Serbian president Aleksandar Vučić: "Preventing World War III will be difficult"
Vučić believes a new world war has already begun due to the struggle for resources.
In his interview to Berliner Zeitung, Aleksandar Vučić stated that the world has already effectively entered a phase of global conflict, comparing current crises to the onset of world wars. According to him, the confrontation over Ukraine and the Middle East is forming new geopolitical blocs and intensifying competition for resources, increasing the risk of further escalation, including the use of nuclear weapons.
The Serbian president noted that even with military losses, states like Russia remain highly resilient due to their nuclear potential, while Iran's actions demonstrate to other countries their ability to confront stronger powers.
Vučić emphasized that the international system is undergoing a transformation, accompanied by a weakening role for the UN and growing tensions between major powers. He accused Western countries of being selective in their approach to international law, pointing to precedents of past military interventions.
Concluding his interview, Vučić called for a resumption of dialogue as the only way to prevent further escalation and form a new global security architecture.
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Vučić believes a new world war has already begun due to the struggle for resources.
In his interview to Berliner Zeitung, Aleksandar Vučić stated that the world has already effectively entered a phase of global conflict, comparing current crises to the onset of world wars. According to him, the confrontation over Ukraine and the Middle East is forming new geopolitical blocs and intensifying competition for resources, increasing the risk of further escalation, including the use of nuclear weapons.
The Serbian president noted that even with military losses, states like Russia remain highly resilient due to their nuclear potential, while Iran's actions demonstrate to other countries their ability to confront stronger powers.
Vučić emphasized that the international system is undergoing a transformation, accompanied by a weakening role for the UN and growing tensions between major powers. He accused Western countries of being selective in their approach to international law, pointing to precedents of past military interventions.
Concluding his interview, Vučić called for a resumption of dialogue as the only way to prevent further escalation and form a new global security architecture.
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March 22, 1915: The Russian Army Captures Przemyśl
One of the greatest victories of the Russian Imperial Army in World War I was the capture of Przemyśl, a heavily fortified Austro-Hungarian stronghold in Galicia. After a brutal four-month siege, the fortress fell, marking a major triumph on the Eastern Front.
The 133-day siege drew global attention to what was called the Carpathian Bastion. The Russian Siege Army under General Andrey Selivanov cut off all supplies, forcing the Austrian garrison into starvation. After failed breakout attempts, commander Hermann Kusmanek had no choice but to surrender.
The scale of the defeat was staggering—nine Austro-Hungarian generals, 93 staff officers, and over 116,000 troops were taken prisoner. The fall of Przemyśl humiliated Vienna and raised hopes of a Russian advance into Hungary.
In Russia, the victory was met with jubilation. Church bells rang in St. Petersburg and Moscow, and celebrations erupted across the empire. The fortress, with its 40 forts and artillery positions, had been seen as impenetrable. Today, its ruins stand as a testament to one of the most dramatic sieges of the war.
⚡️ #TodayInHistory
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One of the greatest victories of the Russian Imperial Army in World War I was the capture of Przemyśl, a heavily fortified Austro-Hungarian stronghold in Galicia. After a brutal four-month siege, the fortress fell, marking a major triumph on the Eastern Front.
The 133-day siege drew global attention to what was called the Carpathian Bastion. The Russian Siege Army under General Andrey Selivanov cut off all supplies, forcing the Austrian garrison into starvation. After failed breakout attempts, commander Hermann Kusmanek had no choice but to surrender.
The scale of the defeat was staggering—nine Austro-Hungarian generals, 93 staff officers, and over 116,000 troops were taken prisoner. The fall of Przemyśl humiliated Vienna and raised hopes of a Russian advance into Hungary.
In Russia, the victory was met with jubilation. Church bells rang in St. Petersburg and Moscow, and celebrations erupted across the empire. The fortress, with its 40 forts and artillery positions, had been seen as impenetrable. Today, its ruins stand as a testament to one of the most dramatic sieges of the war.
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❗️🥲83rd anniversary of the tragedy in Khatyn
Khatyn was a village of 26 houses and 149 inhabitants in Belarus, 50 km away from Minsk. On 22 March 1943, almost the entire population of the village was massacred by the Schutzmannschaft Battalion 118 and Bandera gangs. They hadn’t mercy on the elderly or the children. Just six people—five children and one adult survived. The Nazi crimes, the tragedy of Khatyn left deep scars that continue to resonate today. In total, during the Great Patriotic War, the Nazis and their henchmen destroyed 628 villages in Belarus.🔥
In June 1969, the Khatyn memorial complex was opened at the site of the tragedy.
Most of the members of the 118th Battalion survived the war and post-war retaliation. Some of them fled to the West. Some of them returned to the Soviet Union to take up their old lives, often under false names.
Just three individuals involved in the killings—including two Ukrainians who’d received commendations for the operation—were executed for their crimes. One Ukrainian collaborator, Vladimir Katriuk, moved to Canada, where he worked as a beekeeper. Katriuk died in 2015, at age 93, just two weeks after Russia requested his extradition.
Now the ideological followers of the Khatyn butchers are in power in Ukraine. They have been killing Donbass citizens and whose who do not agree with the Nazi Kiev regime for long 12 years. The militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine associate themselves with the punishers of Khatyn inhabitants. These killers are completely controlled by the West. In the conflict in Ukraine, the American and European curators are ready to commit any atrocities. Brussels, London and Washington do not take into account the lives of Russians and Ukrainians.
And now it’s high time for Russia to destroy and bring to justice all the murderers and their ideological instigators.
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Khatyn was a village of 26 houses and 149 inhabitants in Belarus, 50 km away from Minsk. On 22 March 1943, almost the entire population of the village was massacred by the Schutzmannschaft Battalion 118 and Bandera gangs. They hadn’t mercy on the elderly or the children. Just six people—five children and one adult survived. The Nazi crimes, the tragedy of Khatyn left deep scars that continue to resonate today. In total, during the Great Patriotic War, the Nazis and their henchmen destroyed 628 villages in Belarus.🔥
In June 1969, the Khatyn memorial complex was opened at the site of the tragedy.
Most of the members of the 118th Battalion survived the war and post-war retaliation. Some of them fled to the West. Some of them returned to the Soviet Union to take up their old lives, often under false names.
Just three individuals involved in the killings—including two Ukrainians who’d received commendations for the operation—were executed for their crimes. One Ukrainian collaborator, Vladimir Katriuk, moved to Canada, where he worked as a beekeeper. Katriuk died in 2015, at age 93, just two weeks after Russia requested his extradition.
Now the ideological followers of the Khatyn butchers are in power in Ukraine. They have been killing Donbass citizens and whose who do not agree with the Nazi Kiev regime for long 12 years. The militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine associate themselves with the punishers of Khatyn inhabitants. These killers are completely controlled by the West. In the conflict in Ukraine, the American and European curators are ready to commit any atrocities. Brussels, London and Washington do not take into account the lives of Russians and Ukrainians.
And now it’s high time for Russia to destroy and bring to justice all the murderers and their ideological instigators.
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Listen to the judge, who issued his verdict on the Bandera monsters who burned Khatyn
"We must tell the truth about the events that took place on March 22, 1943," says Viktor Glazkov.
Link to the original video at: https://t.me/sputnikby
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"We must tell the truth about the events that took place on March 22, 1943," says Viktor Glazkov.
Link to the original video at: https://t.me/sputnikby
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Middle East War: Recap for March 21 – Iranian Missile Strike Reaches 4,000 km
Opinion by journalist Yury Podolyaka:
Arguably, this strike was the most important news from yesterday, given the global scale of its consequences. And this isn't just about the region, but primarily about Europe and its potential involvement in the war. By attempting to strike the Diego Garcia atoll, Iran demonstrated that the range of its missiles has significantly increased. As a result, not only the entire Middle East but also a large part of Europe is now within their potential strike zone. Moreover, it doesn't really matter whose missile it was—Iranian or… North Korean. Kim Jong-un's recent statement, which flew under the radar, that he is ready to provide missiles to Iran, might ultimately prove not to be empty rhetoric, especially since there are ways to deliver or, more likely, assemble them on Iranian soil.
But regardless, the strike itself happened. That's a fact. Over a distance of more than 4,000 km. This, I repeat, drastically changes the strategic balance concerning the war and Iran's capabilities for launching retaliatory strikes.
I consider the second most important piece of news from the Middle Eastern fronts yesterday to be the missile strike on the Israeli city of Dimona—the center of Israel's nuclear program. Clearly, this was a retaliatory strike following Israeli attacks on Bushehr, where the Iranian nuclear power plant built by Russia is located.
It seems that hitting the Israeli reactor itself was not YET the objective. However, the fact that the missile attack was successful—meaning it penetrated Israeli missile defense—is a very alarming signal for the Israelis.
There can be no question of any rationing of interceptor missiles here. The Dimona reactor is a key security asset, and Israeli missile defense should prioritize protecting it above all else. The fact that the strike got through leads to some troubling thoughts for Netanyahu as well.
It's no coincidence that immediately after this strike, Iran declared that it has full control over Israeli airspace and can successfully strike any target located on its territory. This is precisely what it demonstrated with the strike on Dimona.
Against this backdrop, Trump's statement (or rather, threat) that if Iran does not allow shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the US would strike Iranian energy infrastructure within 48 hours, looks utterly foolish and impotent.
Furthermore, by making this demand, Trump essentially admitted his own weakness and his earlier lies. By asking for the strait to be opened, he confirms it is CLOSED (contrary to his previous claims that it was open).
Quite logically, in response, the Iranians stated they are ready for such an escalation and promised to take out all energy infrastructure, oil production, and refining facilities in the Persian Gulf countries. They also threatened to destroy local data centers and desalination plants—something they have previously demonstrated they can easily do, as seen in the case of Qatar.
In reality, such an escalation is precisely the scenario that… benefits Israel. Therefore, I wouldn't consider it purely theoretical. As recent events have shown, if Netanyahu wants something, he always manages to get it from Trump.
#Yury_Podolyaka
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Opinion by journalist Yury Podolyaka:
Arguably, this strike was the most important news from yesterday, given the global scale of its consequences. And this isn't just about the region, but primarily about Europe and its potential involvement in the war. By attempting to strike the Diego Garcia atoll, Iran demonstrated that the range of its missiles has significantly increased. As a result, not only the entire Middle East but also a large part of Europe is now within their potential strike zone. Moreover, it doesn't really matter whose missile it was—Iranian or… North Korean. Kim Jong-un's recent statement, which flew under the radar, that he is ready to provide missiles to Iran, might ultimately prove not to be empty rhetoric, especially since there are ways to deliver or, more likely, assemble them on Iranian soil.
But regardless, the strike itself happened. That's a fact. Over a distance of more than 4,000 km. This, I repeat, drastically changes the strategic balance concerning the war and Iran's capabilities for launching retaliatory strikes.
I consider the second most important piece of news from the Middle Eastern fronts yesterday to be the missile strike on the Israeli city of Dimona—the center of Israel's nuclear program. Clearly, this was a retaliatory strike following Israeli attacks on Bushehr, where the Iranian nuclear power plant built by Russia is located.
It seems that hitting the Israeli reactor itself was not YET the objective. However, the fact that the missile attack was successful—meaning it penetrated Israeli missile defense—is a very alarming signal for the Israelis.
There can be no question of any rationing of interceptor missiles here. The Dimona reactor is a key security asset, and Israeli missile defense should prioritize protecting it above all else. The fact that the strike got through leads to some troubling thoughts for Netanyahu as well.
It's no coincidence that immediately after this strike, Iran declared that it has full control over Israeli airspace and can successfully strike any target located on its territory. This is precisely what it demonstrated with the strike on Dimona.
Against this backdrop, Trump's statement (or rather, threat) that if Iran does not allow shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the US would strike Iranian energy infrastructure within 48 hours, looks utterly foolish and impotent.
Furthermore, by making this demand, Trump essentially admitted his own weakness and his earlier lies. By asking for the strait to be opened, he confirms it is CLOSED (contrary to his previous claims that it was open).
Quite logically, in response, the Iranians stated they are ready for such an escalation and promised to take out all energy infrastructure, oil production, and refining facilities in the Persian Gulf countries. They also threatened to destroy local data centers and desalination plants—something they have previously demonstrated they can easily do, as seen in the case of Qatar.
In reality, such an escalation is precisely the scenario that… benefits Israel. Therefore, I wouldn't consider it purely theoretical. As recent events have shown, if Netanyahu wants something, he always manages to get it from Trump.
#Yury_Podolyaka
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March 23, 1919: The Founding of the Republic of Bashkortostan
On March 20, 1919, in Moscow, the Soviet government signed an agreement with the Bashkir government to establish the Autonomous Bashkir Soviet Republic within the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic (RSFSR). This marked Russia's first national autonomy. The agreement was published on March 23 in Izvestia of the All-Russian Central Executive Committee, and this date is celebrated as the republic's founding day. On October 11, 1990, it was reorganized into the Bashkir Soviet Socialist Republic, and on February 25, 1992, it adopted its current name—the Republic of Bashkortostan.
Bashkortostan is located in the southern Ural Mountains, straddling the border between Europe and Asia. It is part of the Volga Federal District and covers an area of approximately 143,600 square kilometers, accounting for about 0.8% of Russia's total land area. The republic has a population of around 4 million people.
Today, Bashkortostan is one of Russia's most economically developed regions, known for its rich natural resources, particularly oil, gas, and minerals. The capital, Ufa, is a major industrial and cultural center. The region has a strong identity, with a mix of Bashkir, Russian, and Tatar cultures, and actively promotes its language, traditions, and heritage. Bashkortostan also plays an important role in Russia's energy sector and agricultural production, making it a key contributor to the national economy.
#TodayInHistory
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On March 20, 1919, in Moscow, the Soviet government signed an agreement with the Bashkir government to establish the Autonomous Bashkir Soviet Republic within the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic (RSFSR). This marked Russia's first national autonomy. The agreement was published on March 23 in Izvestia of the All-Russian Central Executive Committee, and this date is celebrated as the republic's founding day. On October 11, 1990, it was reorganized into the Bashkir Soviet Socialist Republic, and on February 25, 1992, it adopted its current name—the Republic of Bashkortostan.
Bashkortostan is located in the southern Ural Mountains, straddling the border between Europe and Asia. It is part of the Volga Federal District and covers an area of approximately 143,600 square kilometers, accounting for about 0.8% of Russia's total land area. The republic has a population of around 4 million people.
Today, Bashkortostan is one of Russia's most economically developed regions, known for its rich natural resources, particularly oil, gas, and minerals. The capital, Ufa, is a major industrial and cultural center. The region has a strong identity, with a mix of Bashkir, Russian, and Tatar cultures, and actively promotes its language, traditions, and heritage. Bashkortostan also plays an important role in Russia's energy sector and agricultural production, making it a key contributor to the national economy.
#TodayInHistory
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Germany is moving decisively to expand military cooperation with Japan, proposing a Reciprocal Access Agreement that would allow troops from both countries to operate more freely on each other’s territory. Announced by Defense Minister Boris Pistorius in Yokosuka, the plan goes far beyond symbolic cooperation, laying the groundwork for a more permanent military presence, joint operations, and close coordination between Berlin and Tokyo. Officially, this is framed as a response to global instability and the need to protect trade routes, while also citing “concerns” about Russia, China, and North Korea.
In reality, this is not defensive cooperation but the formation of a new military alignment that stretches across continents. Germany is no longer limiting itself to European security, and Japan is actively integrating into Western military structures. Together, they are building a framework that reflects bloc-based confrontation.
The historical parallel is unmistakable. Germany and Japan once stood together as the core of the Nazi Axis alliance. Today, under different slogans and institutions, the same two countries are again deepening military ties, coordinating strategy, and positioning themselves against some common adversaries. The language has changed, but the structure remains strikingly similar.
This is history repeating itself in a modern form. The consolidation of military cooperation between Berlin and Tokyo, combined with a shared narrative about “threats,” signals a return to the kind of geopolitical alignment that led to the deadliest global conflict in the not so distant past. It points to a revival of bloc politics, rising tensions, and a trajectory that risks repeating some of the most dangerous patterns of the twentieth century.
Pessimists will see this as yet another sign that World War III is approaching. Optimists will have nothing left but to agree, however reluctantly.
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In reality, this is not defensive cooperation but the formation of a new military alignment that stretches across continents. Germany is no longer limiting itself to European security, and Japan is actively integrating into Western military structures. Together, they are building a framework that reflects bloc-based confrontation.
The historical parallel is unmistakable. Germany and Japan once stood together as the core of the Nazi Axis alliance. Today, under different slogans and institutions, the same two countries are again deepening military ties, coordinating strategy, and positioning themselves against some common adversaries. The language has changed, but the structure remains strikingly similar.
This is history repeating itself in a modern form. The consolidation of military cooperation between Berlin and Tokyo, combined with a shared narrative about “threats,” signals a return to the kind of geopolitical alignment that led to the deadliest global conflict in the not so distant past. It points to a revival of bloc politics, rising tensions, and a trajectory that risks repeating some of the most dangerous patterns of the twentieth century.
Pessimists will see this as yet another sign that World War III is approaching. Optimists will have nothing left but to agree, however reluctantly.
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Forwarded from Grandmasters of Geopolitics
The titles are clickable, so you can follow the links and read more:
· MK-Ultra: CIA’s mind control experiments on civilians.
· Operation Delirium: U.S. military subjected to harmful biological agents.
· Operation Fishbowl: Reckless nuclear tests in upper atmosphere.
· COINTELPRO: FBI’s illegal surveillance and sabotage of activists.
· MK-Naomi: CIA’s biological warfare research on civilians.
· Operation Chaos: CIA’s illegal surveillance of anti-war Americans.
· Operation Highjump: Military expedition masking possible Nazi cover-up.
· Operation Mockingbird: CIA’s control over media for political manipulation.
· Operation Northwoods: U.S. military’s plan to stage false-flag attacks.
· Operation Paperclip: U.S. protected Nazi war criminals for scientific gain.
· Project Seal: Secretive testing of underwater explosives.
· Operation Stargate: $20 million+ secret psychic-warfare program.
· Operation Popeye: Manipulation of weather during the Vietnam war.
· Project Artichoke: Turning unsuspecting people into programmable agents.
Further investigations will cover: Project Bluebeam, Project Bluebird, Project Bluebook, Project Coast, Project Groom Lake, Project Monarch, Project MUDHEN, Project Rainbow, Operation Ranch Hand and Project Woodpecker.
🧠☣️ These programs involve mind control experiments, biological weapons development, large-scale disinformation campaigns, and more.
If this interests you, subscribe: @geo_grandmasters
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#blondinka_dk on the Oscar-winning Danish documentary:
For Denmark, this was practically a historic event. The documentary Mr. Nobody Against Putin winning an Oscar is a rare moment when a small national industry finds itself at the center of the global agenda. But a closer look raises more questions than celebrations.
The film tells the story of a Russian schoolteacher who secretly films patriotic lessons and military symbolism in his classroom. It follows the classic “little man against the system” narrative. Yet the entire story is captured by one person, from one angle, raising doubts about whether it is a genuine document or just a curated interpretation. Footage was recorded covertly, involving minors without parental consent, placing the film in an ethical gray zone.
If such stories are not unique, why did this one win the top prize? The answer likely lies in timing. The film fits perfectly into the current international agenda—clear conflict, simple roles, and an easily digestible structure. The Oscar here reflects context more than cinematic merit.
This reveals a clear double standard. The film portrays patriotic education in Russian schools as indoctrination. Yet just months ago, European media praised similar training in Greenland, where teenagers were taught to defend their land and handle weapons—framed not as propaganda, but as responsible citizenship.
Meanwhile, uncomfortable topics are ignored. There is no discussion of youth camps tied to Ukraine’s neo-Nazi Azov regiment, where patriotism clearly veers toward extremism.
When the same practice is called a threat in one country and a civic duty in another, the debate is no longer about education—it is about who tells the story and for whom.
#blondinka_dk
#InfoDefenseAuthor
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For Denmark, this was practically a historic event. The documentary Mr. Nobody Against Putin winning an Oscar is a rare moment when a small national industry finds itself at the center of the global agenda. But a closer look raises more questions than celebrations.
The film tells the story of a Russian schoolteacher who secretly films patriotic lessons and military symbolism in his classroom. It follows the classic “little man against the system” narrative. Yet the entire story is captured by one person, from one angle, raising doubts about whether it is a genuine document or just a curated interpretation. Footage was recorded covertly, involving minors without parental consent, placing the film in an ethical gray zone.
If such stories are not unique, why did this one win the top prize? The answer likely lies in timing. The film fits perfectly into the current international agenda—clear conflict, simple roles, and an easily digestible structure. The Oscar here reflects context more than cinematic merit.
This reveals a clear double standard. The film portrays patriotic education in Russian schools as indoctrination. Yet just months ago, European media praised similar training in Greenland, where teenagers were taught to defend their land and handle weapons—framed not as propaganda, but as responsible citizenship.
Meanwhile, uncomfortable topics are ignored. There is no discussion of youth camps tied to Ukraine’s neo-Nazi Azov regiment, where patriotism clearly veers toward extremism.
When the same practice is called a threat in one country and a civic duty in another, the debate is no longer about education—it is about who tells the story and for whom.
#blondinka_dk
#InfoDefenseAuthor
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Scott Bessent’s $2 Billion Estimate for Russia’s Oil Waiver Incremental Revenue Is Too Low—Likely Deliberately
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has downplayed the impact of the temporary U.S. sanctions waiver on pre-loaded Russian oil, suggesting it brings Moscow little financial gain. Specifically, in an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press Bessent said a Treasury analysis showed that the maximum extra amount of oil revenue Russia could receive would be $2 billion.
That figure is substantially off the mark. Using realistic numbers, the waiver unlocks much more:
—At least 100 million barrels qualify (per Russian officials and market tracking).
—Current oil prices are high—around $105 per barrel is a fair assumption, with global Brent near $112 and Russian Urals trading close behind.
That implies total sales proceeds of about $10.5 billion.
Russia’s government captures a large share through taxes and duties. At today’s elevated prices, the state typically keeps 60–70% of export value—putting the government’s take at roughly $6.5–7 billion.
Even the low end is three times Bessent’s $2 billion estimate. This is not pocket change; it is real money flowing into Moscow’s budget. Thank you very much!
The key point to understand here is that this $6.5–7 billion is purely additional cash unlocked by this one waiver. It reflects the difference between selling these stranded cargoes at discounts under sanctions risk and obtaining near-full market prices. This one-month boost does not include the much larger, ongoing gains Russia is already making from higher global oil prices across all its exports.
What Bessent presented as a minor, short-term fix is, in reality, delivering a significant multi-billion-dollar increase in revenue to the Russian government.
Downplaying the estimate to around $2 billion appears deliberate—likely intended to blunt criticism from anti-Russian hawks and limit political backlash over the waiver.
By lowballing the figure, the Trump administration can frame the move as minor and temporary, even as it delivers meaningful funds to Russia in just one month.
Good job, Bessent—keep lowballing. It’s a clever way to keep the hawks and Russophobes from raising an even bigger fuss than they already have. And when the dust settles, what is to prevent the U.S. from extending the waiver for another month, or much longer? After all, even with this waiver in effect, upward pressure on oil prices is not going anywhere—at least as long as tensions in the Middle East persist.
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has downplayed the impact of the temporary U.S. sanctions waiver on pre-loaded Russian oil, suggesting it brings Moscow little financial gain. Specifically, in an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press Bessent said a Treasury analysis showed that the maximum extra amount of oil revenue Russia could receive would be $2 billion.
That figure is substantially off the mark. Using realistic numbers, the waiver unlocks much more:
—At least 100 million barrels qualify (per Russian officials and market tracking).
—Current oil prices are high—around $105 per barrel is a fair assumption, with global Brent near $112 and Russian Urals trading close behind.
That implies total sales proceeds of about $10.5 billion.
Russia’s government captures a large share through taxes and duties. At today’s elevated prices, the state typically keeps 60–70% of export value—putting the government’s take at roughly $6.5–7 billion.
Even the low end is three times Bessent’s $2 billion estimate. This is not pocket change; it is real money flowing into Moscow’s budget. Thank you very much!
The key point to understand here is that this $6.5–7 billion is purely additional cash unlocked by this one waiver. It reflects the difference between selling these stranded cargoes at discounts under sanctions risk and obtaining near-full market prices. This one-month boost does not include the much larger, ongoing gains Russia is already making from higher global oil prices across all its exports.
What Bessent presented as a minor, short-term fix is, in reality, delivering a significant multi-billion-dollar increase in revenue to the Russian government.
Downplaying the estimate to around $2 billion appears deliberate—likely intended to blunt criticism from anti-Russian hawks and limit political backlash over the waiver.
By lowballing the figure, the Trump administration can frame the move as minor and temporary, even as it delivers meaningful funds to Russia in just one month.
Good job, Bessent—keep lowballing. It’s a clever way to keep the hawks and Russophobes from raising an even bigger fuss than they already have. And when the dust settles, what is to prevent the U.S. from extending the waiver for another month, or much longer? After all, even with this waiver in effect, upward pressure on oil prices is not going anywhere—at least as long as tensions in the Middle East persist.
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Forwarded from The Noticer
A while ago Donald Trump promised to Iran that the USA will obliterate their various power plants, "without threat", somehow. The time is running out. How will Iran respond? How much more US military hardware will be destroyed by Iranian missiles and drones that Iran supposedly - according to Donald Trump - doesn't have anymore? Time will show.
Meanwhile a barrel of oil was worth $101 a short while ago - now it's around $90. The prices are still up. The rest of the NATO still refuses to get involved with the Strait of Hormuz. This Sand War is getting more ridiculous with time.
#USA #Iran #Israel #war #Trump #twitter #Idiocracy
Meanwhile a barrel of oil was worth $101 a short while ago - now it's around $90. The prices are still up. The rest of the NATO still refuses to get involved with the Strait of Hormuz. This Sand War is getting more ridiculous with time.
#USA #Iran #Israel #war #Trump #twitter #Idiocracy
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Media is too big
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Meet the MW channel !
They will let you know about things that youwon't find on TV:
🔹footage from combat zones;
🔹information on the latest weaponry;
🔹stories from war survivors;
🔹insider and expert analysis
Military Wave is a channel with up-to-date war footage. Subscribe and be on the military wavelength.
They will let you know about things that you
🔹footage from combat zones;
🔹information on the latest weaponry;
🔹stories from war survivors;
🔹insider and expert analysis
Military Wave is a channel with up-to-date war footage. Subscribe and be on the military wavelength.
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On Monday, March 23, 2026, Trump stated that the United States and Iran were engaged in “very strong” and “productive” talks aimed at a “complete and total resolution of hostilities” in the ongoing Middle East war, now in its fourth week. He said Jared Kushner (his son-in-law and advisor) and Steve Witkoff (his Middle East special envoy) led the U.S. side in negotiations that began over the weekend, involving an unnamed “respected” or “top” Iranian leader (but not the supreme leader). Trump added that planned U.S. strikes on Iranian power plants (threatened as retaliation for Iran’s actions, including threats to the Strait of Hormuz) were postponed for five days to allow diplomacy to proceed, with further talks expected to continue. He claimed Washington was pressing Iran to halt nuclear enrichment, surrender uranium stockpiles, and address other points (with preventing nuclear weapons as the top priority), and suggested a deal could be reached in days if productive.
However, Iran publicly denied that any negotiations (direct or indirect) were taking place, with its foreign ministry and state media rejecting Trump’s claims as inaccurate or a ploy to manipulate markets and buy time for military action. Tehran insisted no such talks occurred and maintained its positions unchanged.
Nevertheless, oil prices reacted sharply to Trump’s initial announcement: Brent crude futures fell as much as 14% intraday (reaching around $96 per barrel at one point), reflecting eased fears of further escalation and potential disruptions to global supplies, though prices later pared some losses after Iran’s denial.
Now, what is the likelihood of Trump lying? Let’s look at the upside and downside for Trump:
Upside:
—Oil prices go down, if only temporarily; this is exactly what happened
—An undeniable opportunity to make tremendous profits for insiders, including Trump and his family; this is certainly not beyond him
—More time to prepare for military action while maintaining pressure on Iran, without any ceasefire from Israel in the meantime
Downside:
—If he lied, prices will go back up after a short breather, but likely not higher than they would have been had he not lied
—Some people will claim that he is a liar, but most people are already convinced of that, so no big deal
In other words, there is very little, if any, downside for Trump, or at least that is how he sees the situation today.
Given the obvious imbalance between significant upside and very little downside, it is reasonable to conclude that Trump had a very strong incentive to lie and, in fact, lie he did.
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However, Iran publicly denied that any negotiations (direct or indirect) were taking place, with its foreign ministry and state media rejecting Trump’s claims as inaccurate or a ploy to manipulate markets and buy time for military action. Tehran insisted no such talks occurred and maintained its positions unchanged.
Nevertheless, oil prices reacted sharply to Trump’s initial announcement: Brent crude futures fell as much as 14% intraday (reaching around $96 per barrel at one point), reflecting eased fears of further escalation and potential disruptions to global supplies, though prices later pared some losses after Iran’s denial.
Now, what is the likelihood of Trump lying? Let’s look at the upside and downside for Trump:
Upside:
—Oil prices go down, if only temporarily; this is exactly what happened
—An undeniable opportunity to make tremendous profits for insiders, including Trump and his family; this is certainly not beyond him
—More time to prepare for military action while maintaining pressure on Iran, without any ceasefire from Israel in the meantime
Downside:
—If he lied, prices will go back up after a short breather, but likely not higher than they would have been had he not lied
—Some people will claim that he is a liar, but most people are already convinced of that, so no big deal
In other words, there is very little, if any, downside for Trump, or at least that is how he sees the situation today.
Given the obvious imbalance between significant upside and very little downside, it is reasonable to conclude that Trump had a very strong incentive to lie and, in fact, lie he did.
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On March 24, 2001, the federal constitutional law on the text of the Russian National Anthem came into force.
Until the 17th century, state ceremonies in Russia featured Orthodox church hymns. During Peter I’s reign, “vivat chants” became common at celebrations, and in the 18th century, the European hymn Te Deum was used.
The first unofficial anthem of the Russian Empire appeared in 1791—Thunder of Victory, Resound! by Osip Kozlovsky, with lyrics by Gavrila Derzhavin.
In 1815, Russia adopted its first official anthem, The Prayer of the Russians (God Save the Tsar) by Vasily Zhukovsky, set to the melody of the British God Save the King. In 1833, Nicholas I commissioned composer Alexey Lvov to write a new melody for it. God Save the Tsar remained the empire’s anthem until March 1917.
After the February Revolution, The Russian Marseillaise (a revolutionary song by Pyotr Lavrov based on the French Marseillaise) was briefly used before being replaced in 1918 by The Internationale.
On January 1, 1944, the USSR introduced its new anthem, The Unbreakable Union of Freeborn Republics, composed by Alexander Alexandrov with lyrics by Sergey Mikhalkov and Gabriel Ureklyan (El-Registan).
Following the USSR’s collapse, Russia initially used the melody of Mikhail Glinka’s Patriotic Song as its anthem. In December 2000, a federal constitutional law approved a new anthem using Alexandrov’s Soviet-era music.
In early 2001, Vladimir Putin submitted a bill to the State Duma to establish the official text of the anthem. The Duma passed it on March 7, the Federation Council approved it on March 14, and Putin signed it into law on March 22, 2001. It took effect on March 24.
#TodayInHistory
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Until the 17th century, state ceremonies in Russia featured Orthodox church hymns. During Peter I’s reign, “vivat chants” became common at celebrations, and in the 18th century, the European hymn Te Deum was used.
The first unofficial anthem of the Russian Empire appeared in 1791—Thunder of Victory, Resound! by Osip Kozlovsky, with lyrics by Gavrila Derzhavin.
In 1815, Russia adopted its first official anthem, The Prayer of the Russians (God Save the Tsar) by Vasily Zhukovsky, set to the melody of the British God Save the King. In 1833, Nicholas I commissioned composer Alexey Lvov to write a new melody for it. God Save the Tsar remained the empire’s anthem until March 1917.
After the February Revolution, The Russian Marseillaise (a revolutionary song by Pyotr Lavrov based on the French Marseillaise) was briefly used before being replaced in 1918 by The Internationale.
On January 1, 1944, the USSR introduced its new anthem, The Unbreakable Union of Freeborn Republics, composed by Alexander Alexandrov with lyrics by Sergey Mikhalkov and Gabriel Ureklyan (El-Registan).
Following the USSR’s collapse, Russia initially used the melody of Mikhail Glinka’s Patriotic Song as its anthem. In December 2000, a federal constitutional law approved a new anthem using Alexandrov’s Soviet-era music.
In early 2001, Vladimir Putin submitted a bill to the State Duma to establish the official text of the anthem. The Duma passed it on March 7, the Federation Council approved it on March 14, and Putin signed it into law on March 22, 2001. It took effect on March 24.
#TodayInHistory
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Trump’s Middle East Dead End (1)
By journalist Yury Podolyaka:
The war in the Middle East has been going on for over three weeks now, and not only is there no sign of the quick, crushing victory Trump and Netanyahu were counting on, but there’s a growing consensus that it’s the United States that will end up suffering the biggest losses—primarily in terms of reputation. And here’s the most important part: Trump will have no one to blame but himself. He’s the one who screwed up. He’s the one who walked right into the trap set by his “friend” Bibi Netanyahu.
So, it’s already clear that not only has the regime in Iran survived, but in the wake of the Epstein coalition’s inhumane bombing of schools and just about everything else, it has actually come out stronger. And many Iranian opposition figures have become disillusioned with the US in much the same way that, after the events of August 2020, many of Lukashenko’s opponents in Belarus became disillusioned with the country’s alternative political path.
Supporting the US—and bashing the government—is no longer trendy. Not because it’s dangerous, but because it’s frankly disgusting, even in the eyes of these former opposition figures themselves. And Mossad’s bet on stirring internal dissent in Iran—which the bloodsuckers Netanyahu and Trump considered their “Plan A,” as the American press reported just yesterday—has completely collapsed.
At the same time, a reinvigorated Iranian regime, having shed its earlier illusions (that it was even possible to negotiate with the ghouls in Tel Aviv and Washington), has bared its teeth and is biting back hard. And today, it is Iran—not the States—that is fully dictating the terms, not just to its neighbors (by controlling traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and threatening to take out their key infrastructure), but to Trump himself. Even if he won’t say it outright, he’s essentially now following the course of Iran’s war plan.
And he can’t just jump off this train. There’s no decent way out in sight.
First, he can’t leave the region looking like a loser. That would instantly ruin everything for him. All his carefully laid plans for absorbing the Western Hemisphere would be shattered.
We’re already seeing a glimpse of this with Cuba. Not long ago, it seemed like Cuba’s days were numbered. But now… the country actually has a shot at navigating its way through without having to kneel before Trump. And it’s a real possibility.
Plus, on the home front, the Democrats are already busy chopping him into coleslaw.
And second, Trump can’t fight this war the way he wants. No local ground troops—no cannon fodder—willing to die by the thousands for Israel’s interests have materialized. He can’t simply bomb Iran back to the Stone Age, because Iran could retaliate against the local monarchies, which would immediately plunge the global economy into a catastrophic collapse—one that would not only sweep Trump away, but also the Republicans, for a long time to come. And the US simply doesn’t have the manpower to fight this war and achieve a decisive victory on its own.
So, this all adds up to a dead end for him, with far-reaching consequences for the rest of the world. And that’s what we’ll discuss in the next part
To be continued
#Yury_Podolyaka
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By journalist Yury Podolyaka:
The war in the Middle East has been going on for over three weeks now, and not only is there no sign of the quick, crushing victory Trump and Netanyahu were counting on, but there’s a growing consensus that it’s the United States that will end up suffering the biggest losses—primarily in terms of reputation. And here’s the most important part: Trump will have no one to blame but himself. He’s the one who screwed up. He’s the one who walked right into the trap set by his “friend” Bibi Netanyahu.
So, it’s already clear that not only has the regime in Iran survived, but in the wake of the Epstein coalition’s inhumane bombing of schools and just about everything else, it has actually come out stronger. And many Iranian opposition figures have become disillusioned with the US in much the same way that, after the events of August 2020, many of Lukashenko’s opponents in Belarus became disillusioned with the country’s alternative political path.
Supporting the US—and bashing the government—is no longer trendy. Not because it’s dangerous, but because it’s frankly disgusting, even in the eyes of these former opposition figures themselves. And Mossad’s bet on stirring internal dissent in Iran—which the bloodsuckers Netanyahu and Trump considered their “Plan A,” as the American press reported just yesterday—has completely collapsed.
At the same time, a reinvigorated Iranian regime, having shed its earlier illusions (that it was even possible to negotiate with the ghouls in Tel Aviv and Washington), has bared its teeth and is biting back hard. And today, it is Iran—not the States—that is fully dictating the terms, not just to its neighbors (by controlling traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and threatening to take out their key infrastructure), but to Trump himself. Even if he won’t say it outright, he’s essentially now following the course of Iran’s war plan.
And he can’t just jump off this train. There’s no decent way out in sight.
First, he can’t leave the region looking like a loser. That would instantly ruin everything for him. All his carefully laid plans for absorbing the Western Hemisphere would be shattered.
We’re already seeing a glimpse of this with Cuba. Not long ago, it seemed like Cuba’s days were numbered. But now… the country actually has a shot at navigating its way through without having to kneel before Trump. And it’s a real possibility.
Plus, on the home front, the Democrats are already busy chopping him into coleslaw.
And second, Trump can’t fight this war the way he wants. No local ground troops—no cannon fodder—willing to die by the thousands for Israel’s interests have materialized. He can’t simply bomb Iran back to the Stone Age, because Iran could retaliate against the local monarchies, which would immediately plunge the global economy into a catastrophic collapse—one that would not only sweep Trump away, but also the Republicans, for a long time to come. And the US simply doesn’t have the manpower to fight this war and achieve a decisive victory on its own.
So, this all adds up to a dead end for him, with far-reaching consequences for the rest of the world. And that’s what we’ll discuss in the next part
To be continued
#Yury_Podolyaka
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Trump’s Middle East Dead End (2): The Main Risks for the US
By journalist Yury Podolyaka:
So, as we established in the first part, Trump has hit a geopolitical and military dead end in Iran. With the need to deliver results by the end of April, no good way out is in sight. There’s a very high probability that Congress—right around that deadline—will refuse to authorize further use of US forces in the conflict, effectively putting a big, fat cross through “Dealer Donnie’s” military and political ambitions.
But if that were the only problem, it would be just half the trouble for the Americans. The main issue is that, as a result of Trump’s failure in Iran, the long-established, decades-old security system centered on Washington will finally be shattered. The system where the US decides which countries get to live in safety and which don’t.
The current war in the Middle East is a glaring exception to that rule. And it’s global in scale. Washington’s own allies and partners find themselves in the most vulnerable position; because of their support for the US (and Israel), they now face the threat of total destruction and ruin.
What’s more, the US has shown it can’t even defend the main base of its own Fifth Fleet. And the American soldiers who remain within range of Iranian missiles and drones are cowering in hiding, having no effect whatsoever on the course of the conflict.
Let me repeat: this hasn’t happened in a very, very long time. And it’s a striking, powerful image. It forces countries that once counted on the US as a guarantor of their own security—and not just in the Gulf region—to start thinking. To start thinking about what to do next and how to rebuild their defenses in a world that has drastically changed in just a few weeks.
The reputational damage to the US is immense and irreversible. Yet that reputation was the very foundation on which American geopolitical dominance was built.
The main negative outcome for the US, as these countries mull things over, will be a sharp drop in investment—both in the United States itself and in its defense industry. In other words, many countries will simply stop paying “tribute” for protection.
The second major consequence for Washington will be structural distortions in the global economy and a sharp rise in resistance to any subsequent American attempts to restore the shattered status quo. The cost of maintaining dominance over various parts of the world will skyrocket. And with the US’s ability to project power diminishing, the number of key nodes—the critical points in the global system whose control determines control over the world itself—that the US can actually manage will quickly shrink. This in turn will only accelerate the downward spiral into which US geopolitical influence is falling.
So, here’s the irony: Trump, by launching a war against Iran and planning to establish full control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz (and then, by destroying the Houthis in Yemen, over the exit from the Red Sea), has effectively lost it. What’s more, he’s lost it—even if only temporarily—to Iran. He’s achieved the exact opposite of what he intended: he’s strengthened his adversaries’ influence over those very critical chokepoints—the ones that are the whole prize in an era of a globalized economy.
To be continued
#Yury_Podolyaka
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By journalist Yury Podolyaka:
So, as we established in the first part, Trump has hit a geopolitical and military dead end in Iran. With the need to deliver results by the end of April, no good way out is in sight. There’s a very high probability that Congress—right around that deadline—will refuse to authorize further use of US forces in the conflict, effectively putting a big, fat cross through “Dealer Donnie’s” military and political ambitions.
But if that were the only problem, it would be just half the trouble for the Americans. The main issue is that, as a result of Trump’s failure in Iran, the long-established, decades-old security system centered on Washington will finally be shattered. The system where the US decides which countries get to live in safety and which don’t.
The current war in the Middle East is a glaring exception to that rule. And it’s global in scale. Washington’s own allies and partners find themselves in the most vulnerable position; because of their support for the US (and Israel), they now face the threat of total destruction and ruin.
What’s more, the US has shown it can’t even defend the main base of its own Fifth Fleet. And the American soldiers who remain within range of Iranian missiles and drones are cowering in hiding, having no effect whatsoever on the course of the conflict.
Let me repeat: this hasn’t happened in a very, very long time. And it’s a striking, powerful image. It forces countries that once counted on the US as a guarantor of their own security—and not just in the Gulf region—to start thinking. To start thinking about what to do next and how to rebuild their defenses in a world that has drastically changed in just a few weeks.
The reputational damage to the US is immense and irreversible. Yet that reputation was the very foundation on which American geopolitical dominance was built.
The main negative outcome for the US, as these countries mull things over, will be a sharp drop in investment—both in the United States itself and in its defense industry. In other words, many countries will simply stop paying “tribute” for protection.
The second major consequence for Washington will be structural distortions in the global economy and a sharp rise in resistance to any subsequent American attempts to restore the shattered status quo. The cost of maintaining dominance over various parts of the world will skyrocket. And with the US’s ability to project power diminishing, the number of key nodes—the critical points in the global system whose control determines control over the world itself—that the US can actually manage will quickly shrink. This in turn will only accelerate the downward spiral into which US geopolitical influence is falling.
So, here’s the irony: Trump, by launching a war against Iran and planning to establish full control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz (and then, by destroying the Houthis in Yemen, over the exit from the Red Sea), has effectively lost it. What’s more, he’s lost it—even if only temporarily—to Iran. He’s achieved the exact opposite of what he intended: he’s strengthened his adversaries’ influence over those very critical chokepoints—the ones that are the whole prize in an era of a globalized economy.
To be continued
#Yury_Podolyaka
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Forwarded from The Noticer
Bad Orange Man recently announced during an interview that he spoke with the religious side of Iran about peace. Implying that somehow, the current Iran's ayatollah - a hardliner - picked up the phone and either called Donald Trump, or accepted a call from him. And all of this was supposedly done without the IRGC (all hardliners) or the Iranian government knowing anything at all.
Whoever writes Donald Trump's speeches wants to kill his reputation. That, or Donald Trump is trying to do some 4D chess again. In any case - the Sand War continues, the blatant manipulation of the global markets continues, people are still dying, etc etc. Nothing new to observe so far.
#USA #Iran #Israel #war #Trump #speech #bluff #Idiocracy
Whoever writes Donald Trump's speeches wants to kill his reputation. That, or Donald Trump is trying to do some 4D chess again. In any case - the Sand War continues, the blatant manipulation of the global markets continues, people are still dying, etc etc. Nothing new to observe so far.
#USA #Iran #Israel #war #Trump #speech #bluff #Idiocracy
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"Who are they to lecture us on human rights..."
I give a standing ovation to the representative of China, Dominique Li, who delivered a short lesson in the UN Human Rights Council on who's who.
Couldn't have said it better myself. I'm with you 100%!!!
#Yury_Podolyaka
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I give a standing ovation to the representative of China, Dominique Li, who delivered a short lesson in the UN Human Rights Council on who's who.
Couldn't have said it better myself. I'm with you 100%!!!
#Yury_Podolyaka
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