⚠️ USA — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.4%

🕒 Exp: 1.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.7% 📉

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⚠️ USA — Core PCE Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 3.0%

🕒 Exp: 0.4% | 3.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.4% | 3.1%

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⚠️ Canada — Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -24.8K

🕒 Exp: 10.3K

🎯 Fact.: -83.9K 📉

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⚠️ Canada — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 6.5%

🕒 Exp: 6.6%

🎯 Fact.: 6.7% 📉

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly positive 📈

Gains of major technology and consumer companies driving a ‘risk-on’ sentiment.

In the technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +1.14%, whilst Apple (AAPL) shares are up +0.25%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up +0.19%, whilst JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.39%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +0.56%, whilst Walmart (WMT) shares remain unchanged at 0.00%.

Strong demand for blue-chip shares indicates interest in risk assets in the US, which limits the potential for the dollar to strengthen as a safe-haven currency. In the short term, the dollar exchange rate is likely to remain largely neutral, with no clear upward momentum, until expectations regarding Treasury yields and Fed policy shift towards more accommodative conditions.

⚠️ USA — JOLTs Job Openings at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 6550K

🕒 Exp: 6760K

🎯 Fact.: 6950K 📈

Gold is finding it increasingly difficult to stick to uptrend

Over the past week, gold traded within a range of just over 3%, which could be described as a lull given the current geopolitical climate. Perhaps even more puzzling is the increase in sales as prices rose, which, at first glance, does not fit the narrative of gold serving as a safe haven for capital during periods of instability.

Gold’s muted reaction to the armed conflict in the Middle East is due to the rise in the dollar and Treasury bond yields. Pressure on the precious metal comes alongside diminishing prospects of a Fed rate cut and growing expectations of policy tightening by other major central banks in response to the oil shock. For now, we see this not as a calculated move, but as a direct reflex on the part of speculators. For the time being, they are set on seeing central banks battle to meet their inflation targets, which is logical given the recent painful inflation shock of 2022.

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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 13 March 2026

Dow Jones: ⬆️ Buy

- Dow Jones reversed from support level 46500.00

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EURGBP Wave Analysis – 13 March 2026

- EURGBP reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8685

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CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 13 March 2026

- CHFJPY reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 200.40

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Amazon Wave Analysis – 13 March 2026

- Amazon reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 202.65

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/16 (GMT)

02:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: -5.0% Actual: 1.8%

02:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 5.3% | 5.3% Actual: 6.3% | 6.3%

02:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.6% | 1.9% Actual: 0.5% | 1.8%

12:30 🇨🇦 Core CPI Actual: 0.4% | 2.3%

12:30 🇨🇦 Common Core CPI — Exp: 2.6% Actual: 2.4%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trimmed Core CPI — Exp: 2.4% Actual: 2.3%

12:30 🇨🇦 Median Core CPI — Exp: 2.4% Actual: 2.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 Empire State Manufacturing Index — Exp: 4.0 Actual: -0.2

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.1% Actual: 0.2%


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin: See No Evil

The crypto market cap is on an upward trend, having surpassed the $2.5 trillion mark, the region of previous local highs and the 50-day moving average. Consequently, the technical picture is becoming more favourable for the bulls, who are steadily reclaiming one high after another.

This gradual growth appears to be a further sign of the recovery’s robustness. At current levels, the crypto market cap is approaching the 61.8% retracement of the latest downtrend, and all eyes are on whether the recovery momentum will fade. The consolidation may simply become broader but lack the strength to turn into an uptrend.

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Central banks are trying to get back into the spotlight

A flurry of central bank meetings is coming up this week.

Gold is under pressure amid a shift in the outlook for Fed rates.

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⚠️ Canada — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.0% | 2.3%

🕒 Exp: 0.6% | 1.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% 📉 | 1.8% 📉

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly positive 📈

Gains among the market capitalisation leaders setting an overall optimistic tone.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +1.89%, whilst Micron Technology (MU) shares are up +3.93%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +0.58%, whilst Netflix (NFLX) shares are virtually unchanged, trading around +0.12%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +0.92%, whilst Walmart (WMT) shares are showing a more modest rise of +0.16%.

USDCAD Wave Analysis – 16 March 2026

- USDCAD reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 1.3625

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AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 16 March 2026

- AUDUSD reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.7160

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MasterCard Wave Analysis – 16 March 2026

- MasterCard reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 520.00

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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 16 March 2026

S&P 500: ⬆️ Buy

- S&P 500 reversed from strong support level 6600.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/17 (GMT)

03:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 4.10% Actual: 4.10%

03:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Rate Statement

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Media Conference

10:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: 38.9 Actual: -0.5

10:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Survey (Current Situation) — Exp: -67.1 Actual: -62.9

10:00 🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: 24.0 Actual: -8.5

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: -0.5% Actual: 1.8% | -0.8%


[Updated in real time]