FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

🀝FBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
🌐FBS website: https://fbs.com
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❗️Channel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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#EconomicCalendar

US data are out!

😊 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Forecast: 645K
Actual: 978K

😊 Unemployment Claims
Forecast: 400K
Actual: 385K

Good news for USD buyers! EUR/USD and GBP/USD are down, gold is down, USD/CAD is up πŸ“ˆ
#EconomicCalendar

US data are out!

πŸ˜” Nonfarm Payrolls
Forecast: 650K
Actual: 559K

😊 Unemployment Rate
Forecast: 5.9%
Actual: 5.8%
​#EconomicCalendar #TradingNews

πŸ’₯ US data are out!

😊 CPI m/m
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: 0.6%

😊 Core CPI
Forecast: 0.7%
Actual: 0.5%

πŸ˜” Unemployment Claims
Forecast: 370K%
Actual: 376K%

XAU/USD initially dipped but then turned up. The potential target is $1900. As for currency pairs we see the rise in intraday volatility as the market is looking for direction.
​#EconomicCalendar #TradingNews

πŸ’₯ ECB raised Eurozone’s GDP forecast

β€’ 2021 GDP +4.6% vs +4.0% prior
β€’ 2022 GDP +4.7% vs +4.1% prior
β€’ 2023 GDP +2.1% vs +2.1% prior

The central bank left key rates unchanged. Pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) will continue to run at a significantly higher pace. The ECB expects rates to remain at present levels or lower until inflation outlook has robustly converge to a level sufficiently close to, but below, 2%.

There was an impressive move in EUR/JPY: the pair jumped to 133.75 in the initial reaction, but met resistance. The correction may take the euro down to 133.55 and 133.35. There are no big news to keep boosting the EUR.
​#EconomicCalendar #TradingNews

πŸ’₯ US data are out!

πŸ˜” Core Retail Sales
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: -0.7%

πŸ˜” Retail Sales
Forecast: -0.6%
Actual: -1.3%

😊 PPI
Forecast: 0.5%
Actual: 0.8%

😊 Industrial Production
Forecast: 0.6%
Actual: 0.8%

πŸ“ˆπŸ“‰ What does it mean for traders?

The stimulus launched by President Biden in March is no longer in action, so Americans started to buy less. They tend to spend more on services (restaurants, tourism) than on goods. Higher prices may also discourage consumers. The important thing is that the Federal Reserve may stick to its monetary support talk. That would pressure the USD and boost S&P 500 further.
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ“£ US Advance GDP q/q is out!

πŸ˜” Actual: 6.5%
Forecast: 8.5%
Previous: 6.4%

πŸ“ˆ What does it mean for the market?

⬇ The USD is weakening in all pairs. If USD/CHF slides below 0.9070, it may fall to 0.9000. GBP/USD is moving towards 1.3990. USD/CAD may slide to 1.2430.
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ’₯US CPI is out!

CPI
Forecast: 0.5%
Actual: 0.5%

Core CPI
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: 0.3%

Market impact
Figures are lower compared with the previous month. As a result, expectations of the Fed normalizing policy may cool down a bit. This is bearish for the USD in the short term.
​#EconomicCalendar

☹US Retail Sales
Forecast: -0.2%
Actual: -1.1%
Previous: revised up to +1.6%

☹Core Retail Sales
Forecast: +0.2%
Actual: -0.4%
Previous: revised up to +0.7%

πŸ™‚Industrial Production
Forecast: +0.5%
Actual: +0.9%

The actual retail sales disappointed, so why is the USD strengthening? Of course, that's not what usually happens. Maybe it's the return to bigger technical trends, maybe orders got triggered, maybe everyone's waiting for what Powell has to say at 20:30 GMT+3.πŸ€”

Inflation + poor economic figures from the United States may add to safe haven demand for gold and JPY. One is clear: it's not the end for today's volatility. Stay safe!πŸ™
#EconomicCalendar

πŸ™‚US Core Durable Goods Orders
Forecast: +0.5%
Actual: +0.7%

πŸ™‚Durable Goods Orders
Forecast: -0.3%
Actual: -0.1%

Some stronger-than-expected data for the USD!
#EconomicCalendar

πŸ™‚US PPI
Actual: 0.7%
Forecast: 0.6%
Previous: 1.0%

πŸ™‚US Core PPI
Actual: 0.7%
Forecast: 0.5%
Previous: 0.6%

US producer inflation was higher than expected, but significantly below the previous reading. The market will be deciding what to make of these numbers as key pairs are near support/resistance levels.
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ“£United States CPI results will move the dollar!

United States’ Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly CPI and core CPI on September 14, 15:30 GMT+3.

What will happen?
United States’ Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly CPI and core CPI at 15:30 GMT+3. The Consumer Price Index measures the average change in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods and services. The CPI statistics cover a variety of individuals with different incomes, including retirees, but does not include certain populations, such as patients of mental hospitals.

Why is it important?
Investors, traders, banks, and governments are watching CPI data because it is the most widely used measure of inflation. If the inflation rate is high (or higher than expected), banks will probably raise interest rates in order to slow inflation. Almost every release of CPI has been accompanied by massive movements in USD-related assets and USD currency pairs. June saw an unusually high MoM CPI data and it has caused a surge in USD.

How to trade on the CPI data?
Due to the importance of CPI data, it may influence all USD pairs greatly. Furthermore, you can watch after other events related to USD and combine them to catch an even greater price movement.

⬆If actual numbers will beat expectations – the USD will rise.
⬇Otherwise, fall.

Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY.
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ˜”US CPI
Actual: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.4%

πŸ˜”Core CPI
Actual: 0.1%
Forecast: 0.3%

The initial reaction was the weaker USD, but then EUR/USD ran into resistance.
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ“£Weekly US employment: a chance for the USD

What will happen?
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3). This indicator shows the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the previous week.

Why is it important?
This release provides the freshest insight into the situation in the US labor market. Based on its change, traders may suggest the level of the next non-farm payrolls.

In the picture below, you can see how better-than-expected figures affected the US dollar.

😎How to trade on the US Unemployment Claims?
To trade on this economic release, check the calendar on the FBS website.

⬆If the Unemployment Claims are smaller than the forecasts, the USD will strengthen;
⬇Alternatively, the USD will weaken.

Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ“£Crucial Readings for British Pound

What will happen?
Bank of England will release data on quantitative easing, monetary policy, and bank rates on November 4, 14:00 GMT+2. This exact report happens once a month and shows BOE’s point of view on the current economic conditions.

Why is it important?
The BOE’s meeting contains information that directly affects the British pound. Monetary policy is among the primary tools the Bank uses to change inflation, thus, the overall pace of the economy. Also, interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future. Although the rate often remains the same, this time investors anticipate a hike to come. Moreover, the voting process (monetary policy committee members vote on main economic matters) can give us more information about the bank’s plans.

How to trade on Bank of England readings?
The British Pound leaped in value against all its major peers in anticipation that the Bank of England could raise interest rates on November 4. That move will put the currency in a winning position against weaker euro and other currencies.

⬆If the Bank hike rates – GBP will rise
⬇Otherwise, fall

Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, GBP/USD.
#EconomicCalendar

πŸ‘Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Actual: 531К
Forecast: 450K
Previous: 194K

πŸ‘Unemployment rate

Actual: 4.6%
Forecast 4.7%
Previous 4.8%

πŸ‘Average Hourly Earnings
Actual: 0.4%
Forecast 0.4%
Previous 0.6%

The figures are relatively good for the USD!

➑Live trading is on, join the stream: https://youtu.be/mcsXGpwNiuk
πŸ‘1
#EconomicCalendar

πŸ‘Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Actual: 431К
Forecast: 492K
Previous: 678K

πŸ‘Unemployment rate

Actual: 3.6%
Forecast 3.7%
Previous 3.8%

πŸ‘Average Hourly Earnings
Actual: 0.4%
Forecast 0.4%
Previous 0.0%

It's time to trade the USD!

➑️Live trading is on, join the stream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xEugL6TrnXM
πŸ‘26πŸ”₯7πŸ‘1
​#EconomicCalendar

πŸ‘USD CPI
Actual: 1.2%
Forecast: 1.2%
Previous: 0.8%

πŸ‘USD Core CPI

Actual: 0.3%
Forecast 0.5%
Previous 0.5%


Be ready to trade the USD!πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
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​#EconomicCalendar

Bank of England: What to Expect

πŸ””What will happen?

The Bank of England will publish its Monetary Policy Report and Summary, Official Bank Rate, and its votes on May 5 at 14:00 MT (GMT+3). The report contains the inflation forecast and economic growth over the next two years. The head of the BoE will also hold a press conference after the release.

🀩How to trade on the UK Official Bank Rate release?

The higher the β€œActual” rate relative to the β€œForecast”, the better for the GBP. Analytics suppose that the Bank of England will raise interest rates to 1% from 0.75% on May 5 and then bring them to 2%-2.25% by the end of 2022. Although, many economists expect the rate to be less aggressive.

Instruments to trade: GBPUSD, EURGBP, GBPCAD, GBPJPY.
πŸ‘36❀4πŸŽ‰4πŸ₯°1
#EconomicCalendar

πŸ‘Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Actual: 390К
Forecast: 325K
Previous: 428K

πŸ‘Unemployment rate

Actual: 3.6%
Forecast 3.5%
Previous 3.6%

πŸ‘Average Hourly Earnings
Actual: 0.3%
Forecast 0.4%
Previous 0.3%

It's time to trade the USD and Gold!

➑️TRADE NOW⬅️
πŸ‘43πŸ”₯9πŸ‘8😒2
⚑️#EconomicCalendar

πŸ”₯ Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Actual: 372К
Forecast: 260K
Previous: 390K

πŸ”₯ Unemployment rate
Actual: 3.6%
Forecast 3.6%
Previous 3.6%

πŸ”₯ Average Hourly Earnings
Actual:0.3%
Forecast 0.3%
Previous 0.3%

It's time to trade the USD and Gold!

πŸ‘€Buy or sell? The answer is on the stream!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJSOnYAJ6ks


➑️TRADE NOW⬅️
πŸ‘44πŸ”₯5🐳5❀4πŸ‘3🀯1