FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

🀝FBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
🌐FBS website: https://fbs.com
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❗️Channel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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πŸ’‘ Martingale Trading Strategy

The Martingale strategy involves doubling the position in case of a loss. The goal of the strategy is to recoup losses and make a profit.

How It Works βš™οΈ:
Step 1️⃣: Open a position with 0.1 lot.
Step 2️⃣: If the trade loses, you double your position size to 0.2 lot.
Step 3️⃣: Double your position (0.4 lot, 0.8 lot, etc.) after each loss until the trade turns profitable.
Step 4️⃣: Close all positions once you recover your losses and make a small profit.

Pros βœ…:
🟒 Can recover losses quickly if the market reverses in your favor.
🟒 Potential for profits if you're able to outlast the drawdown period.

Cons ❌:
πŸ”΄ Requires significant capital to withstand multiple losing trades.
πŸ”΄ Not suitable for volatile markets or large drawdowns.
πŸ”΄ It can blow your account if the market doesn’t reverse.

🚨 Risks:
If the market doesn’t reverse, you could experience severe losses.
Requires careful management to avoid margin calls, especially during prolonged losing streaks.

πŸ”‘ Key Takeaway:
The Martingale strategy can be tempting due to its potential to recover losses quickly, but it’s a high-risk method that should only be used with proper risk management.

⚠️ Remember: This trading technique involves significant risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

😁 Donald Trump signals a potential permanent US-Iran ceasefire, which could ease risks to ~20% of global oil flows (~17–20M b/d) and lower energy-driven inflation pressures.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The European Central Bank is expected to hike rates by +25bps in June as 2026 inflation rises, signaling limited but targeted tightening.

πŸͺ™ Bitcoin above $75K faces a squeeze risk as funding rates stay negative ~46 days, signaling heavy short positioning that could trigger sharp upside moves.

πŸ“± Netflix shares fell after a Q2 forecast miss, while co-founder Reed Hastings exits after 29 years, adding leadership uncertainty to growth concerns.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.04.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Waller Speaks – 21:00 GMT+3

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βœ‚οΈβοΈβ©οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

⛽️ Natural gas has rebounded from the downtrend line and the key psychological level of 2.800, as confirmed by the Stochastic indicator.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling XNGUSD if the price falls below 2.780;
🎯 Target 1: 2.750;
🎯 Target 2: 2.700.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ˜…πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ USDCHF has broken below the lower boundary of the bearish flag, and the 50-day moving average (MA50) has crossed below the 200-day moving average (MA200), forming a death crossβ€”a highly bearish setup.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling USDCHF if it falls below 1.7810;
🎯 Target 1: 1.7770;
🎯 Target 2: 1.7750.

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🚨 SCAM ALERT – Stay Safe! 🚨

Hey everyone, please be extra careful!
We’ve spotted a fake account using our FBS logo and replying in comments, telling people to join for a β€œVIP signals”.

⚠️ THIS IS NOT US!

πŸ‘‰ We never send private messages!
πŸ‘‰ We never drop links in the comments!
πŸ‘‰ We only communicate through our official channel!

❌ Please report and block any suspicious accounts. Thank you!
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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ₯‡ Gold fell ~1.9% to ~$4,790/oz as renewed Strait of Hormuz disruptions reignited inflation fears tied to potential shocks in ~20% of global oil supply.

😐 Donald Trump’s first ship seizure in the Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates risks to ~20% of global oil flows (~17–20M b/d), threatening higher prices and disrupted trade.

πŸͺ™ UniCredit is pushing to acquire Commerzbank, citing structural weaknesses and aiming to unlock synergies across tens of billions in combined assets.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.04.2026

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ CPI m/m – 15:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Median CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Trimmed CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ›’ Brent has once again bounced off the downtrend line and the 50-day moving average, and the %R has moved out of the overbought zone. There is a gap below.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling XBRUSD if the price falls below 90.60;
🎯 Target 1: 89.00;
🎯 Target 2: 88.00.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ*οΈβƒ£πŸ…°οΈβΊοΈ

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ USDCAD is testing the upward trend line, but the RSI has broken below the line, which may indicate a potential breakout. The AO also suggests that bears are currently in control.

πŸ”½ A break below the trend line at 1.3680 will push the price down to 1.3570 and then to 1.3500;
πŸ”Ό A rebound will push USDCAD back to 1.3910.

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πŸ’¬ "The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule." β€” Warren Buffett

❓Sounds easy β€” but is it?

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Donald Trump signals no ceasefire extension while keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed, sustaining risks to ~20% of global oil (~17–20M b/d) and prolonging trade disruption.

🍎 #APPLE names John Ternus CEO, succeeding Tim Cook after a 15-year run that built a ~$4T company, marking a major leadership shift.

πŸ“± #AMAZON is investing $5B (potentially up to $25B total) into Anthropic at a $350B valuation, intensifying the high-stakes AI capital race.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 21.04.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Retail Sales m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;

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🈁 US30 has completed its correction and is poised to rise toward an all-time high (ATH), following the US100 and US500’s new record highs. The +DI is above the -DI, confirming the potential for an uptrend toward the Order Block.

πŸ‘† We are considering buying the US30 if it rises above 49,600;
🎯 Target: 50,300.

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πŸ’Έ So, Bitcoin has broken through the upper boundary of the descending channel, and the price has already moved out of the cloud; Tenkan is above Kijun. Everything points to the start of a reversal following a sharp decline.

πŸ”Ό A rise above 78,000 and the nearest fractal will pave the way for further gains for BTCUSD.
🎯 Target: 84,000.

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πŸ₯‡ Gold is breaking through the upward trend line and is poised to fall below the nearest fractal. A divergence has formed on the RSI, which only confirms the likelihood of a decline.

πŸ”½ A drop below 4740 will send XAUUSD tumbling;
🎯 Target 1: 4670;
🎯 Target 2: 4600.

❗️The market situation is extremely unpredictable, so use SL!

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

😁 Donald Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely while keeping the Strait of Hormuz blockade after peace talks collapsed.

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK inflation rose to 3.3% y/y (from 3.0%) as war-driven energy costs pushed petrol prices higher.

πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Deutsche Telekom is weighing a full merger with T-Mobile, where it already holds ~53%, in what could become the largest-ever public M&A deal.

✈️ Lufthansa will cut 20,000 flights (~1% capacity) to save ~40,000 tons of fuel as jet fuel prices have doubled since the war.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 22.04.2026

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB President Lagarde Speaks – 20:30 GMT+3;

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸŒ‰ On the H1 chart, gold is testing the upper boundary of the downtrend channel. Meanwhile, the Stochastic oscillator has moved out of the overbought zone, suggesting a potential decline.

‴️ A break above the trend line at 4770 would open the way to 4830;
‡️ A pullback would push XAUUSD down to 4700 and 4680.

πŸ‘ - you're bullish, ❀️ - you're bearish!

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ›’ Brent broke through the upper boundary of the descending channel, retested it, and broke out of the cloud; the Tenkan line crossed the Kijun line.

πŸ”Ό A rise in XBRUSD above the 95.70 level will open the way upward;
🎯 Target: 99.50.

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πŸ™ˆ Do you remember your first time?

πŸ’¬ First profit on a real account is a memory that will last forever. Share your stories!

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

🎁 Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to near zero after Iran seized at least 2 vessels, with only 1 ship moving and others aborting transit.

🏎 Tesla will spend >$25B in 2026 capex (up from ~$20B, ~3Γ— y/y) to scale AI and robotics, signaling aggressive reinvestment into future growth.

⌨️ TSMC will delay use of ASML’s €350M+ high-NA EUV machines until 2029, highlighting cost pressures in advanced chip production.

🍫Nestlé posted +3.5% organic sales growth, with snacks and coffee offsetting a recall impacting 60+ countries.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.04.2026

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German Flash Manufacturing PMIs - 10:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German Flash Services PMI - 10:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Flash Manufacturing PMI - 11:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Flash Services PMI - 11:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ’· GBPUSD has formed a descending triangle pattern on the H4 chart and is testing the lower boundary. There is an FVG at the bottom, and the MACD histogram confirms bearish dominance.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling GBPUSD if it falls below 1.3480;
🎯 Target: 1.3390.

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πŸ₯ˆ Silver has retested the previously broken upward trend line of the ascending channel. The price has broken out of the cloud, and the Kijun line has crossed below the Tenkan line, falling below the nearest fractal.

πŸ”½ A drop below 74,500 will push XAGUSD even lower;
🎯 Target: 70,000.

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