Private Equity 101
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Private Capital, Private Equity & Private Debt
Fund accounting, Fund administration, Fund raise
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Private Equity: 1H 2026 in 10 Points

• Global PE investment reached US$1.0 trillion in H1 2026, demonstrating resilience despite geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.

• Investors became increasingly selective, prioritizing fewer, larger, high-conviction deals, pushing rolling deal volume to a five-year low.

• The Americas remained the largest investment destination (US$579.2B), while EMA hosted three of the world's four largest PE deals in Q2.

• Energy & Natural Resources emerged as the standout sector (US$149.2B), driven by energy security concerns and AI's growing power requirements.

• AI reshaped capital allocation. Investment shifted away from software toward AI infrastructure, data centers, industrial manufacturing and enabling technologies.

• Exit values remained resilient, but exit volumes stayed subdued. Sponsors increasingly relied on secondaries and continuation vehicles to provide liquidity.

• The Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions reinforced the importance of energy resilience, influencing sector and geographic investment decisions.

• India continued attracting PE capital through family-owned businesses, healthcare, financial services and precision manufacturing, although elevated valuations remained a challenge.

• PE firms increasingly focused on risk-adjusted returns, favoring transparent markets with strong long-term structural growth.

• Looking ahead, the industry is watching US IPO market reopening, while AI infrastructure, energy transition and digital infrastructure remain the strongest investment themes for H2 2026.
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The "exit problem" refers to the difficulty private equity firms currently face in selling companies they acquired during the peak valuation years of 2020 and 2021.

High Purchase Prices: Deals struck during the market boom were executed at very high valuations.

Rising Interest Rates: Increased interest rates have made debt-financed buyouts much more expensive, making it harder to justify the price tags and achieve the expected returns.

Holding Back Assets: Many firms are choosing to hold onto these companies longer than anticipated, hoping that waiting for better market conditions will eventually yield a higher value.

As a result, there is now a significant backlog of over 33,000 companies held by private equity firms, which has led to lower capital distributions to investors.
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Private equity firms could be on the verge of joining the global M&A resurgence, with buyout groups sitting on around $1.5tn of capital that could increasingly be deployed into acquisitions.
Private equity buyouts, however, have accounted for just $286bn of that total, representing 8.2% across 680 deals out of 30,384 transactions.
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1790965122454.pdf
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The Shift from Public to Private Markets
Ludovic Phalippou
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