The dollar is losing ground, but will it last?

Weak inflation and labour market figures have led to a fall in the USD index.

The strength of the UK economy and the pound is most likely only temporary.

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⚠️ USA — Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | -0.2%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 0.2%

🎯 Fact.: -0.6% 📉 | -0.3% 📉

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing positive momentum in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.30%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 0.33%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.07%.
In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 0.17%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.08%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.21%.

The current picture points to moderate risk appetite, with capital flowing into major US shares. Against this backdrop, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited, and the dollar is likely to remain neutral without significant upward momentum until economic data and Fed signals set a new direction.

▶️ Pro News Weekly: The Fed Is Watching Oil

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

💵 The U.S. dollar recovers after softer inflation data reduces expectations for a September Fed rate hike, while rising oil prices could put inflation back in focus.

📈 Stock markets remain close to record highs as strong corporate earnings and renewed AI optimism support equities, although Bank of America warns of a potential earnings slowdown.

🪙 Gold pulls back below $4,400 as a stronger dollar, tariffs and fading stagflation fears weigh on the precious metal.

₿ Bitcoin continues to consolidate as strong ETF inflows support the bulls, while major token sales and weaker correlation with stocks create fresh pressure.

📊 Next week, investors will focus on global business activity, Australian labour data, inflation in Japan and Canada, and a busy UK calendar featuring employment, inflation and retail sales.

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Uniswap Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– Uniswap broke support zone

– Likely to fall to support level 3.080

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Cardano Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– Cardano reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 0.155

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MasterCard Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– MasterCard reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 580,00

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Chevron Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– Chevron broke resistance level 196.75

– Likely to rise to resistance level 305.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/17 (GMT)

23:50 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.5% | 2.0% Actual: 0.3% | 1.1%

23:50 🇯🇵 GDP Price Index — Exp: 2.3% Actual: 2.6%

07:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: -6.2%

07:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 5.0%

07:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference


[Updated in real time]

▶️ FxPro Market Preview

Stay informed with FxPro’s weekly update and stay ahead of what’s shaping the markets.

Inflation and central bank policy remain in focus this week, despite a relatively quiet economic calendar. 🌍

Monday kicks things off with the latest Canadian CPI report. With inflation cooling quickly, markets will be watching closely for further signs that price pressures are easing. 🇨🇦

On Wednesday, attention turns to UK inflation data, followed later in the evening by the FOMC Minutes. Investors will be looking for clues on what Fed officials were saying behind closed doors and how they view the path ahead for interest rates. 🇬🇧🇺🇸🏦

Friday closes the week with Flash PMIs from across Europe and the UK. The data will offer a fresh look at business activity and whether economic momentum is starting to pick up or remains under pressure. 📈

With inflation, central bank expectations and business activity all in focus, currencies, indices and commodities could still see some interesting moves throughout the week. 👀

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⚠️ Japan — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 1.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.5% | 2.0%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% 📉 | 1.1% 📉

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/18 (GMT)

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.5% | 2.9% Actual: 0.5% | 3.0%

12:30 🇨🇦 Core CPI Actual: 0.2% | 2.3%

12:30 🇨🇦 Common Core CPI — Exp: 2.5% Actual: 2.7%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trimmed Core CPI — Exp: 1.8% Actual: 1.9%

12:30 🇨🇦 Median Core CPI — Exp: 2.0% Actual: 2.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 Empire State Manufacturing Index — Exp: 10.6 Actual: 20.6

06:00 🇬🇧 Claimant Count Change — Exp: 11.2K

06:00 🇬🇧 Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.8%

06:00 🇬🇧 Average Earnings Index — Exp: 4.0% | 3.3%


[Updated in real time]

▶️ Dollar. What’s next?

Today is Monday, the 17th of August, and let’s talk about the US dollar today. I’m referring to the US Dollar Index. So, looking at the daily chart, I’d like to remind you that throughout 2026 we’ve seen the development of this corrective movement — an upward double zigzag, which has most likely completed the local second wave.

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Crypto: Bears remain in control

The crypto market has lost just over 2% compared to its level seven days ago. However, there were signs of a positive trend on Monday, as the market capitalisation rebounded from a local low of $2.16T to $2.18T. The market continues to hover around its 50-day moving average, consolidating within a very narrow range despite the weakening dollar and a rally in the equity market. Among the top cryptocurrencies over the past 24 hours, the top gainers were Zcash (+4.8%), Dash (+2.4%) and Near Protocol (+1%). Declines affected roughly twice as many coins, with the biggest losses seen in Cosmos (-3.8%), Aptos (-2.7%) and Filecoin (-2%).

Bitcoin has been trading below its 50-day moving average for the fourth day in a row, after an earlier attempt to break above it, followed by a pullback to $63.3K. On weekly timeframes, the leading cryptocurrency remains below the 200-week MA. Thus, the bears are confirming their dominance in both the medium-term and ultra-long-term trends. It will only be possible to speak of a breakout from consolidation and expect increased volatility once the price breaks out of the $62–65K range.

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⚠️ Canada — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.4% | 2.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.5% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% | 3.0% 📈

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a slight upward bias.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.50%, while Visa (V) is down 0.66%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.37%, while Intel (INTC) is up 0.34%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 0.64%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 0.17%.

The pattern of price movements points to a cautious risk-on stance, with no pronounced flight to safety. Buying in the largest technology stocks is partly offset by selling in the energy sector and certain financial stocks, resulting in a neutral balance of capital flows. Under these conditions, the short-term USD trend is likely to remain neutral: demand for safe-haven dollar assets is not strengthening, and there is no sign of large-scale capital outflows from the US.

The yen: has the trend finally been broken?

Currency interventions spooked speculators trading USDJPY.

The likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2026 continues to fall.

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Will the S&P 500 stay at the top?

Impressive corporate results have propelled the S&P 500 to record highs.

The US stock market may be entering a ‘Goldilocks’ phase.

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