Crude Oil drives up yields and USD

The rally in Brent is driving up Treasury yields and strengthening the US dollar.

The longer Saudi Arabia’s export difficulties persist, the higher oil prices will rise.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

The US stock market is showing mixed trends in pre-market trading, with a slight bias toward buying.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.64%, while Intel (INTC) is up 1.65%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.01%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.09%.

In the Health Care sector, Eli Lilly (LLY) is up 1.54%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is down 0.15%.

As the performance of the largest companies remains mixed, no clear risk-on or risk-off sentiment has emerged.

Demand for safe-haven dollar assets is limited, but there is no reason for a large-scale exit from the dollar either: in the short term, the dollar is maintaining a neutral stance, reacting primarily to Fed rate expectations.

▶️ USDCAD. Soon reversal

Today is Tuesday, the 15th of September, and I’d like to talk to you about the Canadian dollar. It’s been a while since we last looked at it. So let’s take a look at the four-hour chart together. What I’d like to draw your attention to is that we’re entering the final stages of this major Wave B...

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▶️ Pro News Flash: The Next S&P Move

📈 The S&P 500 is swinging wildly as investors shift their focus toward macroeconomic data, geopolitical developments and the Fed’s upcoming monetary tightening cycle. History shows that aggressive Fed hikes have often been linked to major market declines, but the outcome is far from certain.

⚠️ Rising U.S. government debt and uncertainty around White House policy are adding pressure to stocks. If the 10-year Treasury yield moves above 6%, Macro Risk Advisors estimates the S&P 500 could fall by 8-10% as higher rates weigh on corporate profits and potentially trigger a volatility shock.

📉 Seasonal factors could add to the pressure, with September historically one of the weakest months for stocks. In midterm election years, the S&P 500 has averaged a 2.4% decline from July to early October as uncertainty rises.

🎯 Forecasts are also divided. Bank of America has cut its year-end S&P 500 target from 7,400 to 7,100, while TALL-BACK-en has raised its target to 8,500. With the index currently around 7,600, the Fed’s policy path could be crucial for what comes next.

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AUDNZD Wave Analysis – 15 September 2026

– AUDNZD broke resistance zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1.2500

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Algorand Wave Analysis – 15 September 2026

– Algorand reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 0.0875

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/17 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Retail Sales — Exp: 0.8% | 0.6% Actual: 1.2% | 1.4%

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: -1600K Actual: -640K

18:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Rate Decision — Exp: 4.00% Actual: 4.00%

18:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Statement

18:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Economic Projections

18:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Press Conference

22:45 🇳🇿 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.1% | 2.3% Actual: 0.2% | 2.6%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — Consumer Price Index at 06:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 2.9%

🕒 Exp: 0.5% | 3.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% | 3.1%

Bitcoin slips, Zcash shines as crypto awaits the Fed

The crypto market capitalisation has fallen by 2.3% over the past 24 hours to $2.58T. Of the approximately 40 most actively traded cryptocurrencies, only Zcash has risen over the past 24 hours, gaining 3.8%. The worst performers in our sample were Filecoin (−9.2%), IOTA (−8.8%) and Stellar (−8.6%).

Bitcoin fell below $75K on Tuesday, hitting a 3.5-week low after the CLARITY Act vote failed in the US Senate, before partially recovering to $75.9K by the start of active trading in Europe. Nevertheless, the price has fallen below the consolidation range, forming a downtrend over the past week and a half. The market lull can easily be attributed to expectations of signals from the Fed later on Wednesday, which have greater potential to influence volatility than the 25-basis-point rate hike already priced in. From a technical analysis perspective, a drop in BTC to $72K does not break the medium-term bullish picture. However, it is likely to flush out a significant portion of marginal short-term long positions from the market.

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Will the Fed’s hike benefit the dollar?

The Federal Reserve is on the cusp of beginning a cycle of rate rises.

The USD index rally will continue if the central bank surprises markets.

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Litecoin Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– Litecoin reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 47.50

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Silver Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– Silver reversed from support area

– Likely to rise to resistance level 68.45

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Palladium Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– Palladium reversed from support level 1270.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1400.00

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⚠️ USA — Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.5% | -0.2%

🕒 Exp: 0.8% | 0.6%

🎯 Fact.: 1.2% 📈 | 1.4% 📈

NZDCAD Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– NZDCAD reversed from powerful support level 0.7990

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1400.00

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Has gold overreacted to the threat?

Fed rate rises will not necessarily put pressure on gold.

The medium-term outlook for gold remains bullish.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈

Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, the US stock market is showing a moderately positive trend in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.75%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 0.80%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.22%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.13%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.31%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.14%.

The predominance of gains in the most liquid technology and retail shares is creating a risk-on environment within the US.

Demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited: the dollar index may remain in a neutral range without significant upward momentum, while the performance of EURUSD and other major crosses will depend more on the differential in Fed rate expectations and external news than on domestic equity market dynamics.

⚠️ USA — FOMC Rate Decision at 18:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.75%

🕒 Exp: 4.00%

🎯 Fact.: 4.00%

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⚠️ USA — FOMC Press Conference at 18:30 GMT