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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING
TP
Recommended Entry
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SHORT EARLY NYSE TRADING
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP
Recommended Entry
πΉ Nasdaq 100 (+0.6%) - The index is recovering some of its overnight losses. The prospect of Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress raised concerns about tighter restrictions on data center construction and stricter AI regulations. SPCX and TSLA plunged, weighing heavily on the Nasdaq 100. Musk was one of the most vocal Republican supporters. AMD has given back most of its after-hours gains: after rising more than 10% at one point overnight, the stock is opening βonlyβ about 1.8% higher. A strong rebound in AAPL and solid gains in MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL and META are supporting the Nasdaq. Our TP remains unchanged (
πΉ Alphabet (+1.8%) - The stock is opening sharply higher. If youβre still LONG: TP
πΉ Micron (-2.6%) - Concerns about tighter regulation are weighing on MU. The stock was up around 5% at one point overnight. If your broker provides after-hours quotes, your position hit its TP. Otherwise, your SL could be triggered at the NYSE open, with MU opening near 832. You can widen your SL and tighten your TP. We expect a rebound.
π SL π @: 815.69 | TP
πΉ Nvidia (-1.2%) - NVDA is opening lower after giving back its overnight gains. The outlook remains positive. We could see further profit-taking in the chip sector in the short term, but we expect chip stocks to stabilize after that.
βΊ Muskβs strong support for Republicans and his sharp attacks on candidates such as Abdul El-Sayed (Michigan) and James Talarico (Texas) are backfiring. SPCX has been hit particularly hard. In our view, the stock is oversold, and the selling is driven almost entirely by sentiment.
βΊ Weβre buying the sharp dip in SPCX and expect a rebound. The stock is trading around 132.00 in the premarket. Morgan Stanley says the stock is now βcheaperβ given its strong earnings growth and recommends overweighting SPCX.
βΊ Weβre also looking to buy dips in chip stocks. We think the market is overreacting.
βΊ We see significant further downside in the short term for CVX and the energy sector as a whole. Republican policies are generally more favorable to the sector, and energy prices are falling sharply again. CVX is opening about 0.8% lower. We expect it to fall further right away.
SpaceX (SPCX): Multiply your standard EUR/USD position size by approximately 130-140x (13,000%-14,000%) - 1/2 position size.
Chevron (CVX): Multiply your standard EUR/USD position size by approximately 120-130x (12,000%-13,000%) - 3/5 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110403A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110404A
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ Micron (MU) πΊπΈ
β οΈ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TPβ
@: 836.39
β οΈ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED; closed a bit higher β οΈ πΈ
Recommended Entryβ
near/below 818.00
βΊ If MU didnβt hit your TP in after-hours trading, your SL was unfortunately triggered at the open. If you adjusted your SL or your position is still open, you can stay LONG. Despite the heavy selling, we expect an initial rebound toward 840.
βΊ Weβre buying this further dip in MU. We also see a very attractive entry in AMD nearπΌ 476 (optional trade). AMD is now down on the day. We expect a rebound in AMD, which would also matter for other chip stocks, including NVDA. Nvidia fell a little over 1% further after the open, but we expect that decline to be temporary.
βΊ For now, weβre going with MU and re-entering here.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110405A
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A PERFECT entry on MU.
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LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry
βΊ If MU didnβt hit your TP in after-hours trading, your SL was unfortunately triggered at the open. If you adjusted your SL or your position is still open, you can stay LONG. Despite the heavy selling, we expect an initial rebound toward 840.
βΊ Weβre buying this further dip in MU. We also see a very attractive entry in AMD near
βΊ For now, weβre going with MU and re-entering here.
Micron (MU): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by ~21-23x (2,100%-2,300%) - 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110405A
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A PERFECT entry on MU.
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Nasdaq 100 (US100) πΊπΈ
TP
Gold (XAU/USD)
TP
We like the outlook here for Gold and the Nasdaq 100. Our Nikkei position is in profit. BTC just hit TP for a nice profit we may see BTC rise a bit further but it will likely hit a bit of resistance in the 79.5K - 80K range.
MU already hit TP - if you are still LONG close in the range
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THIS OR THAT #1 | PART 2 π¬
8 more questions. 2 choices each. 1 investment specialist.
Still in Berlin with SmartTrader founder Robert Lindner for Part 2 of our This or That series.
From investment strategies and market timing to trading psychology and risk management, Robert faces 8 more decisions and explains the reasoning behind his choices.
Check out the full video on our IG:
π Full Video on Instagram - Pt. II
What's your pick? STOCKS or REAL ESTATE? Leave a comment on Instagram!
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ Marvell (MRVL) πΊπΈ
β οΈ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entry Rangeβ
156.10 - 157.50 π
βΊ Chip stocks are seeing some renewed selling, but we still see room for a rebound and find MU, AMD and NVDA attractive. Weβd consider re-entering MU, or also AMD. However, we donβt want to overtrade.
βΊ The sharp sell-off in MRVL has created an attractive entry. The stock is still down more than 6% on the day. Weβre choosing MRVL despite its high volatility because we expect a short-term rebound.
βΊ Marvellβs proposed acquisition values Lumentum at $115 billion including debt, with an equity value of approximately $80 billion. Marvell will issue 4.5 shares of its common stock for each Lumentum share. The deal has weighed heavily on MRVL, but we now see room for a rebound.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110406A
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β οΈ NYSE CLOSING ...β οΈ
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MRVL fell a little further ππ
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LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
βΊ Chip stocks are seeing some renewed selling, but we still see room for a rebound and find MU, AMD and NVDA attractive. Weβd consider re-entering MU, or also AMD. However, we donβt want to overtrade.
βΊ The sharp sell-off in MRVL has created an attractive entry. The stock is still down more than 6% on the day. Weβre choosing MRVL despite its high volatility because we expect a short-term rebound.
βΊ Marvellβs proposed acquisition values Lumentum at $115 billion including debt, with an equity value of approximately $80 billion. Marvell will issue 4.5 shares of its common stock for each Lumentum share. The deal has weighed heavily on MRVL, but we now see room for a rebound.
Marvell (MRVL): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approx. ~110β120x (11,000%β12,000%) β 1/2 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110406A
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MRVL fell a little further ππ
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ Micron (MU) πΊπΈ
β οΈ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TPβ
@: 823.97
Recommended Entryβ
near/below 805.00 π
βΊ Chip stocks fell further as investors rotated into consumer stocks following the plunge in oil prices. The Trump administration, through JD Vanceβs post on X, acknowledged that the war with Iran was the biggest drag on Republicans in the elections. That has raised expectations that the administration may now do more to end the war. Trump reportedly asked his advisers whether Hegseth should step down as secretary of defense. That would fit Trumpβs pattern of blaming others for defeats, though I still think an immediate departure is unlikely.
βΊ MU resumed its decline and briefly slipped below $800. Weβre seeing early signs of a recovery, especially in chip stocks like NVDA, which are generally less sensitive to swings in market sentiment. Selling persisted a little longer in more risk-sensitive names like MU and MRVL. Weβre LONG MRVL, and the position is currently at a loss.
βΊ Significantly lower oil prices are supporting stocks overall, but they matter less for AI stocks. Thatβs one reason consumer stocks and European markets are outperforming.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110407A
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β οΈ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED β οΈ
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LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry
βΊ Chip stocks fell further as investors rotated into consumer stocks following the plunge in oil prices. The Trump administration, through JD Vanceβs post on X, acknowledged that the war with Iran was the biggest drag on Republicans in the elections. That has raised expectations that the administration may now do more to end the war. Trump reportedly asked his advisers whether Hegseth should step down as secretary of defense. That would fit Trumpβs pattern of blaming others for defeats, though I still think an immediate departure is unlikely.
βΊ MU resumed its decline and briefly slipped below $800. Weβre seeing early signs of a recovery, especially in chip stocks like NVDA, which are generally less sensitive to swings in market sentiment. Selling persisted a little longer in more risk-sensitive names like MU and MRVL. Weβre LONG MRVL, and the position is currently at a loss.
βΊ Significantly lower oil prices are supporting stocks overall, but they matter less for AI stocks. Thatβs one reason consumer stocks and European markets are outperforming.
Micron (MU): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by ~21-23x (2,100%-2,300%) - 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110407A
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
SHORT (SELL)π½ Chevron (CVX) πΊπΈ
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TPβ
@: 214.53
Recommended Entryβ
near 217.40
β οΈ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED β οΈ
βΊ Given the recent plunge in oil prices, Iβd normally prefer COP or APA for an energy short. Both have earnings coming up, though, which adds risk: high energy prices last quarter mean theyβre likely to report very strong, possibly record results. OXY is also more sensitive to oil price swings than CVX.
βΊ APA and OXY have already seen heavy selling and are further along in their corrections. CVX has held up relatively well for good reason: Chevron recently reported strong quarterly results and could expand its oil production in Venezuela. Still, I think expectations for the additional revenue that expansion could generate over the medium term are too high.
βΊ We already shorted CVX successfully at todayβs NYSE open (see todayβs NYSE opening trades πΈ). As oil prices fell further, energy stocks sold off sharply as well.
βΊ CVX has since rebounded and is trading about 1.5% above its session low. We can go SHORT again before the NYSE close.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110408A
β οΈ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED β οΈ
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SHORT (SELL)
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP
Recommended Entry
βΊ Given the recent plunge in oil prices, Iβd normally prefer COP or APA for an energy short. Both have earnings coming up, though, which adds risk: high energy prices last quarter mean theyβre likely to report very strong, possibly record results. OXY is also more sensitive to oil price swings than CVX.
βΊ APA and OXY have already seen heavy selling and are further along in their corrections. CVX has held up relatively well for good reason: Chevron recently reported strong quarterly results and could expand its oil production in Venezuela. Still, I think expectations for the additional revenue that expansion could generate over the medium term are too high.
βΊ We already shorted CVX successfully at todayβs NYSE open (see todayβs NYSE opening trades πΈ). As oil prices fell further, energy stocks sold off sharply as well.
βΊ CVX has since rebounded and is trading about 1.5% above its session low. We can go SHORT again before the NYSE close.
Chevron (CVX): Multiply your standard EUR/USD position size by approximately 120-130x (12,000%-13,000%) - 3/5 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26110408A
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