💰 BTC correlation with indices

Bitcoin was once considered an alternative to the stock market — “digital gold”, unaffected by global risks. But the most attentive traders and investors see the opposite.

🟠 BTC is increasingly moving in unison with indices, especially the US100 and US500
🟠 During important macroeconomic events (Fed decisions, inflation reports, NonFarm, etc.), the behavior of cryptocurrency almost mirrors the dynamics of the stock market

Why is this important?
✔️ If BTC reacts as a risk asset rather than a defensive one, this changes the logic of entries and exits
✔️ Correlation with indices can help traders predict BTC movements based on stock market dynamics
✔️ But during periods of “crypto shock” (ETFs, halving, major disruptions), BTC can sharply deviate from the overall picture

📌 BTC can be both an indicator of stock market sentiment and a wild beast with its own rules.

🎯 The ability to track Correlation with the US100 or US500 can be a key tool in BTC trading.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇪🇺 Euro-area PMI fell to 48.6 (from 50.7; vs 50.1 est.), signaling contraction for the first time since late 2024 as services weaken.

🤔 Donald Trump’s messaging and blockade are stalling weeks-long talks, risking disruption to trade flows across multiple regional ports.

☕️ Starbucks is scouting a new tech hub (US or abroad) after cutting $100M in costs over 90 days to further streamline spending.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 24.04.2026

🇬🇧 Retail Sales m/m – 9:00 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

👉🥇🇻🇦🛸👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇So, gold has formed a bearish flag pattern, and the price has broken below the lower boundary. The Parabolic SAR confirms the downtrend, and the Chaikin Oscillator is below 0.

🔽 If XAUUSD falls below 4660, the decline will continue;
🎯 Target: 4550.

@fbsanalytics

😛🤗😅🍎😜

🇨🇭USDCHF bounced off the uptrend line after breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. The DeMarker is poised to exit the oversold zone, confirming the potential for a correction.

🔼 We are considering buying USDCHF if it rises above 0.7870;
🎯 Target: 0.8000.

@fbsanalytics

☀️ Have a Good Weekend, everybody!☀️

💡Taking a break to reflect, but ready to make smarter moves next week!

@fbsanalytics

🌍 FOREX SESSIONS

🕯 The FX market operates 24 hours a day, 5 days a week. Liquidity, volatility, and market behavior change as different financial centers open and close.

🇦🇺 SYDNEY SESSION (22:00 – 07:00 UTC)

🟢 Liquidity is thin, spreads can widen, and price moves slower — but this session often sets the initial tone for the market.
🔥 Best for: catching weekend gap closes and trading AUD & NZD pairs before Tokyo takes over.

🇯🇵 ASIAN SESSION (23:00 – 08:00 UTC)

🟢Pairs like USDJPY, AUDUSD, NZDUSD take the spotlight. Price moves slower, ranges are tight, and levels hold beautifully. Perfect for range traders & scalpers.
⚠️ Watch out: Asia often retraces late US moves – overnight traders get trapped all the time.

🇬🇧 LONDON SESSION (07:00 – 16:00 UTC)

🟢 Over 35% of all FX volume flows through London. This is where the market wakes up – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF explode with liquidity.
🟢 Breakouts from the Asian range happen here – but beware of the London fakeout in the first hour.
✅ Smart traders wait for the real move before jumping in.

🇺🇸 NEW YORK SESSION (12:00 – 21:00 UTC)

🔥 Big news – NFP, CPI, Fed speeches – can rip through the charts. Sometimes NY pushes the London trend further, sometimes it kills it instantly.
🟢 After 20:00 UTC, liquidity fades & spreads widen.

📈 THE OVERLAPS — 12:00 – 16:00 UTC (London + New York) – the prime time of Forex. Stop hunts, breakouts, trend launches – this is where the action is.

💡 Pro Tip from FBS Analysts:
🟠 Mark the high & low of the Asian range before London opens.
🟠 When London breaks out – wait for the first false move (the “fakeout”) to trap weak traders.
🟠 Enter in the opposite direction after the trap is cleared – ride the real move into the London/NY overlap.

Hit ❤️ and save this post — so you’ll never trade blind to the sessions again!

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🌍 The Federal Reserve and G7 peers are set to hold rates steady this week across 5 major economies, watching energy-driven inflation risks.

🇩🇪 Friedrich Merz faces a weakening outlook as Germany halves its 2026 growth forecast despite heavy stimulus, with rising energy costs and inflation derailing recovery.

🪙 HSBC is reviewing a $38K-per-child school fee perk in Hong Kong as part of broader cost-cutting and global benefits standardization.

💰Bitcoin nears $80K as ~$2B ETF inflows and ~$3.9B monthly buying by Strategy Inc. fuel demand, supporting a steady recovery.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 27.04.2026

🇬🇧 CBI Realized Sales – 13:00 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

📊 Wick in Trading. Powerful Signal or a Trap?

In the price action world, wick refers to a sharp price spike — either upward or downward — followed by a quick reversal. It visualizes liquidity grabs and can be a strong signal when analyzing the chart.

🔍 What is a Wick and How to Identify It?
A wick is a long candle shadow with a relatively small body. It shows that price briefly moved beyond a key level — triggering stop orders or collecting liquidity — then reversed sharply.
This could indicate:
- A liquidity grab beyond highs/lows
- A false breakout
- Smart money activity (large institutional players)

🧠 How to Use a Wick as an Entry Point?
There are two classic approaches:
1️⃣ Enter from the start of the wick (the price level where the wick begins)
2️⃣ Enter from the 0.5 level of the wick — the equilibrium price
✅ This level often acts as a reaction zone
✅ Provides a better risk-to-reward setup

📌 Place your stop-loss beyond the wick, as a return beyond it may signal a structure break.

🧩 On lower timeframes, a wick is often a full-bodied engulfing candle, which can be identified as an order block.

A wick on higher timeframes may align with internal structures on lower timeframes, such as accumulation zones or local reversals.

📈 Example
Price approaches a key level (e.g., a previous high), breaks it with a wick, triggers stop-losses of long positions, and then reverses downward. This creates a solid short entry from the 0.5 wick level.

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🛢 Oil rose with Brent near $109 (+2.8%) and WTI >$97 as talks continue under Donald Trump while the Strait of Hormuz remains nearly shut.

🇨🇳 Xi Jinping moved to block Meta’s $2B AI deal, signaling China’s expanding global regulatory reach over cross-border tech M&A.

⚡️ #BP Q1 profit more than doubled to $3.2B as war-driven trading gains surged, while net debt rose ~14%.

🤖 OpenAI missed 2026 user and sales targets, raising concerns over sustaining massive AI spending as rivals gain share.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 28.04.2026

🇺🇸 CB Consumer Confidence – 17:00 GMT+3;

@fbsanalytics

😛🙃🤗🍏😜

🥈 Silver has broken below the lower boundary of the bearish flag, and the price is falling rapidly. The Chaikin Oscillator has dropped below 0, confirming bearish dominance.

🔽 We are considering selling XAGUSD if it falls below 73.000;
🎯 Target 1: 70.000;
🎯 Target 2: 68.000.

@fbsanalytics

*️⃣🅰️⏺️↩️🅿️↕️

👀 CADJPY (our favorite cross pair) is testing a crucial psychological level, and the Force Index confirms the potential for further gains toward the previous high, where the OB is located.

🔼 We are considering buying CADJPY if it rises above 117.000;
🎯 Target: 118.500.

@fbsanalytics

🔥TRADING STOCKS

🔍 #GOOGLE has reached an all-time high (ATH) and appears poised to continue rising after the correction, making the 161.8 Fibonacci level a possibility.

📈 Alphabet Inc. stock is rising on expectations of ~$100B+ Q1 revenue (earnings April 29), ~25–35% Google Cloud growth from AI demand, reports of a US DoD AI contract, multi-billion AI investments (Anthropic), the ~$23B Wiz deal, and a broader AI-driven Nasdaq rally.

🔼 We are considering buying #GOOGLE if it rises above 350.00;
🎯 Target: 395.00.

@fbsanalytics

"The market is never wrong — opinions often are." — Jesse Livermore

❔ Have you ever stubbornly held an opinion against the market?

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🥇 Central banks bought 244 tons of gold in Q1 (vs 208 tons prior), the fastest pace in >1 year, led by Poland, China and Uzbekistan.

🛢 The OPEC faces its biggest crisis in 50+ years as the UAE exits (effective May 1), marking the fifth member departure since 2016 and threatening the group’s market influence.

🪙 UBS posted $3.04B profit with trading revenue up ~30%, and plans a $3B buyback by July, boosting shareholder returns.

💵 TotalEnergies raised its dividend to €0.90/share (from €0.85) and boosted buybacks to up to $1.5B (vs $750M prior) as war-driven energy profits surged.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 29.04.2026

🇨🇦 BOC Monetary Policy Report - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 BOC Rate Statement - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 Overnight Rate - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 BOC Press Conference - 17:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Federal Funds Rate - 21:00 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 FOMC Statement - 21:00 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 FOMC Press Conference - 21:30 GMT+3;

@fbsanalytics

⏭️ℹ️🔼ℹ️🔽⏺️

💶EURUSD has broken through the upward trend line, retested it and the 50-day moving average (MA50), and is now continuing to fall. The Stochastic oscillator has moved out of the overbought zone, confirming the potential for a decline.

🔽 We are considering selling EURUSD ONLY if it consolidates below 1.1680;
🎯 Target 1: 1.1640;
🎯 Target 2: 1.1610.

@fbsanalytics

👉🥇🇻🇦🛸👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇XAUUSD is in a short-term and long-term downtrend, and the price has already fallen below the nearest fractal. The 50-day moving average (MA50) has crossed below the 200-day moving average (MA200), forming a death cross.

🔽 A drop in XAUUSD below 4560 will open the way for further declines;
🎯 Target: 4500.

@fbsanalytics

📌 How Do Limit Orders Work?

❓ We have a few questions about order types, so let’s break them down for you, guys.

There are two main types of orders:
1️⃣ Market Order: executed instantly at the current price.
2️⃣ Limit Order: executed only when the price reaches your set level.

Here’s how limit orders work:
⤴️Buy Limit — set below current price. You expect the price to drop, then rise.
⤵️Sell Limit — set above the current price. You expect the price to rise, then reverse.
🔼Buy Stop — set above the current price. You expect a breakout upward.
🔽Sell Stop — set below current price. You expect a downward breakout.

👀 Use them to plan your trades, no need to stare at the screen all day.

@fbsanalytics

🇺🇸 Federal Funds Rate:

🟢Actual — 3.75%
🟠Expected — 3.75%
🟠Previous — 3.75%

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🛢Brent surged ~7.1% to >$126 (4-year high) and WTI >$110 as Donald Trump weighs Iran military options, driving wartime oil spikes.

🇪🇺The European Central Bank is set to hold its deposit rate at 2% (since June 2025) despite inflation pressures from the Iran war.

⌨️ Alphabet and Amazon are outperforming Meta in AI, as Big Tech ramps spending in a race expected to cost trillions.

🧪 BNP Paribas Q1 profit rose 9% to €3.22B (vs €2.92B est.) as equities trading revenue climbed to €1.26B.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 30.04.2026

🇬🇧 BOE Monetary Policy Report - 14:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 Monetary Policy Summary - 14:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 MPC Official Bank Rate Votes - 14:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 Official Bank Rate - 14:00 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 Main Refinancing Rate - 15:15 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 Monetary Policy Statement - 15:15 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 GDP m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Advance GDP q/q - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Employment Cost Index q/q - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 ECB Press Conference - 15:45 GMT+3;

Useful insight? Hit ❤️

@fbsanalytics

✂️🅱️🔼ℹ️🔽⏺️

🛢So, Brent has once again hit a record high in the news, but it has already crossed the upper Bollinger Band.

📈 A rise in XBRUSD above 114.00 will open the way to 132.00, corresponding to the 161.8 Fibonacci level;
📉 A pullback will once again push oil down to 100.00.

@fbsanalytics