๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โšช๏ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
TP
โœ… @: 49.97
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED; closed slightly higher โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ธ

Recommended Entry โœ… 49.02 - 49.17


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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ S&P 500 (SPX500) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 7498.70
TP โœ… @: 7578.40
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ธ


Recommended Entry Range โœ…7540 - 7546

๐Ÿ“Œ SPX 7 points lower


โ–บ Global stocks fell sharply again yesterday and remained under pressure during the Asian session. In the US, investors remain cautious as voting continues in the midterm elections. Political uncertainty is weighing on a market already grappling with geopolitical risks and renewed heavy selling in AI stocks.

โ–บ Bond yields rose again. Oil prices also recovered somewhat after yesterdayโ€™s sharp losses, following reports that the US had struck Iranโ€™s Qeshm Island. The attack could be viewed as defensive, as it limits Iranโ€™s ability to attack commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

โ–บ Tehran said on Monday that contacts between Iran and the US to end the war are continuing. This followed several days of Iranian talks with Qatari mediators, which ended with revised proposals but no breakthrough.

โ–บ Silver is down almost 3% and hovering around the key $49.00 level. We are cautiously going LONG here. Oil prices have now eased again following news that Qatari mediators expect feedback from the US and Iran within 36 hours on a new proposal to advance the talks.

โ–บ Our S&P 500 position hit its SL during early European trading. Weakness carried over from Asia, followed by a softer European open against the backdrop of a modest rebound in oil prices - although that recovery was small relative to yesterdayโ€™s sharp decline.

โ–บ Nevertheless, we see signs of a potential rebound on Wall Street. Encouragingly, buyers are stepping into chip stocks that were oversold yesterday, including heavyweights such as NVDA, AVGO, MU, AMD and INTC. This has helped the Nasdaq trade firmly higher following yesterdayโ€™s weak close.


Silver (XAG/USD):

Multiply your usual โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 5.0โ€“6.0 (500%โ€“600%) โ€“ 1/2 position size, for contract size 100

Multiply your usual โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 0.5โ€“0.60 (50%โ€“60%) โ€“ 1/2 position size, for contract size 1000

Multiply your usual โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 0.10โ€“0.12 (10%โ€“12%) โ€“ 1/2 position size, for contract size 5000

S&P 500 (SPX500): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 8โ€“10x (800%โ€“1,000%) with contract size 1=1 โ€“ 2/3 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110301A

position code / 100% Transparency - 26110302A


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WOW ๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿ’ต

We made mega trades already with both our S&P 500 and especially our silver position closing very deep in profit shortly after entering.

You may have missed the trades as NON-VIP ๐Ÿ˜ 


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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ S&P 500 (SPX500) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range โœ…7557 - 7562
๐Ÿ“Œ SPX 7 points lower


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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry โœ…(ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)


โ–บ Both our silver and S&P 500 positions have already hit their TPs โœ…๐Ÿ“ธ (I closed silver slightly higher). If you are still LONG in the S&P 500 - as I had a typo in the TP - you can stay LONG. Please use an in-profit SL and the updated TP.

โ–บ We can stay LONG in the S&P 500 and use the small dip to re-enter.

โ–บ Reports that Washington and Tehran have made concessions regarding Iran's nuclear program and frozen funds, and that Washington has even approved a draft memorandum of understanding, would be highly significant if also confirmed by Western media.

โ–บ Oil prices are now falling further and are also down for the day - even below yesterday's lows. This provides strong support for risk sentiment. AAPL is weighing on the S&P 500, but we are seeing significant rebounds in key AI stocks.

โ–บ We are therefore also going LONG (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

S&P 500 (SPX500): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 8โ€“10x (800%โ€“1,000%) with contract size 1=1 โ€“ 2/3 position size

(ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110303A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110304A


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๐Ÿ”น NYSE OPENING UPDATE ๐Ÿ”น


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING ๐Ÿ”ผ Palantir (PLTR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP โœ… @: 170.43
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ ๐Ÿ“ธ

Recommended Entry Range โœ… 165.20 - 166.20


๐Ÿ”น Nasdaq 100 (+0.65%) - opens well in the green, despite AAPL trading around 4% lower. That is significant given the iPhone maker's Nasdaq weighting of around 12%. We are seeing a strong rebound in chip / AI stocks. PLTR is also sharply lower following earnings - as so often. Further declines in oil prices following fresh reports of progress in Washington-Tehran diplomacy provide strong support. Apple warned that higher memory costs are putting pressure on margins. This was one of the major negatives for Apple, but it points to continued strong pricing power for memory suppliers such as MU. We are seeing a strong rebound in chip stocks. We keep our TP unchanged for now (โœ… @: 28570.30).

๐Ÿ”น S&P 500 (+0.1%) - much of what applies to the Nasdaq 100 also holds true for the S&P 500. However, the S&P is still trading close to flat. We have already made one successful S&P 500 trade today - although yesterday's position also hit its SL. Market breadth is not particularly strong, as capital temporarily rotates into chip / AI stocks. Nevertheless, we see upside potential and are tightening our TP โœ… slightly.
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 7584.60


๐Ÿ”น Alphabet (+0.5%) - opens higher and continues to offer upside potential in November: ๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 286.97

๐Ÿ”น Chevron (-0.8%) - extends its losses and will open well below our TP (โœ… @: 227.26) for a very nice profit. Congratulations.
โš ๏ธ TP + GAP ALREADY TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ ๐Ÿ“ธ

๐Ÿ”น Nvidia (+2.7%) - provides the strongest boost to Wall Street due to its importance / weighting. NVDA continues to experience sharp swings but remains a strong investment for the rest of Q4 and 2027. Bernstein advises investors to stick with the stock and expects NVDA to outperform. We stay LONG.


โ–บ We are buying the sharp dip in PLTR with a small position. The company actually reported impressive earnings. However, the stock remains expensive despite being down almost 15% over the past month and also showing a negative year-to-date performance. One positive is that US commercial revenue surpassed US government revenue for the first time last quarter. PLTR also raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $8.530-$8.534 billion, compared with guidance of $8.15-$8.158 billion in the previous quarter. We see PLTR around 6.5% lower in late pre-market trading.

โ–บ PLTR will be very volatile. We can definitely find an entry near / below 166.00.

Palantir (PLTR): Multiply your usual trade size by ~120โ€“130 (12,000%โ€“13,000%) when trading Palantir (PLTR) โ€“ 1/2 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110203A


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As every day - what a MEGA trade at the NYSE opening. One of the best possible trades we could have made.

100% perfect entry range.

Our NYSE opening trades remain the most consistent money-printing machine imaginable. If you trade them, please share some of these massive profits with people in need or help others NOT miss these trades.


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๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Palantir (PLTR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP โœ… @: 173.92
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ ๐Ÿ“ธ


Recommended Entry Range โœ… 170.30 -171.00

โ–บ We found the perfect entry in PLTR. Our position has already hit TP โœ…๐Ÿ“ธ for a huge profit. We can cautiously stay LONG and re-enter at the TP level. Even after the rebound gains, PLTR is still down more than 4% today. The stock remains sentiment-driven but also benefits from the rebound in chip / AI stocks. AMD is up more than 5% ahead of its earnings report after the bell. NVDA is driving Wall Street higher, up 3.3%.

โ–บ Congratulations on another very strong NYSE opening trade with a perfect entry range. We also secured a very good exit in CVX.

Palantir (PLTR): Multiply your usual trade size by ~120โ€“130 (12,000%โ€“13,000%) when trading Palantir (PLTR) โ€“ 1/2 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110306A


โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED โš ๏ธ by 1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


Also our follow-up PLTR trade already hit TP โœ… for another big profit.

Absolutely amazing dip buying here.


โ›” IF YOU MISSED OUT - MAKE SURE YOU NEVER DO AGAIN โœ…


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Palantir (PLTR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
S&P 500 (SPX500) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
Palantir (PLTR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
Chevron (CVX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
...all TP โœ… triggered

Quick ๐Ÿ“ธ-Update

Our second PLTR position has also hit TP โœ… - for another big profit. Congrats

The revival of the AI trade gave Wall Street a major boost today. Lower oil prices, driven by diplomatic efforts in the Middle East, provide further strong support. US job openings rose to a four-month high, suggesting that recent expectations of a slight slowdown in the US economy may have been premature.


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


PS: Our NYSE opening trades in particular are an almost "absurd" money-printing machine for all of you. For many of you, the profits significantly exceed "regular" monthly salaries and help build your accounts to five figures and, over the longer term, six figures. However, please never forget where you started and that many people are struggling right now. We are ALL in a special position here. If you (no longer) know what to do with your profits - or simply feel it is appropriate - helping people in need is always the right thing to do. That is the greatest gift you can give SmartTrader - supporting those who need a helping hand. SmartTrader is not a profitable business / project, but exists solely to help people like you trade profitably and make this knowledge accessible to individual traders. Everyone working on this project tries every day to help you achieve the greatest possible success - so please also be kind to your account managers and the rest of the team. They are doing their best - thank you. Whenever you can, please also help protect people from following โ€œother online services, trading signals etc. and so-called trading gurusโ€ - 99.9% (this is not an exaggeration) of what you find online is a scam and millions of people fall for it.




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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 51596.90 (51555 DJI)
TP โœ… @: 51892.70 (51851 DJI)
โš ๏ธ ALREADY NEAR TP โš ๏ธ

Recommended Entry Range โœ…51725 - 51755

๐Ÿ“Œ DJI future ~42 points lower


โ–บ We are buying the underperformance of more defensive stocks here. The rotation back into AI and particularly chip stocks was also funded by shifts out of defensive sectors, financials and energy stocks.

โ–บ There is some risk of profit-taking in key Dow stocks MSFT and CAT. However, some of the heavily sold defensive stocks offer greater short-term rebound potential.

โ–บ We expect markets to turn a little more cautious again - which would generally be positive for the Dow.

โ–บ Strong job openings data reinforced expectations that the US economy is not slowing. The figures also challenge signs of a sharp decline in labor demand. Job openings rose to a four-month high in September, while layoffs fell to their lowest level in over a year. This signals stronger demand for workers. The expectations for potentially stronger US economic growth caused also yields to edge higher.

โ–บ Oil prices have found a bottom. However, this week's sharp losses have erased most of October's oil price gains.

Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your โ€œstandard position size (EUR/USD)โ€ by approximately 1.2-1.5x (120%-150%)


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110307A



โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED โš ๏ธ by 6๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ+ minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


We found the perfect entry range.


โŒ NO MORE MISSING OUT ON PROFITSโŒ


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Forwarded from [VIP] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข by Robert Lindner; Fundamental Trading Signals (Robert B. Lindner)
According to The New York Times, Israel has told the US that Iran is considering using chemical weapons. This information alarmed some US officials, while others met it with healthy skepticism. Netanyahu, who is (still) prime minister, is trying to draw the US / President Trump back into military action. This echoes Israel's decades-old narrative that Iran is just weeks away from a nuclear bomb.
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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Micron (MU) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: (NUR VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)
TP
โœ… @: (NUR VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry โœ…near/below 851.00

โ–บ Following today's strong gains in chip stocks, we are seeing some profit-taking ahead of AMD's earnings report.

โ–บ Investors are unsettled after a series of rather mixed earnings reports. A significant portion of the recent sharp losses in AI stocks, including chip stocks, was also triggered by concerns about the sustainability of AI infrastructure investment. There are growing fears that expected revenue growth may not materialize while capital expenditures continue to rise sharply.

โ–บ SK Hynix reported outstanding earnings last week and provided a highly optimistic outlook. Although the stock has since given back a larger portion of its gains, it has delivered a strong performance today overall.

โ–บ Apple also said that high memory-chip prices are weighing on profit margins. Apple's latest statements reinforce our view that memory-chip manufacturers currently have significant pricing power. SK Hynix's earnings and outlook also confirm this trend.

โ–บ We expect strong earnings from AMD, which should differ considerably from Intel's (INTC) results.

โ–บ Regardless, we see further short-term upside potential in semiconductor stocks - particularly MU, which has recently experienced disproportionately heavy profit-taking.

โ–บ Additional profit-taking followed surprisingly strong US job openings data and the resulting increase in US Treasury yields.

โ–บ We are therefore building a small position in MU at current levels and expect increased buying interest around 850 or below. We are using an SL, but deliberately keeping it somewhat wider given the elevated volatility.

Micron (MU): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by ~18-20x (1,700%-2,000%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110308A

โฑ๏ธ
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Forwarded from [VIP] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข by Robert Lindner; Fundamental Trading Signals (Robert B. Lindner)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ If you could only choose between the two major U.S. political parties, who would you vote for?
Anonymous Poll
63%
๐Ÿ”ต Democrats
37%
๐Ÿ”ด Republicans
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๐Ÿ”น FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days ๐Ÿ”น

๐Ÿ—“ September 23 - November 03
๐Ÿ’ฏ Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


๐Ÿ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: September 23 - October 27
(= 25 full trading days)

๐Ÿ”น Number of Trades/Signals: 132 (excl. 2 open p.)
๐Ÿ”น Number of Trades Won: 110
๐Ÿ”น Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 83.3%๐Ÿ”ฝ

Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% ๐Ÿ’Ž Signal Accuracy (September 22)
Added to statistics: 4/4 - 100%
๐Ÿ’Ž Signal Accuracy (October 27)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


๐Ÿ”น The last 5 trading days: October 28 - November 03 ๐Ÿ”น

โŒ 28.10 - USOIL - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 102.011)
โœ… 28.10 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 971.77)
โœ… 28.10 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 976.83)
โœ… 28.10 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 978.87)
โœ… 28.10 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 348.52 me |346.82 + gap)
โœ… 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 157.951 me | or 158.031)
โœ… 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 157.688)
โœด๏ธ 28.10 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 28635.70 (28806 Dec futures) ๐Ÿ”„

6/8 - (1 open position)

โŒ 29.10 - XAG/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 51.139 or 50.740 | +re-entry in profit)
โœ… 29.10 - MU - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 951.56)
โœ… 29.10 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 563.67)
โœ… 29.10 - LLY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 1377.60)
โœ… 29.10 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP-52329.90 me|or 52314.90|overall - in-profit)
โœด๏ธ 29.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit; pot. re-entry in profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 1.33863 ๐Ÿ”„

4/6 - (1 open position)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


It was an outstanding session for us, although there were only few changes in this section of the overview.

NVDA closed higher and extended its gains in after-hours trading after AMD delivered exceptional earnings as we expected and well above analysts expectations. Revenue jumped 45%, while data center sales nearly doubled from a year earlier. Many investors had feared an INTC-style sell-off - not understanding that data center sales (AI chips) is where the growth potential for AMD is. The Nasdaq had a strong session, while precious metals were more mixed as yields rose after job openings data pointed to a resilient U.S. labor market and, by extension, a healthy broader economy.

We are tightening our GBP/USD TP
โœ… slightly, while still targeting an overall profitable exit. We are widening our Nasdaq TP โœ… slightly, as we expect AMD's results to provide further support for chip stocks tomorrow.

Our
๐Ÿ”ฝ success rate edged slightly lower as a flawless 6/6 session ๐Ÿ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%) was replaced by last Tuesday's perfect 4/4 session ๐Ÿ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%).
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๐Ÿ”น OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days ๐Ÿ”น

โœ… 30.10 - USD/JPY - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 157.421)
โœ… 30.10 - AMD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 511.66)
โœ… 30.10 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 346.87)
โœ… 30.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 1.11502 or clsd ~1.11610)
โœ… 30.10 - AMD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 503.54)
โœ… 30.10 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (clsd 51825 - 51845)

6/6 = 100% ๐Ÿ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

โœ… 2.11 - DAX_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 25915.90 me or 25886.90)
โœด๏ธ 2.11 - BTC/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 78066.70
โœ… 2.11 - AVGO - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 331.69)
โœ… 2.11 - DAX_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 25979.90)
โœ… 2.11 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 157.747) ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 2.11 - CVX - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 227.26) ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ“ธ
โŒ 2.11 - SPX500 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 7524.70) ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ“ธ

5/7 - (1 open positions)


๐Ÿ”นTODAY'S TRADES (TUESDAY) ๐Ÿ”น

โœ…
3.11 - XAG/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 50.189 me | or 49.97) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - SPX500 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 7578.40) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - SPX500 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 7584.60) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœด๏ธ 3.11 - DAX_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit | re-entry ๐Ÿ”„)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 25919.70 (25899 GDAXI) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 3.11 - PLTR - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 170.43) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - PLTR - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 173.92) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 51892.70) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœด๏ธ 3.11 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 828.79 | TP โœ… @: 878.47

6/8 - (2 open positions)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


What a session for us!
๐Ÿš€

It started even with a setback: the S&P 500 hit our relatively tight SL ๐Ÿ”‘ during Asian / early European trading before rebounding well above our entry. We more than made up for it with two successful S&P 500 LONGs ๐Ÿ“ธ and a winning Dow trade ๐Ÿ“ธ. Our DAX position is still trading at a loss. We see room for a little more downside and can re-enter in the
๐Ÿ”ผ 25660 - 25710 range. We are tightening our DAX TP โœ….

Our first two new trades of the day, silver ๐Ÿ“ธ and the S&P 500 ๐Ÿ“ธ, both hit their TPs within minutes, giving us two strong gains early on. I closed silver a little higher.

Our NYSE opening trade was once again a standout, this time with an exceptionally large profit. We traded PLTR ๐Ÿ“ธ against the prevailing market move, then followed up with a LONG. PLTR went on to rebound even further.

Congrats on today's huge profits and great timing.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US MIDTERMS UPDATE

The Republican Party is facing a devastating election night.

Prediction markets on Kalshihave surged to 99% in favor of Democrats taking control of BOTH the House and Senate
๐Ÿ“ธ, with the probability of a complete Democratic sweep approaching 100%.

We had anticipated an extreme - never seen before Democratic victory and developments so far point to exactly that - if not even worse for the Republicans.


โ–บ The implications for Trump will be enormous. Democrats are about to secure both chambers and will become a lame-duck president in legislative terms for the remaining two years of his presidency. His ability to advance major parts of his domestic agenda will be severely constrained, while Democrats would gain powerful tools to investigate his administration, scrutinize executive decisions challenge government spending.

Perhaps even more consequential would be the changing political dynamics within the Republican Party itself. A sufficiently severe defeat will very likely undermine Trump's authority over his own party. Republican lawmakers, including some previously loyal "MAGA" supporters, may increasingly question whether continued unconditional support for Trump serves their political interests ahead of the 2028 elections. Internal divisions will intensify, particularly if Republicans conclude that the president's policies contributed to their electoral losses -> In reality Trump is the one and only reason.


โ–บ A politically weakened Trump would likely not mean a less confrontational presidency. With his legislative options restricted, he could rely more heavily on executive powers, tariffs and foreign policy, areas in which the president retains considerable discretion. This creates some additional uncertainty, particularly given the fragile geopolitical situation. At the same time, stronger congressional opposition / potentially declining Republican unity will constrain some of his decisions.


โ–บ For financial markets, the initial implications are mixed, but we see headwinds for equities. US stock futures have already come under some pressure as the prospect of a Democratic sweep has strengthened, with tech stocks particularly vulnerable. Markets generally like a split scenario - in which neither party can push agendas through without the need to get bi-partisan support.

Democratic control of Congress will likely result in significantly greater scrutiny of major technology companies, artificial intelligence, data-center expansion and corporate market power. This comes also at a sensitive time, with investors already questioning the sustainability of enormous AI infrastructure investments and the ability of companies to generate sufficient returns on that spending. However, I would not overstate this, US tech / AI companies remain well ahead of competition - the money is and will be in the US to push technology forward.

There could also be renewed political pressure for higher corporate taxes / tighter regulation. Actual tax increases would face major legislative obstacles, including Trump's presidential veto, but even the prospect of future policy changes could weigh on valuations.

โ–บ US Treasuries could benefit from a different set of expectations. A Democratic-controlled Congress would severely restrict Trump's ability to introduce additional deficit-financed tax cuts and other major fiscal initiatives. This could ease some concerns about the trajectory of US borrowing and provide support for longer-dated government bonds.

However, this is not an entirely straightforward development for bonds. Political gridlock will also complicate budget negotiations and future debt-ceiling discussions. Inflation, Fed policy, US economic growth will remain of course important drivers of yields.


โ–บ This is a fundamental shift in Washington's balance of power. Instead of governing with Republican majorities in both chambers, Trump will face two years of congressional opposition + growing resistance from within his own party.

Meanwhile Trump is shooting even against FOX News ๐Ÿ“ธ - he is losing it...
๐Ÿ”ฅ6โค2๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿพ1
Forwarded from [VIP] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข by Robert Lindner; Fundamental Trading Signals (Robert B. Lindner)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US MIDTERMS UPDATE

The Republican Party is facing a devastating election night.

Prediction markets on Kalshihave surged to 99% in favor of Democrats taking control of BOTH the House and Senate
๐Ÿ“ธ, with the probability of a complete Democratic sweep approaching 100%.

We had anticipated an extreme - never seen before Democratic victory and developments so far point to exactly that - if not even worse for the Republicans.


โ–บ The implications for Trump will be enormous. Democrats are about to secure both chambers and will become a lame-duck president in legislative terms for the remaining two years of his presidency. His ability to advance major parts of his domestic agenda will be severely constrained, while Democrats would gain powerful tools to investigate his administration, scrutinize executive decisions challenge government spending.

Perhaps even more consequential would be the changing political dynamics within the Republican Party itself. A sufficiently severe defeat will very likely undermine Trump's authority over his own party. Republican lawmakers, including some previously loyal "MAGA" supporters, may increasingly question whether continued unconditional support for Trump serves their political interests ahead of the 2028 elections. Internal divisions will intensify, particularly if Republicans conclude that the president's policies contributed to their electoral losses -> In reality Trump is the one and only reason.


โ–บ A politically weakened Trump would likely not mean a less confrontational presidency. With his legislative options restricted, he could rely more heavily on executive powers, tariffs and foreign policy, areas in which the president retains considerable discretion. This creates some additional uncertainty, particularly given the fragile geopolitical situation. At the same time, stronger congressional opposition / potentially declining Republican unity will constrain some of his decisions.


โ–บ For financial markets, the initial implications are mixed, but we see headwinds for equities. US stock futures have already come under some pressure as the prospect of a Democratic sweep has strengthened, with tech stocks particularly vulnerable. Markets generally like a split scenario - in which neither party can push agendas through without the need to get bi-partisan support.

Democratic control of Congress will likely result in significantly greater scrutiny of major technology companies, artificial intelligence, data-center expansion and corporate market power. This comes also at a sensitive time, with investors already questioning the sustainability of enormous AI infrastructure investments and the ability of companies to generate sufficient returns on that spending. However, I would not overstate this, US tech / AI companies remain well ahead of competition - the money is and will be in the US to push technology forward.

There could also be renewed political pressure for higher corporate taxes / tighter regulation. Actual tax increases would face major legislative obstacles, including Trump's presidential veto, but even the prospect of future policy changes could weigh on valuations.

โ–บ US Treasuries could benefit from a different set of expectations. A Democratic-controlled Congress would severely restrict Trump's ability to introduce additional deficit-financed tax cuts and other major fiscal initiatives. This could ease some concerns about the trajectory of US borrowing and provide support for longer-dated government bonds.

However, this is not an entirely straightforward development for bonds. Political gridlock will also complicate budget negotiations and future debt-ceiling discussions. Inflation, Fed policy, US economic growth will remain of course important drivers of yields.


โ–บ This is a fundamental shift in Washington's balance of power. Instead of governing with Republican majorities in both chambers, Trump will face two years of congressional opposition + growing resistance from within his own party.

Meanwhile Trump is shooting even against FOX News ๐Ÿ“ธ - he is losing it...
โค4๐Ÿ‘3๐Ÿพ2๐Ÿคช2
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ RatingDog Services PMI OCT โ€“ 01:45 (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Change OCT โ€“ 08:00 (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P Global Services PMI OCT โ€“ 08:15 (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น S&P Global Services PMI OCT โ€“ 08:45 (reported: ๐ŸŸข)
โ™ฆ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Inflation Rate Flash OCT (MoM/YoY) โ€“ 10:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Core Inflation Rate Flash OCT (YoY) โ€“ 10:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ADP Employment Change OCT โ€“ 13:15
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Balance of Trade OCT โ€“ 13:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Balance of Trade SEP โ€“ 13:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Exports AUG โ€“ 13:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Imports AUG โ€“ 13:30
โ™ฆ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Services PMI OCT โ€“ 15:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change OCT/30 โ€“ 15:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change OCT/30 โ€“ 15:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes โ€“ 23:50

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐Ÿ”ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ŸŸก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ŸŸข = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

๐ŸŒ™ Arm Holdings (ARM) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
โ˜€๏ธ McDonald's (MCD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Novo Nordisk (NVO) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
๐ŸŒ™ Qualcomm (QCOM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Uber (UBER) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ McKesson (MCK) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ CVS Health (CVS) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Mitsubishi (MSBHF) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (reported: ๐ŸŸข)
โ˜€๏ธ Itochu (ITOCY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (reported: ๐ŸŸข)
โ˜€๏ธ Emerson Electric (EMR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ NTT (NTTYY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
โ˜€๏ธ Mitsui & Company (MITSY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
๐ŸŒ™ MercadoLibre (MELI) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท
๐ŸŒ™ Motorola Solutions (MSI) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Datadog (DDOG) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ AppLovin (APP) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Manulife Financial (MFC) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
๐ŸŒ™ Allstate (ALL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ W.W. Grainger (GWW) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Cencora (COR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ MetLife (MET) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Aflac (AFL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Cenovus Energy (CVE) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
๐ŸŒ™ Vivmark (VMRK) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Sun Life Financial (SLF) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
โ˜€๏ธ Medline (MDLN) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Revolution Medicines (RVMD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Coherent (COHR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ BMW (BMWKY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ Royalty Pharma (RPRX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Expedia (EXPE) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ TKO Group Holdings (TKO) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Nutrien (NTR) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
โ˜€๏ธ Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
โ˜€๏ธ Fresenius (FSNUY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ SharkNinja (SN) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

---

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
โค5๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿ‘1
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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ๐Ÿ’ฐ
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range
โœ…77900 - 78100


โ–บ Markets were overly nervous during the US midterm elections. Risk appetite has since rebounded strongly, as we expected, helped by AMDโ€™s strong quarterly results. The chipmaker has given back most of its after-hours gains, though, and is now up โ€œonlyโ€ about 2%. The prospect of a โ€œblue waveโ€ is weighing somewhat on chip and AI stocks as investors consider the possibility of tighter regulatory scrutiny.

โ–บ Our BTC position hit its TP ๐Ÿ“ธ, as did our DAX position, for a large combined profit.

โ–บ Yields have fallen as divided government looks increasingly likely in Washington: The White House remains in Republican hands, while Democrats are on track to win majorities in both chambers of Congress. That would make it harder to pass further tax cuts or deficit-financed stimulus measures.

โ–บ A weaker USD is also supporting BTC and other risk assets. Precious metals are up sharply, with silver outpacing gold. Weโ€™re keeping the TP on our gold position unchanged for now (โœ… @: 4067.43). Gold has already come close to that level.

โ–บ Oil prices have also fallen, with Brent down about 1.7%. The market expects Trump to face more obstacles in pursuing his goals in the Middle East.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approximately 0.35โ€“0.40x (35%โ€“40%). Cryptocurrencies should always be traded with caution. Short-term moves of 5% or more are possible at any time. 3/4 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110401A

โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED โš ๏ธ by 8๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ+ minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


๐Ÿ’ฐ7๏ธโƒฃ8๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ“ˆ


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We booked huge (!) profits in the VIP channel, including two more MEGA trades at the NYSE open: our SPCX LONG and CVX SHORT both hit their TPs โœ….

With markets this volatile, weโ€™re focusing our updates on the VIP channel.

Itโ€™s a real shame our TRIAL members missed these trades. You can join VIP for FREE to receive our signals and updates without delay.

Our NYSE opening trades are the easiest way to build a substantial trading account. We win more than 91% (2026) of our NYSE opening trades - most of them close after just a few minutes very deep in profit.
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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Nikkei 225 ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range
โœ…62750 - 62900

โ–บ Uncertainty over the outcome of the US midterm elections triggered sharp losses in overnight trading in New York and weighed on markets worldwide. European markets have since more than recovered their losses: the DAX is up 1.8% today, the CAC is up 1.9%, and the FTSE 100 is up 1.7%. We see room for further gains. The rebound came a little too late for Asia.

โ–บ In Asia, the tech-heavy markets in Japan and Taiwan closed lower. South Koreaโ€™s Kospi rebounded to close in positive territory despite its heavy weighting in chip stocks. Chipmakers werenโ€™t behind the recovery: Samsung and SK Hynix both closed lower.

โ–บ We see significant room for a further rebound. The Nikkei is also benefiting from the continued decline in oil prices. A weaker US dollar is a modest headwind for both Europe and Japan, as the euro and yen have strengthened against it.

โ–บ The Nikkei is trading slightly lower after hours, hovering around 63000. We see further upside.

โ–บ I see the Democratsโ€™ decisive election victory as a positive for markets because it reduces political uncertainty overall. The margins are too wide for Trump to credibly claim election fraud - although he will blame the losses on the media and โ€œfake news.โ€

โ–บ The Democrats will control both the House and the Senate, while the White House will remain in Republican hands. Markets generally like this kind of political gridlock.

โ–บ Investors remain skeptical, with selling concentrated in chip stocks. We expect some further selling at first, followed by a rebound.

Nikkei 225: Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 130โ€“150x (13,000โ€“15,000) if the contract size = 1 (!!!). Adjust accordingly if your broker uses a higher contract size (e.g., if contract size is 100, divide by 100) โ€“ 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110402A


โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED โš ๏ธ by 9๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ+ minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


We found the PERFECT entry on this one.


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