▶️ FxPro Market Preview

Stay informed with FxPro’s weekly update and stay ahead of what’s shaping the markets.

Inflation and central bank policy remain in focus this week, despite a relatively quiet economic calendar. 🌍

Monday kicks things off with the latest Canadian CPI report. With inflation cooling quickly, markets will be watching closely for further signs that price pressures are easing. 🇨🇦

On Wednesday, attention turns to UK inflation data, followed later in the evening by the FOMC Minutes. Investors will be looking for clues on what Fed officials were saying behind closed doors and how they view the path ahead for interest rates. 🇬🇧🇺🇸🏦

Friday closes the week with Flash PMIs from across Europe and the UK. The data will offer a fresh look at business activity and whether economic momentum is starting to pick up or remains under pressure. 📈

With inflation, central bank expectations and business activity all in focus, currencies, indices and commodities could still see some interesting moves throughout the week. 👀

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⚠️ Japan — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 1.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.5% | 2.0%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% 📉 | 1.1% 📉

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/18 (GMT)

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.5% | 2.9% Actual: 0.5% | 3.0%

12:30 🇨🇦 Core CPI Actual: 0.2% | 2.3%

12:30 🇨🇦 Common Core CPI — Exp: 2.5% Actual: 2.7%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trimmed Core CPI — Exp: 1.8% Actual: 1.9%

12:30 🇨🇦 Median Core CPI — Exp: 2.0% Actual: 2.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 Empire State Manufacturing Index — Exp: 10.6 Actual: 20.6

06:00 🇬🇧 Claimant Count Change — Exp: 11.2K

06:00 🇬🇧 Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.8%

06:00 🇬🇧 Average Earnings Index — Exp: 4.0% | 3.3%


[Updated in real time]

▶️ Dollar. What’s next?

Today is Monday, the 17th of August, and let’s talk about the US dollar today. I’m referring to the US Dollar Index. So, looking at the daily chart, I’d like to remind you that throughout 2026 we’ve seen the development of this corrective movement — an upward double zigzag, which has most likely completed the local second wave.

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Crypto: Bears remain in control

The crypto market has lost just over 2% compared to its level seven days ago. However, there were signs of a positive trend on Monday, as the market capitalisation rebounded from a local low of $2.16T to $2.18T. The market continues to hover around its 50-day moving average, consolidating within a very narrow range despite the weakening dollar and a rally in the equity market. Among the top cryptocurrencies over the past 24 hours, the top gainers were Zcash (+4.8%), Dash (+2.4%) and Near Protocol (+1%). Declines affected roughly twice as many coins, with the biggest losses seen in Cosmos (-3.8%), Aptos (-2.7%) and Filecoin (-2%).

Bitcoin has been trading below its 50-day moving average for the fourth day in a row, after an earlier attempt to break above it, followed by a pullback to $63.3K. On weekly timeframes, the leading cryptocurrency remains below the 200-week MA. Thus, the bears are confirming their dominance in both the medium-term and ultra-long-term trends. It will only be possible to speak of a breakout from consolidation and expect increased volatility once the price breaks out of the $62–65K range.

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⚠️ Canada — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.4% | 2.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.5% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% | 3.0% 📈

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a slight upward bias.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.50%, while Visa (V) is down 0.66%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.37%, while Intel (INTC) is up 0.34%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 0.64%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 0.17%.

The pattern of price movements points to a cautious risk-on stance, with no pronounced flight to safety. Buying in the largest technology stocks is partly offset by selling in the energy sector and certain financial stocks, resulting in a neutral balance of capital flows. Under these conditions, the short-term USD trend is likely to remain neutral: demand for safe-haven dollar assets is not strengthening, and there is no sign of large-scale capital outflows from the US.

The yen: has the trend finally been broken?

Currency interventions spooked speculators trading USDJPY.

The likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2026 continues to fall.

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Will the S&P 500 stay at the top?

Impressive corporate results have propelled the S&P 500 to record highs.

The US stock market may be entering a ‘Goldilocks’ phase.

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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

– Bitcoin reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 65225.00

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Brent crude oil Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

Brent crude oil: ⬆️ Buy

– Brent broke resistance zone

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Amazon Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

– Amazon falling inside impulse wave c

– Likely to fall to support level 250.00

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Boeing Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

– Boeing falling inside impulse wave 3

– Likely to fall to support level 220.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/19 (GMT)

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: 30.0 Actual: 34.2

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Survey (Current Situation) — Exp: -68.8 Actual: -61.1

09:00 🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: 25.4 Actual: 31.4

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1370K Actual: 1443K | 5.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1350K Actual: 1239K | -12.4%

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.3% Actual: 0.2%

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: 0.1% Actual: -2.3% | -2.2%

01:30 🇦🇺 Wage Price Index — Exp: 0.8% | 3.2% Actual: 0.8% | 3.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.3% | 2.9%

06:00 🇬🇧 Core CPI — Exp: 2.5%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Price Index — Exp: | 3.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 Producer Price Index Input — Exp: 0.0% | 6.6%

07:10 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin attempted to push the market off its low

The crypto market capitalisation has risen by 1.6% over the past 24 hours to $2.19T, continuing to consolidate within a fairly narrow range, having pulled back from the lower boundary of the channel it has been trading within for the past month and a half. Among the most actively traded coins, the top gainers were Tezos (+3.6%), Aave (+2.9%) and Bitcoin (+1.3%). The decline was more widespread and sharp, but concentrated among smaller coins such as Immutable (-6.4%), Filecoin (-5.7%) and Cosmos (-4.8%).

The sentiment index rose to 41. This is still in the ‘fear’ zone, but the indicator has not reached this level since mid-May. This upward trend prompts us once again to remind readers that only a sustained move above 50 can be regarded as a shift in the market cycle; for now, early optimists could easily fall into a trap.

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Will Brent return to $100 a barrel?

The escalation of the conflict in the Middle East has allowed oil prices to break out of the $80–90 range.

The rapid decline in stocks is increasing the risk that Brent will rise above $100.

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▶️ USDCHF. Triangle?

Today is Tuesday, the 18th of August, and let’s talk about the Swiss franc. It’s been a while since we’ve looked at this currency pair, and today I’d like to draw your attention to an extremely interesting pattern that has formed on the one-hour and four-hour charts — an A-B-C-D-E triangle. This pattern...

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trends are being observed in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 2.00%, while Apple (AAPL) is up 0.58%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.71%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.39%.
In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 1.58%, while Chevron (CVX) is up 0.98%.

The combination of pressure on major technology companies and noticeable demand for energy and financial shares is creating moderate risk-on sentiment without any pronounced flight to safety. Under these conditions, interest in the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited, and the short-term dollar trend is likely to remain neutral, with localised fluctuations.