πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’ (spot)
SL πŸ”‘ @: 94.57 (95.29 futures contract; Nov'26)
TP βœ… @: 92.76 (93.48 futures contract; Nov'26)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size

⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 93.75

(+$0.72
futures contract - Nov'26; near/above 94.47)

β–Ί We are cautiously selling oil here, but we are definitely taking the SHORT as we expect further losses. We saw a sharp decline - although oil prices are still trading clearly higher, still up more than 2% today - after reports emerged that US and Iranian negotiators in New York are exploring a phased path out of the war. This would involve Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its economic blockade of Iran.

β–Ί Oil prices quickly fell by more than 3%, but have since rebounded by a little more than 1% from the initial lows.

β–Ί We still see further downside potential from here once this report is picked up by additional news platforms. We are still early.

WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’: Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.5–3.5x (250%–350%) – if contract size 10; 3/5 position size
WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’: Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.25–0.35x (25%–35%) – if contract size 100; 3/5 position size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> β€œSpecification”)


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092404A


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A PERFECT Entry.
WHAT A TRADE! 🎯

You once again missed this mega-trade (if you are a non-VIP member).

Make sure you are no longer missing out.


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…30520 - 30540

πŸ“Œ Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~240 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!

β–Ί We saw a strong rebound in the Nasdaq, which even recovered back into positive territory. The move was supported by a rebound in chip stocks - particularly MU, AMD, and INTC, with the latter two benefiting from rising expectations that CPUs will play a key role for AI agents - as well as gains in AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, and particularly META. PLTR also recovered from its earlier losses.

β–Ί Following hopes of a potential return of the US and Iran to the negotiating table, we saw a rotation out of defensive stocks and back into growth and AI stocks.

β–Ί However, we are currently seeing much less of that optimism and expect some cooling. The US Senate narrowly voting down a resolution calling for an end to the Iran war caused further gains in oil prices - although the resolution was largely symbolic anyway.

β–Ί Our previous position(s) hit their TPs. We are now going SHORT, as we believe the rebound in tech stocks has already gone quite far.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 2.0-2.5x (200%-250%).


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092405A



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We found the perfect entry (range). 🎯


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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 06 - September 24
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 06 - September 10
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 133
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 123
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 92.5% πŸ”Ό πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (August 05)
Added to statistics: 7/7 - 100%
πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (September 10)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: September 11 - September 24 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 11.9 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 154.366)
βœ… 11.9 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 153.798)
βœ… 11.9 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4346.11 or similar) 5️⃣0️⃣
βœ… 11.9 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 535.93)
βœ… 11.9 - NAS100 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 29391.10 | or clsd)
βœ… 11.9 - UKOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 102.239)

6/6 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 14.9 - GBR_100 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 10707.60)
βœ… 14.9 - SPX500 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 7609.30)
✴️ 14.9 - META - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 721.63 πŸ”„
βœ… 14.9 - DELL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 530.11)
βœ… 14.9 - US30 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 52371.60)
βœ… 14.9 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 167.49 me |or 167.08)
βœ… 14.9 - DAX_40 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 25451.60)

6/7 - (1 open position)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Across our five-week period, we have almost exclusively perfect sessions. One such flawless 5/5 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%) dropped out of the statistics and was replaced by an even stronger 7/7 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%). As a result, our already absurdly high πŸ”Ό Success Rate edged slightly higher once again - to now 92.5% πŸ†

This overview therefore looks nearly perfect. The only exception remains our META position, for which we need to find an exit after the stock continued to rise today as well. Today’s gains and the overall still bullish development in META make it even more frustrating that our position missed the TP by less than 0.15% on Wednesday. We will look for an exit during Friday’s session.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ…
22.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4332.23) 5️⃣1️⃣
βœ… 22.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4367.39) 5️⃣2️⃣
βœ… 22.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 228.79)
βœ… 22.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30638.90)
βœ… 22.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52022.40)
✴️ 22.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 51794.90 (51749.90 DJI) πŸ”„

5/6 - (1 open position)

βŒβœ… 23.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30547.30 | overall off-profit | re-entry in profit)πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
✴️ 23.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +pot re-entry)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 4302.29 πŸ”„
✴️ 23.9 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 1.13969 πŸ”„
✴️ 23.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 225.59 πŸ”„
(βœ… 23.9 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 248.34)*

0/4 - (3 open positions)
excl. AMZN, may have closed off-profit for some members


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (THURSDAY) πŸ”Ή

βœ…
24.9 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 93.040) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 24.9 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 337.97) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 24.9 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 84333.90 me |or 84289.90) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 24.9 - USOIL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 92.76) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 24.9 - NAS100 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open -near break-even)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30482.60 (30722.60 Dec future) πŸ”„

4/5 - (1 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


A very different market compared with previous sessions ... and we traded the market very differently as well, with a stronger focus on fundamentals and order flow.

Oil prices remain the key driver of inflation and rate-hike concerns. Expectations that the Fed will intensify its fight against inflation, together with broader concerns about US fiscal stability, have also pushed US Treasury yields sharply higher. We are seeing several warning signs, such as mortgage rates around 7% in the US.

Very strong trading from us today with excellent entries.

We are tightening our TP βœ… for the Nasdaq 100 - our only position that was not closed intraday.

In early Asian trading, we are seeing lower oil prices, which have helped risk assets, including Asian stocks, somewhat for now. However, the market is also likely to turn more cautious again before the end of the week.

Most brokers offer after-hours trading. However, since it is not guaranteed that AMZN closed in profit for everyone, we are not counting the trade as profitable. AMZN nevertheless showed exactly the strong performance we expected today. Our Nasdaq TP βœ… - from Wednesday’s position - was triggered, although for me the position closed slightly off-profit overall.

We are also tightening the TP βœ… of our Gold position, which is now back in profit overall, supported by some buying during Asian trading. However, we would prefer to exit the position soon, particularly as unresolved geopolitical tensions could lead to renewed gains in energy prices ahead of the weekend - a headwind for Gold.

Congratulations on a strong session in a difficult market.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

♦️ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ GfK Consumer Confidence OCT – 06:00 (reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Williams Speech – 09:15
♦️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders MoM AUG – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM AUG – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Schmid Speech – 13:20
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final SEP – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Hammack Speech – 18:00

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations


---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No major earnings reports today

---

SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑 ⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) Recommended Entry Range βœ…4278 - 4283 πŸ”„ β–Ί Oil prices are rebounding after the recent decline - the longest losing streak of the year - and this…
EUR/USD
Gold
(XAU/USD) 🟑
Nvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

Quick πŸ“Έ-Update

It has been a strong phase for us in the US pre-market.

Global bond markets stabilized, with further calming during Asian trading - also helped by declining oil prices after they had risen by more than 7% over the previous two sessions. Hopes for negotiations between the US and Iran, including a possible phased agreement, have not yet been widely picked up by the news and were still largely based on (insider) information from sources in New York.

We saw a strong performance across Asian markets.

Oil prices and bond yields will remain the key drivers, as elevated energy costs continue to reinforce inflation concerns and expectations for further tightening by the Fed.

We also saw the USD give back part of its previous overextension, which had been closely tied to the sharp two-day surge in oil prices and US Treasury yields reaching their highest levels in a decade.


β€”-


We closed two / three of our open positions.

A weaker USD pushed EUR/USD above 1.14000 and therefore also took our position into the TP.
With Gold, we were a bit too cautious here - although we were double positioned. It is our 5️⃣3️⃣rd consecutive successful Gold / Silver trade. The world-record winning streak continues πŸ† - congratulations! I was slightly overpositioned because I also took the trade that I posted as a signal -> because I will always (!) take the trade myself that I recommend.

Most of you closed gold likely better as my initial entry was not great.

NVDA unfortunately already hit my TP in pre-market. If you are still LONG, we see NVDA trading slightly higher in pre-market. Your TP will likely be triggered at the NYSE opening.


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…4297 - 4301


β–Ί We can stay LONG on Gold, even though Gold is under pressure from yields at their highest levels in a decade. While bond yields stabilized during the Asian session, we are not seeing signs of a significant decline. In the US, yields remain higher today and are still well above the 5% mark on the 10-year US Treasury. However, the market is increasingly getting used to this environment and to this new normal. With current inflation levels, higher interest rates, the outlook for further tightening, and the rapid expansion of the US economy - partly, of course, also driven by inflation - yields still have some further upside potential.

β–Ί More important for Gold will be energy prices. Oil prices have pulled back somewhat after a strong two-day rally. US and Iranian negotiators are apparently exploring a phased agreement under which Tehran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz and Washington would lift its blockade of Iranian ports. Both countries have resisted reaching an agreement in recent months, although it has increasingly become clear that Iran has been the side pushing for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Qatari officials continue to mediate the negotiations.

β–Ί We are re-entering near the key 4300 level - even slightly below our previously triggered TP - and see some further upside potential before Gold is likely to face stronger resistance as long as oil prices remain elevated. The recovery in Silver is much stronger today, although we also saw a sharper correction there in previous sessions - simply more volatility.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092501A


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The probably easiest and most reliable way to generate strong and consistent profits and build a (huge) bankroll is through our Gold trades.

We have now won 53 (!!!) Gold / Silver trades in a row. This is most likely a world record.

Make sure you NEVER miss one of them.


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πŸš€ Trade of the Day πŸš€

βœ… 24.09 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️

Average movement in our favor: +1.01% πŸ“ˆ

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +2.86% πŸ“ˆβ—οΈ

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 β€”> +$142.82 Profit with just this Trade (+2.86% πŸ“ˆβ—οΈπŸš€)


πŸ“Š Last 5 closed Crypto trades
βœ… 27.07 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 18.08 - BTC/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (+Re-entry)
βœ… 20.08 - BTC/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
❌ 28.08 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
βœ… 24.09 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️

πŸ–₯ Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator

🚨Make sure you don’t miss the next ones!

Contact us to make sure you don’t miss the next trades:
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πŸ“ž Your trading success starts with a free call!
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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή

πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL
πŸ•―
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Intel (INTC) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…124.00 - 124.50 πŸ”„


πŸ”Ή Dow Jones (+0.3%) - is trading higher with broad-based gains. 26 of the 30 components in the Dow are trading higher or less than 0.15% lower. Only CVX and particularly NKE - following a downgrade - are significantly in the red. We are keeping our current TP unchanged (
βœ… 51794.90).

πŸ”Ή Nasdaq (+0.3%) - is trading higher. Although we found a great entry and our SHORT almost hit the TP, lower oil prices and an overall calmer bond market have resulted in gains for tech and chip stocks. We are tightening our TP once again. We expect volatility today. If we see further signs of renewed talks between the US and Iran, we could see additional strong gains. The Nasdaq 100 is still trading well below its pre-market highs.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30512.60 (30757.60 Dec'26 Future)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

πŸ”Ή Meta (-1.4%) - is opening as the only mega-cap - and significantly - lower, although after outperforming earlier this week. We are looking for an exit near 750.00 - another roughly 2% lower from the opening - in case you are still holding a SHORT position.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 748.61
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED / TRIGGERED ⚠️

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (+0.4%) - is opening higher, while other chip stocks and most tech stocks are also trading in the green in pre-market. My position already closed in pre-market. NVDA will trigger our TP. NVDA has further upside potential across all time frames.


β–Ί Oil prices and the ongoing fluctuations remain the key driver for risk sentiment and markets overall, particularly as today’s economic calendar is relatively empty. Durable Goods Orders and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading should nevertheless create some short-term volatility. Energy prices are seen as the core inflation problem that could ultimately lead to weaker growth across global economies and tighter monetary policy. Any signs of diplomacy or increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz would be a strong tailwind.

β–Ί INTC is an expensive stock when looking at current revenue and trailing twelve-month revenue. However, there is significant optimism that CPUs will play a key role in the next - or actually already current - wave of AI innovation. We are seeing sharply rising average selling prices (ASPs) for server CPUs, which could help INTC move closer to the extremely high margins enjoyed by other chip giants such as NVDA, AVGO, and AMD.

β–Ί In the chatbot era, which is gradually coming to an end, AI servers were heavily GPU-dominated and typically paired one CPU with 4 to 8 GPUs - a ratio of 1:4 or 1:8. The CPU was merely a β€œsupporting actor.” With AI agents that execute multi-step workflows and therefore constantly need to plan and perform tasks, CPUs are becoming significantly more important. We could see a shift toward a 1:1 ratio - which would be a game changer for INTC as well as AMD.

β–Ί INTC is opening significantly lower (-0.8%) and will likely initially fall further. We are entering, but waiting for INTC to move clearly below 126.00 - which would mean a decline of more than 1% from yesterday’s closing price.


Intel (INTC): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 160–180x (16,000%–188,000%) – 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092502A


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We saw INTC falling sharply post opening (as we expected). Briefly below 174.00. We see upside in upcoming session.

πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€
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BUY (LONG) πŸ”Ό Meta Platforms (META) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…748.00 - 752.00


β–Ί META is the worst-performing stock in the Nasdaq. However, I prefer to close βœ… our position(s) here - in the 748.00 - 752.00 range, in case you are still holding SHORT positions - and use the dip to go LONG.

β–Ί We see sentiment around META improving further. The enormous popularity of Muse opens the door to massive revenue potential.

β–Ί Overall, we are seeing a positive Wall Street, with only META among the Big Tech stocks trading significantly lower - currently down more than 3.2%.

β–Ί We expect numerous upgrades and higher price targets for META from investment banks and investment firms over the coming sessions.

β–Ί We are seeing healthy profit taking, which could extend somewhat further in the short term - but META has enormous upside potential from here and remains reasonably valued even after the recent very sharp gains. We expect increased dip buying near 750.00.


Meta Platforms (META): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size approx. 25–30x (2,500%–3,000%) – 3/5 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092503A


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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό USD/JPY
SL
πŸ”‘ @: 156.529
TP
βœ… @: 157.743
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED IN PROFIT ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range βœ…157.240 - 157.300

β–Ί USD/JPY fell by more than 1% at times today after Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi said US President Trump had told her that a weaker Yen was putting pressure on US trade. This adds to the concerns raised earlier today by Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama. Katayama had previously revealed that the Trump administration raised the issue of Yen weakness during the meeting. Concerns about further intervention caused the pair to fall sharply, while stabilizing yields and further declines in oil prices also supported the correction.

β–Ί The market is generally betting against Bessent’s tough words after he said, β€œI am the house now,” and that traders should not bet against the JPY - which is exactly what they did. In our view, Bessent and the broader Trump administration overestimate how much influence they can exert over financial markets. Their measures are not delivering the results they had hoped for - including massive bond purchases aimed at lowering yields. Instead, yields are at their highest levels in a decade, pushing US mortgage rates above 7%.

β–Ί Even though the risk of further intervention remains real, the broader outlook for USD/JPY still points higher. The large gap in yields and interest rates, together with the outlook for further monetary tightening, does not support stronger JPY performance against the USD. We are working with an SL πŸ”‘.

β–Ί We also expect oil prices to edge higher before the weekend - unless, of course, there are new positive updates regarding talks between the US and Iran.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26092504A


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Even with more news about US-Iran talks - we closed our USD/JPY LONG (+ Re-Entry) with a nice profit πŸ“Έ

NEVER MISS OUT FX - Trades!

We won 16 from our last 17 FX trades!



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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό USD/JPY SL πŸ”‘ @: 156.529 TP βœ… @: 157.743 ⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED IN PROFIT ⚠️ Recommended Entry Range βœ…157.240 - 157.300 β–Ί USD/JPY fell by more than 1% at times today after Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi said US President Trump had…
⚑️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
USD/JPY
SL πŸ”‘ @: 156.729
TP
βœ… @: 157.279
πŸ”Ό Re-Entry possible range 156.960 - 157.070
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
TP βœ… @: 4307.96

Dow Jones

TP triggered βœ… @: 51794.90

The news about further talks between US and Iranian officials caused oil prices to fall again - back near session lows - and at the same time helped the USD cool again for now. That is not good for our USD/JPY position. We can stay in for now and see how much support the pair finds near 157.000 - or potentially attempt an entry there.

According to reports from Al Jazeera, talks between Iran and the US have now entered a technical phase. The negotiations have moved beyond initial diplomatic contacts and into a more detailed technical stage. Sources in Tehran describe the atmosphere as increasingly positive. According to Qatari sources, technical experts have joined the talks in New York following an initial meeting involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Although visas for the Iranian delegation were initially not approved by the US government, they were subsequently issued quickly, allowing the team to now take part in talks in the US. These are indeed positive signals.

If today were not Friday, we would probably see a much stronger improvement in risk sentiment, and an increasingly Risk-On positioning would be the right trade.

We can make a small re-entry in USD/JPY and set the TP lower. Even though this development is positive for Gold, we are also tightening our Gold TP βœ….

We are pulling the USD/JPY SL πŸ”‘ significantly tighter! We expect further gains in Gold next week - so overall, we can remain completely relaxed here.

Our Dow Jones TP βœ… was triggered, closing the position nicely in profit overall.


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We made a perfect call on the USD/JPY.

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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό USD/JPY SL πŸ”‘ @: 156.529 TP βœ… @: 157.743 ⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED IN PROFIT ⚠️ Recommended Entry Range βœ…157.240 - 157.300 β–Ί USD/JPY fell by more than 1% at times today after Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi said US President Trump had…
⚑️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
USD/JPY
SL
πŸ”‘ @: 156.897
TP
βœ… @: 157.317

We are widening our TP βœ… for USD/JPY slightly again here. We can now also close our initial entry in profit. We are tightening the SL πŸ”‘ once again.


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ *correction
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Rangeβœ…30590 - 30620

πŸ“Œ Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~246 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Nvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…223.35 - 223.75


β–Ί Comments from Iranian officials that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed as long as the US does not move forward on Iran’s conditions have cooled optimism somewhat. In reality, however, this is nothing new - Iran has not changed its position. Iranian officials also said that Iran would make no further concessions on its nuclear program. Oil prices remain significantly lower - even though there has been no tangible progress.

β–Ί The mere fact that officials from both sides are meeting again is nevertheless a significant step toward restarting talks. A near-term resolution remains unlikely, particularly before the US midterms, which are likely to further weaken Trump’s position. At the same time, elevated oil and fuel prices are weighing heavily on Trump’s approval ratings. Trump also fears an economic slowdown, further increases in oil / fuel prices, inflation readings moving higher again, and a Fed that continues to raise rates.

β–Ί If today were not Friday, we would likely see much more Risk-On. Investors are staying on the sidelines as they fear negative updates over the weekend. In the final trading hours of this week, we are seeing the typical cautious trading environment.

β–Ί Overall, we see upside potential from here. September is coming to an end. We expect a strong Q4 for stocks, with AI stocks in particular still having significant room to run further.

β–Ί We closed our Nasdaq 100 (SHORT) and Dow Jones (LONG) today - and are now getting back LONG. We are seeing some profit taking in the chip sector. The broader market, however, remains supported.

β–Ί NVDA - with a 12.6% weighting, the most important stock in the Nasdaq - is weighing somewhat on the index at the moment. We are also buying NVDA and see upside potential for the coming week. We can re-enter NVDA around 0.8% below our triggered TP.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 1.5-2x (150%-200%) - 2/3 trade size

Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 90 – 100x (9,000%–10,000%) – 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092505A

position code / 100% Transparency - 26092506A


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Perfect entry range before NYSE closing.

NASDAQ πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ
NVDA
πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ

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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
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SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 30410

πŸ“Œ Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~250 points higher
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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
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Recommended Entry Range βœ…4172 - 4177 πŸ”„


Good morning!

β–Ί An update on our Friday positions is still coming, but first we are quickly updating our positions and buying the current dip in Gold / Nasdaq, while trading in Asia remains cautious. The reason is concern that Iran and the US are not moving any closer toward a potential agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and that the situation remains completely deadlocked.

β–Ί Iran is sticking to its seven-day proposal for reopening the crucial Strait of Hormuz and said it is not willing to compromise on its conditions. While Trump has said that they are working on a deal and that intensive talks are taking place, it remains unclear how willing the Trump administration actually is to compromise. β€œThey made a proposal but I rejected it,” Trump said over the weekend when asked about Iran, adding: β€œThey want to make a deal where they open the strait immediately because they’re losing so badly” - apparently trying to maintain the impression that the US has won the war.

β–Ί We are once again seeing a stronger USD and higher yields after oil prices rebounded. On Friday, hopes for renewed talks had helped cool energy prices. We expect markets to stabilize and are currently also seeing Asian markets stabilize as volatility declines. We see upside potential in USD/JPY. Concerns about another possible intervention by the Bank of Japan are currently limiting gains.


Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 1.5-2x (150%-200%) - 2/3 trade size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26092501B
position code / 100% Transparency - 26092505B


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Gold fell a bit further - we expect more support in the πŸ›‘ 4165 - 4185 range.


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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 07 - September 25
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 07 - September 11
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 134
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 125
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 93.3% πŸ”Ό πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (August 06)
Added to statistics: 6/6 - 100%
πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (September 11)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: September 14 - September 25 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 14.9 - GBR_100 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 10707.60)
βœ… 14.9 - SPX500 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 7609.30)
❌ 14.9 - META - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 748.61) πŸ”„
βœ… 14.9 - DELL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 530.11)
βœ… 14.9 - US30 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 52371.60)
βœ… 14.9 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 167.49 me |or 167.08)
βœ… 14.9 - DAX_40 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 25451.60)

6/7 = 85.7% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 22.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4332.23) 5️⃣1️⃣
βœ… 22.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4367.39) 5️⃣2️⃣
βœ… 22.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 228.79)
βœ… 22.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30638.90)
βœ… 22.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52022.40)
βœ… 22.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51794.90 + overall in profit) πŸ”„

6/6 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Apologies for the late update. It was a busy weekend.

What an update (!)
Our already exceptional πŸ”Ό Signal Accuracy / Success Rate has increased even further (!) after one of the few non-perfect sessions dropped out of our five-week statistics and was replaced by our flawless September 11 session (6/6; πŸ’Ž SA/SR = 100%).

Our longer-term Success Rate now stands at an incredible 93.3% πŸ†. Across 25 full trading days, we lost only 9 (!) out of a total of 134 positions.


β€”


At this point, I would once again like to congratulate everyone who has been part of this journey. For many of you, the past few months have been a journey of massive profits - many of you have managed to grow your account balances into five-figure amounts. Once again, my request: If possible, please also share a portion of your profits with people in need ❀️

Our five-week statistics have now remained consistently above 90% πŸ† for more than three months.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βŒβœ… 23.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30547.30 | overall off-profit | re-entry in profit)
βœ… 23.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4302.29| overall in-profit)πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 23.9 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.13969) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 23.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 225.59) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
(βœ… 23.9 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (SL - 248.34)*

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
excl. AMZN, may have closed off-profit for some members

βœ…
24.9 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 93.040)
βœ… 24.9 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 337.97)
βœ… 24.9 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 84333.90 me |or 84289.90)
βœ… 24.9 - USOIL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 92.76)
βœ… 24.9 - NAS100 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 30512.60) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


πŸ”ΉFRIDAY'S TRADES πŸ”Ή

✴️ 25.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry πŸ”„)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 4263.95 πŸ”„
✴️ 25.9 - INTC - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 128.47
✴️ 25.9 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 774.69
βœ… 25.9 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 157.317) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 25.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit | +re-entry πŸ”„)
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 30224.90 (30472.30 Dec future) πŸ”„
πŸ‘‰ TP
βœ… @: 30548.90 (30994.90 Dec future)
✴️ 25.9 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 226.19

1/6 - (5 open positions)


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It was a good Friday session for us, as we were able to close most of our previously open positions in profit - particularly the positions from Wednesday’s session.

This also included META πŸ“Έ - ultimately, of course, very unfortunate since it narrowly missed our much lower TP several times, but our position management was also not good. The same applies to our two FX trades (EUR/USD πŸ“Έ | USD/JPY πŸ“Έ). With Gold πŸ“Έ, we closed #53 in a row - although we are now off-profit again.

We are starting the new week with several open positions and initially saw a weaker first half of the Asian session. The main headwind was renewed uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Persian Gulf, after Tehran said it would stick to its proposal for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and would not soften its conditions any further.

This makes it more difficult for the Trump administration to reach an agreement in the near term. We continue to expect mixed signals and generally assume that Washington wants to maintain the impression that it is still actively working toward an agreement. At the same time, extremely high fuel prices - particularly diesel - remain a significant headwind for consumer sentiment and domestic political pressure.

Higher oil prices and the overall cautious trading environment in Asia resulted in additional selling pressure on risk assets.
We expect Gold to find stronger support in the πŸ”Ό 4265 - 4280 range, at least for now. We are also making another slight update to our Nasdaq 100 position.

Oil prices will remain the key driver for the broader market environment for now - not only for stocks, but also for bonds, inflation expectations, and therefore the future path of interest rates.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Chancellor John Healey Speech – 12:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index SEP – 14:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Barkin Speech – 17:30

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations


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Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No major earnings reports today

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SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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