenAI, underscoring surging capital demand for AI infrastructure.

โŒจ๏ธ Anthropic is giving Apple and Amazon early access to its Mythos model via Project Glasswing, aiming to stress-test AI risks and protect multibillion-dollar digital infrastructure.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 08.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ FOMC Meeting Minutes โ€“ 21:00 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD has pulled back from a strong resistance zone amid the start of negotiations between Iran and the US. The Parabolic SAR indicates the start of a downtrend, and the -DI has crossed below the +DI on the ADX.

๐Ÿ”ฝWe are considering selling USDCAD if it falls below 1.3850;
๐ŸŽฏTarget: 1.3750.

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ’ถ On the daily chart, EURUSD has broken through the downtrend line, and the Alligatorโ€™s lips are poised to cross the jaw. The Parabolic SAR confirms the start of an uptrend.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying EURUSD if it rises above 1.1700;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.1800.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡Gold, having formed a symmetrical triangle, has broken through the upper boundary, and the price may continue to rise toward the Imbalance level provided it breaks through the nearest fractal.

๐Ÿ“ˆ A rise above 4850 will open the way upward for XAUUSD;
๐ŸŽฏTarget 1: 4900;
๐ŸŽฏTarget 2: 4970.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

โšก๏ธ Goldman Sachs warns Brent could average >$100/bbl in 2026 if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut another month, tightening supply across ~20% of global oil flows.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชGerman industrial output fell โˆ’0.3% m/m pre-war, signaling weak momentum in Europeโ€™s largest economy and downside risk to 2026 growth.

๐Ÿ‘€ Deutsche Bank says China gains as energy volatility rises, leveraging its dominance in clean tech and diversified energy mix to strengthen long-term economic positioning.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 09.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core PCE Price Index m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Final GDP q/q โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ•’ Whatโ€™s your favorite timeframe, guys?
Anonymous Poll
17%
5 MIN
27%
15 MIN
23%
1H
2%
2H
23%
4H
4%
1D
1%
1W
4%
1M
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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold has bounced off the lower trendline of the ascending channel and the 50-day moving average. The %R indicator has exited the oversold zone, suggesting a potential upward move toward the high.

๐Ÿ”ผWe are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4750;
๐ŸŽฏTarget: 4820.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ“ˆ On the H4 chart, NZDUSD has broken through the downtrend line and is now actively testing the 200-day moving average. A rise above the nearest fractal will confirm a reversal.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying NZDUSD if it rises above 0.5860;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.5885;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.5950.

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๐Ÿ˜ Just don't do that, guys!

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trump is pushing to reopen the Strait of Hormuzโ€”handling ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d)โ€”as ongoing attacks threaten supply, keeping energy prices and geopolitical risk elevated.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s aggressive rupee defense (after FX lows) risks deterring $50B+ annual inflows as opaque RBI moves raise volatility and undermine currency stability.

๐Ÿ‘๏ธ A China AI firm disclosed $92M in restricted Nvidia server exposure as shares plunged โˆ’20%, highlighting tightening US export controls amid billions in alleged chip smuggling.

๐Ÿ“ˆ TSMC posted +35% revenue to NT$1.13T ($35.6B), beating estimates, as AI demand (from Nvidia, Apple) stayed strong despite war.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 10.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Employment Change โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ†• The US100 has broken through the upper trendline of the descending channel, and the price is poised to break out of the cloud. The Tenkan line is about to cross the Kijun line, which will signal a potential buy opportunity.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying the US100 if it rises above 25,100;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 25,900.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US CPI Release ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โญ๏ธ Core CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.2%
Expected โ€” 0.3%
Previous โ€” 0.2%

โญ๏ธ CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.9%
Expected โ€” 1.0%
Previous โ€” 0.3%

โญ๏ธ CPI y/y
Actual โ€” 3.3%
Expected โ€” 3.4%
Previous โ€” 2.4%
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๐ŸŽ‰ Happy Friday, traders!

๐ŸŽ‰ Hope your week was full of green candles and smart moves. Take a well-deserved break, recharge, and get ready for new opportunities next week!

โ˜•๏ธ How was your trading week? Share in the comments๐Ÿ‘‡

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿช™ Union Bancaire Privรฉe is rebuilding gold exposure (from ~3% after cutting from ~10%) and sees prices potentially hitting $6,000/oz, signaling bullish long-term demand

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trumpโ€™s Hormuz blockade (targeting flows tied to ~20% of global oil, ~17โ€“20M b/d) sent Brent/WTI sharply higher and equities lower

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Peter Magyar ended Viktor Orbanโ€™s 16-year rule, signaling policy shifts that could redirect billions in EU funding and reshape Hungaryโ€™s economic alignment.

โœˆ๏ธLufthansa faces a 2-day pilot strike (Apr 13โ€“14) hitting passenger and cargo flights, risking thousands of cancellations and multimillion-euro revenue losses.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 13.04.2026

๐ŸŒ IMF Meetings โ€“ Day 1

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธโ†ฉ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฟ๏ธโ†•๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ด USDJPY is testing the upper trendline of the descending channel after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. The CCI has already moved out of the overbought zone, confirming the potential for a pullback.

๐Ÿ”ผ A break above 159.800 will open the way to 160.400;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A pullback will push USDJPY down to 159.300 and 158.700.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡Gold is forming a head-and-shoulders pattern on the M30 chart. The Parabolic SAR indicates a potential downtrend, and there is an imbalance on the downside.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if the price falls below 4705 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 4685;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 4675.

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