πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Apple (AAPL) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…340.00 - 341.00

β–Ί We see AAPL currently trading at session lows, around 3% below its earlier highs. Apple briefly became only the second company in history, alongside Nvidia, to surpass $5 trillion in market capitalization - first on Wednesday, then again yesterday and today. Its market capitalization is now slightly below that level again.

β–Ί High volatility and sharply higher oil prices - as we expected - subsequently weighed heavily on investors’ risk appetite. Even AAPL’s relatively defensive character within the technology sector could not prevent the stock from coming under significant pressure and turning negative.

β–Ί Demand for the new iPhone Duo is very strong, while supply appears relatively tight. This combination has pushed expected delivery dates for new preorders back to late January 2027. We expect AAPL to be able to ramp up production accordingly. The long wait is at least a positive sign, and AAPL says demand is stronger than expected.

β–Ί Demand for the latest iPhone 18 Pro models, however, appears somewhat weaker. According to reports, Apple has reduced its component orders for October by at least 15%. However, this is likely at least partly because customers are now choosing the new iPhone Duo over traditional iPhone models.

β–Ί In addition, Meta and Apple have announced an unexpected partnership. The two companies, which have been at odds for much of the past decade, particularly over user data, are now working together to optimize Meta’s new AI model, Muse Spark Open AI, for Apple’s M5 Ultra Mac Studio. The announcement boosted both META and AAPL yesterday. However, AAPL has now given back all of those gains.

β–Ί We expect AAPL to remain broadly bullish and potentially benefit as investors increasingly seek safety and position more defensively.

β–Ί We are using the current decline to enter and buy the dip against the market. We expect AAPL to recover toward $347–350 next week. We are setting our TP slightly below that range. At the same time, we can set an SL to limit potential losses.

Apple (AAPL): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 65–75x (6,500%–7,500%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101605A


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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


We nailed the PERFECT entry.


🍎3️⃣5️⃣0οΈβƒ£πŸ“‰3️⃣4️⃣0οΈβƒ£πŸ“ˆ3️⃣5️⃣0️⃣

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AAPL is a CASH COW for us. Do NOT miss this trade πŸŽπŸ“ˆ


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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 28 - October 16
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 28 - October 09
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. 5 open p.)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 123
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 89.8% πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (August 27)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100%
πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (October 09)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: October 12 - October 16 πŸ”Ή

✴️❌ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - TP off-profit + re-entry)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30104.90 | 30383.90 Future πŸ”„
❌ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 175.26 or 175.36)
βœ… 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 910.49 me | or 900.49 + gap)
βœ… 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 59.99)
βœ… 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.697)

3/5 - (1 open position)

βœ… 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.11882)
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4156.16)
❌ 13.10 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4153.06)
❌ 13.10 - MS - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.39)

3/5 = 60% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


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A flawless 5/5 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%) was replaced by another 5/5 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%). No other changes here.

I see that most of you closed the Nasdaq 100 overnight (at a loss overall, but with the re-entry in profit) - that would have been the much better decision. We expected some headwinds during Friday's session, but instead saw renewed panic-driven position unwinding ahead of the weekend. Investors feared further geopolitical escalation could push oil prices back toward September's highs.

While we traded very well this week, our position management should have been tighter. The current AI turmoil will pass - likely during this earnings season, which will confirm that the AI revenue boom has continued. After eight sessions of broad weakness in chip stocks, reflected for instance in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, we expect positive sessions next week - likely as early as Monday. With tensions in the Middle East already elevated, further attacks may be viewed as a continuation of the conflict rather than a fresh escalation. However, Russia has also significantly intensified its attacks on Ukraine recently - it will be a tough winter.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4094.73)
βœ… 14.10 - DAX_40 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 25321.60)
βœ… 14.10 - AAPL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 343.54)
❌ 14.10 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 498.79)
βœ… 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4100.13)
βœ… 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.197)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.12016 me | or clsd)
βœ… 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4163.39)
✴️ 15.10 - COST - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 999.78 πŸ”„
βœ… 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4176.79 me | or 4171.96)
βœ… 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.11957)
βœ… 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ(TP-1.12226|overall-in-profit)πŸ“ΈπŸ”„
βœ… 15.10 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 559.58)
βœ…(✴️) 15.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 149.97) πŸ“ΈπŸ”„
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 149.97 (if still open)

7/8 - (1 open position)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (FRIDAY) πŸ”Ή

βœ… 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4198.39 me or similar) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 16.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 96.33) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 16.10 - TRV - LONG ↗️ (TP - 381.79 me | or 381.93, 379.49) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
TP βœ… @: 4189.14
✴️ 16.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 337.46 | TP βœ… @: 346.13

3/5 - (2 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Very strong trading on Friday
πŸ‘, with excellent trades and entries in a very difficult market. The overview looks impressive, but I would have strongly preferred to reduce our exposure further amid the panic in the market, even with closing off-profit. Earlier exits would have been better. SPCX πŸ“Έ closed for me pre-market - if there was no pre-market price for you - position is still open and a bit off-profit (new TP). With TRV πŸ“Έ - we made the best possible NYSE opening LONG - against the market - closing deep in profit after a few minutes.

Our WTI πŸ“Έ trade was also very strong, although there was considerably more profit potential. The sharp rise in oil prices brought inflation concerns even further into focus. We also managed our EUR/USD
πŸ“Έ position well.

As always, strong gold πŸ“Έ trading. We carried a LONG position into the weekend and see further upside in the coming sessions, as expectations of a slowing US economy renew demand for gold as a safe haven.

Enjoy your Sunday
β˜€οΈ
Rob
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LET’S CATCH UP πŸ’¬ Q&A #1

Hey guys - in case you missed it, we’re doing a Q&A at the moment.

I’ll put the question box up again on my Instagram Stories so you can still send in your questions. I’ll try to answer as many as I can. We will save all of them.

If you enjoy this, we can definitely do it more often. It’s nice to catch up with you!

Got a question? Head over to our Instagram 😍 Account and tap my profile picture to open the Stories.

πŸ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/robert_smarttrader

Best,
Rob
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ House Price Index YoY SEP – 01:30
♦️ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ GDP Growth Rate YoY Q3 – 02:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Industrial Production YoY SEP – 02:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Retail Sales YoY SEP – 02:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY SEP – 02:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q3 – 02:00 (reported: 🟒)
♦️ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Inflation Rate SEP (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Core Inflation Rate YoY SEP – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ NAHB Housing Market Index OCT – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ BoC Business Outlook Survey – 14:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ BoC Survey of Consumer Expectations – 14:30

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

πŸŒ™ BHP Group (BHP) πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί
β˜€οΈ Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸŒ™ Steel Dynamics (STLD) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸŒ™ W. R. Berkley (WRB) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

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SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ EUR/USD
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 1.12300

β–Ί We saw a very strong rebound in US stocks following last week's sell-off, which ended with another sharp wave of selling before the weekend. Investors remained concerned about potential further geopolitical escalation over the weekend. We saw little that would qualify as further escalation - a correct assessment. The Nasdaq is up more than 1.1%, with chip stocks leading the gains. Overall, very positive for our portfolio / positioning.

β–Ί Gold hit our TP at the peak, supported by falling US yields and increased safe-haven demand. Gold remains bullish, and we will look for new entries.

β–Ί Yields in Europe are rising, while demand for European debt is plunging. This follows intense protests over living costs and immigration, as well as attacks by radical leftists and migrants willing to resort to violence on buildings, shops, and restaurants.

β–Ί The EUR was very weak at the start of the week, but has since rebounded, supported by higher yields - particularly in France. This support is very fragile, as yields are only rising because confidence in governments - particularly in France - continues to erode.

β–Ί EUR/USD is now back at 1.22300, leaving it flat on the day again. We are going SHORT here.
β–Ί The pair is benefiting from lower oil prices at the start of the week - following Friday's sharp gains.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101901A


Signal/Update ist ⚠️ VERZΓ–GERT ⚠️ um: 9️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


We found a perfect entry here.


⏰❌ KILL THE DELAY as SmartTrader VIPπŸ’Ž

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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…4140 - 4144 πŸ”„


β–Ί Strong gains in stocks - particularly US tech / chip stocks, with the Nasdaq 100 now up more than 1.3% in late US pre-market trading - have triggered some rotation out of gold and back into stocks.

β–Ί Gold remains bullish, although there is still some near-term downside potential (significant buy orders in the 4040 - 4050 range). However, it will make another attempt to push above 4200 in the coming sessions.

β–Ί Gold is also benefiting as oil prices correct some of their excessive gains from the end of last week, when investors feared further escalation in the Middle East. Oil prices also declined after US President Donald Trump lifted sanctions and tariffs on Russia - despite the recent intensification of Russian attacks on Ukraine - which could allow additional Russian fuel exports.

β–Ί I also see some room for Fed rate hike expectations to ease. Markets expect two more rate cuts in 2026 - although one rate hike is actually the much more likely scenario, including no rate change at next week's Fed meeting. Accelerating inflation nevertheless keeps the monetary policy outlook restrictive, particularly with no near-term easing of tensions in the Middle East in sight.

β–Ί We set the perfect TP βœ…πŸ“Έ on Friday and closed at today's absolute peak. We can go LONG again more than $40 below our triggered TP.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101902A


Signal/Update ist ⚠️ VERZΓ–GERT ⚠️ um: 8️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
⚑️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Gold fell a little further but is finding support in the range we expected.

We have won all of our last 10 precious metals trades.

βœ… 09.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

10/10

Your entry on the latest gold position is probably even significantly better than mine.

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πŸ“Š SmartTrader Market Insights Channel πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ”—πŸ‘ˆπŸ‘ˆ
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πŸš€ Trade of the Day πŸš€

βœ… 16.10 - TRV - LONG ↗️

Average movement in our favor: + 2.67% πŸ“ˆ

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +5.59% πŸ“ˆβ—οΈ

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 β€”> +$279.56 Profit with just this Trade (+5.59% πŸ“ˆβ—οΈπŸš€)


πŸ“Š Last 5 closed Stocks trades
❌ 14.10 - DELL - LONG ↗️
βœ… 15.10 - AMD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 15.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️
βœ… 16.10 - TRV - LONG ↗️
βœ… 16.10 - AAPL - LONG

πŸ–₯ Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator

🚨Make sure you don’t miss the next ones!

Contact us to make sure you don’t miss the next trades:
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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Meta Platforms (META) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 700



πŸ”Ή Nasdaq 100 (+1.45%) | Russell 2000 (+0.45%) - we see strong gains in New York, concentrated primarily in tech / chip / growth stocks - generally the sectors that corrected the most over the past two weeks. We expect very strong earnings from META later this week to restore some optimism about the AI revenue boom. TSLA and SPCX will also report.

Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30097.90 | 30272.90 Future
Russell 2000 (US2000) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2781.40


πŸ”Ή Apple (-0.4%); opens slightly lower as a more defensive stock. AAPL was one of the very few tech stocks to gain both last week and in October. We are setting a tight TP. Bank of America urges investors to β€œBUY” AAPL, citing strong demand for Apple's iPhone Duo. We can remove our SL or widen it. We are closing here for now and looking for another dip.
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 336.17
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 342.19
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️


πŸ”Ή Costco (-0.7%); is seeing some losses, similar to AAPL, as capital rotates out of defensive stocks and back into tech / growth. We are keeping our current TP and see COST as well positioned.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 998.77

(πŸ”Ή SPCX (+1.8%); if you are still LONG in SPCX - we see a strong opening ahead of earnings later this week. SPCX remains bullish and has significant upside potential through year-end. Morgan Stanley recommends β€œoverweighting” SPCX. You can slightly adjust the TP: βœ… @: 149.89 ⚠️ TRIGGERED ⚠️ ).

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (+2.1%), Intel (+5.4%), SK Hynix (+5.3%); are trading sharply higher in pre-market. Chip stocks will remain volatile, and we will see waves of profit-taking after strong gains. Overall, however, we see plenty of upside this week. META's earnings report will be important in restoring optimism about AI revenue. LRCX will also report later this week. We will adjust our stop levels and look for exits this week. INTC benefited from a long-overdue upgrade by JPMorgan to β€œNeutral” (from β€œUnderweight”). KeyBank reiterated its β€œOverweight” rating on NVDA.


β–Ί We see investment banks fully agreeing with our assessment from recent sessions / weeks. We see significant rebound potential in tech / chip / AI infrastructure stocks and a sharply higher opening. Some big tech stocks are lagging slightly because of their somewhat more defensive characteristics - including AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL. I particularly like the outlook for AMZN today, as well as META ahead of earnings later this week.

β–Ί META has performed strongly over the past 30 days - particularly since September 21. Following sharp gains after an impressive MUSE release, META also saw profit-taking last week (-4.5%). We are buying META here with a small position, but will first wait for some additional profit-taking. META is opening flat / even slightly lower, significantly underperforming the tech sector - for now.

Meta Platforms (META): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size approx. 25–30x (2,500%–3,000%) – 3/5 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101903A


Signal/Update ist ⚠️ VERZΓ–GERT ⚠️ um: 1️⃣4️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
⚑️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ πŸ€©πŸ€©πŸ€©πŸ“ˆ


⏰❌ KILL THE DELAY as SmartTrader VIPπŸ’Ž

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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Caterpillar (CAT) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated Volatility; 1/2 position size
TP βœ… @: 731.17
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED; closed minimally higher ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range βœ…721 - 724


β–Ί AI stocks are leading Wall Street's gains today, with many key chip stocks trading significantly higher. Only a few AI-related stocks remain in the red - including META (we expected a dip), CISCO, and CAT.

β–Ί The Nasdaq 100 is now up 1.7% from Friday's close - a very strong rebound.

β–Ί We see a rotation back into growth / AI / chip stocks. The Dow, which significantly outperformed last week, is trading flat. Defensive stocks such as TRV (which we traded on Friday) are posting losses. Consumer stocks such as HD, MCD, MMM, PG, WMT, KO, etc. are also showing weakness.

β–Ί We are buying the ongoing weakness in CAT - the stock remains down 1% following its recent sharp losses. CAT is heavily influenced by the AI boom through data center expansion, but has also been weighed down by significantly higher energy prices.

β–Ί We see short-term rebound potential.

Caterpillar (CAT): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 26-30x (2,600%-3,000%) - 1/2 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101904A



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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY)πŸ”Ό Goldman Sachs (GS) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…871 - 873


β–Ί We see mixed markets today, with sector rotation being the key driver. Tech / chip / AI stocks have rebounded sharply today, drawing capital away from other sectors.

β–Ί Banks reported mostly positive earnings - particularly GS. GS is now trading well below its level before the earnings report on October 13. The stock is around 6% below its post-earnings highs. We successfully traded that earnings jump.

β–Ί Goldman Sachs came under pressure from the sharp losses in the AI sector, as GS has significant exposure to AI-related financing, underwriting, and capital markets activity.

β–Ί We want to diversify a little and also expect the current gains in the AI sector to face some obstacles this week, although significant rebound potential remains. Overall, we see improving risk appetite and do not want to focus exclusively on the AI sector here.

β–Ί We also like JPM here. The stock is now trading even further in the red. However, given GS' strong earnings and stronger positive correlation with the AI sector, we are buying the weakness in GS here. We see support in the 869 - 873 range.

β–Ί We are limiting potential losses with an SL (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) ...

Goldman Sachs (GS): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 20-23x (2,000%-2,300%) - 3/5 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26091905A


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We bought GS at session lows.


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Q&A #1 - πŸ’¬ 01 - What is SmartTrader?

Yesterday, we held our first Q&A session, starting with the perfect question: β€œWhat is SmartTrader?”

The first answer went live on Instagram yesterday, and we’ll also save the Q&A videos as Highlights on our SmartTrader Instagram profile so you can revisit them anytime.

πŸ‘‰ Follow SmartTrader on Instagram


πŸ“– Full Text:


Thanks for that question. It’s a good one to start with!

SmartTrader provides in-depth, actionable market analysis with a focus on short-term | intraday trading. We explain what we’re trading, where we’re looking to enter, our target levels, and, most importantly, WHY we expect that move.

Our approach combines fundamental analysis, market sentiment analysis, cross-market analysis, sector rotation - which is very important at the moment - order flow, volatility, liquidity etc. also technical analysis methods.

We apply this fundamental perspective to short-term trading, and we’re basically the only ones in the world doing this in this way. That’s also why I don’t see myself as comparable in any way to those signal scammers ⚠️ out there.

Every trade setup is backed by detailed analysis, so you can follow the opportunity and understand the reasoning behind it.

A little about myself: I bring 20 years of experience, including work in investment banking, wealth management, and portfolio analysis. Alongside SmartTrader, I still do extensive consulting work.

Transparency is absolutely central to everything we do.

We provide updates on every single trade. At the end of every day, I also share an overview of my short-term trading account. Raw data is even available to download from the website so you can review it yourself.

Whether it’s a winning or losing trade, we have a 100% transparency policy, and that’s incredibly important to me.

So, that’s basically it!
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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 31 - October 19
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 31 - October 12
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 135 (excl. 6 open p.)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 121
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 89.6% πŸ”½ πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (August 28)
Added to statistics: 3/5* - 60%
Signal Accuracy (October 12)
(*1 open position: NAS100)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: October 13 - October 19 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.11882)
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4156.16)
❌ 13.10 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4153.06)
❌ 13.10 - MS - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.39)

3/5 = 60% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4094.73)
βœ… 14.10 - DAX_40 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 25321.60)
βœ… 14.10 - AAPL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 343.54)
❌ 14.10 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 498.79)
βœ… 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4100.13)
βœ… 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.197)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Our πŸ”½ signal accuracy / success rate is little changed - although theoretically a bit lower as we have some off-profit TPs for our open positions. It was a good session for our portfolio but we are strongly looking for reducing our exposure in the very near-term.

We saw a positive start for Wall Street today into the week and in particular a strong rebound in tech / AI stocks. We see more upside ahead. There will be important tech earnings later this week including ...
SPCX, NFLX - Tuesday | META, TSLA, LRCX, TXN, SAP, IBM - Wednesday

We already do some updating:
Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‘‰ TP
βœ… @: 29987.90 | 30156.90 Future
Russell 2000 (US2000) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‘‰ TP
βœ… @: 2761.70
Bitcoin
(BTC/USD) πŸ’° πŸ‘‰ TP
βœ… @: 83314.90
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.12016 me | or clsd)
βœ… 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4163.39)
✴️ 15.10 - COST - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 998.77 πŸ”„
βœ… 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4176.79 me | or 4171.96)
βœ… 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.11957)
βœ… 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ(TP-1.12226|overall-in-profit)
βœ… 15.10 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 559.58)
βœ… 15.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 149.97 + gap|or 149.89) πŸ”„

7/8 - (1 open position)

βœ… 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4198.39 me or similar)
βœ… 16.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 96.33)
βœ… 16.10 - TRV - LONG ↗️ (TP - 381.79 me | or 381.93, 379.49)
βœ… 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4189.42 me|or 4189.14)πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 16.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 342.19) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (MONDAY) πŸ”Ή

βœ… 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.12056) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 19.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit + re-entry πŸ”„)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 4162.33 πŸ”„
✴️ 19.10 - META - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 717.21
βœ… 19.10 - CAT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 731.49 me | or 731.17) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 19.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 858.44 | TP βœ… @: 887.37

2/5 - (3 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


It was also a good session from our more recent positions / today.

COST closed near our TP. SPCX now also hit TP
βœ… for you in case you didn't have the (better) closing on Friday. Small profit with AAPL πŸ“Έ - with a too tight TP. Great CAT πŸ“Έ trade / timing.

A perfect gold πŸ“Έ closing - but we see our current gold position now off-profit. We can make a re-entry here
πŸ”Ό 4110 - 4120 and still see gold overall bullish. We update our TP βœ….

We found also a perfect entry today for our EUR/USD
πŸ“Έ. Markets were strongly impacted by sector rotation today.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Loan Prime Rate 1Y – 01:00 (reported: 🟑)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Loan Prime Rate 5Y OCT – 01:00 (reported: 🟑)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ PPI SEP (MoM/YoY) – 06:00 (reported: 🟒)
♦️ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Unemployment Rate AUG – 06:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) AUG – 06:00 (πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Employment Change AUG – 06:00 (reported: 🟒)
♦️ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ ZEW Economic Sentiment Index OCT – 09:00 (reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ZEW Economic Sentiment Index OCT – 09:00 (reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ADP Employment Change Weekly – 12:15
♦️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Building Permits Prel SEP – 12:30
♦️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Housing Starts SEP – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pending Home Sales SEP (MoM/YoY) – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ API Crude Oil Stock Change OCT/16 – 20:30

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

πŸŒ™ SpaceX (SPCX) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ GE Aerospace (GE) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸŒ™ Netflix (NFLX) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ RTX (RTX) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ ABB (ABBNY) πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­(reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸŒ™ Chubb (CB) πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­
πŸŒ™ Capital One Financial (COF) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ 3M (MMM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ General Motors (GM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Northrop Grumman (NOC) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸŒ™ AmΓ©rica MΓ³vil (AMX) πŸ‡²πŸ‡½
β˜€οΈ MSCI (MSCI) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸŒ™ United Airlines Holdings (UAL) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Halliburton (HAL) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Synchrony Financial (SYF) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ KeyCorp (KEY) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

---

SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ EUR/USD
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…1.12250 - 1.22300 πŸ”„

β–Ί GBP/USD is up slightly more than 0.3% today after the UK unemployment rate surprised positively at 4.7%, versus 4.9% expected. Meanwhile, regular wage growth accelerated to 3.7%. This combination strengthens the case for a BoE rate hike at its next meeting on November 5. The GBP is posting similar gains against the EUR and has further near-term upside potential.

β–Ί We could SHORT GBP/USD here in the short term, but we also see yield movements supporting near-term gains in the GBP. Eurozone bond yields are also rising, including French government bond yields, but those increases are driven more by stress. French bonds remain under heavy pressure. The yield premium on 10-year French government bonds over safer German debt has risen to 150 basis points - a level last seen on October 5. We see increasing instability in parts of the Eurozone.

β–Ί Risk sentiment has deteriorated again for now. Following a disappointing stock market debut by South Korean data center company Elice, concerns resurfaced over massive AI investment and the possibility that it could decline. Attention will turn firmly to earnings reports - particularly META after the bell tomorrow.

β–Ί Higher oil prices are weighing on EUR/USD. We see further downside potential and will soon - now near 1.22300 - go SHORT EUR/USD.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26102001A

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The EUR/USD rose a bit further - back to our entry range from yesterday. We can go SHORT again.

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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό 3M (MMM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: 166.79
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

Recommended Entry Range βœ…162.00 - 163.20


πŸ”Ή Nasdaq 100 (-0.35%) | Russell 2000 (+0.1%) - are mixed after chip / AI stocks weakened again during Korean trading. A disappointing stock market debut by South Korean data center company Elice revived concerns about unsustainable AI spending. The reaction in Korea was sharp and, given the company's limited global significance, an overreaction. Nevertheless, it once again shows how fragile the sector remains. The Dow and even the risk-sensitive Russell 2000 are little changed. The Nasdaq 100 future is at least trading well above its pre-market lows.



πŸ”Ή Costco (+0.6%) - is opening around $1000 and therefore above our TP. We saw renewed sector rotation, benefiting defensive stocks such as COST. ⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️

πŸ”Ή Goldman Sachs (-0.2%) - is opening little changed and slightly above our entry from yesterday. We do not expect major gains today and are therefore tightening our TP βœ…. Financials nevertheless look robust.
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 858.44 | TP βœ… @: 876.06 πŸ”„ ⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️

πŸ”Ή Meta (-1.0%) - is facing some headwinds as one of the largest investors in AI infrastructure. Concerns over high AI capital expenditures are weighing slightly on META ahead of tomorrow's earnings report. META is hovering near $700 for now. We are setting a tighter TP.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 704.87

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (-0.3%), Intel (-1.1%), SK Hynix (-3.2%) - are giving back some of yesterday's strong rebound gains, but remain positive for the week. We see chip stocks recovering from their pre-market lows and signs of some dip-buying in early NYSE trading. If you still hold small positions - we are adjusting INTC and SKHY here.
Intel (INTC) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 99.53
SK Hynix (SKHY) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 151.49


β–Ί Defensive stocks have some room to benefit from renewed caution toward the AI sector ahead of key earnings reports. 3M slightly beat earnings expectations - nothing spectacular, and actually not particularly strong overall. Earnings per share came in at $2.50, with revenue of $6.6 billion, up 4.2% year over year. Wall Street had expected earnings per share of $2.38 on revenue of $6.6 billion. The outlook was somewhat better: 3M now expects full-year adjusted EPS of $9.10 - $9.15, up from $8.80 - $8.95 previously.

β–Ί More interesting, and the actual reason for our entry in 3M, is the modest opening following yesterday's losses, when defensive stocks came under some pressure from sector rotation, and particularly the announced partnership with Amazon. MMM is becoming an increasingly important supplier of AI data center infrastructure and also supplies Microsoft. Amazon is purchasing optical connectivity infrastructure for AI data centers from 3M. Under the agreement, Amazon receives the right to acquire 3M shares at a fixed exercise price once a $6 billion threshold is reached.

β–Ί This would provide even more support for 3M were it not for today's concerns about data center investment. We see massive upside potential here and MMM as well positioned overall.

3M (MMM): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size approx. 140–160x (14,000%–16,000%) – 3/5 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102002A


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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


We made an absolutely MASSIVE NYSE opening trade.

Unfortunately, you missed it as a non-VIP. Huge profits in just a few minutes.

NEVER (‼️) miss a NYSE-Opening Trade.
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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό 3M (MMM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚠️ Elevated Volatility; 3/5 position size TP βœ… @: 166.79 ⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ Recommended Entry Range βœ…162.00 - 163.20 πŸ”Ή Nasdaq 100 (-0.35%) | Russell 2000 (+0.1%) - are…
3M (MMM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP triggered βœ… @: 166.79

Quick πŸ“Έ-Update


Hell of a trade. 3M was the by far best Dow component we could have traded at NYSE opening and is one of the best performers in New York - especially after the rather modest opening. 3M is now even up above 168.00.

If you are still LONG - I would still suggest to secure profits and close 168.30 - 169.90.

Congrats!


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πŸ“Š SmartTrader Lot-Size Calculator πŸ”—
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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό SpaceX (SPCX) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP βœ… @: 145.69
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

Recommended Entry Range βœ…143.20 - 143.90


β–Ί We are buying the sharp dip in SPCX, which is down around 3%. We see generally lower risk appetite for tech stocks and a rotation back into non-tech sectors. This also helped our positions in COST, GS, and, of course, 3M reach their respective TPs. (3M, of course, primarily benefited from the AMZN partnership that we traded).

β–Ί We expect some optimism about a very strong earnings report from SPCX to return. For now, we are not yet certain whether we want to trade the actual earnings release. However, we want to buy this weakness ahead of earnings (SPCX reports after the bell today).

β–Ί SPCX is pursuing plans for orbital AI data centers - a very visionary undertaking. However, with concerns about AI data center spending particularly elevated today, we also see excessive selling in SPCX.

SpaceX (SPCX): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~130-140x (13,000%-14,000%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102003A


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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


We made the PERFECT SPCX dip purchase πŸš€

SPCX rose even above our TP.


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⚑️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) πŸ’°
TP βœ… @: 83814.90

EUR/USD
TP βœ… @: 1.12062

Russell 2000 (US2000) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 2772.20
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️


Following gains during Asian trading, oil prices have now fallen sharply amid hopes of progress toward ending the Iran war. This also creates significant headwinds for our EUR/USD position - or rather for the USD - but is very positive for our portfolio overall. We also see lower yields, providing support for gold / Bitcoin.

We are adjusting our EUR/USD position and can widen the TP on our BTC position slightly. We still expect EUR/USD to retest the key 1.12000 level - oil prices will play the decisive role here.

We remain LONG in gold in any case (current TP - 4162.33) and now see near-term upside potential.

We can also widen the TP on our Russell 2000 position here. We are still looking for exits to reduce our overall exposure, but now see significant support. Risk sentiment has improved considerably.

SPCX has already hit our overly tight TP πŸ“Έ. If you are still LONG - we continue to see upside from here. You can close near / above 147.70. We bought the dip perfectly.


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