Euro shot up, only to come down

In Jackson Hole last week, the Fed chairman said that a weak labour market would slow down inflation, which is rising due to tariffs. The central bank could now throw the US economy a lifeline in the form of monetary policy easing. This news allowed EURUSD to soar above 1.17 on Friday.

However, history shows that the Fed is sometimes wrong. In 2021 to 2022, it also discussed transitory inflation and delayed the start of the monetary tightening cycle. What if high prices are here to stay in the US economy? The market began to doubt the veracity of Jerome Powell's speech, bringing the Euro-Dollar pair back down to earth.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market

📉The US stock market is experiencing negative dynamics in pre-market trading.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.42%, while Apple (APPL) shares are down -0.13%.

In the Finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.19%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are down -0.14%.

In the Healthcare sector, Eli Lilly (LLY) shares are up +2.79%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares are down -0.66%.

The prevailing decline in the shares of major companies indicates that some capital is leaving the market, which creates conditions for pressure on the dollar and a possible temporary weakening of its position against a background of growing risk sentiment.

⚠️ USA — CB Consumer Confidence at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 98.7

🕒 Exp: 96.3

🎯 Fact.: 97.4 📈

Pro News Flash: EUR/USD Rollercoaster Ride Explained! 🎢

Today on Pro News Flash, we break down the Euro’s wild ride — soaring above 1.17 after Powell’s Jackson Hole comments, only to come crashing back down. 📉

🔹 Why markets are doubting the Fed’s outlook
🔹 How Trump’s policies could impact US jobs & the dollar
🔹 Why divergence between the Fed & ECB could fuel a bullish trend in EUR/USD
🔹 Key technical levels to watch for the next move
Will the euro keep climbing, or is the rally already over? 👀


👉 Don’t forget to like share and subscribe for more weekly updates from FxPro!

Declining home prices in the US are currently bad news for the dollar

According to the FHFA assessment, home prices in the US have been falling for the last three months in a row. A separate report by S&P/Case-Shiller noted that the annual growth rate in 20 major metropolitan areas slowed to 2.1%, the lowest in two years. The last sustained decline in prices was in 2022, and before that, in 2007–2011. The latest episode was the result of a correction after a sharp rally during the pandemic, while the earlier decline was the painful aftermath of the mortgage crisis.

Other reports confirm the cooling of the housing market. Sales are at the lower end of the range of recent years, and prices have been falling in recent months.

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⚠️ Canada — BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks at 18:30 GMT

AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 26 August 2025

- AUDUSD reversed from key support level 0.6400

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6565

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Gold Wave Analysis – 26 August 2025

- Gold reversed from the key support level 3315.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 3450.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/08/27 (GMT)

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 2.3% Actual: 2.8%

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: -1700K Actual: -2392K


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ Australia — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.9%

🕒 Exp: 2.3%

🎯 Fact.: 2.8% 📈

Leading altcoins are once again attempting to pull the crypto market upwards

The crypto market capitalisation has increased by almost 2% to $3.86 trillion over the past 24 hours due to the traction of major altcoins such as Ethereum (+4%), XRP (+3%), Solana (+7.8%), and Dogecoin (+4.9%). Crypto enthusiasts were expecting a different altcoin season, but it is still worth noting their outperformance relative to the first cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin gained 1% to $111K during the day after spending most of Tuesday forming the basis for a rebound on dips below $110K. This is an important indicator of interest in buying on dips, which probably encouraged more risk-tolerant altcoin buyers. The former is also lagging the stock market, where the S&P500 is on the verge of historic highs, and the Nasdaq100 is 1.8% below its historic high.

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EURCAD Wave Analysis – 27 August 2025

- EURCAD reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 1.6000

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GBPCAD Wave Analysis – 27 August 2025

- GBPCAD reversed from long-term resistance level 1.8700

- Likely to fall to support level 1.8500.

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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 27 August 2025

- USDCHF reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8165

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CADCHF Wave Analysis – 27 August 2025

- CADCHF reversed from strong support level 0.5800

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5850

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Why is EURUSD falling even though the Fed has softened its rhetoric?

EURUSD has fallen back below 1.1600, quickly losing Friday's momentum and forming its third lower local peak since the beginning of July. Trade flows and expectations of weaker growth due to tariffs could bring the pair back to the lows of the end of last year or push it below parity.

🟦 Blue line – ECB–Fed rate differential

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🇺🇸 US pre-market

📈 Mixed dynamics are observed on the US stock market premarket.

In the financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.07%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -0.02%.

In the electronics sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.46%, while AVGO (AVGO) shares are down -0.07%.

In the Healthcare sector, Eli Lilly (LLY) shares are up +0.86%, while in the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are down -0.14%.

Mixed signals from key sectors are creating uncertainty for the dollar in the short term: the active dynamics of individual stocks are offset by local sell-offs, which is creating unstable investment flows.

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/08/28 (GMT)

07:00 🇨🇭 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.1% | 1.4% Actual: 0.1% | 1.2%

11:30 🇪🇺 ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 231K Actual: 229K

12:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1970K Actual: 1954K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 3.0% Actual: 3.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 Core Personal Consumption Expenditure — Exp: 2.5% Actual: 2.5%

12:30 🇺🇸 GDP Price Index — Exp: 2.0% Actual: 2.0%

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: -0.4% Actual: -0.4% | 0.7%

22:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks


[Updated in real time]