⚠️ USA — FOMC Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.50%

🕒 Exp: 4.50%

🎯 Fact.: 4.50%

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⚠️ USA — FOMC Press Conference at 18:30 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/07/31 (GMT)

01:30 🇦🇺 Retail Sales — Exp: 0.4% Actual: 1.2%

01:30 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.7 Actual: 49.3

01:30 🇨🇳 Non-Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 50.3 Actual: 50.1

02:57 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Overnight Call Rate — Exp: 0.50% Actual: 0.50%

02:57 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Statement

02:57 🇯🇵 BOJ Outlook Report

06:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ BOJ Press Conference

07:55 🇩🇪 Unemployment Change — Exp: 15K Actual: 2K

07:55 🇩🇪 Unemployment Rate — Exp: 6.4% Actual: 6.3%

12:00 🇩🇪 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.2% | 1.9% Actual: 0.3% | 2.0%

12:00 🇩🇪 Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised — Exp: 0.4% | 1.9% Actual: 0.4% | 1.8%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 222K Actual: 218K

12:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1960K Actual: 1946K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core PCE Price Index — Exp: 0.3% | 2.7% Actual: 0.3% | 2.8%

12:30 🇺🇸 Personal Spending — Exp: 0.4% Actual: 0.3%

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: -0.1% | 1.1% Actual: -0.1% | 1.2%


[Updated in real time]

Gold Wave Analysis – 30 July 2025

- Gold falling inside wave b

- Likely fall to support level 3250.00

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EURJPY Wave Analysis – 30 July 2025

- EURJPY reversed from the resistance zone

- Likely fall to support level 169.60

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EURUSD Wave Analysis – 30 July 2025

- EURUSD falling inside accelerated impulse wave c

- Likely fall to support level 1.1200

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Comcast Wave Analysis – 30 July 2025

- Comcast broke the support zone

- Likely fall to support level 31.45

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⚠️ China — Manufacturing PMI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 49.7

🕒 Exp: 49.7

🎯 Fact.: 49.3 📉

⚠️ Japan — Overnight Call Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.50%

🕒 Exp: 0.50%

🎯 Fact.: 0.50%

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⚠️ Japan — BOJ Press Conference at 06:30 GMT

Bitcoin rebounded from support but cannot find reasons to break through resistance

The crypto market capitalisation rose 0.5% during the day to $3.90T, following the reversal of the stock markets and Bitcoin at the end of the day on Wednesday, after falling to $3.79T immediately after the Fed's announcement on the key rate. The influence of macroeconomic factors on cryptocurrencies continues to grow, even in the absence of major industry developments — a trend that can also be seen as part of the market’s maturation.

Bitcoin bulls once again defended the lower boundary of the range, which has been holding for almost three weeks, preventing the price from settling below $116K on Wednesday evening. A powerful buying momentum brought the price back to the $118.6K area. But the market still needs drivers to storm $120K. The US White House report on the development of digital assets did not contain any details that could inspire new buyers, making the crypto market follow the trends of macroeconomics and traditional finance.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 217K

🕒 Exp: 222K

🎯 Fact.: 218K 📈

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⚠️ USA — Core PCE Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 2.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 2.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 2.8% 📈

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⚠️ Canada — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.1% | 1.3%

🕒 Exp: -0.1% | 1.1%

🎯 Fact.: -0.1% | 1.2% 📈

🇺🇸 US pre-market

📈 The US stock market premarket is showing positive dynamics.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +2.30%, and AMD (AMD) shares are up +2.11%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +8.89%, while Meta Platforms (META) shares are up +11.08%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +3.13%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are down -0.45%.

The clear predominance of growth in large-cap stocks is creating a confidently positive mood and reflecting an influx of investment that could support the strengthening of the dollar by increasing interest in US assets.

The Fed continues to kick the can down the road

The Fed left the key rate unchanged and demonstrated a hawkish tone, forcing the markets to once again postpone the date of the expected easing. This is despite the first situation in 30 years when two committee members voted in favour of a reduction.

The Fed notes that inflation is still above target. Moreover, Powell also stressed that tariff-induced inflation is only beginning to manifest. This is a very sobering approach, contrary to expectations that the peak of tariff price increases is already behind us.

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S&P 500 Pauses Amid Hawkish Fed and Tariff Uncertainty

The S&P 500 retreated from record highs, frightened by the Fed's lack of hints about resuming the cycle of monetary expansion in September. Jerome Powell made it clear that lowering rates prematurely is a bad idea. Accelerating inflation will lead to higher borrowing costs, which is ineffective. As a result, the central bank's passivity outweighed the bullish factors.

Trading deals are being concluded en masse ahead of the 1st of August. South Korea has become the White House's latest victim. The US has imposed a 15% tariff and demanded investments of $350 billion and purchases of American energy products worth $100 billion.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/08/01 (GMT)

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 50.2 Actual: 49.5

07:50 🇫🇷 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 48.4 Actual: 48.2

07:55 🇩🇪 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.2 Actual: 49.1

08:00 🇪🇺 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.8 Actual: 49.8

08:30 🇬🇧 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 48.2 Actual: 48.0

09:00 🇪🇺 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 1.9% Actual: 2.0%

09:00 🇪🇺 Consumer Price Index - Core — Exp: 2.3% Actual: 2.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Non-Farm Employment Change — Exp: 106K Actual: 73K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.2% Actual: 4.2%

12:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings — Exp: 0.3% | 3.8% Actual: 0.3% | 3.9%

12:30 🇺🇸 Change in Private Payrolls — Exp: 100K Actual: 83K

13:30 🇨🇦 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Actual: 46.1

13:45 🇺🇸 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.5 Actual: 49.8

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ISM Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.5 Actual: 48.0

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 61.8 Actual: 61.7


[Updated in real time]