🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/10/13 (GMT)

00:30 🇦🇺 Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

06:05 🇨🇦 ⚡️ BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks


[Updated in real time]

Market Sentiment for October 12, 2026

The crypto market is growing, albeit slowly

The crypto market is continuing the recovery that began on Friday, but is rising more slowly; after four consecutive days of gains, it has managed to recoup only two-thirds of the losses incurred on Wednesday and Thursday of last week. At $2.83T, market capitalisation is now 1.1% higher than a day ago, but 3.5% below the level seen a week earlier. At current levels, the crypto market is only just approaching the support zone that held at the end of September. This caution clearly indicates that cryptocurrencies are in the early stages of a bull market, with buying on dips evident but overall sentiment remaining fairly cautious. Among altcoins, a positive trend has prevailed over the last 24 hours, with the ratio of rising to falling coins around 12:1. The top gainers were Filecoin (+13.2%), Internet Computer (+12.8%), and NEAR Protocol (+11%). The worst performers were Cosmos (−3.5%), Theta Network (−1.9%) and Immutable (−1.5%).

Bitcoin is starting the week near $84K, continuing to move away from the 50-day moving average, which it touched on Thursday. At current levels, the BTC price exceeds the previous support zone, suggesting that resistance has not shifted downward and may only materialise near $87K. Only a sustained move above this level will pave the way to $94K, a target we have been discussing since the middle of last month. Although the bullish reversal at the end of last week was not particularly impressive in magnitude, it clearly demonstrated that the balance of power lies with the bulls and that buyers are keen to step in during dips.

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The dollar is testing resistance again

The US currency remains strong.

The euro is struggling due to the budget crisis in France.

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🇺🇸 Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

📈 The pre-market session on the US stock market is characterised by mixed trends, with a slight upward bias.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.32%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.37%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.40%, while Apple (AAPL) is up 0.39%.

In the Health Care sector, Eli Lilly (LLY) is up 0.89%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is virtually unchanged, up 0.01%.

The current pre-market set-up points to a moderate risk-on sentiment within the US market — gains by the largest technology and pharmaceutical companies are supporting risk appetite, but the absence of a broad-based rally and weakness in some semiconductor stocks are limiting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.

In the near term, the dollar is likely to remain within a neutral range, reacting primarily to expectations regarding Fed interest rates rather than capital flows.

▶️ USD. Autumn Forecast

Today is Monday, October 12th, and today we’ll be talking about the dollar index. I’ll give you my forecast for the second half of autumn.

Looking at the daily chart, and today we’ll be looking specifically at the daily chart, we’ve spent the whole of 2026 in this kind of correction, which takes the form of an obvious three-wave structure with a triangle inside.

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Can the S&P 500 continue its rally?

A strong economy and renewed interest in AI are supporting the stock market.

Fed rate rises, problems with the Russell 2000, and the narrow scope of the S&P 500 rally are worrying investors.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/10/14 (GMT)

14:00 🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales — Exp: 3.95M Actual: 3.99M | 1.5%

01:30 🇨🇳 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 1.0% Actual: 0.9%

01:30 🇨🇳 Producer Price Index — Exp: 4.4% Actual: 5.0%

02:10 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

02:31 🇨🇳 Trade Balance — Exp: 116.8B | 790B Actual: 133.5B | 906B

05:30 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

06:05 🇨🇦 ⚡️ BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks


[Updated in real time]

Trump Coin Wave Analysis – 12 October 2026

Trump Coin: ⬇️ Sell

– Trump Coin reversed from resistance zone

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Exxon Mobil Wave Analysis – 13 October 2026

Exxon Mobil: ⬆️ Buy

– Exxon Mobil broke key resistance level 168.50

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Market Sentiment for October 13, 2026

⚠️ Canada — BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks at 06:05 GMT

WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 13 October 2026

WTI Crude Oil: ⬆️ Buy

– WTI Crude Oil reversed from support zone

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Dow Jones Index Wave Analysis – 13 October 2026

Dow Jones Index: ⬆️ Buy

– Dow Jones Index reversed from support zone

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Bitcoin buyers defend the 50-day MA

The crypto market’s capitalisation fell by 1% to $2.81T, approaching its 50-day moving average at its lowest point early in the day amid reduced liquidity following the close of regular US trading, but it quickly rebounded and rose at the start of the Asian trading session. The broader market context is causing concern, with the Nasdaq-100 falling and the US Dollar Index moving closer to 18-month highs. Altcoins are retreating across the board, with the ratio of gainers to losers standing at 1:18. The best performers are BAT (+13.6%), Tezos (+2.5%) and Tron (−0.7%). The biggest fallers are Near (−9.8%), Algorand (−7.7%) and VeChain (−7.4%).

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has retreated to 57 (greed), its lowest level since 18 September. Sentiment is returning to neutral territory in the absence of price gains. However, as long as the index remains in the upper half of the scale, we remain within a bull market characterised by buying on dips.

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Brent shows no sign of retreating

Oil exports from the Middle East fell significantly in October.

The US-Russia deal on diesel fuel will not reduce oil demand, which is rising in China.

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▶️ USD. Done growing?

Today is Tuesday, October 13, and let’s talk once again about the US dollar index, which doesn’t make it into our regular big reviews, because an extremely interesting situation is developing there, and of course I’d like to draw your attention to it.

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