⚠️ New Zealand — Gross Domestic Product at 22:45 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.8% | 1.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 2.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📈 | 2.6% 📈

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/18 (GMT)

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes — Exp: 3-0-6 Actual: 3-0-6

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Summary

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 207K Actual: 196K

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 31.3 Actual: 37.8

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1410K Actual: 1394K | -2.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1310K Actual: 1275K | -2.6%

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: -0.2% Actual: 0.3% | -4.7%

22:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance — Exp: -1775M Actual: -1349M | -5442M

23:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Governor Michele Bullock Speaks

23:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ National Consumer Price Index Actual: 1.9%

23:30 🇯🇵 National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food — Exp: 1.8% Actual: 2.0%

02:54 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Overnight Call Rate — Exp: 1.25% Actual: 1.25%

02:54 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Statement

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.2% | 1.9%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.1% | 1.9%

06:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ BOJ Press Conference


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market remains unfazed by interest rates

The crypto market has risen by 1.2% over the past 24 hours. The Fed’s key rate hike did not trigger a significant reaction, despite a brief spike in volatility; traders subsequently focused on buying on dips. At the same time, it is worth noting the continued growth of certain altcoins. The rapid rise driven by specific ideas is an important sign of a fundamental shift in sentiment. The top performers over the past 24 hours were NEAR Protocol (+18%), Zcash (+17.5%) and Dash (+15%). The underperformers were Filecoin (-1%), Hedera (-0.1%) and Tron (+0.1%), which clearly illustrates the market’s bullish shift over the last day.

The cryptocurrency sentiment index, by contrast, points to caution, having fallen to 50 from 51 the previous day. This is hardly a cause for alarm, as the index has been above 50 for around four weeks, following nearly a year spent in the lower half of the range (with brief exceptions).

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⚠️ UK — Bank of England Interest Rate Decision at 11:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.75%

🕒 Exp: 3.75%

🎯 Fact.: 3.75%

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⚠️ UK — MPC Official Bank Rate Votes at 11:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3-0-6

🕒 Exp: 3-0-6

🎯 Fact.: 3-0-6

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The Fed surprised with its determination to hike; will the BoE do the same?

• The Fed raised interest rates and signalled its determination to tighten policy further.

• The start of the Bank of England’s monetary tightening cycle will provide support for the pound.

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▶️ Gold. After rate decision

Today is Thursday, the 17th of September, and let’s talk about the gold market following the US interest rate decision, which was raised by 25 basis points yesterday. Just a quick reminder that, on the daily chart, gold is currently in this large triangle in the fourth wave. And within this triangle, wave C is forming...

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

Positive trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 2.10%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 2.44%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 1.22%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 1.54%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 2.09%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.46%.

Market sentiment is distinctly risk-on: increased demand for major technology and retail stocks is limiting interest in safe-haven dollar assets; consequently, the short-term dollar trend appears subdued and depends largely on Fed expectations rather than domestic demand for safe-haven assets.

NEAR Wave Analysis – 17 September 2026

– NEAR broke resistance zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 3.40

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AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 17 September 2026

– AUDJPY reversed from support level 110.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 112.00

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Uniswap Wave Analysis – 17 September 2026

– Uniswap broke resistance level 7.360

– Likely to rise to resistance level 8.00

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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 17 September 2026

– Nasdaq-100 broke daily down channel

– Likely to rise to resistance level 30240.00

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⚠️ Japan — National Consumer Price Index at 23:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.9%

🎯 Fact.: 1.9%

⚠️ Japan — Overnight Call Rate at 02:54 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.00%

🕒 Exp: 1.25%

🎯 Fact.: 1.25%

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/19 (GMT)

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.3% Actual: 0.0%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ Japan — BOJ Press Conference at 06:30 GMT

The altcoin market is thawing

The crypto market capitalisation has risen by over 2.2% in the past 24 hours to $2.66T, bringing it closer to the midpoint of the range seen over the past month. This time, the positive momentum was underpinned by rising stock indices and a general appetite for risk. The media noted that the start of a rate-hiking cycle is a positive rather than a negative event for risk appetite. However, in their reaction, cryptocurrencies slightly anticipated the subsequent rebound, which might have seemed surprising a day earlier, thereby regaining their status as a leading indicator for traditional markets. In our selection of the forty most liquid coins, none saw a decline. The top performers were NEAR Protocol (+30.1%), Uniswap (+26.2%) and Aptos (+17.9%). The heavyweights Tron (+0.1%, 8th by market capitalisation), Bitcoin (+1.4%, 1st), Ethereum (+1.8%, 2nd) and XRP (+1.8%, 5th) underperformed the rest. It appears that traders are cautiously shifting their focus towards altcoins, although neither the altcoin season index nor market sentiment has yet reached high levels.

Bitcoin has gained relatively modestly over the past 24 hours, marking the third consecutive day of gains and a recovery towards $77.5K. A rally up to the region near $82K could be a relatively easy ride for the bulls, but beyond that, they will have to contend with resistance from an established range, breaking out of which may require an external catalyst. If successful, the next upside target appears to be the $94K region, near which lies the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level following the August rally and subsequent consolidation. This is also where the upper boundary of the December 2025–January 2026 consolidation range lies. In our view, Bitcoin will postpone such an ambitious move until next week, as it faces pressure to take short-term profits ahead of the weekend.

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FX punishes indecision

• Decisions by the BoJ and the BoE have weighed on their respective currencies.

• A resurgence of interest in US assets is supporting the dollar.

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🇺🇸 Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

📉 Negative trends are prevailing in pre-market trading on the US stock market.
In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.47%, while Bank of America (BAC) is down 0.30%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.01%, while Apple (AAPL) is down 0.05%.

In the Health Care sector, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is down 0.30%, while Eli Lilly (LLY) is down 0.35%.

The predominance of declines among the largest companies is creating a risk-off environment: demand is shifting toward safer dollar-denominated assets and US Treasuries, which is providing short-term support for the dollar and preventing it from weakening, even amid mixed external factors.